NFL Season Win Totals

[durito]

[slacker00]

Where'd you get these lines?


These look pretty good:
Cowboys over 9 -115
Ravens under 8.5 +130
Bucs under 6.5 +100
Broncos under 7.5 -150
Lions over 5 +100
Colts under 10 -110

[chucksmith]

No way in hell ATL is only over 8 (-135). That is a lock.

Two teams that will not make the playoffs this year : Tennessee and Carolina

[onthewhat]

Just flip coins like everything else

Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December

[durito]

Just flip coins like everything else

Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December

How about you book my bets on these then?

[smitch124]

I was hoping to see a higher Dolphin total but I still like the under even at 7.

[poker_dummy101]

How about you book my bets on these then?

Not unless you want $10 limits

[SBR Lou]

No way in hell ATL is only over 8 (-135). That is a lock.

Have you seen their schedule?

[pavyracer]

If Atlanta doesn't win 8 games I will shave my legs.

[MBENZ]

If Atlanta doesn't win 8 games I will shave my legs.

Get your razor sharpened.

[smitch124]

Just flip coins like everything else

Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December

Probably so, but the books keep trying to do it anyway...

[durito]

.

[brooks85]

dont be surprised with atlanta, teams always have 1 great year and then fall into obscurity, and, of course, their schedule does not help.

[jjgold]

Dolphins total seems low
Minny High
Giants High

[Chuck Sims]

Just flip coins like everything else

Dumb to make predictions in June for games in December

Square mentality.

[xyzky]

Square mentality.

[brooks85]

bengals over 6 is great but -160 is no fun. 7 wins shouldn't be a problem tho, week 1(denver), 2(GB) 4(CLE) 5(Balt) 6(hou) 7(chi) 9(balt) 11(oak) 12(cle) 13(DET) 16(KC) 17(jets)

Week 1,4,6,11,12,13 and 16 should get it done


NE 11.5 is high but talk about a soft schedule, nothing new there tho, i can see them getting 13 wins or more depending if ind/NO can hold down home field.

[alukk]

Tenesee U 9
Atlanta O 8

[dreamjob]

Detroit UNDER 5. That should be a lock. If they win 1 before November I'll be impressed.

[pavyracer]

dont be surprised with atlanta, teams always have 1 great year and then fall into obscurity, and, of course, their schedule does not help.

Atlanta got rid of all the old players in defense like Malloy and Brooking. There are a lot of young players in defense which I'm excited and the offense is improved with the addition of Gonzalez and more mature Ryan. Who's going to stop this powerful offense of Ryan, White, Gonzalez, Jenkins, Turner and Norwood? This is a 30 point offense at every game. Too many weapons. They will have 5-6 wins in the weak south division.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Pats look overvalued at first glance...

[slacker00]

I like the way you guys think. Atlanta Over 8 -135 seems solid. They made all of the right moves this offseason. My only concern is that they won't be sneaking up on anyone.

I'm also with Brooks on the Bengals Over 6 -160. I groaned when I saw the juice, but right it right. The Bengals are good enough to count on them to be around 8-8.

As for defending my Lions over 5 pick, it's an 8-8 league. The Lions were better than their 0-16 record, hanging close in the majority of their games. They have an influx of young talent, thanks to drafting high, a new regime with a new attitude. There's enough talent on this team to win, with Culpepper, Megatron & weapons on offense. The defense needs an attitude adjustment, but there's talent there too if Schwartz can get it ironed out. I'm not saying the Lions are playoff bound like the Dolphins managed after going 1-15, but 6 wins isn't splitting the atom either. The 0-16 will fool a lot of people into thinking the Lions are much worse than they really are.

[seaborneq]

Only Uncle Norv can keep the SuperChargers from winning 10 games.

[HoulihansTX]

Plays on the Plus side that are my locks.

49er's Under-7 +100
Cheifs Under-6 +100
Ravens Under 8.5 +130
Packers Over-9 +110

[Rich Boy]

KC ov 6 looks good

[Dark Horse]

In markets as these public perception may be in the right direction, but it is almost always exaggerated. Plus this is a league of parity. So, in general, I would bet the under for any team that improved their record by 4 games or more last season, and the over for any team that went the wrong way by 4 games or more.

[Chi_archie]

bears should go over 8.5 pretty easy... I think 11-12 wins is a possibility for them

[Chi_archie]

by the way how did the bears get the Browns on their schedule twice? I had them talking about the bears sched on the radio the other day, and I couldn't understand how they had cleve. twice? and they didn't talk about that aspect....


the browns had the worst final 6 games i've ever seen any NFL team play consecutively....

[shhhhh22]

by the way how did the bears get the Browns on their schedule twice? I had them talking about the bears sched on the radio the other day, and I couldn't understand how they had cleve. twice? and they didn't talk about that aspect....


the browns had the worst final 6 games i've ever seen any NFL team play consecutively....

Bengals week 7
Browns week 8

[Chi_archie]

Bengals week 7
Browns week 8

nvermind the its the last game of the exhibition season they were mentioning..... that was the "2nd time they would see the browns"

[slacker00]

I like the Bears over 8.5 as well. I like the Bears better than the Vikings, in division. No respect for Cutler?

[DwightShrute]

49ers over 7
dolphins over 7
Jets under 7
cowboys under 9
texans over 8

[WileOut]

Pavy the weak south? Carolina made the conference semi's, we know about Atlanta, NO best offense of all time perhaps with a decent defense too, and TB is always a contender.

I'm the biggest Falcons fan in the world but we will struggle to get to 8 wins. Hardest schedule in the NFL. Our defense is going to be completely lit up every game.

[slacker00]

WileOut, good point on the strength of schedule. You guys should take a look when deciding your picks!

1. Miami Dolphins 152 104 0 .594
2. Carolina Panthers 151 104 1 .592
3. New England Patriots 151 105 0 .590
4. Atlanta Falcons 150 105 1 .588
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 148 107 1 .580
6. Buffalo Bills 146 110 0 .570
7. New York Jets 145 110 1 .568
8. New Orleans Saints 142 113 1 .557
9. Philadelphia Eagles 137 119 0 .535
10. New York Giants 134 120 2 .527
11. Dallas Cowboys 131 123 2 .516
11. Jacksonville Jaguars 132 124 0 .516
13. Indianapolis Colts 131 125 0 .512
14. Tennessee Titans 130 126 0 .508
15. Houston Texans 129 126 1 .506
16. Washington Redskins 125 129 2 .492
17. Kansas City Chiefs 123 131 2 .484
17. San Diego Chargers 123 131 2 .484
19. Denver Broncos 122 132 2 .480
19. Oakland Raiders 122 132 2 .480
21. Detroit Lions 119 136 1 .467
22. Cincinnati Bengals 119 137 0 .465
22. St. Louis Rams 119 137 0 .465
24. Seattle Seahawks 117 139 0 .457
25. Cleveland Browns 114 140 2 .449
26. San Francisco 49ers 113 142 1 .443
27. Arizona Cardinals 113 143 0 .441
28. Baltimore Ravens 111 143 2 .438
29. Pittsburgh Steelers 110 144 2 .434
30. Green Bay Packers 109 146 1 .428
31. Minnesota Vikings 107 148 1 .420
32. Chicago Bears 105 149 2 .414

Check out the Bears at #32!!! Load up on that sucker. 8.5 wins seems like cake for this team, even if they had a mediocre to tough schedule and no Jay Cutler! The Bears are the class of the NFC North at this moment, bar none. I'd also suggest to load up on Vikings if you think Favre is going to Minny, which I sincerely do. Even the Packers are looking possible, suddenly, in my mind with such a weak schedule. Just make sure you believe that their transition will be smooth going to the 3-4 because I think we're in for a rocky ride there. Not to mention I don't really trust our offensive line. Before the draft, I had Bears at 11 wins, Vikings at 10, Packers at 9. Nothing has really changed for me since then.

Looking at #1 through #8, we see the NFC South & AFC East. It makes sense to downgrade all of these teams. Jets under 7 +115 & Bills Under 7.5 +130 just looks delicious! The under on Miami & NE also seems sensible, but both of these teams are solid enough to prove me wrong and I need to lay off. I still love Bucs under 6.5 +100, but I guess I'll lay off the Saints, Falcons, Panthers which all hover around 8.5.

[Mr Nuts]

Bears should win 10 easy