Bankers throwin darts at the 2014 NFL season..
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2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#211Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#212oh wait he broke so dunno how im getting my hundo back, mf'er i was thinking it was a freeroll, forgot bear a brokedick jagofff ..
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No coincidencesSBR Aristocracy
- 01-18-10
- 76300
#213
I have this one 27-24 either way.Comment -
killersweetSBR MVP
- 12-02-08
- 1483
#215good luck banker. I like the skins pick and the bills under pick. Det under is a bit risky, but most ppl are on the over. So you may be on to something.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#216NYG ml +115 (2x).. only reason this the 1st play im posting cause i just read a little conversation bout it over at ctg so it peaked my interest and i started looking into this one then added my 2 cents.. you can go look at the week 3 discussion thread at ctg to see the conversation if interested but ill tell ya what i found that makes me like gmen in this gm even tho ive been on record calling them stir fried shit since before the start of season..think this team will start to evolve from total trash into mediocre much like half the teams in league, the run defense has been solid only allowing 3.4 ypc and that isnt a drastic change from last year as they held teams to a respectable 3.8, lets be real clear a fitzpatrick lead team no matter how good the d is really shouldnt be laying points on the road, maybe to the raiders but that cause the matchup set up really well for foster to do work and the d to dominate a rookie qb and shit run gm,, this week gmen take away foster and fitzpatrick turns into the guy that has one of his ugly 4 pick games several times a year.. on the other side hou d while very good has given up a league worst 5.8 ypc so far this season , obviously that number will come down but this was a team that ranked in the bottom 3rd last season. hou is great at taking away deep throws with their rush and the back end, normally a good trait but the idea of this new offense is short quick drops dinking and dunking, eli looked better in the second half last week against a very good zona secondary and think this gm kinda sets up well for him to build on that, hopefully this week his wrs wont be surprised when he actually makes a good throw and are ready to catch it!! i know giants have looked bad and maybe they are, hell ive said as much and worse. but in the nfl i subscribe to the theory no team really as bad or good as ppl tend to believe they are..
2 team 6 point teaser (2x)
atl pk
indy-.5
pretty self explanatory as there nothing bout this every square in the world wont like including myself,, not exactly high on atl, the d leaves plenty to be desired and i dunno if they anything more than a 9-7 type team , still not sure what bucs are so there some unknown here for me but really just playing the percentages to try and wrap up the 1st leg of this thing. the percentages are this, home team wins this gm 67% of the time, matty ice at home has a incredibly high win percentage, dont know the exact number but i know before last year it was insane and last year had a lot of extenuating circumstances. so i guess do the math it has to come out to this being a really high percentage play..
colts gm what should i say? who here believes luck drops to 0-3 vs the fukkin jags? i certainly dont,, maybe its close, maybe its not but if i can get through the thu night gm im not sweating this one., if it loses fukk it i suppose cause i dont see it...
sd/buf un 45 (1.5x).. i made this 41-43 point range, i have little to no doubt both teams can move the ball a little, bills are gonna be able to run and run effectively in this contest vs a chargers d that has allowed a pretty healthy ypc last season and that has continued thus far this season. thing about bills and ej is a lot like geno (both young qbs i kinda like more than most) they struggle with efficiency in the red zone, bills were bad in this area last season and as of now dont look to be improved at all converting a very low rate of their chances into tds. so when bills on offense i expect lots of rushing with success between the 20s which leads to drives that even if they do finish will be time consuming and i expect they dont convert more than half their opportunities in this one.. when chargers have the ball i expect rivers to have his moments connecting with keenan allen, however bills allow one of the lowest yards per attempt and avg yards per completion so i suspect rivers makes his hey on shorter routes that extend drives and allow sd to do what they do best and control the gm with time consuming drives keeping their d on the sideline, bills have doen a good job of getting teams off the field on 3rd downs so i feel as if chargers dives will stall out once crossing midfield on several occasions, and again on the scoring drives i expect a good 5-7 minutes to be taken off the clock. think this a field position type gm where the clock will be running a great deal of the time, i envision this being the 1st gm to go final of the early starts, if that the case we should be talking bout a gm with a 21-20/23-20 type of score..
skins+6.5 (1.5x)..gonna just copy and paste what i wrote discussing this gm at ctg the other day so if anything sounds like im responding to someone that is why
im not real convinced that phi is equipped with wrs able to expose secondaries like they were when djax was there.. hasnt mattered yet as they have faced a couple creampuff defenses, i think there gonna come a time when teams flatten their defense out (i guess that the best way to put it) and play them like they already in the red zone, a place phi struggles. if im dc facing them that what i do, take away the width of the field by bringing my safties up in almost a 46 look and force foles to connect with macklin and cooper over the top cause his deep ball doesnt scare me and those wrs dont either (etrz however could be the answer for that from phi standpoint). possible im wrong and they then get a bunch of big plays but id have to see it to believe it cause i know what happens when you let them get off in the zone read and screen gm, yet to see anything from the qb/wrs that scary so that who im making beat me..
ive been of the opinion skins d has improved and thus far they appear to have, however im not oblivious to the fact the same argument about level of competition can be used that i used about the eagles offense/wr corp. they just havnt seen a talented enough passing offense for me to know to what extent they have improved.. the one thing i do believe about this gm is that as long as skins avoid the starts they had against phi last season i think morris and the offense can dictate this gm to a extent.. the 1st meeting wasnt really fair cause no1 had seen what philly put on them week 1 last season so i think you gotta kinda overlook that gm imo.. i just watched a colts team that aint exactly known for their smash mouth run gm (even tho their moron oc likes to think they are) whip phi at the line of scrimmage to the degree a terrible rb with no vision actually found some holes, gotta believe morris is licking his chops.. i thought this was a runaway div for eagles right up until the point rg3 went down, now i actually think skins can give phi a run for their money in the nfc least.. i could be dead wrong (wouldnt be the 1st time and sadly wont be the last either) but i really like the points and have even been strongly considering sprinkling the ml,, a skins fan at my work told me i was crazy today when i told him that, maybe i am. i think morris goes for 100+ with a couple scores and djax makes them pay once or twice for kicking him to the curb while labeling him a gang banger, he hasnt had a breakout gm yet this year and while he certainly has flaws he not the kind of guy that can be held down forever w/o severely weakening other parts of the field.. i do think skins front 7 is solid enough to take away some of the stuff phi wants to do and eagles have really struggled cashing in red zone chances, as long as skins force some fgs i think that will allow them to continue pounding morris then taking shots when phi is forced to creep up.
panthers-2.5 1st half (2x)..the pit run d that was talked up as improved in the off season still looks weak to me, think panthers can do work on the ground. saw a crazy stat somewhere about panthers 1st halves, something like they havnt trailed at half in BkofAma stadium since week 10 of 2012 and have only allowed 1 td in the last 9 1st halves played there! that insane! need i say more? think you bet them at home every 1st half until they give you a reason not to..
det-1 (1x).. forget last week vs a very good panthers d away from home, lions a different animal in the dome and packers d cant sniff the panthers jock. gb allowing 176 rushing yards per gm at damn near a 5ypc clip, this isnt a new problem as they were horrid defending the run last season which was on display in det where lions went for almost 250 on the ground and racked up another 300+ through the air in this matchup. yea i know discount double bitch didnt play in that gm but last i checked he doesnt play defense (although maybe he should, couldnt hurt their run d). i also know double bitch is 9-1 vs det and yea that pretty damn impressive, but guess what i dont care. these aint the same teams as in years past...this game coming down to a couple things, lions ability to run the fb against a piss poor defensive unit and lions front 7 vs a banged up oline. ..forget arod and his weapons vs stafford, megatron, and co. joique bell gonna dominate this gm between the tackles, controlling the clock keepin double bitch and his crew sitting on the sideline. sure gb will still do some things offensively but it is tough to sustain drives when you taking sacks like crazy. i think lions come out and jump on gb early, get the crowd into the gm, then lean on gb with a heavy dose of bell and bush while the defense pins their ears back and comes after arod all day as pack not only cant defend the run they have not gotten their run gm going either... i know everyone loves the over but i would be easy with that, these guys havnt hit the total posted today in the last 4 meetings and i have a feeling it not a close enough game to get all those points, final score will approach the total but creep under i think, lets call it 31-20 lions..
skins ml +220 (.5x)..see above, maybe im crazy but i think they pull this gm out. if philly starts slow again morris can dictate this game!
skins+3.5 1st half (.5x)
scared of these two totals but i wanna play them anyway cause my number says so..
gb/det un 53.5 (.5x)
donks/seachickens un 48.5 (1x)
aints tt ov 30 (1x)Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#217yea the under in det scary as shit but i think it the right side, obviously i dont love it hence only half a unit but my number was 51 and with everyone thinking over a slam dunk thought it was worth a shot.. gl today broComment -
SmittyZ28SBR MVP
- 09-04-12
- 1469
#218GL Bank, on the other side of you with that total, could be close. Only two totals are Overs for me in Detroit and Philly 1-1 worst case there.Comment -
CapybaraSBR Posting Legend
- 08-17-08
- 11803
#219Good luck today, Banker! Always love the long writeups, buddy. Think I'm with ya on some and against ya on some. Should be interesting to see how it all falls out this week.Comment -
terrortwylightSBR MVP
- 11-04-09
- 3032
#220You're killing it today, Banker.Comment -
terrortwylightSBR MVP
- 11-04-09
- 3032
#222let me rephrase that. nice start to the day.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#223well we got skins 1st half out of the way anyways,, good thing cause not all that confident in the ml, and a little scared of the spread still. the way phi has played in 2nd halves this season really wanted a lead,, hopefully the fact skins have dominated top will bode well for them late in the gm..Comment -
terrortwylightSBR MVP
- 11-04-09
- 3032
#224well we got skins 1st half out of the way anyways,, good thing cause not all that confident in the ml, and a little scared of the spread still. the way phi has played in 2nd halves this season really wanted a lead,, hopefully the fact skins have dominated top will bode well for them late in the gm..Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#225Comment -
NittanyLionsFanSBR MVP
- 10-26-10
- 2857
#2262dabank if i pay the tuition will you take an english class?Comment -
terrortwylightSBR MVP
- 11-04-09
- 3032
#228Thanks for the winners, Banker. I'm off to a 5-0 start on the day with your help. Now I just need Sea-4, Sea under 48 and SF-3 to come through.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#229Sweet, glad I could help out.. Been pretty good day 4sure, cashing like crazy. Pissed skins blew the ml when they should have won but oh well..Comment -
SEAHAWKHARRYBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 11-29-07
- 26069
#231You still like panthers 1st halfComment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#232just bored with only having 1 gm i got action on so gonna fix that..
phins-5.5 2nd half (.5u)..dont mind me, havnt even watched any of this just need something to doComment -
Luckycharms2012SBR MVP
- 10-07-12
- 2422
#234Sry, wrong thread.Comment -
killersweetSBR MVP
- 12-02-08
- 1483
#236Great day Banker. Solid calls today. Kudos!Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#237thanx bro,, yea pretty much all went right in the world,, thought my numbers on totals were really good all around going back to last week (well minus the aints team total), sides were good this week too, woulda been nice if skins kicker wasnt a bitch and they didnt lose a gm they shoulda won but that life,, if we nitpicking things i told nc my panthers 1st half was screwed cause of how the day games went, i should really try and make a habit of waiting on sunday night cause when i play that gm earlier in the week or morning of sometimes i end up in that spot where i know it likely a loss but cant get myself off it,, easier for me to do so if i havnt played previously.. cant complain tho just kinda talking to myself for future reference...
on another bright note i killed it in draftkings again today also! stand to make somewhere between 1500-2000, even if couple guys have someone left that goes off i should still be in pretty good shape not to drop much below thatComment -
killersweetSBR MVP
- 12-02-08
- 1483
#238thanx bro,, yea pretty much all went right in the world,, thought my numbers on totals were really good all around going back to last week (well minus the aints team total), sides were good this week too, woulda been nice if skins kicker wasnt a bitch and they didnt lose a gm they shoulda won but that life,, if we nitpicking things i told nc my panthers 1st half was screwed cause of how the day games went, i should really try and make a habit of waiting on sunday night cause when i play that gm earlier in the week or morning of sometimes i end up in that spot where i know it likely a loss but cant get myself off it,, easier for me to do so if i havnt played previously.. cant complain tho just kinda talking to myself for future reference...
on another bright note i killed it in draftkings again today also! stand to make somewhere between 1500-2000, even if couple guys have someone left that goes off i should still be in pretty good shape not to drop much below that
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faceSBR Posting Legend
- 01-31-11
- 14740
#239banker killing it as usual
bank if you feel like it could you tell me your lean on raiders/dolphins +/-4 or just anything, even just general impressions over the years you have about the dolphins and what kind of games they even want to play, what is their plan this team just sucks w/ moreno out likely until game sixComment -
terrortwylightSBR MVP
- 11-04-09
- 3032
#240Banker, awesome work yesterday. With your help I went 7-2.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#241banker killing it as usual
bank if you feel like it could you tell me your lean on raiders/dolphins +/-4 or just anything, even just general impressions over the years you have about the dolphins and what kind of games they even want to play, what is their plan this team just sucks w/ moreno out likely until game sixi got bout 45 minutes till she gets home from work and gonna try and see if there something i like for tonights gm before we go out.. when i get off work 2marro ill come back to this and try to answer your questions, cool?
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KRITSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-14
- 12878
#242Nice work bank.Comment -
2daBankSBR Aristocracy
- 01-26-09
- 88966
#243chi/nyj ov 45 (1x).. another square monday night over but what can i say? sometimes it hip to be square i guess.. should have played this the other day when i saw some 44s around cause to be honest 44 was my low end on this one, if this wasnt the only gm id prob pass but think there enough upside to go ahead and be a degen...bears defense a freaking mess, they were already bottom 3rd in the league stopping the run then last sunday night they suffered a couple injuries to their secondary which now means you can pretty much do whatever you want to this team. maybe they stack the box and focus on taking away jets run gm, maybe that helps slow them down but if they hell bent on stopping the run i have enough confidence geno can beat the depleted secondary or simply run himself (be happier if decker plays but dont have time to wait and dont care enough i guess). i mention i like geno every week it seems, i also mention he needs to improve his red zone efficiency. that still true but i think tonight he will be ok mostly cause i think jets can simply smashmouth their way in from close or bootleg him out when chi over committing to the run.. on the other side it easy to tell ya what most already think, bears wrs even not 100% should do some work against this secondary. i do think that rex gonna bring the heat tonight and make life tough on cutler. the good news here is that doesnt hurt us cause a pressured cutler is a mistake prone cutler. the way chi runs this offense i believe they either gonna get theirs or make mistakes setting jets up for points, makes no difference to me. actually id prefer bears get down like they did last week cause while maybe nyj goes conservative they still gonna move the ball and bears will force the issue if trailing which again either leads to them scoring or jets d scoring.. i dont exactly love this cause it wouldnt shock me if jets managed to turn this into a ugly ass 23-17 type gm, it would surprise me a little tho cause since tressman arrived it not the kind of game you gonna see chi involved in real often. i think we talking something like 27-21..
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TwizSBR Sharp
- 10-22-13
- 442
#244Posting so it marks the thread. Good luck again this year bank let's get to this money. I'll post discussion periodically. This usually the only thread I bother reading.Comment
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