RLM System Plays

ToPHeR · 02-02-12, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by garnetandblack

3000 bets need to be on one side not total.

Its confusing because Night Tripper plays 3000 total, but I think one side is better

Night-Tripper · 02-02-12, 07:21 PM

Gonna try something a little different tonight...

Grizzlies +2.5/1H:275

Utah +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50
Ut State +4/1H:275
USC +3.5/1H:275
S. Carolina +8/1H:275
Pepperdine +6/1H:275
Marist +8.5/1H:275
Citadel +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50

Utah State +267/200
Detroit +125/200
USC +245/300
UCLA +135/300
OR State +125/300
Citadel +9.5/385
S Carolina +14/385
Utah +10/385
Marist +15/385
Detroit +2.5/385
Pepperdine +10/495
Ut State +7.5/495
USC +7/495

crockje · 02-02-12, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Gonna try something a little different tonight... Grizzlies +2.5/1H:275 Utah +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50 Ut State +4/1H:275 USC +3.5/1H:275 S. Carolina +8/1H:275 Pepperdine +6/1H:275 Marist +8.5/1H:275 Citadel +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50 Utah State +267/200 Detroit +125/200 USC +245/300 UCLA +135/300 OR State +125/300 Citadel +9.5/385 S Carolina +14/385 Utah +10/385 Marist +15/385 Detroit +2.5/385 Pepperdine +10/495 Ut State +7.5/495 USC +7/495

oh boy!!!!!!!! Bol Tripper

mrtsummit · 02-02-12, 07:25 PM

Thats a huge card good luck. Ucla, Pepperdine and Utah State are my only plays.

crockje · 02-02-12, 07:29 PM

ucla back to +3.5 opened at +3.5

Night-Tripper · 02-02-12, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by crockje

oh boy!!!!!!!! Bol Tripper

Thanks... wiseguy and I have been tracking 1st half plays and after last nights 1st half results.. I decided that tonight is the night.

Probably get my azz kicked, but that'swhy they call it gambling.

R19 · 02-02-12, 07:39 PM

Looking at Golden State Warriors. Thoughts? Line is at open.

Laissez Faire · 02-02-12, 07:44 PM

GL to all tonight

Laissez Faire · 02-02-12, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by R19

Looking at Golden State Warriors. Thoughts? Line is at open.

This game seems similar to Mavs game that I was asking out before....if Warriors line moves to -6, then it would be RLM play.

Night-Tripper · 02-02-12, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by R19

Looking at Golden State Warriors. Thoughts? Line is at open.

I like the Warriors tonight...as well as the Hornets, Kings and Nuggets. I especially like the fact that there are quite a few west coast games...and I ain't gotta get up in the morning.

garnetandblack · 02-02-12, 07:52 PM

Marist Open +16.5 Now +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

EasyCover · 02-02-12, 07:56 PM

3400 bets on ATS-750 on total.

wiseguy007 · 02-02-12, 07:57 PM

ADDING

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

Laissez Faire · 02-02-12, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Gonna try something a little different tonight...

Grizzlies +2.5/1H:275

Utah +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50
Ut State +4/1H:275
USC +3.5/1H:275
S. Carolina +8/1H:275
Pepperdine +6/1H:275
Marist +8.5/1H:275
Citadel +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50

will definitely be tracking your 1st half plays tonight...very interested in integrating this technique into my betting approach as well...GL Night Tripper

Night-Tripper · 02-02-12, 08:01 PM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

will definitely be tracking your 1st half plays tonight...very interested in integrating this technique into my betting approach as well...GL Night Tripper

Thanks... gonna selectively be playing 1st half lines for a week to determine its profitability with real money instead of imaginary bets.

I know it kicked azz last night.

Laissez Faire · 02-02-12, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

ADDING

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

I still had them on my card for tonight. Tonight is a pretty good sample for the NCAA basketball rule of +/- 8 bets only. Following the original stipulations, there are about 8 plays. Under the amended stipulations, there are 4 plays. Looking forward to seeing if the trend continues tonight that games w/ spreads of 8 or lower have higher winning % than games with larger spreads

garnetandblack · 02-02-12, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

I still had them on my card for tonight. Tonight is a pretty good sample for the NCAA basketball rule of +/- 8 bets only. Following the original stipulations, there are about 8 plays. Under the amended stipulations, there are 4 plays. Looking forward to seeing if the trend continues tonight that games w/ spreads of 8 or lower have higher winning % than games with larger spreads

it's definitely worth keeping track of even if they aren't official plays

Night-Tripper · 02-02-12, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Gonna try something a little different tonight...

Grizzlies +2.5/1H:275 W

Utah +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50 W
Ut State +4/1H:275 W
USC +3.5/1H:275 L
S. Carolina +8/1H:275 L
Pepperdine +6/1H:275 L
Marist +8.5/1H:275 L
Citadel +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50 L

Utah State +267/200 L
Detroit +125/200 L
USC +245/300 L
UCLA +135/500 L
OR State +125/300 L
Citadel +9.5/385 L
S Carolina +14/385
Utah +10/385 L
Marist +15/385 L
Detroit +2.5/385 L
Pepperdine +10/495 P
Ut State +7.5/495 W
USC +7/495 P

Will be tracking this stuff online, so there'll be a lot of edits.

garnetandblack · 02-02-12, 08:28 PM

Hornets looks like a no play now

wiseguy007 · 02-02-12, 08:30 PM

UPDATE: 8:30PM

Games to Watch 2/02/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +10 NOW +9 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1

YTD: 53-38-1 58%

zeron · 02-02-12, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

UPDATE: 8:30PM

Games to Watch 2/02/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +10 NOW +9 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1

YTD: 53-38-1 58%

Hornets are +10.5 on FSB

Automoto · 02-02-12, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by crockje

ucla back to +3.5 opened at +3.5

Dammit... I bet UCLA already

wiseguy007 · 02-02-12, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by zeron

Hornets are +10.5 on FSB

Yea line moved right before tipoff the game started.

wiseguy007 · 02-02-12, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

UPDATE: 8:30PM

Games to Watch 2/02/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +10 NOW +9 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1

YTD: 53-38-1 58%

ADDING

10:00pm 551 Utah State Aggies OPEN +8.5 NOW +7.5

garnetandblack · 02-02-12, 08:52 PM

Utah no longer a play. +10.5 on FSB

EDIT: See it opened at +11 and not +10

wiseguy007 · 02-02-12, 08:54 PM

update: 8:54pm

Games to Watch 2/02/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +11 NOW +10.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

10:00pm 551 Utah State Aggies OPEN +8.5 NOW +7.5

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1

YTD: 53-38-1 58%

Night-Tripper · 02-02-12, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Gonna try something a little different tonight...

Grizzlies +2.5/1H:275

Utah +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50
Ut State +4/1H:275
USC +3.5/1H:275
S. Carolina +8/1H:275
Pepperdine +6/1H:275
Marist +8.5/1H:275
Citadel +5.5 (-105)/1H:262.50

Utah State +267/200
Detroit +125/200
USC +245/300
UCLA +135/300
OR State +125/300
Citadel +9.5/385
S Carolina +14/385
Utah +10/385
Marist +15/385
Detroit +2.5/385
Pepperdine +10/495
Ut State +7.5/495
USC +7/495

Adding 200 to UCLA +135/total now 500

crockje · 02-02-12, 09:39 PM

Detriot game was just frustrating as hell

Laissez Faire · 02-02-12, 10:28 PM

Originally posted by crockje

Detriot game was just frustrating as hell

agreed

crockje · 02-02-12, 10:44 PM

Unreal hornets fall apart in 4th can't buy a break tonight

ToPHeR · 02-02-12, 10:47 PM

Bulls, Hornets, Mid Ten St all missing tonight for me so far...

R19 · 02-02-12, 11:59 PM

Gonna come down to the NBA for many.

ok just got back and turned on the Clipp's. Had to laugh seeing all their starters on the bench when they are down big in the fourth.

woah, was freaking with so much PAC12 and NBA. RLM System Plays put in another solid day. Book it.

Laissez Faire · 02-03-12, 02:21 AM

W/L RECORD FOR 2/2

NCAAB

7:30pm 521 Detroit Titans OPEN +3 NOW +2.5 LOSS

8:00pm 589 Marist Red Foxes OPEN +16.5 NOW +15 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) LOSS

9:00pm 535 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +15 NOW +14 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) WIN

9:00pm 541 Oregon State Beavers OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5 LOSS

9:00pm 540 Utah Utes OPEN +11 NOW +10.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) LOSS (so close)

10:00pm 551 Utah State Aggies OPEN +8.5 NOW +7.5 WIN

10:00pm 545 USC Trojans OPEN +7.5 NOW +6.5 LOSS (so close)

10:30pm 563 Pepperdine Waves OPEN +10 NOW +9.5 (NOT A PLAY UNDER NEW RULES) LOSS (so close)

NBA

8:35pm 505 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +10 NOW +9 LOSS

10:35pm 509 Denver Nuggets OPEN +2 NOW +1 WIN (outright win)

So, system went 3-7 on the night for all plays

and 2-4 for plays with adjusted parameters (NCAAB: < or = +/- 8; NBA: < or = +/- 11)

*3 of the losses could have been wins (or pushes)...missed the mark by 1/2 point.

R19 · 02-03-12, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

W/L RECORD FOR 2/2
...

So, system went 3-7 on the night for all plays

and 2-4 for plays with adjusted parameters (NCAAB: < or = +/- 8; NBA: < or = +/- 11)

*3 of the losses could have been wins (or pushes)...missed the mark by 1/2 point.

Those of us that are playing:
- Static Spread or Reverse Line Movement
- 3,000 Games or More Total
- Will take a game at 61% or 62% on a Discretionary Basis
- A Uniform Max Spread

had a big up day. Again, I can not emphasize the principle of percent line movement enough. Down at a low spread, even a static spread (the spread does not move at all since open) should mean a lot. In high spread games, a half point or even a point should not mean that much, but it is still Reverse Line Movement.

Also, I think taking a game here or there at 61% or 62% is not too much of a stretch if there are a lot of plays and good line movement.

I recommend everyone newer to the RLM System to go back to Page 1 and read this entire thread.

PAULYPOKER · 02-03-12, 10:10 AM

Denver closed at -1,which made them an absolute LOCK.............

You guys are playing way to many games too make this system work...........