RLM System Plays

[Night-Tripper]

Just added Pew Pew to my ignore list.

Me 2!

[Laissez Faire]

nice try dipshit but you DID just bragged about alabama you dumb fuuck
you just fuucking lectured about alabama's total sports history that's ever worth talking about in the last 100 years


look back my post and see if i ever bragged about ucla. don't be butt hurt over the internet brahhhh

take out that tampon that's stuck in yo vagina sonnnnn. maybe you wouldn't be so mad :<

people like this make me love my life even more...haha...i get to wake up and go shoot rick ross music video tomorrow and this dude will still be talkin about ucla...

on another note, hope everyone did alright tonight with their wagers

[Laissez Faire]

Cool! I ain't watched a hockey game in ages... but if there's money to be made while I'm sitting in front of the set... then I'm all for it. If you see any pucks that are worth playing via RLM... would you mind posting them here? I'm open to wager on hoops, pigskin and pucks... fully intend to take basaballa season off so that I can get ready for foosball.

no problem man...I will post any plays that catch my eye for NHL using the system. I have been watching the games on ice all this week and decided to finally pull the trigger on plays tonight...definitely worked out in my favor

also, I will be keeping track of my NHL plays so that we can determine if the system can be efficiently used in making hockey picks

[Night-Tripper]

no problem man...I will post any plays that catch my eye for NHL using the system. I have been watching the games on ice all this week and decided to finally pull the trigger on plays tonight...definitely worked out in my favor

also, I will be keeping track of my NHL plays so that we can determine if the system can be efficiently used in making hockey picks

[Pew Pew]

people like this make me love my life even more...haha...i get to wake up and go shoot rick ross music video tomorrow and this dude will still be talkin about ucla...

on another note, hope everyone did alright tonight with their wagers

ahhhhhh shiiiieeeeetttttt sonnnnnnnnn hanging out with morbidly obesed rick ross makes me sooooooo jellyyyyyy

[Pew Pew]

cuunt-tripper got some paranoid delusional followers

i'm surprised cuunt-tripper has the time to change his font color and size instead of looking at all the line movements that are happening!!

[Laissez Faire]

wow...just awoke from a phone call & decided to check hockey score of other game that I could have bet using modified RLM system for NHL...

Blue Jackets +1.5 WIN
Blue Jackets +180 WIN

ANOTHER 2 WINS...that means that system went 4-0 tonight for NHL....now that is interesting

*modification for NHL that I've noticed: static spreads are viewed as plays if ML is viewed as RLM play

[R19]

wow...just awoke from a phone call & decided to check hockey score of other game that I could have bet using modified RLM system for NHL...

Blue Jackets +1.5 WIN
Blue Jackets +180 WIN

ANOTHER 2 WINS...that means that system went 4-0 tonight for NHL....now that is interesting

*modification for NHL that I've noticed: static spreads are viewed as plays if ML is viewed as RLM play

Looking to review the past couple weeks. Last night wouldn't the LA Kings have been a play? I see the following were plays:
- NY Islanders (Did not meet 63%/37%)
- LA Kings
- Calgary Flames
- Columbus Blue Jackets

3-1 is a great result. Money line vig moves, but spreads looking like they stay put all the time. Maybe a combination of spread and money line position works best.

[staf]

Have back-tested NBA for this season. With at least .5 line movement, I'm getting 34-27 +4.3 units.
RLM started to take off about January 6th going 26-16 +8.4 units.
Static movement went 21-28 -9.8 units overall and 15-23 -10.3 units since January 6th.

[CTOWNsCAPPIN]

ahhhhhh shiiiieeeeetttttt sonnnnnnnnn hanging out with morbidly obesed rick ross makes me sooooooo jellyyyyyy

This right here verifies you are a f\*g. So, and I'll use your words on this one, go play with your lego's now BRO.

[crockje]

Have back-tested NBA for this season. With at least .5 line movement, I'm getting 34-27 +4.3 units. RLM started to take off about January 6th going 26-16 +8.4 units. Static movement went 21-28 -9.8 units overall and 15-23 -10.3 units since January 6th.

Thanks for info staf. What parameters were you using?

[R19]

Have back-tested NBA for this season. With at least .5 line movement, I'm getting 34-27 +4.3 units.
RLM started to take off about January 6th going 26-16 +8.4 units.
Static movement went 21-28 -9.8 units overall and 15-23 -10.3 units since January 6th.

The value of spreads are a big factor.

I will be playing my approach to RLM System tight today. Lots of games scheduled, but let's see what fits. If the game doesn't fit then next.

[staf]

Thanks for info staf. What parameters were you using?

The numbers from my last post were just using 63% and 3000 bets.

Using a maximum spread of 8, I get 26-17 +7.3 units overall and 20-9 +10.1 units since January 6th.

Using a maximum spread of 11, I get 32-22 +7.8 units overall and 24-11 +11.9 units since January 6th.

[R19]

The numbers from my last post were just using 63% and 3000 bets.

Using a maximum spread of 8, I get 26-17 +7.3 units overall and 20-9 +10.1 units since January 6th.

Using a maximum spread of 11, I get 32-22 +7.8 units overall and 24-11 +11.9 units since January 6th.

Thanks for the analysis. What about these stats on Static Spread + Reverse Line Movement vs. Reverse Line Movement?

Also, are you using > 3,000 Total Plays or > 3,000 by at least one team?

[staf]

Thanks for the analysis. What about these stats on Static Spread + Reverse Line Movement vs. Reverse Line Movement?

Also, are you using > 3,000 Total Plays or > 3,000 by at least one team?

At least 3000 bets on the team with 63% of the bets.

Here's my spreadsheets for the back-tested NBA season and part of the NHL season.
For NHL I faded a team with at least 3000 bets on the their moneyline, with at least 63% of the bets, and their line moved in their favor.
I've abandoned back-testing the NHL as the favorites have been winning at such an uncharacteristically high rate this season, it doesn't look like RLM would have worked.

[R19]

At least 3000 bets on the team with 63% of the bets.

Here's my spreadsheets for the back-tested NBA season and part of the NHL season.
For NHL I faded a team with at least 3000 bets on the their moneyline, with at least 63% of the bets, and their line moved in their favor.
I've abandoned back-testing the NHL as the favorites have been winning at such an uncharacteristically high rate this season, it doesn't look like RLM would have worked.

Many of us are playing > 3,000 Total Plays.

Ok, starting with last night. It looks like you marked Miami Heat as a win and the play was Philadelphia 76er's which was a loss. You also marked Minnesota Timberwolves which was not a play. I don't think you are applying the RLM System correctly. The good news is you have the data very organized to review.

[crockje]

At least 3000 bets on the team with 63% of the bets. Here's my spreadsheets for the back-tested NBA season and part of the NHL season. For NHL I faded a team with at least 3000 bets on the their moneyline, with at least 63% of the bets, and their line moved in their favor. I've abandoned back-testing the NHL as the favorites have been winning at such an uncharacteristically high rate this season, it doesn't look like RLM would have worked.

Thanks again staf good info. I think im with you and r19 tightening it up even more today and going forward. Staf noticed that last night you marked heat as play when it should have been sixers?

[staf]

Many of us are playing > 3,000 Total Plays.

Ok, starting with last night. It looks like you marked Miami Heat as a win and the play was Philadelphia 76er's which was a loss.

The data on the NBA spreadsheet is in relation to the team that's being faded.
The records at the top are correct as they count l as a win and w as a loss.

[crockje]

The value of spreads are a big factor. I will be playing my approach to RLM System tight today. Lots of games scheduled, but let's see what fits. If the game doesn't fit then next.

not much to work with today until 2pm will keep an eye on lines

[wiseguy007]

RECORD UPDATE

NCAAB

NO PLAYS YET

NBA

7:05pm 802 Philadelphia 76ers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 L



YTD: 56-46-1

[wiseguy007]

UPDATE

Games to Watch 2/04/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement. (CHANGING LINES TO WATCH STATIC TO .5PT RLM & UP)

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER



NCAAB

12:00pm 531 Detroit Titans OPEN +4 NOW +3.5



NBA


YTD: 56-46-1

[Reno Gambler]

Just looked at this thread. Very interesting, Since I don't know much about betting BB,I will followfor awhile.
Thanks for the hard work.

[Laissez Faire]

got some down time on set of this music video...

12:00 plays using my version of RLM system

CBB

Detroit Titans +3.5 (opened at +4)

Detroit Titans +130 1st half (opened at +132)

Detroit Titans +150 (opened at +165)

La Salle +1 1st half (opened at +1.5)

La Salle +120 (opened at +130)

[R19]

got some down time on set of this music video...

12:00 plays using my version of RLM system

CBB

Detroit Titans +3.5 (opened at +4)

Detroit Titans +130 1st half (opened at +132)

Detroit Titans +150 (opened at +165)

La Salle +1 1st half (opened at +1.5)

La Salle +120 (opened at +130)

Looking forward to seeing how these advanced plays work out.

[Laissez Faire]

saw this was just taking up space so I deleted it

[R19]

Laissez Faire, can you check my NHL note from earlier today? I started to look back at previous days and want to confirm the approach you're using. Thanks.

[R19]

Wisconsin-Milwaukee - SBR, The RX, Odds Shark all have the open at Pick, but Free Sports has +2. This is a big difference.

[Laissez Faire]

Looking to review the past couple weeks. Last night wouldn't the LA Kings have been a play? I see the following were plays:
- NY Islanders (Did not meet 63%/37%)
- LA Kings
- Calgary Flames
- Columbus Blue Jackets

3-1 is a great result. Money line vig moves, but spreads looking like they stay put all the time. Maybe a combination of spread and money line position works best.

Yes, the Kings were a play last night as well. I only put money down on Islanders last night.

I agree with you 100% that the strongest plays using this system for NHL come as a result of betting static spreads when money lines fall into RLM system (and betting money line too if you prefer)

So the Kings would have won spread last night, but not the ML. I will take that because I always put less units on my ML's., so that game would have still been a profit for me.

[Laissez Faire]

Wisconsin-Milwaukee - SBR, The RX, Odds Shark all have the open at Pick, but Free Sports has +2. This is a big difference.

that is big difference..thanks for pointing out to me...i'm doing these inbetween scenes for this music video, so I might have missed some things. Please let me know of any errors you may find. Thanks R19

[R19]

that is big difference..thanks for pointing out to me...i'm doing these inbetween scenes for this music video, so I might have missed some things. Please let me know of any errors you may find. Thanks R19

I was deciding on whether to play and I did not.

Arizona vs. Stanford is another one. Some sites have 3.5 as the opening and others including Free Sports have 3.0.

[Laissez Faire]

I was deciding on whether to play and I did not.

Arizona vs. Stanford is another one. Some sites have 3.5 as the opening and others including Free Sports have 3.0.

what are your thoughts on this game? I know that it's not an RLM play, but just wanted to see where your head was at

I'm definitely interested in seeing how the Wildcats play after that win @ Cal

[R19]

Laissez Faire, are you playing NHL today? I did not look until now and there are early games. I want to monitor today and see how it goes.

So if I understand correctly:
- Moneyline 63%/37% or greater
- Moneyline is Static or Reverse Movement on Vig
- Play the team the public does not favor
- Play the spread and possibly the moneyline smaller

[consultant21]

Wiseguy how often will you be updating this throughout the day? Any more games that qualify?

[R19]

what are your thoughts on this game? I know that it's not an RLM play, but just wanted to see where your head was at

I'm definitely interested in seeing how the Wildcats play after that win @ Cal

IDK, looking at Odds Shark's match up it sounds like the Cats do well against Stanford. Staying off it though I want to play. The RX also has 3.0 as the open.

[garnetandblack]

3:00pm 531 Penn State Nittany Lions OPEN +7 NOW +6
4:00pm 577 Clemson Tigers OPEN +4.5 NOW +3