RLM System Plays

DonWon · 02-01-12, 12:23 AM

La goes hard for the first half and gives up the second half. Hilarious.

DonWon · 02-01-12, 12:39 AM

Originally posted by DonWon

La goes hard for the first half and gives up the second half. Hilarious.

Charlotte sucks. Thank god I stayed off this. Big college card tomorrow. Can't wait to see the picks.

detroitigerz · 02-01-12, 11:13 AM

Just to let everyone know.... I will be keeping up and maintaining the spreadsheet that started on 1/21 everyday, so maybe weekly I will post in here the results of how each option is doing. I personally am going to FOR NOW stick to under 7.5 spread, 63% or greater, min 3000 bets, and am also going to incorporate my statistics spreadsheet which has possessions per game/points per possession/true shooting percentage/effective field goal percentage etc... See if I can't use the numbers a little bit. Probably going to scan for games that sharps are on... (with RLM) and then determine which ones I'm going to actually bet after looking at the two teams statistics.

ToPHeR · 02-01-12, 11:33 AM

Tracking:

Thunder/Dallas so far

MK2004 · 02-01-12, 12:16 PM

For NCAA:
UCONN OPEN AT +3.5, NOW IS +2.5, 66% FOR THE HOYAS.

dotheopposite · 02-01-12, 12:28 PM

RLM on the Ohio vs N. Illinois..97% public on Ohio with points and spread has dropped to 15. N. Illinois is the play

dotheopposite · 02-01-12, 12:30 PM

RLM on the Fordham vs Temple..81% taking Temple line now 17

ToPHeR · 02-01-12, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by dotheopposite

RLM on the Ohio vs N. Illinois..97% public on Ohio with points and spread has dropped to 15. N. Illinois is the play

Originally posted by dotheopposite

RLM on the Fordham vs Temple..81% taking Temple line now 17

Both of these are below the 3000 bet threshold

FadeThat · 02-01-12, 12:37 PM

Looks like there is gonna be a ton of RLM plays today for some reason.

southpaw74 · 02-01-12, 12:41 PM

I think it's just too early in the day to really know what's going on.

dotheopposite · 02-01-12, 12:41 PM

where do u find how many bets have been made. I usually wait until mid-day to check for RLM and right before game time. The 2 I posted are just the trends..pretty heavy swings in opposition of the public even if they did correct somewhat

R19 · 02-01-12, 12:52 PM

Originally posted by dotheopposite

where do u find how many bets have been made. I usually wait until mid-day to check for RLM and right before game time. The 2 I posted are just the trends..pretty heavy swings in opposition of the public even if they did correct somewhat

Free Sports Bet. Check the first pages of the thread where Night-Tripper outlined the strategy.

wiseguy007 · 02-01-12, 02:18 PM

UPDATE RECORD AS OF 1/31/12

NCAAB

8:00pm 523 Southern Illinois Salukis OPEN +13 NOW +11.5 W

8:00pm 529 Seton Hall Pirates OPEN +9 NOW +8 W

NBA

10:35pm 513 Charlotte Bobcats OPEN +13.5 NOW +12.5 L

RECORD FOR 1/31/12: 2-1

YTD: 48-30-1 61%

ToPHeR · 02-01-12, 02:21 PM

CBB

SDSU/Boise State opened at +13. Down to +11
IL State/ Creighton opened at +12. Down to +10.5
Toldeo/Akron opened at +14.5. Down to +12.5
NC Charlotte/La Salle opened at +10.5. Down to +9.5
UCONN/G Town opened at +3.5. Down to +2.5

NBA

None

wiseguy007 · 02-01-12, 02:33 PM

UPDATE:

Games to Watch 2/01/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 751 NC Charlotte 49ers OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5

7:00pm 727 Connecticut Huskies OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5

7:00pm 755 Toledo Rockets OPEN +14.5 NOW +12.5

8:00pm 779 Illinois State Redbirds OPEN +12 NOW +10.5

10:15pm 799 Boise State Broncos OPEN +13 NOW +11

NBA

NO PLAYS

YTD: 48-30-1 61%

ToPHeR · 02-01-12, 02:38 PM

Wiseguy,

why not NC Charlotte or IL State?

wiseguy007 · 02-01-12, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by ToPHeR

Wiseguy,

why not NC Charlotte or IL State?

Sorry I missed them, thanks

MK2004 · 02-01-12, 05:00 PM

Bradley line is now +3 and it open at +3.5, with a 82% on evansville. Is this considerer a big play?

southpaw74 · 02-01-12, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by MK2004

Bradley line is now +3 and it open at +3.5, with a 82% on evansville. Is this considerer a big play?

I thought Evansville went from -3 to -3.5. That would be proper movement.

Laissez Faire · 02-01-12, 05:31 PM

games I'm looking at

st. joe's +1.5 (opened +2)

Fordham +17 (opened at 19.5)

Rhode Island +3.5 (opened at +4)

George Washington +5.5 (opened at +6)

Georgia tech +12 (opened at +14.5)

Duquesne +4 (opened at +5)

Northeastern +4 (opened at +5)

NC Charlotte +9.5 (opened at 10.5)

Toledo +12.5 (opened at 14.5)

SMU +4 (opened at 4.5)

Illinois St. +10.5 (opened at +12)

Georgia +1.5 (opened at +2)

Boise St. +11 (opened at +13)

Colorado St +14 (opened at +15)

Laissez Faire · 02-01-12, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

7:00pm 727 Connecticut Huskies OPEN +3.5 NOW +2.5

Is this a play even though not 63%?

Laissez Faire · 02-01-12, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by MK2004

Bradley line is now +3 and it open at +3.5, with a 82% on evansville. Is this considerer a big play?

I believe this is no play (correct me if I'm wrong). To be a play, the line should have moved from +3 to +2.5 for Bradley. The line movement favored Evansville, which is already the favorite, so no play

Laissez Faire · 02-01-12, 05:50 PM

I have noticed that this system churns out plays for underdogs to cover, but I was wondering if a situation were to ever arise in which a favorite would actually become a play using this system. Tonight I have found that game in OKC vs Dallas.

Dallas opened as 1.5 point favorites, but now are just 1 point favorites (.5 line movement....check)

The public (71%) is betting with OKC, who is an underdog of 1 point. (public betting against team for play & at least 63%...check)

3,000 bets...check

THEREFORE, I think that Dallas -1 (or Dallas pk if that's what your book offers) would be a play tonight. Let me know if my logic is correct.

crockje · 02-01-12, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

Is this a play even though not 63%?

use freesportsbet.com 66% is on georgetown it is a play on uconn

wiseguy007 · 02-01-12, 05:52 PM

UPDATE

Games to Watch 2/01/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 736 Rhode Island Rams OPEN +4 NOW +3.5

7:00pm 738 George Washington Colonials OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

7:00pm 739 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets OPEN +14.5 NOW +12.5

7:00pm 741 Duquesne Dukes OPEN +5 NOW +4

7:00pm 751 NC Charlotte 49ers OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5

7:00pm 755 Toledo Rockets OPEN +14.5 NOW +12.5

8:00pm 779 Illinois State Redbirds OPEN +12 NOW +10.5

10:15pm 799 Boise State Broncos OPEN +13 NOW +11

10:30pm 801 Colorado State Rams OPEN +15 NOW +14.5

NBA

NO PLAYS

YTD: 48-30-1 61%

crockje · 02-01-12, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

I have noticed that this system churns out plays for underdogs to cover, but I was wondering if a situation were to ever arise in which a favorite would actually become a play using this system. Tonight I have found that game in OKC vs Dallas. Dallas opened as 1.5 point favorites, but now are just 1 point favorites (.5 line movement....check) The public (71%) is betting with OKC, who is an underdog of 1 point. (public betting against team for play & at least 63%...check) 3,000 bets...check THEREFORE, I think that Dallas -1 (or Dallas pk if that's what your book offers) would be a play tonight. Let me know if my logic is correct.

yes this would be a play

crockje · 02-01-12, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by crockje

use freesportsbet.com 66% is on georgetown it is a play on uconn

I take that back down to 55% g town

garnetandblack · 02-01-12, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by crockje

yes this would be a play

that wouldn't be a play. That line is moving in the proper direction. With the majority of the money on the underdog the line would need to go to -2 or higher on Dallas to be a RLM right?

crockje · 02-01-12, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by garnetandblack

that wouldn't be a play. That line is moving in the proper direction.

how do you figure line opened at +1.5 down to +1 yet 71% is on okl? How is that not a play?

If 71% of money is on okl then spread should have gone to +2 for dallas

garnetandblack · 02-01-12, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by crockje

how do you figure line opened at +1.5 down to +1 yet 71% is on okl? How is that not a play?

If 71% of money is on okl then spread should have gone to +2 for dallas

Dallas opened up at -1.5 and it is now -1.

convick · 02-01-12, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by crockje

how do you figure line opened at +1.5 down to +1 yet 71% is on okl? How is that not a play?

If 71% of money is on okl then spread should have gone to +2 for dallas

Dallas actually opened at -1.5, and it is now -1. It is not a play.

Note that 71% of the bets being on OKC does not indicate the money is on them. Other side might have more "money" but less bets.

southpaw74 · 02-01-12, 06:12 PM

This may be a little confusing but it's simple to. Just look at the numbers twice before posting a question. Bets are on okc and they went from +1.5 to +1. That is normal so no RLM and no play for this system. That shouldn't be hard to figure out.

crockje · 02-01-12, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by garnetandblack

Dallas opened up at -1.5 and it is now -1.

Originally posted by convick

Dallas actually opened at -1.5, and it is now -1. It is not a play. Note that 71% of the bets being on OKC does not indicate the money is on them. Other side might have more "money" but less bets.

Wow sorry about that guys you are correct long day at work. I glanced quickly at it and I thought dallas opened at +1.5......Thanks for correcting me

crockje · 02-01-12, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by southpaw74

This may be a little confusing but it's simple to. Just look at the numbers twice before posting a question. Bets are on okc and they went from +1.5 to +1. That is normal so no RLM and no play for this system. That shouldn't be hard to figure out.

Just misread team getting points I understand how rlm works sorry about that

Laissez Faire · 02-01-12, 06:19 PM

thank you for the correction guys...my mistake...i see that my other plays were ok so I'm getting the hang of things...thanks again for answering question