RLM System Plays

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

Okay thanks!

Decided to put a little money on new orleans tonight
BOL all! Excited to try this out!

Main thing is this... don't be discouraged if we go 2-2 or 1-3... that's gonna happen.. but wiseguy has had us on one nice run in the past two days.

**scottsins** · 01-30-12, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Main thing is this... don't be discouraged if we go 2-2 or 1-3... that's gonna happen.. but wiseguy has had us on one nice run in the past two days.

Truth. If you play a system or tail a good capper, you can't bet a few of their picks. You'll get burned and declare the system awful, when its hitting a high % over time over a lot of games.

**crockje** · 01-30-12, 07:44 PM

damn my degenerate ass had to bet princeton also needed more action lol

**detroitigerz** · 01-30-12, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Main thing is this... don't be discouraged if we go 2-2 or 1-3... that's gonna happen.. but wiseguy has had us on one nice run in the past two days.

True I totally understand.... been toying around with a few different systems of myself. mostly statistical analysis and such but not much luck.

**R19** · 01-30-12, 07:54 PM

Looking at Northern Arizona, but it just can't get to 63%/37%.

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by ToPHeR

Night are you playing any ML?

Don't feel good about it... but I've just put 200 on Pistons @ +275.

Whatever you do... stay within your comfort zone... don't go berserk... this is a long season.

**detroitigerz** · 01-30-12, 08:20 PM

Did anyone take the Clippers game?

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

Did anyone take the Clippers game?

Yep... Clippers, Hornets, Pistons and Texas.

Clippers, Hornets and Pistons are/were official plays. Pretty sure that Texas is also.

**convick** · 01-30-12, 08:27 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

Did anyone take the Clippers game?

I am on the fence. Fukk it, I am pulling the trigger on this one.

**wiseguy007** · 01-30-12, 08:32 PM

Games to Watch 1/30/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

**(NEXT TO EACH GAME IS MY PROJECTED LINE FOR THE GAME)**

NCAAB

7:00pm 747 Western Carolina Catamounts OPEN +9 NOW +8.5

9:00pm 746 Texas Longhorns OPEN -1 NOW -1.5

NBA

7:35pm 705 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13 NOW +11.5 (MIA -10)

8:05pm 707 Detroit Pistons OPEN +7.5 NOW +7.5 **NO PLAY** (MIL -11)

10:35pm 718 Los Angeles Clippers OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 (OKC -3)

YTD: 45-26-1 63%

**detroitigerz** · 01-30-12, 08:38 PM

Question.... Why was Austin Peay not considered in RLM tonight?

**CheckYaPulse** · 01-30-12, 08:46 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

Question.... Why was Austin Peay not considered in RLM tonight?

Austin Peay opened at +2 and receiving 29% of public bets. The spread closed at Austin Peay +3. The line would have to move to +1.5 for it to be considered RLM.

**scottsins** · 01-30-12, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

Question.... Why was Austin Peay not considered in RLM tonight?

Because the line movement was seeking more $ on AP, who had a minority of the bets.

**detroitigerz** · 01-30-12, 08:50 PM

Originally posted by CheckYaPulse

Austin Peay opened at +2 and receiving 29% of public bets. The spread closed at Austin Peay +3. The line would have to move to +1.5 for it to be considered RLM.

Oh okay that definitely makes sense haha sorry I'll get the hang of it.

**CheckYaPulse** · 01-30-12, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by detroitigerz

Oh okay that definitely makes sense haha sorry I'll get the hang of it.

No worries. Just keep asking questions if you're confused. That's how you'll learn.

**Sourbumpy** · 01-30-12, 08:55 PM

Texas?

**Romanov** · 01-30-12, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by Sourbumpy

Texas?

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by Sourbumpy

Texas?

As a former Red Raider, it kills me to say this... but... *Hook Em*

**ToPHeR** · 01-30-12, 08:59 PM

dropped to -1

**Romanov** · 01-30-12, 09:02 PM

Originally posted by ToPHeR

dropped to -1

at -110/+100, could still tick up

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by ToPHeR

dropped to -1

Longhorns are tough in the Erwin Center... and the bongs will be out in force.

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 09:11 PM

If you're really wanting to gamble... don't stray to far from your computer and be ready to hit the Live Line on either the Texas or Clipper game. I never ever play a moneyline favorite... but I will play them if they get behind by 5-9 (as mentioned earlier). Anyway, should the Clippers or Longhorns get down by 5-9 by no later than five minutes into the third quarter... be ready to pounce.

**Rose'** · 01-30-12, 09:28 PM

Why is Clippers a play

**MK2004** · 01-30-12, 09:40 PM

What is up with the Hornets, they're down big.

**FadeThat** · 01-30-12, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by MK2004

What is up with the Hornets, they're down big.

Happens sometimes with the big favorites. They were hanging well until the 3rd.

**MK2004** · 01-30-12, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by FadeThat

Happens sometimes with the big favorites. They were hanging well until the 3rd.

True.

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 09:48 PM

Texas +180 for 300

**CallMeMrOMac** · 01-30-12, 09:50 PM

I like how you changed Mil/Det to "no play" once you saw the score.

It was on your board all day until, shockingly, 8:32 pm (end of first Q).

:::awaits "Percentages fell right at the buzzer..." reply:::

**FadeThat** · 01-30-12, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac

I like how you changed Mil/Det to "no play" once you saw the score.

It was on your board all day until, shockingly, 8:32 pm (end of first Q).

It shouldn't have been a play in the first place, the line moved back to what it opened at.

They typically post them earlier, but it's not on them to be right up on it. They give you the guidelines, you stick to them as strict or as loose as you want, it's on you.

**CallMeMrOMac** · 01-30-12, 09:55 PM

Hey, I went with Milwaukee. If the line did move back, then I excuse the deletion. But just seemed strange how at one point it was the only pick then all off a sudden disappeared.

Milwaukee seemed like the easy choice the whole time, it stood out to me. Perhaps I was too judgmental.

**garnetandblack** · 01-30-12, 09:57 PM

Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac

I like how you changed Mil/Det to "no play" once you saw the score.

It was on your board all day until, shockingly, 8:32 pm (end of first Q).

:::awaits "Percentages fell right at the buzzer..." reply:::

may want to look back a page or two and not look like a complete douche, but wait you've already done that!

**CheckYaPulse** · 01-30-12, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by CallMeMrOMac

I like how you changed Mil/Det to "no play" once you saw the score.

It was on your board all day until, shockingly, 8:32 pm (end of first Q).

:::awaits "Percentages fell right at the buzzer..." reply:::

Lol.... He posted it as a NO PLAY at 6:44PM.... Go back to previous posts...

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by FadeThat

It shouldn't have been a play in the first place, the line moved back to what it opened at.

They typically post them earlier, but it's not on them to be right up on it. They give you the guidelines, you stick to them as strict or as loose as you want, it's on you.

Thank you for pointing out the obvious to this imbecile. How we determine plays is not a secret.. and neither wiseguy or myself are going to sit at the computer pulling/putting games in and out of play. I thought we were all grownups and could determine if the betting percentages or lines had moved unfavorably and caused a game to be a no-play.

Once again... thanks for pointing out the obvious.

**Night-Tripper** · 01-30-12, 10:04 PM

Originally posted by CheckYaPulse

Lol.... He posted it as a NO PLAY at 6:44PM.... Go back to previous posts...

**southpaw74** · 01-30-12, 10:04 PM

Originally posted by Rose'

Why is Clippers a play

because it fits the system perfectly. 68% on okc all day yet the line went from -2.5 to -2. What else is there to know?