RLM System Plays

chinoloco212 · 01-25-12, 03:32 PM

saint louis, georgia st, south carolina

Liking Saint Louis ALOT

wiseguy007 · 01-25-12, 04:42 PM

UPDATE FOR 1/24/12

NCAAB

9:00pm 558 Georgia Bulldogs OPEN +12.5 NOW +12 L

8:30pm 556 Wyoming Cowboys OPEN +1 NOW -2.5 NO PLAY

7:00pm 542 Purdue Boilermakers open -4.5 now -5 L

1/24/12: 0-2

YTD: 15-14-1

wiseguy007 · 01-25-12, 04:53 PM

Games to Watch 1/25/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using only opening Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to our book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 773 Saint Louis Billikens OPEN +3 NOW +1.5

8:00pm 808 Drake Bulldogs OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

NBA

8:05pm 711 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13.5 NOW +12.5

8:05pm 713 Milwaukee Bucks OPEN +5 NOW +4.5

8:35pm 717 Minnesota Timberwolves OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

9:05pm 719 Toronto Raptors OPEN +11 NOW +10

YTD: 15-14-1

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

Games to Watch 1/25/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using only opening Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to our book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 773 Saint Louis Billikens OPEN +3 NOW +1.5

8:00pm 808 Drake Bulldogs OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

NBA

8:05pm 711 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13.5 NOW +12.5

8:05pm 713 Milwaukee Bucks OPEN +5 NOW +4.5

8:35pm 717 Minnesota Timberwolves OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

9:05pm 719 Toronto Raptors OPEN +11 NOW +10

YTD: 15-14-1

Thanks for keeping track of this. Last night flat-out sucked... but that's why they call it gambling.

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 05:27 PM

Gonna see if I can give lots of money back tonight...

George Washington
St. Louis
Drake
South Carolina
Auburn
Colorado State
Western Michigan
Hornets
Bucks
T-Wolves
Raptors

Malloy2 · 01-25-12, 05:30 PM

george washington, indiana state, western mich, rice (needs a few more bets), south carolina, auburn, colo state would all fit the bill as well. so many games, gonna cap them myself and pick the best ones because i could go broke in one night lol

sorry night trip beat me to it

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by Malloy2

george washington, indiana state, western mich, rice (needs a few more bets), south carolina, auburn, colo state would all fit the bill as well. so many games, gonna cap them myself and pick the best ones because i could go broke in one night lol

sorry night trip beat me to it

Thanks for letting me know that Indiana State finally got above 3,000 bets.

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Gonna see if I can give lots of money back tonight...

George Washington +9.5
St. Louis +1.5
Drake +5.5
South Carolina +5
Auburn +9.5
Colorado State +11.5
Western Michigan +10
Hornets +12.5
Bucks +4.5
T-Wolves +5.5
Raptors +10

Adding Indiana State +1

Malloy2 · 01-25-12, 06:02 PM

scoresandodds says 81% of action is on western mich side fwiw

wiseguy007 · 01-25-12, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Thanks for keeping track of this. Last night flat-out sucked... but that's why they call it gambling.

Sure thing.

wiseguy007 · 01-25-12, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

Games to Watch 1/25/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using only opening Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to our book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 773 Saint Louis Billikens OPEN +3 NOW +1.5

8:00pm 808 Drake Bulldogs OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

NBA

8:05pm 711 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13.5 NOW +12.5

8:05pm 713 Milwaukee Bucks OPEN +5 NOW +4.5

8:35pm 717 Minnesota Timberwolves OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

9:05pm 719 Toronto Raptors OPEN +11 NOW +10

YTD: 15-14-1

ADDING

8:00pm 816 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6 NOW +5

7:00pm 763 George Washington Colonials OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5

9:00pm 825 Auburn Tigers OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 09:26 PM

Originally posted by Malloy2

scoresandodds says 81% of action is on western mich side fwiw

The site I'm/we're using said that 65% of the bets were on Ohio.

Good thing too, because WMU just covered.

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 09:27 PM

Can't control in-game injuries to studs... liable to cost us/me the Bucks game.

Night-Tripper · 01-25-12, 09:59 PM

Not an official play, but I've got a hankering to gamble a little tonight.

Kings +6 @ -105 for 472.50
Kings +220 for 250

Night-Tripper · 01-26-12, 12:22 AM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

Games to Watch 1/25/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using only opening Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to our book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 773 Saint Louis Billikens OPEN +3 NOW +1.5

8:00pm 808 Drake Bulldogs OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

NBA

8:05pm 711 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13.5 NOW +12.5

8:05pm 713 Milwaukee Bucks OPEN +5 NOW +4.5

8:35pm 717 Minnesota Timberwolves OPEN +6 NOW +5.5

9:05pm 719 Toronto Raptors OPEN +11 NOW +10

YTD: 15-14-1

Originally posted by wiseguy007

ADDING

8:00pm 816 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6 NOW +5

7:00pm 763 George Washington Colonials OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5

9:00pm 825 Auburn Tigers OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5

Looks like a 7-2 night to me,,, good job!

Night-Tripper · 01-26-12, 12:23 AM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Not an official play, but I've got a hankering to gamble a little tonight.

Kings +6 @ -105 for 472.50
Kings +220 for 250

Needs to leave my hankering in the closet...

Night-Tripper · 01-26-12, 12:27 AM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Gonna see if I can give lots of money back tonight...

George Washington
St. Louis
Drake
South Carolina
Auburn
Colorado State
Western Michigan
Hornets
Bucks
T-Wolves
Raptors

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Adding Indiana State +1

9-3 for me... minus my hankering on the Kings.

southpaw74 · 01-26-12, 12:40 AM

Nice calls night...I stayed low today. Just didn't feel good about it.

Night-Tripper · 01-26-12, 12:47 AM

Originally posted by southpaw74

Nice calls night...I stayed low today. Just didn't feel good about it.

Not a problem... give us a shout tomorrow.

I knew that we were due for an azz kicking sooner or later... just didn't know when. I figured that after last night, people were gonna be gun shy and I'm sure there were people that were laughing their azz off.

I loved tonights card... just shoulda left my hankering in the hamper.

Besides, nights like last night are why I basically stick to base betting... all plays are equal. If it wasn't for the fact that I am going to be up all night, I wouldn't have messed with the Kings.

R19 · 01-26-12, 02:18 AM

I just analyzed my plays on RLM since Saturday looking for improved performance by eliminating games with high spreads only and will look to play NCAAB or NBA games where the spread is less than 8 at wager time regardless of qualifying line movement. If the spread is greater than 8 there should be some BIG line movement. Over time I plan to refine further and concentrate on line movement.

I recommend analyzing line movement in terms of percent movement. That is why I believe a lot of games with high spreads and static or minor line movements do not work out.

I am excited to proceed forward because I see a direct correlation between restricting high spread games and increasing winning percentage. Yes I am mining the data, but yes, I view this as statistically significant because I have not been handicapping these games other than the NFL Conference Championships and profited from those plays as they were in line with the RLM.

PLUS, I am so sick of seeing huge dogs in games getting trounced. Like tonight Richmond over Fordham 102-58 or Memphis over Rice 73-51. There are high schools in the tri-state that could probably do better. To hell with that BS. And I have had enough since the weekend with Lang and Quinn fades getting run over. Probably will drop that as well.

therocket · 01-26-12, 02:43 AM

Nice to see some successfull RLMing.

wiseguy007 · 01-26-12, 12:49 PM

UPDATE 1/25/12:

NCAAB

7:00pm 773 Saint Louis Billikens OPEN +3 NOW +1.5 W

7:00pm 763 George Washington Colonials OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5 L

8:00pm 808 Drake Bulldogs OPEN +6 NOW +5.5 L

8:00pm 816 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6 NOW +5 W

9:00pm 825 Auburn Tigers OPEN +10.5 NOW +9.5 W

NBA

8:05pm 711 New Orleans Hornets OPEN +13.5 NOW +11.5 W

8:05pm 713 Milwaukee Bucks OPEN +5 NOW +4.5 W

8:35pm 717 Minnesota Timberwolves OPEN +6 NOW +5.5 W

9:05pm 719 Toronto Raptors OPEN +11 NOW +10 W

1/25/12: 7-2

YTD: 22-16-1 58%

crockje · 01-26-12, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by R19

I just analyzed my plays on RLM since Saturday looking for improved performance by eliminating games with high spreads only and will look to play NCAAB or NBA games where the spread is less than 8 at wager time regardless of qualifying line movement. If the spread is greater than 8 there should be some BIG line movement. Over time I plan to refine further and concentrate on line movement. I recommend analyzing line movement in terms of percent movement. That is why I believe a lot of games with high spreads and static or minor line movements do not work out. I am excited to proceed forward because I see a direct correlation between restricting high spread games and increasing winning percentage. Yes I am mining the data, but yes, I view this as statistically significant because I have not been handicapping these games other than the NFL Conference Championships and profited from those plays as they were in line with the RLM. PLUS, I am so sick of seeing huge dogs in games getting trounced. Like tonight Richmond over Fordham 102-58 or Memphis over Rice 73-51. There are high schools in the tri-state that could probably do better. To hell with that BS. And I have had enough since the weekend with Lang and Quinn fades getting run over. Probably will drop that as well.

Im with you on this one I have gotten pounded so I sat out last night also and was best night of rlm

. I think we have to get it too a point where we are having 7-2 days on a consistant basis. Right now now the system is hitting about 58% over a 40 game cap. So it has a lot of potential. Thanks to everyone that is and has been giving feedback. I believe if we continue to work together this system will be easy money!

wiseguy007 · 01-26-12, 12:54 PM

Games to Watch 1/26/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using only opening Lines from

http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them

to our book.

NCAAB

7:00pm 543 Nebraska Cornhuskers OPEN +6.5 NOW +4.5

7:00pm 546 Mississippi Rebels OPEN +6 NOW +5

11:00pm 596 Portland Pilots OPEN +15.5 NOW +15

YTD: 22-16-1 58%

Tower · 01-26-12, 02:03 PM

Great job last night, good info in here.

Night-Tripper · 01-26-12, 05:56 PM

Due to schedule, I'm placing these now...
Nebraska
Mississippi
Cal Riverside
Cal State Northridge
USC
Portland

R19 · 01-26-12, 06:17 PM

Looking:
NCAAB - Nebraska, Miss, CS Northridge, USC. (Didn't look at WI GBay right)
NBA - Nothing

Need more volume on last 2 and RLM on USC. Not playing if spread is above 8.

R19 · 01-26-12, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by crockje

Im with you on this one I have gotten pounded so I sat out last night also and was best night of rlm

. I think we have to get it too a point where we are having 7-2 days on a consistant basis. Right now now the system is hitting about 58% over a 40 game cap. So it has a lot of potential. Thanks to everyone that is and has been giving feedback. I believe if we continue to work together this system will be easy money!

Definitely. wiseguy007 and Night-Tripper. What do you think about setting a max spread to qualify? I reviewed since Saturday and I believe that there is a correlation.

6:30 PM ET. And open to suggestions from everyone. Let's get this moving target dialed in and keep working on it.

robinhood · 01-26-12, 06:24 PM

Nebraska is the textbook example of this system. I also like the over because it's a very uncomfortable bet and most are on the under.

Have to get out of your comfort zone to beat this game.

CheckYaPulse · 01-26-12, 06:27 PM

I think Nebraska is a large play tonight

CheckYaPulse · 01-26-12, 06:29 PM

What do you guys think about Montana Grizzlies? Opened at -1, 70% of the public on Montana, and the line's currently at +1.

R19 · 01-26-12, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by robinhood

Nebraska is the textbook example of this system. I also like the over because it's a very uncomfortable bet and most are on the under.

Have to get out of your comfort zone to beat this game.

What do you think about reported number of bets on these games on Over/Under? If these 'bets' stats have any validity, not many playing Over/Unders. Does it increase substantially in the tournament?

R19 · 01-26-12, 06:36 PM

Originally posted by CheckYaPulse

What do you guys think about Montana Grizzlies? Opened at -1, 70% of the public on Montana, and the line's currently at +1.

IDK, some are playing > 3,000 bets on at least one side as posted. This is not even > 3,000 bets between the two teams in total according to Free Sports.

moshi · 01-26-12, 06:46 PM

What about wisc/indy? Opens at -7 wisc with 70+% on indy yet the line moves to -8?!?

robinhood · 01-26-12, 07:11 PM

Originally posted by R19

What do you think about reported number of bets on these games on Over/Under? If these 'bets' stats have any validity, not many playing Over/Unders. Does it increase substantially in the tournament?

I honestly don't know if the numbers reported by these free sites are accurate or not. When betting totals, I just look for totals that seem off with regards to public perception. I think it's easier to spot a soft O/U in NCAAB than it is a soft side, but that's just me.

Have to love the fast pace starting out in the Nebraska game!