Apricotsports all plays tracked here

ApricotSinner32 · 12-31-11, 06:14 PM

Got a little over 2 hours before gametime. No other plays as of now.

ApricotSinner32 · 01-01-12, 12:46 PM

2-0 +2.71 units

Looking at the cleveland browns moneyline at 4:15pm est as well as always keeping an open mind for other opportunities. Definately not final in my decision still looking things over.No 1pm nfl plays for me. I will post here by 3:30 pm est if I have any plays for the 4pm games.

ApricotSinner32 · 01-01-12, 02:56 PM

Confirmed i'm on the Cleveland Browns moneyline +275 (5dimes) 1 unit to win 2.75 units

I like the browns at +230 or better so obviously I like it at the current prices at all sportsbooks.

Possibly could have 1 or 2 more plays later on for the nba.

ApricotSinner32 · 01-01-12, 05:43 PM

Also playing the Minnesota Timberwolves moneyline +135 (5dimes) 1 unit to win 1.35 units

I like the timberwolves at +125 or better.

ZetaPsi808 · 01-01-12, 05:49 PM

patty good luck ace

ApricotSinner32 · 01-01-12, 09:48 PM

3-1 +3.06 units

Looking over the card for tommorow

ApricotSinner32 · 01-03-12, 01:10 PM

Looking around for today but still a good chance I will have no plays. Will give notice if I do have a selection.

opie1988 · 01-03-12, 02:44 PM

Patty is a simpleton.

sideloaded · 01-03-12, 02:45 PM

this guy, holding e-grudges for days, what a sad way to live

sideloaded · 01-03-12, 02:46 PM

Something snapped inside of him, I think he posts here to take his mind off of other more pressing matters.

ApricotSinner32 · 01-03-12, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by opie1988

Patty is a simpleton.

Opie has me pinned to the tee.

opie1988 · 01-03-12, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

this guy, holding e-grudges for days, what a sad way to live

Hey nerd.....it's an inside joke. Now run along and play some more World of Warcraft.

Thanks, pal.

sideloaded · 01-03-12, 02:54 PM

needs more smileys

Big Bear · 01-04-12, 04:30 PM

i will start tailing

ApricotSinner32 · 01-04-12, 04:31 PM

Don't see anything as of now. Will give notice on all plays atleast 30 minutes.

Bcatswin · 01-04-12, 04:35 PM

iifold · 01-04-12, 04:42 PM

Common...

Force some plays...

ApricotSinner32 · 01-05-12, 05:00 PM

Got atleast one play for tonight. This might be it.

Calgary Flames +.5 +140 (5dimes) Risking 1 unit to win 1.4 units

Like this play at +125 or better.

Brock Landers · 01-05-12, 05:03 PM

patty, this is like the 5th time you've restarted giving fresh plays

ApricotSinner32 · 01-05-12, 05:06 PM

Brock All plays documented on the sbr spreadsheet. I was actually plus units last time I was tracking for pt before I stopped because of the hedge fund fiasco. You won't track anything because you know you won't hit enough to win. You are a failed fuking gambler brock. No hope.

CanuckG · 01-05-12, 05:08 PM

GL Patty

ApricotSinner32 · 01-05-12, 06:18 PM

40 minutes till puck drop

No coincidences · 01-05-12, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

patty, this is like the 5th time you've restarted giving fresh plays

Who are you to talk?

dynamite140 · 01-05-12, 11:47 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

patty, this is like the 5th time you've restarted giving fresh plays

crustyme · 01-06-12, 12:39 AM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

patty, this is like the 5th time you've restarted giving fresh plays

broke with a 1st round ko.

ApricotSinner32 · 01-06-12, 09:43 PM

3-2 +2.06 units

Nothing tonight. Good luck gentlemen.

TR88 · 01-06-12, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

patty, this is like the 5th time you've restarted giving fresh plays

dynamite140 · 01-06-12, 10:44 PM

patty, i heard you stole from charity. is this true or false?

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 06:02 PM

Got a play for tonight.

Nets moneyline +455 (5dimes) Risking 1 unit to win 4.55 units

I like this play at +401 or better.

dynamite140 · 01-07-12, 07:14 PM

Care to explain why you like this play at +401 or better? Why not +430, +370?

UntilTheNDofTimE · 01-07-12, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by dynamite140

Care to explain why you like this play at +401 or better? Why not +430, +370?

Hes saying at +401 or better your longterm expected hold on this play will be +EV. At +400 or worse you can expect a -EV

Sunde91 · 01-07-12, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE

Hes saying at +401 or better your longterm expected hold on this play will be +EV. At +400 or worse you can expect a -EV

you think patty has some advanced model to calculate ev down to the cent of a +400 ML?

he'd have 10 plays a day instead .8 if his ML dog plays were actually +ev, instead darts

dynamite140 · 01-07-12, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE

Hes saying at +401 or better your longterm expected hold on this play will be +EV. At +400 or worse you can expect a -EV

That is not what im asking. What you said is a given.

I would like to know how he came up with +401 or better. This kid just throws darts and its always underdogs.

The only reason why i'm saying something to apricotsinner is because this kid has the nerve to say to others... do you have any idea the breakeven percentage for -240?

He sounds like some kid who thinks he knows it all.

Then when he post plays, he tries to sound smart like +401 or better its EV and anything less its -EV. Okay fine. Care to explain in numbers... just simple math how you arrived at +401? All i see you do is pull numbers out of air. Like if its +455, you will say i like it at +401 or better. Same as if you like a play at +120. You will say only play at +110 or better. How you come up with those numbers?

Or do you just take a number where it makes it look like you know what you are talking about?

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 10:05 PM

3-3 +1.06 units

dynamite140 · 01-07-12, 10:06 PM

Going to avoid the question here apricotsinner?