Apricotsports all plays tracked here

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  • ApricotSinner32
    Restricted User
    • 11-28-10
    • 10648

    #1
    Apricotsports all plays tracked here
    Have been tracking my picks since november 30th of 2010 on my sbr spreadsheet and am up roughly 58 units. (Thats risking 1 unitper play over a 383 game sample.)

    $100 bettor would be up $5800 tailing me (same ammount risked per play of course)
    $1000 bettor would be up $58,000

    My strategy when it comes to my picks requires always risking the same ammount per play.

    Instead of making a new thread for every single play I make like I have in the past I will just track all of my picks and the +/- units overall.(I have done this in the past did not stick with it. Not because I wasn't winning.)

    I make picks in many sports...(NFL/NCAAF/NBA/NHL/MLB/Soccer and the occasion mma/boxing selection)

    I am not a heavy volume capper. Somedays I will have 2-4 picks and some days I will have no picks. I follow a certain criteria to find value. I will post my picks usually 10-20 minutes from gametime but will not always be the case. I will not release my plays like most who already have their plays mapped out 10 hours in advance.(So if you see I only have 1 play picked that doesn't necessarily mean that will be my only play for that day.)

    My style is a grinding style in which I expect to lose about 44-48% of the time. Hitting approximately 52-56% percent of your plays is profitable with the plays I make. Anyone who is looking for quick money/ a shortcut in gambling is more than likely to fail. Don't be mistaken I am not claiming to hit 80% here because it simply is not possible on the type of plays I make. Even for people who have a successful strategy it will always be a grind. So if you're looking for quick money here don't bother following me.

    Tail me I will make you money.
  • ApricotSinner32
    Restricted User
    • 11-28-10
    • 10648

    #2
    One play I like so far for today

    Rutgers moneyline +103 (5dimes) 1u to win 1.03u

    Let me make this clear I would not play this at anything worse than +100. There is a big difference in laying -110 on this and getting +100-+103.
    Comment
    • Deuce
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 01-12-08
      • 29843

      #3
      Hope those darts are sharp.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Also put spreadsheet in here
        Comment
        • VegasInsider
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-12-10
          • 14593

          #5
          Approx 52-56%??

          That's an awfully wide range in terms of gambling. It's the difference between squeaking out a profit and being one of the best sports bettors in the world.

          I knew it was only a matter of time before you pulled a stunt like this.
          Comment
          • ApricotSinner32
            Restricted User
            • 11-28-10
            • 10648

            #6
            Originally posted by VegasInsider
            Approx 52-56%??

            That's an awfully wide range in terms of gambling. It's the difference between squeaking out a profit and being one of the best sports bettors in the world.

            I knew it was only a matter of time before you pulled a stunt like this.
            I don't pick anything worse than +100. The breakeven on playing +100's is 50%. Lets also factor is that the worst price I will take is a +100. This does not mean you have to even hit 50% to profit on my picks. You can call it a stunt all you want I believe in my skills as a handicapper and will show the haters I am profitable.

            I am not claiming to be the best in the world. You don't have to be the best in the world in order to know how to win.
            Comment
            • King Mayan
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-22-10
              • 21326

              #7
              Are these picks going to be 5 star plays??

              Good luck Patty.
              Comment
              • ApricotSinner32
                Restricted User
                • 11-28-10
                • 10648

                #8
                King Mayan I do not consider one play better than the next. All plays should be treated the same. I have some live betting on my spreadsheet and wanted to mention that I will make sure all plays I post will be plays posted before games start.Will do no live betting. Here is the spreadsheet for you corbin.
                Comment
                • ApricotSinner32
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-28-10
                  • 10648

                  #9
                  Let me also mention that I forgot that I had a few select plays on my spreadsheet that were higher than risking 1 unit which I forgot about as well as some buyback scalps. Also for the haters there are about 13 plays in total that were deleted/edited not because they lost but because of typos so if you really want to get technical and say my record is tained because of that I will just say that than count me down for +45 units instead of +58.
                  Comment
                  • FreeFall
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-20-08
                    • 3365

                    #10
                    Good Luck patty! Keep on firing!
                    Comment
                    • Bcatswin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-21-10
                      • 13931

                      #11
                      BOL, come to chat pal
                      Comment
                      • RogueScholar
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-05-07
                        • 5082

                        #12
                        Patty, if you're convinced these are your best plays and fixed staking is the optimal way to play them, then why all the all-in bets with real money over the past 13 months?
                        Originally posted by StraitShooter
                        90% of the guys dont give a shit about your problems..and the other 10 are glad you have them..
                        Comment
                        • Ace_of_Spades
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-14-09
                          • 13518

                          #13
                          Will be watching with interest.
                          Comment
                          • SoV
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-21-10
                            • 6420

                            #14
                            Originally posted by RogueScholar
                            Patty, if you're convinced these are your best plays and fixed staking is the optimal way to play them, then why all the all-in bets with real money over the past 13 months?
                            FML

                            http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...scussions.html
                            Comment
                            • ApricotSinner32
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-28-10
                              • 10648

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RogueScholar
                              Patty, if you're convinced these are your best plays and fixed staking is the optimal way to play them, then why all the all-in bets with real money over the past 13 months?
                              Lack of money management/Need money to make money combination. My lack of bankroll management has no bearing on if I am a good handicapper.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Nice hit on Rutgers Patty.

                                You were right.
                                Comment
                                • ApricotSinner32
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-28-10
                                  • 10648

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  Nice hit on Rutgers Patty.

                                  You were right.
                                  Sorry about your loss. If you makes you feel any better I had notre dame last night
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    Patty threw a fukkin dart today and it it

                                    I know guys like Patty they go to bars and love playing fukkin darts but Patty does not go to the bars but plays darts with the fukkin games
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                      Sorry about your loss. If you makes you feel any better I had notre dame last night
                                      I had Washington +10.

                                      Comment
                                      • ZetaPsi808
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-18-08
                                        • 12119

                                        #20
                                        patty good luck. i want all released plays forwarded to me on your text messaging service. will be tailing here 1 unit per play.

                                        patty when taking an underdog do you recommend "sprinkling" the moneyline with 1/6th of a unit?
                                        Comment
                                        • ApricotSinner32
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-28-10
                                          • 10648

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ZetaPsi808
                                          patty good luck. i want all released plays forwarded to me on your text messaging service. will be tailing here 1 unit per play.

                                          patty when taking an underdog do you recommend "sprinkling" the moneyline with 1/6th of a unit?
                                          Zeta I recommend you perform some cunnilingus tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • Mikail
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-19-09
                                            • 21689

                                            #22
                                            Glad to see you made a thread sinna. I'll check in as I know you have good strategy. Keep winning.
                                            Comment
                                            • Sam Odom
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-30-05
                                              • 58063

                                              #23
                                              Pat's spreadsheet > jjgold's

                                              jj is a better 'spot' bettor
                                              Comment
                                              • UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-29-08
                                                • 9285

                                                #24
                                                Good luck venditto!
                                                Comment
                                                • ApricotSinner32
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-28-10
                                                  • 10648

                                                  #25
                                                  JJgold is on the other side of the counter.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ApricotSinner32
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-28-10
                                                    • 10648

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Mikail
                                                    Glad to see you made a thread sinna. I'll check in as I know you have good strategy. Keep winning.
                                                    Will do

                                                    Originally posted by UntilTheNDofTimE
                                                    Good luck venditto!
                                                    Thanks bro
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ZetaPsi808
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-18-08
                                                      • 12119

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                                      Zeta I recommend you perform some cunnilingus tonight.


                                                      good luck ace
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ApricotSinner32
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-28-10
                                                        • 10648

                                                        #28
                                                        1-0 +1.03 units

                                                        The dallas stars moneyline will almost certainly be a play for me. Game starts at 8pm eastern time. Still looking it over as well as looking to see if I like anything else. Will confirm whether it's a play or not by 7:30 pm eastern.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • opie1988
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-12-10
                                                          • 23429

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck, Patty.

                                                          As you know, I am a big fan of Patty's. Kid is like a young Bert Sugar.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ApricotSinner32
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-28-10
                                                            • 10648

                                                            #30
                                                            Comparing me to bert sugar the clown who thinks pacquiao can beat mayweather?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • crustyme
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-29-10
                                                              • 16896

                                                              #31
                                                              another broke stiff trying desperately to jumpstart a tout career.

                                                              one problem... you suck at this.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • ApricotSinner32
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 11-28-10
                                                                • 10648

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by crustyme
                                                                another broke stiff trying desperately to jumpstart a tout career.

                                                                one problem... you suck at this.

                                                                If I suck you should have no problem fading all my plays and returning a nice sum.Good luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • crustyme
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-29-10
                                                                  • 16896

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i have been, made me a nice profit.

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sdotbold
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-24-09
                                                                    • 1444

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good luck patty. Like I told u the other day your angles are normally spot on. Just money management is lacking. Hope u do well !
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ApricotSinner32
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-28-10
                                                                      • 10648

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Dallas Stars moneyline +168 (5dimes) 1u to win 1.68u

                                                                      I would play this at +150 or better.
                                                                      Comment
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