College Hoops 2011-12

[BiffTFinancial]

Saturday 1.13.2012
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142'

[BiffTFinancial]

UNC/FSU over officially a keep-up game. scratch UK/UT over, red flagged.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60'

Saturday 1.13.2012 updated card
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142'
2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60'

[Madison]

Morning Biff,

If you have time would appreciate thoughts on Rutgers/WV Under 135 and Ala/Miss St U 129.

Thx and GL,

[BiffTFinancial]

2* UConn/ND 1H under 60' - WINNER

nice to start the day off the right way.

[BiffTFinancial]

officially scratch GMU/JMU over and Oregon State/ASU over as keep-up games

leans rest of way
W&M +10'
Davidson/App St over 145
Michigan St/Northwestern over 136
Okie State +14
New Mexico/Wyoming over 122
VCU/Delaware over 133'
La Salle/Dayton over 137'
Gonzaga/LMU over 141'
Memphis/Houston over 145'

[BiffTFinancial]

Morning Biff, If you have time would appreciate thoughts on Rutgers/WV Under 135 and Ala/Miss St U 129. Thx and GL,

will take a look right now and post back with thoughts.

[BiffTFinancial]

Morning Biff, If you have time would appreciate thoughts on Rutgers/WV Under 135 and Ala/Miss St U 129. Thx and GL,

i lean over in both, but moreso in the Bama/MSU game. i have Rutgers/WVU at right about the number, maybe a bucket over. If WVU can control the game in the 2H and there aren't a ton of FTs, that one could well finish under. i think 1H under may be better in that game. then again, if you think that you have a solid angle, i certainly don't lean over enough to dissuade you. Bama/MSU under i think is risky because Bama plays much faster on the road. i have Miss State winning that one around 68-67.

[Madison]

Much appreciated. No angle.. Just thinking the Ala game will be a crawl. WVU always tough as they're so inconsistent shooting. GL today.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

3* Oklahoma State +14 (-105)
3* New Mexico/Wyoming over 122'
3* VCU/Delaware over 133

Saturday 1.13.2012 updated card
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142'
3* Oklahoma State +14 (-105)
3* New Mexico/Wyoming over 122'
3* VCU/Delaware over 133
2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60'

[BiffTFinancial]

updated slate of keep-up games

Davidson/App St, MSU/Northwestern, Kentucky/Tennessee, GMU/JMU, Oregon St/ASU, Memphis/Houston all red-flagged and pass

UNC/FSU, VCU/Delaware, New Mexico/Wyoming all are keep-up games. NM/WYO did have a couple of red flags, but after looking at it more closely, like it. we'll see.

still have to take a closer look at Gonzaga/ULM, that may be a fourth play for the keep-up game angle. also may still play La Salle/Dayton over. i love La Salle.

[Madison]

Oh my I decided to wait on the WVU Under till my early bets cleared. 22-12 Half.

[Madison]

SBR LL showed halftime now it shows 11:12 1H. ???

[Madison]

I was going to blame getting old for missing the Auburn Under. We were on to the angle. You apparently overlooked it too. Checked SBR and it says 25-20 half. total 126. This would have been a good one.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* La Salle/Dayton over 137'

Saturday 1.13.2012 updated card
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142'
3* Oklahoma State +14 (-105)
3* New Mexico/Wyoming over 122'
3* VCU/Delaware over 133
2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60' - WINNER
2* La Salle/Dayton over 137'

[BiffTFinancial]

Gonzaga/LMU is -10' right now, so disqualified as a keep-up game unless the spread drops back to 10. do still like the over 142 there and may add it later. on Niners and under in the NFL game. other than potential 2H plays, that's it for the day. BOL to all.

[BiffTFinancial]

I was going to blame getting old for missing the Auburn Under. We were on to the angle. You apparently overlooked it too. Checked SBR and it says 25-20 half. total 126. This would have been a good one.

aw crap, i totally forgot that angle. will have to put a reminder in my calendar or something.

[Madison]

Missing the Aub U , the dreaded OT of a sure U. A break for the good guys.

[BiffTFinancial]

Missing the Aub U , the dreaded OT of a sure U. A break for the good guys.

that's why i think it's best to stick with the 1H under unless you think it's a blow-out.

[BiffTFinancial]

3* UNC/FSU over 142' - WINNER

keep-up games now 10-5-1 with NM/Wyoming, VCU/Delaware pending. with VCU up 8-0 at the second media time-out, that one's not looking so hot to start.

passed on Davidson and MSU/Northwestern overs due to red flags, but Davidson was easy winner and MSU/NU looking solid.

[Madison]

that's why i think it's best to stick with the 1H under unless you think it's a blow-out.

Fully understood!

[BiffTFinancial]

Saturday 1.13.2012 updated card
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142' - WINNER
3* Oklahoma State +14 (-105) - LOSER
3* New Mexico/Wyoming over 122' - WINNER
3* VCU/Delaware over 133 - LOSER
2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60' - WINNER
2* La Salle/Dayton over 137'

3-2 +1.55u start.

[BiffTFinancial]

keep-up games 2-1 on the day, 11-6-1 season to date.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Gonzaga/Loyola-Marymount over 142
2* Nevada -12' (-103)


Saturday 1.13.2012 updated card
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142' - WINNER
3* Oklahoma State +14 (-105) - LOSER
3* New Mexico/Wyoming over 122' - WINNER
3* VCU/Delaware over 133 - LOSER
2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60' - WINNER
2* La Salle/Dayton over 137'
2* Gonzaga/Loyola-Marymount over 142
2* Nevada -12' (-103)

[BiffTFinancial]

Saturday 1.13.2012 final card
3* North Carolina/Florida State over 142' - WINNER
3* Oklahoma State +14 (-105) - LOSER
3* New Mexico/Wyoming over 122' - WINNER
3* VCU/Delaware over 133 - LOSER
2* UConn/Notre Dame 1H under 60' - WINNER
2* La Salle/Dayton over 137' - WINNER
2* Gonzaga/Loyola-Marymount over 142 - LOSER
2* Nevada -12' (-103) - LOSER

4-4 -0.71u, 60-57-3 -1.59u

stupid late adds, should've laid off and been happy with 4-2 day.

[BiffTFinancial]

four potential keep up games, but three have red flags:

Georgetown/St. John's over 131' (SJU only 25.8% 3PT%)
Northern Iowa/Bradley over 137 (NIU pace only 63.7 compared to Bradley's 70; hard to believe that Bradley will be able to make NIU play at fast pace)
Duke/Clemson over 133' (Clemson's pace only 64.4, and it's unlikely that they'll think that it's a good strategy to try and run with Duke 69.6 pace)
Wichita State/Indiana State over 131' (will officially be a keep-up game, like it a lot)

[BiffTFinancial]

Sunday 1.15.2012
4* Wichita State/Indiana State over 131'

[Rick22]

Biff - Haven't been here in awhile. Stopped in yesterday and went 3-1 on keep-up games. I have no freakin idea what a keep-up game is, but I'm liking them - LOL. Now that we're getting to the end of football I'll be paying a little closer attention. Keep up the keep-ups!

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff - Haven't been here in awhile. Stopped in yesterday and went 3-1 on keep-up games. I have no freakin idea what a keep-up game is, but I'm liking them - LOL. Now that we're getting to the end of football I'll be paying a little closer attention. Keep up the keep-ups!

haha, nice! i shouldn't have allowed myself to be scared off of Davidson, Sparty, Mason overs yesterday due to line movement yesterday, all solid winners. keep-up game angle is something i've been working on with a buddy since about this time last year. keep-up game is the over in a game with a 4-10 point home dog where the dog can be expected to play at a heightened pace from early on, and the faster pace combined with potential for FTs can cause the game to soar over. there are red flags for pace, difference between fave and dog pace, Pomeroy offensive rating, 3PT%, 2PT%, assist/turnover ratio, line movement. its a game that the dog has circled on their calendar where they will come out and try to jump out from the start and play must faster than their normal pace.

[Rick22]

Thanks for the explaination - where do you find all that info? Especially Pace?

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

3* Ohio State -13
2* Ohio State -1H -7 (-115)

Sunday 1.15.2012
4* Wichita State/Indiana State over 131'
3* Ohio State -13
2* Ohio State -1H -7 (-115)

[Mosley]

Wichita State

Biff,
I live in Wichita and am going to add WSU 1st Half -3. They have been blowing everyone out in the first half but letting them back in the 2nd. I do like the over also. Last game they had 8 guys in double figures and Stutz is turning his game up lately.
GL thanks for the work

[BiffTFinancial]

Thanks for the explaination - where do you find all that info? Especially Pace?

kenpomdotcom. they have gone to pay service this year, but it's only 20 bucks for the year and that's very easy to justify given the quality of the info and ease of sorting.

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff, I live in Wichita and am going to add WSU 1st Half -3. They have been blowing everyone out in the first half but letting them back in the 2nd. I do like the over also. Last game they had 8 guys in double figures and Stutz is turning his game up lately. GL thanks for the work

thank you for the tip, i will definitely take a look at it. for what it's worth, i have WSU winning by 7-9, so 1H -3 does sound good. BOL to you today Mosley.

[Rick22]

Thanks Biff - Any thoughts on the NFL today? Last Sunday I made small wagers on the Giants +9 and over 51. I might do more here, but I'm on the fence with the AFC game.