And here we fukkin go again. Ruined in 3 minutes. Talk about evening out on these 2nd halves after a nice run during the regular season. This has been poison more often than not this week.
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I'm going to take a break until the half times for the 9pm ET starts. This shit is starting to wear on me with these 2nd halves not lining up very well now. Hopefully things will even out.Comment -
Have to go with this one, makes too much sense with the numbers.
[2nd Half] Baylor-KU Over 75.5 [-110]Comment -
I don't even know where to go from here except maybe on hiatus until the tournament starts. Just nothing jiving right this week really with the 2nd halves. Several notches below .500. I'll try one more in the next batch, but one way or another it just seems like all these picks are jinxed right now to lose.Comment -
One point shy just to rub it in. Seriously.Comment -
Fade away.
[2nd Half] Dayton-Xavier Under 76.5 [-110]Comment -
[2nd Half] Texas-Missouri Under 77.5 [-118]Comment -
Nice hit Eagle.
Stay the course. It's just variance.
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[2nd Half] Louisiana Tech-Nevada Over 72.5 [-110]Comment -
Only 2nd halves or props today for me. Going to cut out sides/totals until the tournament starts.Comment -
Overall Record: 329-286-5 [+20.33]
2nd Halves: 229-169-2 [+43.10]Comment -
ACC Conference Tournament: NC State-N.Carlolina Total Three Point Shots Made Over 9.5 [-120]
This is just flat out set too low. In the two regular season meetings, you had one side of the other either beat or almost beat this number by themselves. The Heels hit 10/19 in the 86-74 road win. The Wolfpack hit 9/20 in a 74-55 loss @ Chapel Hill. Combined, the two teams had 13 threes made in one game and 14 in the other. More and more teams seem to be sagging off the likes of Marshall and Bullock to help with the Heels front line, leaving the guards the opportunities to take threes. Throw in Barnes & Hairston who loves to jack up threes and you've got the potential for some scores from deep. NC State is 13/34 from distance in the ACC tournament. Scott Wood is the key guy here as most of his shots are threes. Lorenzo Brown is the next most likely assassin from distance, but you've also got Williams & Leslie who will take some shots as well. Both teams average about five makes per game and average about 15 threes attempted per game. They exceeded those #s in both meetings with 32 attemps and 36 attempts. Something in that neighborhood today should yield a chance to win this. The two keys to me are Marshall making open threes & Wood knocking down at least two.Comment -
EP where are these props coming from.. which site?Comment -
Bovada has them.Comment -
5dimes has WAY better odds than bovada on about every prop offered on bothComment -
[2nd Half] Bethune Cookman-Norfolk State Over 67 [-110]
Not purely a formula play. Also a bit of a hunch based on past stats for the two clubs as well.Comment -
The props are Bovada and I disagree about 5Dimes having better props. They often do not list the ones you can find @ Bovada and there have been a lot of occasions where while the price might be higher - you get a 0.5 or 1 LESS at Bovada vs. 5Dimes. For example right now, no player props at 5Dimes for FSU-Duke just a few team props. Bovada has player props listed and one in particular that I am looking at.
Also, the prices right now if you look at the team props in that specific game are pretty much the same at both books. There are times when you get better prices at one or the other, but I don't rate one more consistent than the other. 5Dimes IMO often gets a lot more action that results in some ridiculously high chalk on props. Bovada is much slower to react to the market if they react at all.Comment -
Nothing but bricks from the Carolina clubs. So many open looks, especially for UNC and they can't knock 'em down. 2/10.Comment -
Finally made a couple.Comment -
ACC Conference Tournament: Duke's Austin Rivers Total Points Over 15.5 [-140]
Yes, the price is a bit chalky but given that he hit FSU for 17 and 20, kind of surprised it wasn't set a point higher. Rivers took 16 shots from the field in both meetings against the Seminoles, hitting 13 with six of those from beyond the arc. One thing the frosh has done better lately is get to the line. In five of his last seven, he has attempted at least seven FTs. He had 17 against Va.Tech to open and did not shoot that well, but got to the line eight times. It would obviously help if he got hot from the field, but if he stays aggressive and gets to the line - he should have a chance to beat this #.Comment -
Cannot buy a 3 again. They both got hot for a stretch and absolutely nothing in the last 10 minutes. Plenty of chances again. Gonna be short at 8 minus a late miracle.Comment -
At least the 2nd half hits. Good to start with a W there.Comment -
[2nd Half] McNeese State-Lamar Under 73 [-110]Comment -
[2nd Half] Florida State-Duke Over 72 [-110]
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Alright, 2 for 2 on 2nd halves today. Duke needs to wake the F up if that one is going to have any chance.Comment -
Rivers prop hits. Duke 2nd half over is done. So dropped to 2-1 there. Terrible offense in this one.Comment -
Mountain West Conference Tournament: New Mexico-San Diego State Total Three Pt. Shots Made Over 11.5 [-120]
I think this is a good # to go at especially considering the Lobos' prowess from beyond the arc. In the two regular season meetings, New Mexico made double digit threes against the Aztecs. 10/20 and 13/31. SD State was 9/20 in one meeting and only 3/14 in the other. They run hot and cold, currently running hot as they have made 50% in the tournament, 17 of 34. What is good for the Aztecs is that 4 of their 5 starts are capable of hitting the three. Especially watch out for Tapley. New Mexico needs Snell to lead the charge from beyond the arc. He didn't shoot well against SD State in the regular season, but is as streaky as they come. Kendall Williams killed SD State and I think if he has another good game along with Walker, this prop goes over.Comment -
[2nd Half] Ohio-Akron Under 70.5 [-110]Comment -
[2nd Half] Texas Southern-Mississippi Valley State Under 68 [-110]
Not a strict formula play because they are shorting this one of some possessions, but based on previous encounters and maybe some continued tightness with the NCAA Bid on the line ... siding with this.Comment -
I like that under play EP - Good Luck.Comment -
Both are going to lose. Damn late night decline again. This Ohio one is crazy. 70 points with :01.9 left. Akron is going to foul and then it's going to come down to FTs which I am sure they will make one.Comment -
There's the foul. It's over.Comment
