Well at least the three point prop hits, but at the cost of the under most likely.
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Comment -
[5:30pm ET]
[1st Half] Washington-Oregon State Over 73.5 [-110]
If they follow their usual pattern of fouls and tempo, this one should have a shot to finish in the upper 70s and surpass this number.Comment -
Think today seemed like I would be giving it back after yesterday. 1-3 so far. Excellent shooting Washington. See if any 2nd halves jive, but otherwise think I will keep ahead of the game and be back tomorrow.Comment -
[2nd Half] Northwestern-Purdue Over 71 [-110]
Not a formula play, but based on Northwestern awfulness in 2nd half on D.Comment -
Overall Record: 256-194-2 [+47.52]
2nd Halves: 175-121-6 [+43.00]
Slight losing day at 2-3, felt alright though considering I expected to get hammered after the good luck I had the day before.Comment -
2.13.12
Light night, so this might be the only play depending on what the half time lines yield.
[7pm ET]
Syracuse-Louisville Total Three Point Shots Made Over 14 [-120]
Louisville will get their looks against the 2-3 zone, it's simply a matter of whether they are firing or not. Coming in, they have hit for double digit threes made in back-2-back games, so this could be a perfect time for them to hit the zone. Syracuse again is not a high volume three point shooting club, but they run hot and cold with a handful of players capable of netting multiple makes. Kris Joseph has been hot lately and then throw in Waiters, Triche, Jardine and even Southerland and the Orange can add a half dozen to this easy.
Comment -
This game is brutal. No flow and bricks all over the place.Comment -
[2nd Half] Iowa State-Baylor Under 75 [-110]Comment -
T. Taylor (kansas) Over 16.5 total pts. (+100)
gl buddyComment -
Nice f-ing defense in this Baylor-Iowa State 2nd half. No one could miss. Yuck night.Comment -
Overall Record: 256-196-2 [+45.32]
2nd Halves: 175-122-6 [+41.90]
[7pm ET]
Texas Tech +4.5 [-110]
Tech finally broke a length losing streak with a home win over Oklahoma as they look for back-to-back wins tonight. They host A&M who is 0-6 on the road. Aggies will be without Dash Harris again and that is a key for me in this one. Harris was one of the keys to breaking Tech down in A&M's 13 point win in College Station. These teams are pretty even, but an edge goes to the Red Raiders at home. A&M's shooting percentage on the road is woeful at 37%, while Tech shoots 46% from the floor at home. If Tech can get some early confidence making shots, they have a shot to win this straight up and at worst, keep it within the number.
Comment -
Overall Record: 256-197-2 [+44.22]
2nd Halves: 175-122-6 [+41.90]
2.15.12
[6:30pm ET]
Northwestern-Indiana Total Three Pointers Made Over 14.5 [-120]
Northwestern averages nine makes from distance per contest and IU close to seven. Both teams can make double digits any given night and I think IU should hit above their average as they face a Northwestern defense giving up over 40% from beyond the arc on the road. They have given up double digit threes in three of their last four conference games. IU shoots a robus 42% from three at home which should aid the cause. Northwestern is hot from distance [44% in their last five] nad have made at least eight in that stretch with three of those five seeing them in double digits.Comment -
[7pm ET]
Bowling Green +7.5 [-110]
One of the under-the-radar ATS teams in D1 this season at 15-6 ATS. BG is 8-3 ATS on the road and they have covered seven of their last ten. Tonight's opponent, Ohio, has failed to cover seven of their last ten including three of their last four at home. BG has only lost three games on the road by more than seven with two of those coming against power conference teams in Michigan State [14] and Georgia [9].Comment -
Cannot believe IU has no three pointers made against this defense.
Comment -
[2nd Half] Villanova-South Florida Under 69.5 [-110]Comment -
[9pm ET]
Providence-Cincinnati Over 137 [-110]
PC has a lot of trouble holding the opposition down on the road, allowing 74 or more in five of six Big East games. Cincy is taking care of weaker Ds lately with 74 or higher in three straight.Comment -
[2nd Half] North Carolina-Miami Under 77.5 [-105]Comment -
I f-ing hate college kids. Villanova fouling down by 20. Stupid cocksuckers.Comment -
[2nd Half] Oklahoma State-Missouri Under 76.5 [-110]
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[2nd Half] Colorado State-Boise State Over 74 [-110]Comment -
Overall Record: 259-201-2 [+42.72]
2nd Halves: 177-124-6 [+41.70]
At least ended on a winning note. 3-4 with a couple tough beats on the 2nd halves again. Bowling Green was disappointing too. They went ahead 53-52 and got crushed in the last 4:00 minutes.Comment -
2.16.12
Two home dogs on the money line tonight. Trying this strategy out. Hit one and you profit.
Western Kentucky +115
Ole Miss +170
[8pm ET]
Iowa-Penn State Over 138 [-110]
The Hawkeyes have just horrid, horrid defense on the road. Iowa gives up 81 ppg and 49% shooting. As a result, OVERs have hit in seven of nine posted games with one of those being a push. Iowa normally scores and shoots well on the road to the tune of 69 ppg on 47% shooting to keep up with their shaky D. The Nittany Lions have cashed OVERs in five of nine at home with one push. The first meeting featured a massive 2nd half with 86 points to find the total at 141. Penn State's tendency to foul will again be big. They average 20 fouls per game and Iowa got 34 FTAs in that first meeting. Considering the shaky D for Iowa and Penn State's ability to get hot from deep, I think this can go into the 140s or better again.Comment -
[10pm ET]
BYU-San Francisco Under 160 [-110]
BYU has cashed UNDERs in nine of 12 road games, while San Fran has hit OVERs in seven of ten at home. The Dons are shooting a ridiculous 50% at home and averaging 81 ppg. BYU has shown good road D, allowing just 41% and 66 ppg. San Fran has scored 80+ in five straight, but that has come against some of the lower tier WCC teams. The first meeting was 81-56 BYU at home. BYU hasn't been quite as potent on the road, so if San Fran plays a little D and BYU continues their solid road defense - I think this big number might squeeze under.Comment -
[2nd Half] West Virginia-Pittsburgh Under 70.6 [-110]Comment -
[2nd Half] Arizona-Washington State Over 73.5 [-110]
Not a strict formula play here as the # is slightly higher than the expected possessions, but Washington State 2nd halves have been chock full of points most of the season ... so overs.Comment -
So much for that BYU under. Absolutely no defense. Might go over 200.Comment -
Overall Record: 261-205-2 [+40.37]
2nd Halves: 178-125-6 [+41.60]
Well taking the two dogs worked out went 1-1. 2nd halves, 1-1. The two totals both missed. Ivy League Friday baby, one of my favorite days.Comment -
nice numbersComment -
Trying the same as yesterday, two ML dogs with the goal of hitting one for a profit.
2.17.12
Columbia +225
Valparaiso +185
Comment -
Also going to play Columbia on the spread.
Columbia +6 [-110]
Lions are 6-3 ATS on the road this season and all five of their Ivy League losses have come by five points or less.Comment
