Sonny,Bean,Buck and Ayo's Hoops thread

[teecee]

I'll take Oakland small at home v. Valpo. Pk when I put it in. What say you, Ayo?

[kj8210]

Looking at Yale +3. Any thoughts Ayo? Thanks

[Curen$y07]

hey Ayo.. thoughts on these games:
Akron -9 home vs Kent ST
Ark ST -7 home bs little rock\\

Insight would be greatly appreciated

[teecee]

I'll take Oakland small at home v. Valpo. Pk when I put it in. What say you, Ayo?

Already put the play in, but like your writeups. Good reading material. Thanks.

[CantTouchAyo]

I'll take Oakland small at home v. Valpo. Pk when I put it in. What say you, Ayo?

Oakland wants to get out in transition and a team like Valpo can limit you there. However, if you look at the Valpo/GB game two weeks ago Crusaders got toasted by fast paced GB and that said transition D was nonexistent. Not sure if it was an anomaly but I’m having a hard time getting past it. Oakland has put together 4 wins in a row without Stevie Clark but those 4 wins come against the worst teams in the Horizon league. Revenge in mind for Valpo but this is an important game for both teams – a win for Valpo gives them a 3 game lead in conference play but a win for Oakland moves them 1 game behind Valpo with the tiebreaker becoming more meaningful. What’s Stevie Clark’s status tonight? He was dressed and warmed up vs. Detroit but did not play. He played an important role facilitating the offense last meeting so him playing would be key. Alec Peters’ play is obviously crucial tonight in order for Valpo to get the W against a good Oakland interior defense. With that said, Oakland will be challenged in the half court if they’re limited in transition against the Horizon’s best D. Both teams have had a week prep, “White Out” at O’rena , should be a great game.

[Curen$y07]

hey Ayo.. thoughts on these games:
Akron -9 home vs Kent ST
Ark ST -7 home bs little rock\\

Insight would be greatly appreciated

[RetardStrength]

hey Ayo.. thoughts on these games:
Akron -9 home vs Kent ST
Ark ST -7 home bs little rock\\

Insight would be greatly appreciated

For what it's worth I'm on Ark St and I've been limiting myself to 1 or 2 plays a night (not counting my plays where I blindly fade t wizzle).

Ark St is 10-0 at home, 14-7 ATS and coming off 2 straight road losses...Tex St on Monday cost me a big chunk of change.

On the flip side AR LR is 4-7 on the road and 7-14 ATS. They too are on a 2 game losing streak.

At first glance I see a DD win here for Ark St, leaving alone the fact that Ar St beat AR LR on the road by 5.

The only thing I hate is the line is absolutely plummeting. Already down 2 points from the opening while public is still on ST.

Line is razor sharp Ar St averaging in the high 70's on their home court and pretty abysmal on the road. AR LR averaging all over the map but see high 60's at best away from their floor.

I like Ar St by 10 or 11 here

BOL with your action

[CantTouchAyo]

Looking at Yale +3. Any thoughts Ayo? Thanks

No idea on this one. I like this young athletic Yale team and they played the Tigers tough in the first meeting but I’m not sure I can trust them tonight. Similar to the first matchup, I worry about Yale’s turnover issues vs. a good Princeton defense. Princeton also red-hot right now. GL

[teecee]

I bought Richmond to 6 as well. Seemed a little steep a price for VCU.

[DOM_Toretto]

Hey guys, quick question for the more seasoned bettors in this thread..

What is the general rule of thumb when it comes to buying points? Tonights UCONN game for example I got them at -4 so I lost either way but I considered buying the point and then didnt. It seems as if every time I dont buy that point or half a point it falls on that exact number. Of course im sure its me just remembering those bad beats but Id still love to know what the rule of thumb is.

If you miss the spread by a point or two, do you just pass on that game altogether? Is there ever a case in which you buy that extra point or two? Ive always read that you never buy points in anything other than football but id love to hear what you guys think. Thanks in advance!

I've been making money in cbb at high volumes for about 5 years now. My general rule of thumb is 2-fold: 1) NEVER buy points on double digit spreads, 2) ONLY buy points to the whole number.

Meaning if a spread is at the .5 mark, I may buy it up or down to the whole number. That's because avoiding a loss (-110) is more valuable than gaining a win (+100). So the only time I'll ever buy the hook is for the chance to push and avoid the loss.

[drfader]

I like Fairfield PK at Quinnipiac -110. I think uts close, but Fairfield the better team with some momentum coming into today.

[readytowinem]

Vcu was -3.5 last night now -5.5 damn.

[CantTouchAyo]

hey Ayo.. thoughts on these games:
Akron -9 home vs Kent ST
Ark ST -7 home bs little rock\\
Insight would be greatly appreciated

Ark St’s guard oriented lineup struggled in the 2h vs Texas St but this is a much better match-up for them. They should be able to penetrate zone pressure from Little Rock’s guards to create opportunities in the paint. When they’re able to attack the rim & kick out for open jumpers, Ark St’s offense is 10x more fluid than what we saw vs TSU. Little Rock’s offense is not great and Arkansas St can force them into taking contested jump shots. With that all said, Lis Shoshi wasn’t available for Little Rock in last month’s meeting between the two but his presence should be felt tonight as he could take advantage of Arkansas State’s lack of size. Very interested to see how Wes Flanigan uses him in this matchup.
I’d expect Little Rock goes zone and when they do Ark St should be able to take advantage from the outside.

[CantTouchAyo]

disregard last sentence in above post

[readytowinem]

Ayo. What are you thinking on the vcu and richmond.

[CantTouchAyo]

Ayo. What are you thinking on the vcu and richmond.

Richmond got embarrassed by GMU earlier this week but I think they play with a chip on their shoulder tonight for this A10 rivalry game. Richmond has fared well vs. VCU in the past @ the Robins Center and have a bit of revenge from earlier this month. Richmond has good ball handlers to handle the pressure and Cline in the middle of the floor to beat the press. I’m obviously concerned about Richmond’s lack of size to protect the rim & limit VCU on the offensive glass though. Nice 4 game win streak by VCU since these two last played but some things to think about some of those wins:
-VCU wins @ Bonnies in OT after Bonnies buzzer beater and court storm from fans leads to bench technical
-VCU wins @ GW after GW last second go ahead 3 and then crazy foul to knock down 2 FTs with 0.4 seconds left to win
-VCU gives up 81 pts (2^nd highest allowed pts all year) to St. Joes who played with no point guards and no bench to facilitate offense

It’s just been a bizarre (yet unnoticeable) stretch for VCU in my opinion and if the game vs. Joes wasn’t their letdown then I expect one coming soon. Could it be tonight? We’ll see

[Letsgovols22]

Cal -2 @ Stanford ayo?

[Earlerock]

Haven't looked at the o/u in the vcu game but from your write up it sounds like you could see a lot of points? Thoughts on the over?

[CantTouchAyo]

Haven't looked at the o/u in the vcu game but from your write up it sounds like you could see a lot of points? Thoughts on the over?

no opinion on the total. GL

[Googs]

Any opinion on Brown plus the points?

[CantTouchAyo]

Cal -2 @ Stanford ayo?

What's Charlie Moore's status? Hes a key part of the Cal O.

[Letsgovols22]

What's Charlie Moore's status? Hes a key part of the Cal O.

Listed as probable

[readytowinem]

Richmond it is!!!

[CantTouchAyo]

Any opinion on Brown plus the points?

got nothing here. GL

[deary626]

UIC +1 -110 ml -113 something wrong here ayo?
detroit -1 -110 ml -107

[Snake24]

Oakland wants to get out in transition and a team like Valpo can limit you there. However, if you look at the Valpo/GB game two weeks ago Crusaders got toasted by fast paced GB and that said transition D was nonexistent. Not sure if it was an anomaly but I’m having a hard time getting past it. Oakland has put together 4 wins in a row without Stevie Clark but those 4 wins come against the worst teams in the Horizon league. Revenge in mind for Valpo but this is an important game for both teams – a win for Valpo gives them a 3 game lead in conference play but a win for Oakland moves them 1 game behind Valpo with the tiebreaker becoming more meaningful. What’s Stevie Clark’s status tonight? He was dressed and warmed up vs. Detroit but did not play. He played an important role facilitating the offense last meeting so him playing would be key. Alec Peters’ play is obviously crucial tonight in order for Valpo to get the W against a good Oakland interior defense. With that said, Oakland will be challenged in the half court if they’re limited in transition against the Horizon’s best D. Both teams have had a week prep, “White Out” at O’rena , should be a great game.

Any update on Stevie Clark?

[indianjoe]

ASU no 1 fan............ASU undefeated at home...........10,000 fans expected........Play it........

[Fernburn74]

[QUOTE=indianjoe;26796635]ASU no 1 fan............ASU undefeated at home...........10,000 fans expected........Play it........

Who is asu ? Can't find it ?

[Fernburn74]

U mean Arkansas st. university !!!!!

[RetardStrength]

Ark St almost gave that cover away up big late!! Not a DD win as predicted but I'll take the 9 pt win and the cover on my only game of the night.

Good convo in here. Hope everyone had a good night.

[Snake24]

Oakland wants to get out in transition and a team like Valpo can limit you there. However, if you look at the Valpo/GB game two weeks ago Crusaders got toasted by fast paced GB and that said transition D was nonexistent. Not sure if it was an anomaly but I’m having a hard time getting past it. Oakland has put together 4 wins in a row without Stevie Clark but those 4 wins come against the worst teams in the Horizon league. Revenge in mind for Valpo but this is an important game for both teams – a win for Valpo gives them a 3 game lead in conference play but a win for Oakland moves them 1 game behind Valpo with the tiebreaker becoming more meaningful. What’s Stevie Clark’s status tonight? He was dressed and warmed up vs. Detroit but did not play. He played an important role facilitating the offense last meeting so him playing would be key. Alec Peters’ play is obviously crucial tonight in order for Valpo to get the W against a good Oakland interior defense. With that said, Oakland will be challenged in the half court if they’re limited in transition against the Horizon’s best D. Both teams have had a week prep, “White Out” at O’rena , should be a great game.

I pulled the trigger on Oak. Thanks for the write up...

[Snake24]

Good morning Ayo,

Brief thoughts on UTA vs Georgia St game? I think UTA rolls them by 20.

Thanks and GL.

[jimminn]

Wish all you people looking for advice on a game would start your own thread and stop posting on Ayo's thread. I have to search through all your dumb posts looking for his picks. Why not make this just an Ayo pick thread.

[Nateboogy]

Wish all you people looking for advice on a game would start your own thread and stop posting on Ayo's thread. I have to search through all your dumb posts looking for his picks. Why not make this just an Ayo pick thread.

He told them to do that....

[Earlerock]

Wish all you people looking for advice on a game would start your own thread and stop posting on Ayo's thread. I have to search through all your dumb posts looking for his picks. Why not make this just an Ayo pick thread.

Aww, poor guy, having to search through some posts to get ayos picks. What a bummer.