Wow, this came out ugly. Maybe I should have took a picture. This was from BetIslands. Sorry for blowing up your thread guys.
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LOL.....C'mon Bro, if you were to use this approach there would be no teams left to bet on. Every team get's back doored @ some point in the season. If you're not betting a game because you're afraid of them shaving you're in this for the wrong reasons. You're over thinking this way to much.Comment -
Yeah, plus my man Johnny Bags up in Buffalo told me that the reverse fix is in tonight. Canisius is gonna cover the whole game and then blow it at the end.Comment -
Fair do's guys I'm just looking out. There's a difference between getting backdoored and shaving Upscope, the difference is not always clear but if your watching the game you can usually tell. I prefer to trust my money in teams that play hard til the buzzer. GL.Comment -
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Hey fellas!!! I'm loving this thread. Alot of winners, consistency and respect in here. Was wondering if anyone could explain to me or point me to a site that shows how "units" work in relation to how much you know how to bet, etc. I'm a newbie and I'm lost. Thanks in advance!!!Comment -
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Ultimate Money Management System
Set aside a certain account exclusively for wagering....
In creating the ideal money management system, it became rather obvious that it would have to have a safeguard for the Wal-Mart bettors, but at the same time, not hamper the bettor who is more comfortable making two or three bets per day by having them wager too little on each game to reach maximum profits.
We will use 4% of our bankroll as our base figure, but then subtract .1% from our bet size for every additional wager we make after our first bet of the day. (If we wager on just one game for the day, our bet size will be 4% of our bankroll.) For example, if we are going to make five bets for the day, our bet size would be 3.6% of our bankroll (4% - .4%) and if we are going to make 11 bets on the day our wagers would become 3% of our bankroll on each play (4% - 1%).
It’s important to stress when using this method all of our wagers for the day will be the same size, as we only recalculate our wagering amount once per day. Using a calculator, this can be done in a matter of seconds, so that we can spend more time handicapping games or shopping for the best lines.
What we are essentially doing is using the half-Kelly method, but adding an element that takes the number of games bet into consideration.
Those who have access to an online sports book will have no problem following the method exactly as described, as online books are just as willing to accept a bet for $106.45 as they are to accept a $110 wager, while those using private bookies are likely to have to make some minor adjustments to their bet size so that it is an even amount.
Using this money management method doesn’t assure a sports bettor of huge riches, but it is the first step in having a profitable season.Comment -
Just wanted to point out that in the Iona/WMU game, MoMo Jones got fouled and made both free throws with 26 seconds left in the game, putting Iona up 10 at that point.Comment -
A "unit" is just your betting unit, however much that may be. It is a way to standardize the plays so that anyone can make the same plays and just adjust their bets according to their units. If your unit is $100, then an 8x play would be an $800 play, but if your unit is $10, an 8x play = $80.
That way, instead of Buck saying he is making an $800 play, and the newbie with $100 in his account not knowing how much to bet, he says he is making an 8x play, and the newbie can tail along at a safe fraction of the amount.
(I don't know how much your units are Buck, just giving an example
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Last edited by Filmoz; 12-02-11, 01:09 PM.Comment -
Fairfield -7 5xComment -
Georgia +1.5 5x
vandy +8.5 5xLETS GET ITComment -
SONNY/BUCK...at what point do you ever consider the ML on an underdog of less than 2 pts? why pay -110 for +1.5 or +1 when you can get the moneyline for plus money? if you win 20% more money then that would mean as long as your team doesn't lose by just 1 point 20% of the time you should come out ahead...
i seriously doubt 1 in 5 games end in 1 point...it's extremely rareComment -
I bet ml's -170 or lowerComment -
[quote=YOUNGBUCK;12602767]I bet ml's -170 or lower[/quot
Thanks for the info.
As always...Good Luck.
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You are looking at this wrong. It is how many games end up decided by 1 point when the line was Actually 1. That is also ignoring the fact that a line of 1 is essentially a 50/50 shot of winning. Can't type out all the math on my tablet fit now but it the end it works itself out. Plus, u ddon't think bookies never though about that before?
Hope that helps. Good luck buckComment -
correct, i am referring to 1 in 5 games that are +1 or +1.5 end in 1 point. that still doesn't happen. 20% ?? come on... if a line in bball is under 2 and you are betting on the underdog, you are mathematically going to make more money in the long run by taking the moneyline at +105 or +110 instead of taking that 1 point and betting -110Comment -
I see I wasn't the only one thinking ot going large on iona today. Placed 12units last night. Seeing way to much action on them to feel comfortable. Either way lets see a 25 point win.. crush canisiusComment -
^^^ we dont know what his bankroll is. Maybe hes got 10k and a "unit" to him is 50 dollars... maybe he has a small moneyroll and has 200, but only bets a dollar a game or he has a G and an "unit" is 25. By saying 12 units he saying that its a huuuuuuuge play for him.
If your risk/reward for a a play is in your favor (at least believe so) then you need to take your shot. If your stick with 3% for all bets your going be grinding for along time...As long as your huge bets are very far apart (tough to go from 1000 bet to 100) it sometimes makes sense to let it ride.Comment -
yo fam what you guys think about sacramento+18.5 vs ok seems like an ez cover too me... Am i missing something?Comment -
good luck tonight, fam.
peep y'all at the pay window!Comment -
Thanks man, I appreciate it!!Comment
