Once more, liking the total better than the side in tonight's Game 1 of the CBI Championship.
Bradley/Tulsa OVER 140.5
It's very difficult to go against a team that has gone over in 9 of 10. That'd be Bradley. So you would then assume that the total being "low" is due to Tulsa, which it is. Tulsa has gone under in 5 of 10 with one push. Their D at home stifles opponents to the tune of 52 ppg and 37% shooting. However, they did yield 69 in their last game against an up-tempo Houston squad that does not shoot well. Bradley meanwhile has been humming along, averaging 85 ppg in their last 5 while leaking 82 ppg to their opponents. That should bode well for a Tulsa squad that shoots a couple percentage points better at home than their season average. Tulsa averages 72 ppg at home. Bradley meanwhile averages 74 ppg and shoots about the same on the road as they do at home.
As with any over, FTs play an enormous part. Bradley has shot 27, 26 and 31 FTs in their three CBI contests. They get to the line and they knock 'em down, shooting 75% on the season. Tulsa has been aggressive as well, going to the line 27, 36 and 11 times. They hit 73% on the season. Chances are pretty good that we could see 30+ points from the line tonight.
Both teams also like to shoot the 3. Bradley especially, they've hoisted 58 threes in their last 2 games. Tulsa has defended the arc well though, but Bradley has not. Thus, I see whatever minuses come in the Bradley 3 point shooting attack due to Tulsa's D being evened out with Bradley not defending as well.
In the end, I think Bradley can put up points on this Tulsa squad despite their stingy defense. Vice versa, Tulsa should not have problems scoring against Bradley's porous defense. The feeling is that if Tulsa gets into the 70s, Bradley and some late FTs will do enough work to get this game past the #.
Bradley/Tulsa OVER 140.5
It's very difficult to go against a team that has gone over in 9 of 10. That'd be Bradley. So you would then assume that the total being "low" is due to Tulsa, which it is. Tulsa has gone under in 5 of 10 with one push. Their D at home stifles opponents to the tune of 52 ppg and 37% shooting. However, they did yield 69 in their last game against an up-tempo Houston squad that does not shoot well. Bradley meanwhile has been humming along, averaging 85 ppg in their last 5 while leaking 82 ppg to their opponents. That should bode well for a Tulsa squad that shoots a couple percentage points better at home than their season average. Tulsa averages 72 ppg at home. Bradley meanwhile averages 74 ppg and shoots about the same on the road as they do at home.
As with any over, FTs play an enormous part. Bradley has shot 27, 26 and 31 FTs in their three CBI contests. They get to the line and they knock 'em down, shooting 75% on the season. Tulsa has been aggressive as well, going to the line 27, 36 and 11 times. They hit 73% on the season. Chances are pretty good that we could see 30+ points from the line tonight.
Both teams also like to shoot the 3. Bradley especially, they've hoisted 58 threes in their last 2 games. Tulsa has defended the arc well though, but Bradley has not. Thus, I see whatever minuses come in the Bradley 3 point shooting attack due to Tulsa's D being evened out with Bradley not defending as well.
In the end, I think Bradley can put up points on this Tulsa squad despite their stingy defense. Vice versa, Tulsa should not have problems scoring against Bradley's porous defense. The feeling is that if Tulsa gets into the 70s, Bradley and some late FTs will do enough work to get this game past the #.
