*Thursday & Friday* Tournament ML Parlay and Discussion thread. Best thread on SBR!!

[imgv94]

Alright ladies and gentleman.. This is thread where it all goes down for the Thursday and Friday Tournament Games..

We mostly discuss MLs and parlays but nothing is ever forbidden here. I think the first round will offer ample opportunity for us to make some damn good coin. I want to see all the original cats here and a few new cats as well.

Good Luck my people, may all your buzzer beaters be winning ones.

Remember this is going to be a two day thread because I know many of us are going to connect teams from Thursday to Friday..

[$Bnizi]

took the day off to re-group from a brutal week. still believe in these plays though and im looking forward to the tourney. we have three days to put in some real good work for the weekend. lets finish this season strong gentlemen.

[imgv94]

You're a big part of this thread b..

BTW #1 seeds have never lost so putting them in ML parlays will take off free cents..

Notre Dame ML over Mason? Mason isn't beating ND

[NardVa]

Just going off point spreads a couple of small Underdog ML's that may be good are Gonzaga, St Mary's, and St Joseph's. And two that may be a little risker are Siena and South Alabama.

[Wassymac]

You're a big part of this thread b..

BTW #1 seeds have never lost so putting them in ML parlays will take off free cents..

Notre Dame ML over Mason? Mason isn't beating ND

You don't think? Notre Dame relies too much on the 3 to think their safe IMO and Mason defends pretty well. I think that could be a dangerous one.

Just my thoughts

[stingyrivers]

what up guys, imgv.... i was under the impression 1 v 16 games wont have a ML as the spreads will be in the 20's possibly as high as 30?

Here is my strategy....

if possible, try to make two plays....

the four 2 seeds

and the four 3 seeds on a smaller play....

i have the statistics on this somewhere, but in 23 yrs.... a 2 seed has only lost twice i believe, and in the same time span a 3 seed has only lost a handful of times.....

and with the field we are looking at i dont see a 2 or a 3 going down here.....

last year in the first round, no 1 through 4 seeds lost in the first round, so that means any ML parlay using any 1 through 4 seeds was a winner.... let's cash this guys....


also, 1 seeds are not really usuable in the first round, however, in 23 years they almost have a perfect record in the second round as well, so all four 1 seeds together in one play in the second round is a near definite winner and a much more plausible play as the spreads will be around 10 points or so when they each face an 8 or 9 seed....

can you tell i am excited, i have had this idea since last year specifically for this tourney, so i am amped up for the lines to come out....


what's everyone else got going?

[OLGC_Slayer]

I found a teaser I think I like......Washington State is not a team that can bury opponents, and Winthrop can play some pretty solid D (I believe top ten in the nation points against per game, yes mind you in a weak conference).....

Winthrop +13.5
St. Joe's +6.5
Oklahoma looked pretty flat last time out. The Sooners might win straight up but I really think this one stays very close. I like this St Josephs team late this year and I'm hoping that second half abortion against Temple was just an little squelch.

Just a lean right now and certainly open to criticism. Have only looked real close at about 12 games or so.

Whoops sorry wrong thread mods will you move this to imgv's ML and discussion thread? Sorry.

[$Bnizi]

Very early leans...

Xavier
Wisc
Notre Dame
Mich St
Pitt
Uconn
Gtown
Texas
Louisville

[OLGC_Slayer]

I found a teaser I think I like......Washington State is not a team that can bury opponents, and Winthrop can play some pretty solid D (I believe top ten in the nation points against per game, yes mind you in a weak conference).....

Winthrop +13.5
St. Joe's +6.5
Oklahoma looked pretty flat last time out. The Sooners might win straight up but I really think this one stays very close. I like this St Josephs team late this year and I'm hoping that second half abortion against Temple was just an little squelch.

Just a lean right now and certainly open to criticism. Have only looked real close at about 12 games or so.

[$Bnizi]

possible play...

Xavier
Wisc
Pitt

[diogee]

Wow nice job so far guys....you guys are hardcore

[stingyrivers]

whoa!!!

where did u guys get lines alreadY?

[diogee]

SBR Odds already shows lines at 4 of the top books.

[$Bnizi]

whoa!!!

where did u guys get lines alreadY?

5dimes...

Thu 3/20 707 Belmont +19½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 708 Duke -19½ -110

Thu 3/20 709 Arizona +2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 710 West Virginia -2 -110

Thu 3/20 711 Georgia +7½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 712 Xavier -7½ -110

Thu 3/20 713 Baylor +3 -110
3:00PM (EST) 714 Purdue -3 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Qwest Center - Omaha, Nebraska

Thu 3/20 715 Portland State +25 -110
3:00PM (EST) 716 Kansas -25 -110

Thu 3/20 717 Kent State -2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 718 UNLV +2 -110

Thu 3/20 719 CS Fullerton +11½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 720 Wisconsin -11½ -110

Thu 3/20 721 Kansas State +2½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 722 USC -2½ -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Pepsi Center - Denver, Colorado

Thu 3/20 723 George Mason +6½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 724 Notre Dame -6½ -110

Thu 3/20 725 Winthrop +8½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 726 Washington State -8½ -110

Thu 3/20 727 Temple +6½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 728 Michigan State -6½ -110

Thu 3/20 729 Oral Roberts +10 -110
3:00PM (EST) 730 Pittsburgh -10 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Honda Center - Anaheim, California

Thu 3/20 731 Cornell +15½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 732 Stanford -15½ -110

Thu 3/20 733 Kentucky +4½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 734 Marquette -4½ -110

Thu 3/20 735 Mississippi Valley State +32 -110
3:00PM (EST) 736 UCLA -32 -110

Thu 3/20 737 Texas A&M -2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 738 BYU +2 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - St. Petes Times Forum - Tampa, Florida

Fri 3/21 821 Villanova +6½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 822 Clemson -6½ -110

Fri 3/21 823 Siena +7½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 824 Vanderbilt -7½ -110

Fri 3/21 825 Western Kentucky +5 -110
3:00PM (EST) 826 Drake -5 -110

Fri 3/21 827 San Diego +11½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 828 Connecticut -11½ -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - RBC Center - Raleigh, North Carolina

Fri 3/21 831 Arkansas +1½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 832 Indiana U -1½ -110

Fri 3/21 833 Maryland Baltimore County +17½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 834 Georgetown -17½ -110

Fri 3/21 835 Davidson -2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 836 Gonzaga +2 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - Alltel Arena - Little Rock, Arkansas

Fri 3/21 837 Texas Arlington +25 -110
3:00PM (EST) 838 Memphis U -25 -110

Fri 3/21 839 Oregon +3 -110
3:00PM (EST) 840 Mississippi State -3 -110

Fri 3/21 841 Austin Peay +16½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 842 Texas -16½ -110

Fri 3/21 843 Saint Mary's CA +2 -110
3:00PM (EST) 844 Miami Florida -2 -110

NCAA Tournament - Opening Round - BJCC -Birmingham, Alabama

Fri 3/21 845 American +20 -110
3:00PM (EST) 846 Tennessee -20 -110

Fri 3/21 847 South Alabama +4 -110
3:00PM (EST) 848 Butler -4 -110

Fri 3/21 849 Boise State +13½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 850 Louisville -13½ -110

Fri 3/21 851 St. Joseph's +1½ -110
3:00PM (EST) 852 Oklahoma -1½ -110

[stingyrivers]

thanks bro....

sucks the two seeds are way high too, but here is what i got so far that seems as safe as safe comes:

Wiscy
Pitt
UConn
LVille

should pay at about -120

and i would say has about a 85-90% chance of cashing

[stingyrivers]

hmm just ran the numbers on it, that play i posted might run more like -130 to -140

[$Bnizi]

possible play...

Xavier
Wisc
Pitt

might as well make that

Xavier
Wisc
Pitt
UNC
UCLA
Memphis
Kansas

[stingyrivers]

ouch, now that i got the ML's

Pitt
Wiscy
LVille
UConn

prices out at -160

[diogee]

Ouch Stingy...looks rock solid to me but I don't really know what to expect going into the tourney.

[stingyrivers]

lol.... ok this one would take balls i guess:

LVille
Pitt
Wiscy
Uconn
Texas
Stanf
Gtown

at -110

a lot of teams, but do you see any of them losing honestly?

[stingyrivers]

point well taken dio, was cruising last week with the plays and bankroll and hit an absolute stone wall this past week

[diogee]

NBA has been much kinder to me than the NCAA as of late...I have honestly never even paid attention to the tourney before but it seems like March is a whole new beast when it comes to capping games.

[MrFresh]

lol.... ok this one would take balls i guess:

LVille
Pitt
Wiscy
Uconn
Texas
Stanf
Gtown

at -110

a lot of teams, but do you see any of them losing honestly?

how do you calculate how much juice it pays off. Like -110 or -160

[diogee]

parlaycalculator.com and enter in each ML MrFresh

[MrFresh]

thanks man

[diogee]

NP bud

[MrFresh]

I havnt followed George Mason this year but ND is a really good team can George Mason really beat this team. George Mason hasnt really beat anyone thats at the level of ND. Anyone that follows George Mason let me know if they got a chance.

[stingyrivers]

yup.... i use parlay calculator


here is a thursday play:

Pitt
ND
Xavier

at +102

[stingyrivers]

wow, anyone else noticing that thursday is a much better day than friday for ML Parlays??

[MrFresh]

I think ima play 5 teams
Wisc
Pitt
ND
Wash st
Stanford

[stingyrivers]

nice one MR fresh, that play would pay at +129

even if u take out one team, except for wazzou and ND it would still pay at least even money or better

[MrFresh]

Yeah all should win but before i play ND i really need to research Georgemason. The rest should win I'll probably put a couple of units on that play.

[MakeMoney]

i've got a unique play here, Portland State +25.5

i like kansas a lot in this tourny, considering all the paths they might have the easiest of all the 1 seeds. however portland state is a team of seniors playing the WHOLE careers for this one shot in the tourny.. do i think they have a chance NO but i will say that its hard to beat a team by more than 25 in this tournament because you want to rest your studs if the games in hand with 3 or 4 to go. Kansas will win easily so you dont have to worry about free throws down the stretch or fouling or any of that stuff that kills spreads. Take Portland State and the big fluffy 25 1/2 that goes along with it.

[OLGC_Slayer]

i've got a unique play here, Portland State +25.5

i like kansas a lot in this tourny, considering all the paths they might have the easiest of all the 1 seeds. however portland state is a team of seniors playing the WHOLE careers for this one shot in the tourny.. do i think they have a chance NO but i will say that its hard to beat a team by more than 25 in this tournament because you want to rest your studs if the games in hand with 3 or 4 to go. Kansas will win easily so you dont have to worry about free throws down the stretch or fouling or any of that stuff that kills spreads. Take Portland State and the big fluffy 25 1/2 that goes along with it.

I like it.

[stingyrivers]

seems pretty solid, as long as the team can hit shots, i mean kansas cant score for them, if kansas jumps out to a 30 to 4 run, you really dont have to worry about a back door cover, you gotta worry that the weaker team cant keep up from that point while the game is still young, but i like it