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  • harlee71
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-02-09
    • 7202

    #1821
    Originally posted by Hanger
    Sounds good to me......tomorrow sucks for CBB too, ugh
    I have two games I am digging on for tomorrow. Maybe one more.
    Comment
    • shaggy3000
      Restricted User
      • 12-29-09
      • 5801

      #1822
      Originally posted by Hanger
      Mwuahaha- forgot about that "Official play" with the 500 a week being tossed around lol
      thrust me i didnt forget. i just didnt want to throw one out there and lose knowing there are a bunch of record whores out there.... and yes there is def 500+ plays. my buddy jumped on here and i told him personally today about the N Ill play being the big one. he got on here and started reading and messed up because i guess he didnt read properly of know what to make of all the info on this thread but once you get use to it and how each person picks there is a lot of money to be made and very little to be lost on our plays
      Comment
      • harlee71
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-02-09
        • 7202

        #1823
        Fuk....SCU and UCR are sucking ass right about now.
        Comment
        • shaggy3000
          Restricted User
          • 12-29-09
          • 5801

          #1824
          o man guys the previews are up on espn! hopefully i can get a read on them like i did last year! not going to lie. i dont like seeing all the lines so close to 3. purely because i like the dogs to be closer to 7 just for added insurance....
          Comment
          • Hanger
            SBR MVP
            • 01-25-09
            • 2115

            #1825
            Harlee,

            I also have a few plays for tomorrow that I like.
            Comment
            • Hanger
              SBR MVP
              • 01-25-09
              • 2115

              #1826
              Santa making a run for the backdoor right now
              Comment
              • 10mDive08
                SBR Hustler
                • 12-12-08
                • 79

                #1827
                ESPN isn't updating fast. Anyone have a score?
                Comment
                • harlee71
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-02-09
                  • 7202

                  #1828
                  UC Riverside held on!
                  Comment
                  • Hanger
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-25-09
                    • 2115

                    #1829
                    69-59 just went final, was 10 pt lead for 24 seconds...lol almost the backdoor here
                    Comment
                    • harlee71
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-02-09
                      • 7202

                      #1830
                      Originally posted by Hanger
                      Harlee,

                      I also have a few plays for tomorrow that I like.
                      I was looking at that when I get the msg. Gimme a bit.
                      Comment
                      • Hanger
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-25-09
                        • 2115

                        #1831
                        No problem harlee......theres a few I question obviously because they stand out like a sore thumb lol
                        Comment
                        • harlee71
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-02-09
                          • 7202

                          #1832
                          College Basketball final Tally for the day.

                          3-6 -.75 units

                          Last 4 days
                          34-16 +40.75 units

                          Have a couple/three leans for tomorrow.
                          Comment
                          • shaggy3000
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-29-09
                            • 5801

                            #1833
                            Harlee how do you feel Ohio and N Ill. will fair in these Bowl games?

                            my early leans so far are Ohio, BYU, and Fresno st. not in that order
                            Comment
                            • harlee71
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-02-09
                              • 7202

                              #1834
                              Originally posted by shaggy3000
                              Harlee how do you feel Ohio and N Ill. will fair in these Bowl games?

                              my early leans so far are Ohio, BYU, and Fresno st. not in that order
                              I will look into them more tomorrow and maybe Thursday. Tomorrow I have a lot going on until mid afternoon. Give me 24-36hours and I will have my input on them. Ohio and NIU will be easy all I will have to really cap is the other half of the games. My MAC Data is still pretty fresh. I will go 2-0 this week on the MAC games!!! I WILL!!! I HAVE TO!!
                              Comment
                              • JGetz
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 04-19-10
                                • 752

                                #1835
                                Originally posted by shaggy3000
                                Getz did you take Wyoming?
                                Yes. I had too...I spent almost 4 hours looking at that game alone. Paid off I guess...didn't go too big though because the line kept scaring me. A win is a win though. Also hit a Nuggets and Pac ML parlay whooo!!
                                Comment
                                • PP
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-27-10
                                  • 816

                                  #1836
                                  Well not the best of days for me, good thing I put a little more on NIU to cover my other losses, another day tomorrow, take care all.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hanger
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-25-09
                                    • 2115

                                    #1837
                                    Good day Comrades!!! I see the army has moved into position against us. Let us join forces and defeat the army "Books" General "Juice" is leading a hard charge, but if we mount a balanced, coordinated attack from all angles, we shall be victorious!

                                    Yes, I am bored....
                                    Comment
                                    • harlee71
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-02-09
                                      • 7202

                                      #1838
                                      Just got back home and have an hour or so before an afternoon/early evening Christmas party so lets see what we can do. Start putting in ideas!
                                      Comment
                                      • JGetz
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 04-19-10
                                        • 752

                                        #1839
                                        Originally posted by Hanger
                                        Good day Comrades!!! I see the army has moved into position against us. Let us join forces and defeat the army "Books" General "Juice" is leading a hard charge, but if we mount a balanced, coordinated attack from all angles, we shall be victorious! Yes, I am bored....
                                        Really? I couldn't tell...LOL

                                        Alright guys...Let's get it today! I've got some heavy Christmas shopping to do today, which I am not too ecstatic about, so I will be out and about for the most part of the day...Come up with some winners for me!
                                        Comment
                                        • harlee71
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-02-09
                                          • 7202

                                          #1840
                                          Any Doggies looking good?
                                          Comment
                                          • PP
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-27-10
                                            • 816

                                            #1841
                                            LOL what up, lets do work
                                            Comment
                                            • harlee71
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-02-09
                                              • 7202

                                              #1842
                                              Some light reading for you guys. Not picks related. Check em out.



                                              Comment
                                              • PP
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-27-10
                                                • 816

                                                #1843
                                                I'm liking UCF -19, what are your thoughts?
                                                Comment
                                                • Hanger
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-25-09
                                                  • 2115

                                                  #1844
                                                  Originally posted by harlee71
                                                  Any Doggies looking good?
                                                  I kinda like Akron and Oregon St here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hanger
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-25-09
                                                    • 2115

                                                    #1845
                                                    Posted this in another thread- but I like you guys better LOL

                                                    You're talking about a UNC Greensboro team only shooting 45% from the Field and allowing opponents to shoot 59% against them.

                                                    Greensboro-24% Turnover rate, measly 43.5% on 2 pt shots, allowing their opponents to get 41% of the offensive rebound opportunities. Allowing teams to shot 56% on 2 pt shots. Allowing opponents to shoot 43% from 3 point land.

                                                    Whereas, Wake is shooting 44% from 3 point land- 3rd best in CBB. Also a high turnover rate at 24% They dont put their opponents on the FT line very often, ranking 16th in that category.

                                                    The problem with Wake is if they come out cold- 31% of their shots are behind the arc. If they come out cold or off, this could be a close game early.

                                                    UNC Greensboro is in the bottom 100 in 6 out of 10 Offensive categories- Bottom 100 in 7 out of 10 Defensive Categories Whereas,
                                                    Wake is in top 100 in 5 out of 10, but also in bottom 100 in 3 Offensive categories - Top 100 in 3 out of 10 Defensive categories, bottom 100 in 2 out of 10.

                                                    Is the spread too much? Its possible- Is UNC Greensboro just that bad- also entirely, probably true.

                                                    Food for thought on Wake giving 16.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • harlee71
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-02-09
                                                      • 7202

                                                      #1846
                                                      Hanger. Post your 3 most confident totals. If you want i can cap the total and compare or we can roll with your picks. We can test them a few nights, or make plays what ever you think. What are your thoughts on this?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • harlee71
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-02-09
                                                        • 7202

                                                        #1847
                                                        PM'd you an idea Hanger.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • frankzig
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-26-09
                                                          • 2268

                                                          #1848
                                                          some solid thoughts you have on that one
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SlowNsteady
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-03-09
                                                            • 2189

                                                            #1849
                                                            Originally posted by Hanger
                                                            Posted this in another thread- but I like you guys better LOL

                                                            You're talking about a UNC Greensboro team only shooting 45% from the Field and allowing opponents to shoot 59% against them.

                                                            Greensboro-24% Turnover rate, measly 43.5% on 2 pt shots, allowing their opponents to get 41% of the offensive rebound opportunities. Allowing teams to shot 56% on 2 pt shots. Allowing opponents to shoot 43% from 3 point land.

                                                            Whereas, Wake is shooting 44% from 3 point land- 3rd best in CBB. Also a high turnover rate at 24% They dont put their opponents on the FT line very often, ranking 16th in that category.

                                                            The problem with Wake is if they come out cold- 31% of their shots are behind the arc. If they come out cold or off, this could be a close game early.

                                                            UNC Greensboro is in the bottom 100 in 6 out of 10 Offensive categories- Bottom 100 in 7 out of 10 Defensive Categories Whereas,
                                                            Wake is in top 100 in 5 out of 10, but also in bottom 100 in 3 Offensive categories - Top 100 in 3 out of 10 Defensive categories, bottom 100 in 2 out of 10.

                                                            Is the spread too much? Its possible- Is UNC Greensboro just that bad- also entirely, probably true.

                                                            Food for thought on Wake giving 16.5
                                                            I am with you. I like WF in this spot. I am going to buy the hook.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • harlee71
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-02-09
                                                              • 7202

                                                              #1850
                                                              Here is my

                                                              UCF -19 I have this game going closer to -30 and maybe more.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • harlee71
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-02-09
                                                                • 7202

                                                                #1851
                                                                It never helps a 1-7 team when your top scorer is out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JGetz
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 04-19-10
                                                                  • 752

                                                                  #1852
                                                                  This play stood out to me while I was looking at some games before I leave. 1H Minnesota -8 (9-1) . I know it's a lot of points, but hear me out... Minnesota scored 28 points at home in the 1H against E Kentucky (5-5) (OVC), granted after a rough start, they were still up by 3 at half. They would eventually take control of the game in the 2nd half. Now...here's where it gets interesting. Minnesota is playing their 2nd game at home after that Sat. win against E.Kentucky...they are on 3 days rest and will take time to work on their fundamentals in practice and limit the turnovers at home. Akron (4-3), on the other hand is coming off a loss @ Temple(7-2). In that game, they scored a whopping 15 points in the 1H. With that being said...They are ending up their 4 game road trip @ Minnesota which I believe to be a better team than Temple IMO, on National TV. Akron played Sun. and is on a day shorter rest than Minnesota, not including the travel and are ready to get back home in their beds after this game. Minnesota comes out pressuring the ball as they try to move up in the rankings from 20th in the nation. 34-21 by Halftime. Just my thoughts...care to comment as I really like this play, and I would like to hear what you guys have to say.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PP
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-27-10
                                                                    • 816

                                                                    #1853
                                                                    Originally posted by harlee71
                                                                    Here is my

                                                                    UCF -19 I have this game going closer to -30 and maybe more.
                                                                    I'm taking this game UCF -19 - 1 Unit
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • harlee71
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-02-09
                                                                      • 7202

                                                                      #1854
                                                                      Originally posted by JGetz
                                                                      This play stood out to me while I was looking at some games before I leave. 1H Minnesota -8 (9-1) . I know it's a lot of points, but hear me out... Minnesota scored 28 points at home in the 1H against E Kentucky (5-5) (OVC), granted after a rough start, they were still up by 3 at half. They would eventually take control of the game in the 2nd half. Now...here's where it gets interesting. Minnesota is playing their 2nd game at home after that Sat. win against E.Kentucky...they are on 3 days rest and will take time to work on their fundamentals in practice and limit the turnovers at home. Akron (4-3), on the other hand is coming off a loss @ Temple(7-2). In that game, they scored a whopping 15 points in the 1H. With that being said...They are ending up their 4 game road trip @ Minnesota which I believe to be a better team than Temple IMO, on National TV. Akron played Sun. and is on a day shorter rest than Minnesota, not including the travel and are ready to get back home in their beds after this game. Minnesota comes out pressuring the ball as they try to move up in the rankings from 20th in the nation. 34-21 by Halftime. Just my thoughts...care to comment as I really like this play, and I would like to hear what you guys have to say.
                                                                      For me it gets dicey when you start pulling one game out and making comparisons and unless you have a lot of data it really makes it hard to do. Also, College teams dont just stay on the road for two weeks like you will see in the NBA. I like the theory involved here, but I am more of a body of work by a team. You are who you are in CBB and one game does not really change your model when capping. That is just my thoughts on this. However, there are times when you do have to cap game by game. I just dont know if this is one of them. What else do you know about these teams Getz?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JGetz
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 04-19-10
                                                                        • 752

                                                                        #1855
                                                                        Originally posted by harlee71
                                                                        For me it gets dicey when you start pulling one game out and making comparisons and unless you have a lot of data it really makes it hard to do. Also, College teams dont just stay on the road for two weeks like you will see in the NBA. I like the theory involved here, but I am more of a body of work by a team. You are who you are in CBB and one game does not really change your model when capping. That is just my thoughts on this. However, there are times when you do have to cap game by game. I just dont know if this is one of them. What else do you know about these teams Getz?
                                                                        I understand what you're saying Harlee, but I'm just looking at a 1H standpoint. I'm not going to lie, I haven't really watched these two teams this year, but I'm trying to just get a feel for the game as well as applying the stats accordingly as I have in all my 1H plays in my drowning thread. Akron is avg. 1H 26.8pts, and Minnesota is avg. 1H 34.3pts. That's a 7.5 pt differential. That's why the line is set at 8. Almost dead on. Vegas is purely setting that line based on those 1H averages. I try to just find some unknown variables that Vegas cant account for...just my style I guess.
                                                                        Comment
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