I understand what you're saying Harlee, but I'm just looking at a 1H standpoint. I'm not going to lie, I haven't really watched these two teams this year, but I'm trying to just get a feel for the game as well as applying the stats accordingly as I have in all my 1H plays in my drowning thread. Akron is avg. 1H 26.8pts, and Minnesota is avg. 1H 34.3pts. That's a 7.5 pt differential. That's why the line is set at 8. Almost dead on. Vegas is purely setting that line based on those 1H averages. I try to just find some unknown variables that Vegas cant account for...just my style I guess.
Sorry bro, missed it was a 1h play.
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1857
Hey guys- I jumped all over the Celtics ML this morning at -175. I like it here as the Knicks are 0-9 or something like that ATS after a road game...i read something like that, dont have it in front of me now though lol... Just letting ppl know.
Comment
SlowNsteady
SBR MVP
12-03-09
2189
#1858
Shaggy/Hanger/Harlee - GL tonight fellas. I will not be around until late tonight. I hope to return to good news for all!
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1859
harlee should ucf really be like -30? ijust need t know because i figure i need to set a goal to get to by tuesday so i stay focused. its like winning at anythingelse. if you dont set new goals to push yourself even more youll just start to lose again....
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1860
alright guys 1st and 15th of every month are busy days for me due to court orders but im going to go cash a lotto ticket for more then im coming back to try to find a nice winner for tonight
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1861
i see the auburn over coming up a bunch on SBR.... anyone know about that?
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1862
Hanger what are your projected scores on the UCF game and Auburn?
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1863
ok guys im in. Followed Harlee and Getz plays a little heavy. but also took Auburn over since the number is low and saw some trusted people on it. and in the NBA i took the Heat ( Heat are playing well and Cavs are not. nothing to do with a grug match here. its what the original line should have been and now they got it right. ) and took the Mavs for later.
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1864
LOVE LOVE LOVE Charlotte and Memphis Over....I think lol
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1865
Shaggy- there has been a development with the spreadsheet. I've had to rework a few things, even though it was close- the fg% of each team was not being weighed properly. My spreads were too far off to accept on a lot of back tested games. The o/u # was close usually, but as we know being 5 off of a o/u line, is the difference of winning and losing.
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1866
Originally posted by Hanger
LOVE LOVE LOVE Charlotte and Memphis Over....I think lol
NBA?
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1867
i got you. hey i was thinking dont you think the spreadsheet would work/be easier with NBA? just because there are fewer teams and the teams you play generally are being played by everyone.....?
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1868
LOL-I have one for NBA too......although not a completed project yet.lol
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1869
so that char/mem is NBA then right?
cause if its college i dont see it
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1870
I'm NBA Heavy tonight guys....on the Celts (Too much), Lakers, Bulls Char/Mem Over, Dallas, Kings/Hornets Over
NCAA- Wake F, Oregon St and really liking Akron here.
Comment
dex
SBR Rookie
12-07-10
45
#1871
Edit: I see it ..thanks shaggy
Comment
dex
SBR Rookie
12-07-10
45
#1872
Tyreke Evans is a big time scorer for the Kings...looks likes hes prob. out again tonight. Don't know if that plays into your OVER play tonight...look into it
Comment
PP
SBR Wise Guy
11-27-10
816
#1873
I took Celtics/Knicks under 205 - 1 Unit, I just don't see it going over.
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1874
Originally posted by dex
2 NBA games
na it should be the 8:11 game
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1875
Originally posted by Hanger
I'm NBA Heavy tonight guys....on the Celts (Too much), Lakers, Bulls Char/Mem Over, Dallas, Kings/Hornets Over NCAA- Wake F, Oregon St and really liking Akron here.
hope you like Akron to come back... cause im with Getz a little heavy here! i just want the 1h., you can have the game
Comment
NOPHUN
SBR Sharp
09-15-07
346
#1876
I like the Wake, Dallas and Celts even tho I am a Knicks fan... GL tonight fellas
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1877
Official Play: P Pierce over 19 points ( -120 ) Prop bet
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1878
ugh, Sac.....crap......lol
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1879
Originally posted by Hanger
ugh, Sac.....crap......lol
what? i dont understand any of that..
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1880
Originally posted by dex
Tyreke Evans is a big time scorer for the Kings...looks likes hes prob. out again tonight. Don't know if that plays into your OVER play tonight...look into it
Shaggy- This ^^ I got lazy and went with pure numbers, I deserve to lose this one
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1881
I do like the over in the Akr/Minn game a tad too
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1882
you dont deserve to lose shit. the other players will step up and cover his share!
hope you jumped on my official play! Pierce already has 5 points and the game just started! i should have put so much more on it... sometimes i forget that there are really easy bets out there to be had
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1883
man Hanger at this point i have a good chunk of money out there.... for some reason i went hard today..... im going to take it a little easy for a couple hours to see where im at
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1884
Well- I did not lol........instead I made a dumbass parlay for too much $ that I regret before all the games tipped...lol
As far as Akron is concerned....only place I have that bet is in the Weekly NCAAB tournament lol.....so umm Go Minnesota!!!! I have Minn over in my test account at Betus lol
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1885
yes shaggy- me too....too much money out there for a Wednesday night.....not smart for me.
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1886
i mena i never have a day or night where money seem to be out there any more than another but if i can hit my top 3 or 4 plays o god it will be a great night!!! i got a new goal since i have to wait to see the man to get paid so i got to stay smart but aggressive. cause i have to make sure i get paid but once i do im lowering units again. then i have to build the account back up...
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1887
Great idea Shaggy- always nice to withdraw and rebuild.
Side note- anyone watching the Celtics game? This white guy looks so confused on the floor lol
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1888
na im watching the UCF game because its a big big play! but damn UCF is turning over the ball every other trip down the floor. i think theyve called traveling 6 times on them!
Comment
Hanger
SBR MVP
01-25-09
2115
#1889
LOL, I am flipping between Celtics and Bulls game- both $$, and gamecasting Wake lol also $$....
Comment
shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#1890
come on UCF this is no longer a joke. you need to pull away! pull way away!!!