NCAAB is the sport to BET now

[Jeff_Indiana]

From here on in to the NCAA tournament final. No sport should be played more on.

I'm a longtime viewer of this board, but I can tell you that I will be helping you all throughout.

Some of you may remember me from the TNA articles, and the weekly report in the Grainer Times magazine.

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So starting tomorrow, I will help you all cash big, all the way to the NCAAB final.

[imgv94]

I disagree. But will look forward to what u got

[Jeff_Indiana]

I disagree. But will look forward to what u got

NCAAB is the sport to bet. No other sport comes close. NCAAB is the best lean for value games, and you get no max out on all bets.

Las Vegas takes it's biggest sport on one games this time of year.

Usually to cover is around early january.

But to win out games for HOME teams, no better time is now, and all the way through the tournament.

The past few years I have racked up about $15,000 average from this time to NCAAB Final.

I'll show you all how it's done.

[imgv94]

I'm all eyes and ears..

[Jeff_Indiana]

I'm all eyes and ears..

all starts to tomorrow. Jump on board! i'll help you all out. It's all about following the money management and betting hard on key games. Tomorrow is great!

Nova and KSTATE! but you have to be carefull about the 2nd game cause it won't start after the 1st, it will start during. So live betting and 2nd half betting is the key.

I might pull a parlay.

[EaglesPhan36]

I have to do it because I love grand standing.

GL with your picks.

[twtb19]

I think I got it this time,

[Louisvillekid1]

Welcome the forum, and GL on your plays. NCAABB is always the best sport to bet and its my favorite to watch as well.

[regularguy]

Jeff could you please explain this. I frankly don't have any idea what you are getting at.

Nova and KSTATE! but you have to be carefull about the 2nd game cause it won't start after the 1st, it will start during. So live betting and 2nd half betting is the key.

[MoneySportsGuy]

Jeff

Welcome to forum and goodluck. What part of Indiana are you at?

How on earth is now and thorugh final the best time? I would think this and on is upset city ....even more so then regular season. And we have had plenty of upsets already.

[stingyrivers]

it seems he has some complicated contingency betting system to me.... he bets the second event based on how the first results.... he is probably trying to pyramid profits based on sequence betting.... in other words he really doesn't want to put an amount on K state til he sees nova win

[MoneySportsGuy]

I would think that is not a good system as you should be confident in your bets whether one team plays before the other ends. I guess you can do that for money management but other then that I dont see a point in waiting.

[stingyrivers]

yeah, moneysportsguy is dead on.... december and january are the most profitable time for NCAA, that is when home teams and big favs win most.... vegas loves this time of year because betting volume goes way up as predictability of the games goes down a bit

[stingyrivers]

yeah.... pretty much anyone who flat bets as a rule would not be interested in his strategy, but GL to all flat bettors as well as jeff

[MoneySportsGuy]

stingy,

how do you bet? what is your strategy and methods?

[stingyrivers]

i think in terms of the longterm, the sharp players are correct that flat betting is the only way to be profitable, but i also think it is all relative to your bankroll.... i am starting somewhat small so to build a legit roll, i am actually trying to pyramid profits a bit with a bit of a paroli system of money management..... but i know for a fact no matter what you do you should never have more than 5 % of your roll on any one wager.... but i am trying to build up with a system like this:

Play One - 1 unit

if wins

Play Two- 1 unit

if wins

Play three- 2 units

if wins then start the cycle again....

if any play loses the next bet is only 1 unit never more than that

[diogee]

stingy are you doing that on mainly ML parlays or on spreads.

[moses millsap]

NCAAB is the sport to bet on, but not sides, totals.

[MoneySportsGuy]

NCAAB is the sport to bet on, but not sides, totals.

wait so what do you bet then? just straight ML? the first money line bet I did was tonight and picked NC State. that was dumb on me

[MoneySportsGuy]

i think in terms of the longterm, the sharp players are correct that flat betting is the only way to be profitable, but i also think it is all relative to your bankroll.... i am starting somewhat small so to build a legit roll, i am actually trying to pyramid profits a bit with a bit of a paroli system of money management..... but i know for a fact no matter what you do you should never have more than 5 % of your roll on any one wager.... but i am trying to build up with a system like this:

Play One - 1 unit

if wins

Play Two- 1 unit

if wins

Play three- 2 units

if wins then start the cycle again....

if any play loses the next bet is only 1 unit never more than that

sounds good to me makes sense like some of things you mentioed. but what is the paroli money management system?

[moses millsap]

wait so what do you bet then? just straight ML? the first money line bet I did was tonight and picked NC State. that was dumb on me

I'm saying you're more likely to come out a winner if you focus on college totals more than college sides.

[MoneySportsGuy]

I'm saying you're more likely to come out a winner if you focus on college totals more than college sides.

OWNED,

Do you ever post your plays at all? I notice you have been here a bit and every once in while see your posts, you seem very knowledgeable.

Anyways sorry if this sounds dumb, but do you mean better to bet like the over under bet then mess with ML and spreads?

[moses millsap]

OWNED,

Do you ever post your plays at all? I notice you have been here a bit and every once in while see your posts, you seem very knowledgeable.

Anyways sorry if this sounds dumb, but do you mean better to bet like the over under bet then mess with ML and spreads?

I bet plenty of MLs, spreads, and totals. I'm just saying you're likely to find more value in totals than sides with respect to college. Right now, at this point, I'm mostly just playing 2nd halves with hoops, waiting for baseball to arrive.

[MoneySportsGuy]

I bet plenty of MLs, spreads, and totals. I'm just saying you're likely to find more value in totals than sides with respect to college. Right now, at this point, I'm mostly just playing 2nd halves with hoops, waiting for baseball to arrive.

Still trying to learn this stuff, so pardon all the questions. When you say more value is that because its more predictable what the over under could be compared to what team is going to show up and cover or not cover the spread?

Thats cool about baseball wagering, never tried that but looking forward to it this year and getting into it. Got any good tips on a new person that is getting into betting baseball?

[stingyrivers]

in the most simple way of putting it, value means, in the long run if you made this same bet over and over again after all is said and done you would be ahead dollar wise.... that gives a play value.... in the moment it doesnt mean that particular play is very very likely to happen, just means you would be ahead making plays like this in the long run.... or finding value in dogs because the payout actually exceeds the liklihood it will win.... or better put, finding a play that will pay 3 to one odds when the dog is objectively actually closer to having a 50% chance of winning, there is also value in a play like that

[stingyrivers]

just saw you're other reply.... paroli system is pretty much the progression i drew out with the three play chain.... it is considered the opposite of the martingale system....

you increase your wager with wins to pyramid profits on a winning streak, but minimize losses by betting the small amount after a loss.... it is a management system that can be done with a fairly small bankroll, and still pretty safe as you only increase your wagers when you are ahead money

[MoneySportsGuy]

wow that is pretty cool about those money managements systems, is there a link or some stuff related to that in addtion you can send me that I can read about it more often?

I actually dont have a set system I just started last month doing bets everyday and just played around with differnt things I came up with, and ended up cashing in nice almost 3 times my deposit but recently had a really bad week with my redeposit so starting to re-think and float around other ideas.

[MoneySportsGuy]

alright so a value bet....is that something like you mean its a bet that has won often when you bet it? like for example UNC is 11-2 ATS at home this year, and I know personally not sure the times bet UNC but bet them often and rarely lost..so in my wagers UNC is a pretty strong value bet?

another thing you were mentioned about getting 3 to 1 odds payout with a dog that actually has 50% more then winnning, do you have certain methods or things you look for to determine that a certain dog has a better chance of winning then a coin flip?

[twtb19]

i think in terms of the longterm, the sharp players are correct that flat betting is the only way to be profitable, but i also think it is all relative to your bankroll.... i am starting somewhat small so to build a legit roll, i am actually trying to pyramid profits a bit with a bit of a paroli system of money management..... but i know for a fact no matter what you do you should never have more than 5 % of your roll on any one wager.... but i am trying to build up with a system like this:

Play One - 1 unit

if wins

Play Two- 1 unit

if wins

Play three- 2 units

if wins then start the cycle again....

if any play loses the next bet is only 1 unit never more than that

Stingy-

I am not trying to criticize, I just want to make sure I look at your betting unit cycle as far as money management. It sounds like it works for you so either way, if it aint broke don't fix it right.

But if you win play 1 then you are up 1 unit and if you lose you are down one unit. Then you go on to another 1 unit play so if you win play 2 then you are up 2 units, or if you lose you are even minus the vig. If you win play 2 then play 3would be to bet the 2 units you are up to compound them into 4 units if you win or again be even minus the vig if you lose.

To me it seems you are more likely, by more than the 4-1 odds to pick a loser on the first game than to pick the 3 winners in a row...maybe one of the math guru's around here can help us on this. Anything in between is a wash except even if you hit it exactly 1 in 4 times the vig would eventually take your bank roll.

Like I said I am just making sure I am looking at this correctly.