#15 Purdue (21-5) @ -5 #14 Indiana (21-4) o/u 132
The first Big Ten match-up of the week has the Purdue Boilermakers traveling to Indiana to face the Hoosiers. This is a huge game for both teams as Indiana looks to close within half a game of the Big Ten leading Boilermakers. Indiana is currently 10-2 in the conference and Purdue is 12-1. A win for Indiana will also put them in a tie with Wisconsin for 2nd in the standings. Wisconsin has handed them both of their conference losses. Michigan St is the only conference opponent to hand Purdue a loss.The Hoosiers
Indiana is 14-2 in home games this year with losses coming to Uconn as big favorites and a 2 point loss to Wisconin 5 days ago. Indiana is also 40-5 at home the last 3 years. The Hoosiers are 5-8 ATS at home overall and 6-6 ATS against conference opponents. Indiana shot an astonishing 54.4% in their last home game against Michigan St and won by 19, bouncing back from a 2 point home loss to Wisconsin in which they shot 47.1%. Indian is 5-5 ATS and 7-3 SU in their last 10 games which includes both of their home losses.
The Boilermakers
The Boilermakers look to keep piling on to their 11 game winning streak in this pivotal match-up in their quest to win the Big Ten. Purdue beat Wisconsin in both games this year and with this win they would own the tiebreaker over their top 2 conference contenders. Purdue is 14-9 ATS overall and 7-1 ATS on the road only failing to cover by one point at Missouri on Dec 18th. Purdue has road losses to Missouri, Mich St, and Clemson making them 5-3 SU on the road. They were at least a 9 point dog in each of those match-ups. Purdue is 11-2 ATS against conference opponents and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games including their last 6 on the road.
The Shooters
The Hoosiers have 4 players that average double digits in scoring, led by freshman guard Eric Gordon who averages 21.7 ppg. DJ White is 2nd on the team averaging 17.6 ppg, and Jordan Crawford averages 10.5 ppg. Armon Bassett averages 10.1 ppg and is the second on the team in assists with 3.1 apg. Jamarcus Ellis comes in 5th averaging 7.4 ppg and leads the team in assists with 4 per game.
Purdue has 3 players that average double digit scoring per game led by Etwaun Moore with 11.9 ppg. Robbie Hummel is 2nd on the team with 11.3 ppg and is tied for the team lead in assists at 2.8 per game. Keaton Grant is 3rd at 10.9 ppg and Scott Martin is 4th at 8.7 ppg. Chris Kramer is tied for the team lead with 2.8 apg and chips in 6.9 ppg. Nemanja Calasan averages 6.8 ppg while JaJuan Johnson contributes 5.6 ppg.
Offensive Statistics
The Boilermakers put up 68.5 ppg while shooting 42.9% from the floor and 36.1% from beyond the arc. On the road they average 70.2 ppg while shooting 46.1% and 36.6% beyond the arc. Indiana averages 76.2 ppg while shooting a very strong 47.5% from the floor and 31.3% from 3-point land. The Hoosiers put up 80.8 ppg while shooting a staggering 50% from the floor and a solid 39.3% from downtown when playing at home. The Hoosiers have the edge from the charity stripe shooting 76.1% while Purdue shoots 71.9%. Purdue commits 19 fouls and 13 turnovers per game while dishing out 13 assists per game. Indiana commits 18 fouls and 13 turnovers per game while dishing 14 assists per game.
Defensive Statistics
Purdue allows 60.5 ppg while opponents shoot 43.1% and 34.1% from downtown against them. Purdue allows 66 ppg as well as 43.9% shooting and 34.1% from downtown when playing on the road. Indiana allows 62.6 ppg while holding opponents to 40.3% from the floor and 33.7% from downtown. When playing at home Indiana allows 61.5 ppg, 41% shooting, and 31.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Indiana has the edge in rebounding with 38 per game compared the the 33 per game grabbed by Purdue. Both teams average 10 offensive rebounds per game. Robbie Hummel, the 2nd leading scorer on Purdue, leads the team with 5.9 rebounds per game. D.J. White, the second leading scorer for Indiana, leads the team with 10.2 rebounds per game while Jamarcus Ellis averages 7.4 rpg. Purdue averages 5 blocks per game while Indiana averages 4 per game. The Boilermakers collect 8 steals per game compared to 7 per game by the Hoosiers.
D.J. White is listed as questionable with a sprained knee.
Current line has the Hoosiers favored by 5 with the total set at 132. I am leaning heavily towards the over. I am holding off on the side until I know the official status of White. If White does not play then Purdue has to be the play for me.