ML Parlay EARLY Discussion Thread for Saturday Feb 2nd 2008. Schedule inside.

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  • Quebb Diesel
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-08
    • 3045

    #36
    ha ha...dont go chasing...thats when you get f'ed and wonder why youre such an idiot for chasing to come even...it hardly ever pays off...
    Comment
    • stingyrivers
      SBR MVP
      • 01-15-08
      • 1240

      #37
      i like the list you got there.... pretty mcuh looking at the same... with some others i will post in a bit....

      do we have any ideas what the spread/ML will be on Kansas st..?? i see them as a big part of an early play as long as the line isnt ridiculous.... i am hoping for something in the -7 to -9 range
      Comment
      • WestsidePete
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-19-07
        • 8049

        #38
        K St we probably won't know until the morning...definitelty a possible add onto the list
        Comment
        • Quebb Diesel
          SBR MVP
          • 01-26-08
          • 3045

          #39
          k state is def worth adding if the line is reasonable...but i think itll be high regardless of the fact its on the road...see that kansas line come out at 20?! i told ya!
          Comment
          • stingyrivers
            SBR MVP
            • 01-15-08
            • 1240

            #40
            definitely if... K st is anywhere near -300 to -500 they will be in my noon play with Gtown.....

            gotta look a Kent st i had that circled too just because of the lopsided records and only at -255

            you might want to look at URI for one of these... they should win their game and ML fits in these decently at -340
            Comment
            • WestsidePete
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-19-07
              • 8049

              #41
              Originally posted by Quebb Diesel
              ha ha...dont go chasing...thats when you get f'ed and wonder why youre such an idiot for chasing to come even...it hardly ever pays off...
              aahhh yea, I chased the other night w/NM St and lost...but playing Hawaii will be a good play as L Tech is absolutely horrible...and traveling all the way to Hawaii wont help them.
              Comment
              • stingyrivers
                SBR MVP
                • 01-15-08
                • 1240

                #42
                you were right man... i was way off on a few and Kansas was a good ten points higher than i was thinking.... no using them today, although was thinking of teasing them down to -9 1/2 they should win by double digits easy
                Comment
                • Quebb Diesel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-26-08
                  • 3045

                  #43
                  Originally posted by WestsidePete
                  aahhh yea, I chased the other night w/NM St and lost...but playing Hawaii will be a good play as L Tech is absolutely horrible...and traveling all the way to Hawaii wont help them.
                  TRUE...but id rather put my money on the patriots in the morning than a hawaii team i know hardly anything about...
                  Comment
                  • imgv94
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-16-05
                    • 17192

                    #44
                    Going to have a big parlay tomorrow.

                    Will be something like this...

                    Memphis
                    Kansas
                    Akron
                    Vandy
                    Oregon

                    Might add those same teams for another unit to New England.

                    GL guys..
                    Comment
                    • stingyrivers
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-15-08
                      • 1240

                      #45
                      i was on the NM st train to doubling my losses to man.... that was painful.... Hawaii is actually a 15 pt fav against the pitiful La tch so that actually makes it a tougher play
                      Comment
                      • stingyrivers
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-08
                        • 1240

                        #46
                        you too imgv.... was thinking of the same thing using the pats as the capper to a big solidplay
                        Comment
                        • Quebb Diesel
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-26-08
                          • 3045

                          #47
                          Originally posted by WestsidePete
                          aahhh yea, I chased the other night w/NM St and lost...but playing Hawaii will be a good play as L Tech is absolutely horrible...and traveling all the way to Hawaii wont help them.
                          i wont lie...i broke the first rule of betting and chased pacific till i lost all my winnings from the ncaaf bowl games...(i hit a 8 teamer on new years for 1k)
                          Comment
                          • imgv94
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-16-05
                            • 17192

                            #48
                            Money Management is extremely important if you want to survive in this game. I suggest to not risk more than 4-5% of your bankroll on any play. Of course some plays merit a larger risk. But dont regularly risk more than 4-5% of bankroll on plays.
                            Comment
                            • Quebb Diesel
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-26-08
                              • 3045

                              #49
                              Originally posted by imgv94
                              Going to have a big parlay tomorrow.

                              Will be something like this...

                              Memphis
                              Kansas
                              Akron
                              Vandy
                              Oregon

                              Might add those same teams for another unit to New England.

                              GL guys..
                              if i was anybody i think id get better money out of teasing the giants +8 to +13 (giants getting 19 to 24) depending on your book...theres no way the pats are going to win by 20-24 in the superbowl
                              Comment
                              • Quebb Diesel
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-26-08
                                • 3045

                                #50
                                Originally posted by stingyrivers
                                i was on the NM st train to doubling my losses to man.... that was painful.... Hawaii is actually a 15 pt fav against the pitiful La tch so that actually makes it a tougher play
                                def didnt take NM st...accepted my losses for the night...sorry for all those taking a bigger bite...i saw everybody on here was all over NM st and im not too sure why?
                                Comment
                                • stingyrivers
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-15-08
                                  • 1240

                                  #51
                                  i agree imgv and that has always been my goal.... 5% tops on any play.... key is you have to have a bankroll first.... so my erractic play now is in silly efforts to build one up.... cant really use the golden 5 % rule when working with 100 bucks unfortunately.... once i work it up to a few hundred there will be no play above 5% you can trust that
                                  Comment
                                  • WestsidePete
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-19-07
                                    • 8049

                                    #52
                                    2 more to look at W Kentucky and Murray St
                                    Comment
                                    • imgv94
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-16-05
                                      • 17192

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Quebb Diesel
                                      if i was anybody i think id get better money out of teasing the giants +8 to +13 (giants getting 19 to 24) depending on your book...theres no way the pats are going to win by 20-24 in the superbowl
                                      New England ML which is sitting currently at -470 or so.
                                      Comment
                                      • stingyrivers
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-15-08
                                        • 1240

                                        #54
                                        i am from new england and not really a pats fan at all, but i can tell you man.... not saying it will happen, but NE definitely has the capacity to blow this one wide open.... 49ers-chargers style in the mid 90's, i just got this feeling they love the country all over the giants and they have been waiting to explode on their biggest stage, i would feel safe with NYG +19 but not completely safe....

                                        think about it.... they beat the jags and the chargers who were both playing their hearts out by 9 and 11, and werent even in their rythm and having off days.... if they bring their A game sunday.... which i believe they have been gearing up to do..... they could score at least 38 and it will be real difficult for Eli and the giants style of offense to keep up with that......

                                        this game has about (in my worthless opinion) about a 25% chance of a result like pats 41 NYG 17
                                        Comment
                                        • stingyrivers
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-15-08
                                          • 1240

                                          #55
                                          and i know one thing for sure (98% certainty) there is no way the giants are winning this game.... so i like the pats ML as about as close to a lock a you ever get
                                          Comment
                                          • stingyrivers
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-15-08
                                            • 1240

                                            #56
                                            would love to see a kansas st line.... kind of screwing up making my noon/2 play without them, as long as the spread is less than -12, i know their ML will be in the play
                                            Comment
                                            • Quebb Diesel
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-26-08
                                              • 3045

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by stingyrivers
                                              i am from new england and not really a pats fan at all, but i can tell you man.... not saying it will happen, but NE definitely has the capacity to blow this one wide open.... 49ers-chargers style in the mid 90's, i just got this feeling they love the country all over the giants and they have been waiting to explode on their biggest stage, i would feel safe with NYG +19 but not completely safe....

                                              think about it.... they beat the jags and the chargers who were both playing their hearts out by 9 and 11, and werent even in their rythm and having off days.... if they bring their A game sunday.... which i believe they have been gearing up to do..... they could score at least 38 and it will be real difficult for Eli and the giants style of offense to keep up with that......

                                              this game has about (in my worthless opinion) about a 25% chance of a result like pats 41 NYG 17
                                              true...personally i think the patriots will win...and i think NFL is my best sport...they could blow them out...but when playing a team 3 times in one season its hard to beat them all three times in a row regardless of the situation...i think the game will be a lot closer than everybody is anticipating...
                                              Comment
                                              • Quebb Diesel
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-26-08
                                                • 3045

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by stingyrivers
                                                would love to see a kansas st line.... kind of screwing up making my noon/2 play without them, as long as the spread is less than -12, i know their ML will be in the play
                                                well out of all the early games heres what i circled out of them...

                                                nova
                                                gtown
                                                marquette
                                                maryland
                                                kent state
                                                uconn
                                                kentucky
                                                vtech
                                                & memphis of course
                                                Comment
                                                • WestsidePete
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-19-07
                                                  • 8049

                                                  #59
                                                  I agree on the possibility of the Pats blowing the game out...definitely a win...I like IMGV's parlay of adding them with the solid favs for tomorrow
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stingyrivers
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-15-08
                                                    • 1240

                                                    #60
                                                    most people around think it will be a close exciting game, some even are on the giants to win str8 up... i think vegas is loving this because i heard on Espn that they are getting 5 to 1 money on Giants +12 (5 times the amount as Pats -12) and the pats have a real shot to cover.... when they do.... vegas is gonna clean up.... i think you will see the line spike back up above -12.5 just before kickoff that is when the sharp money is gonna unload on the pats
                                                    Comment
                                                    • imgv94
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-16-05
                                                      • 17192

                                                      #61
                                                      sting if you believe NE is definitely going to win then I would love for you to put a little something on this ML Parlay..

                                                      Memphis (Won't lose at home)
                                                      Kansas (Angry after recent loss won't lose two in a row Colorado doesn't have talent to stay close let alone win)

                                                      Akron (37-1 @ home last 3 years E.Mich just not good enough)
                                                      Vandy (One of the most intimdating home courts in CBB 11-0 @ home this season)
                                                      Oregon (Will win by at least 10. Oregon St is baaaad)
                                                      New England NFL

                                                      Parlay should be around -135 to -142 odds.

                                                      Really like this one.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stingyrivers
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-15-08
                                                        • 1240

                                                        #62
                                                        my weekend paray is likely to be

                                                        GTown
                                                        Duke
                                                        UCLA
                                                        Mich St
                                                        Patriots

                                                        at -105


                                                        my list of early game candidates are this right now Quebb:


                                                        Gtown
                                                        Kent St
                                                        Kan St(?)
                                                        URI
                                                        FLa
                                                        Duke


                                                        as far as Memphis i was thinking of teasing

                                                        Kansas
                                                        Duke
                                                        Memphis
                                                        Gtown

                                                        or something like that all down below double digits


                                                        be careful of Uconn, pitt looked like crap against rutgers last sat.... and uconn might have the edge... but i believe Pitt objectively is the better team
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Quebb Diesel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-26-08
                                                          • 3045

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by imgv94
                                                          sting if you believe NE is definitely going to win then I would love for you to put a little something on this ML Parlay..

                                                          Memphis (Won't lose at home)
                                                          Kansas (Angry after recent loss won't lose two in a row Colorado doesn't have talent to stay close let alone win)

                                                          Akron (37-1 @ home last 3 years E.Mich just not good enough)
                                                          Vandy (One of the most intimdating home courts in CBB 11-0 @ home this season)
                                                          Oregon (Will win by at least 10. Oregon St is baaaad)
                                                          New England NFL

                                                          Parlay should be around -135 to -142 odds.

                                                          Really like this one.
                                                          love the play...but depending on how you feel about vandy you could easily find another play that is around the same ML...(i.e. MSU @ penn state)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • stingyrivers
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-15-08
                                                            • 1240

                                                            #64
                                                            thanks imgv, i like it a lot.... not sure i can get ML on Kansas and Oregon, but it looks like a lock, as locks go

                                                            what do you think of

                                                            UCLA
                                                            Duke and Mich St?

                                                            any risk in those winning str8 up
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Quebb Diesel
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-26-08
                                                              • 3045

                                                              #65
                                                              i think you WILL win the top play...love the fla and uri picks but they are both playing tough teams...how much are you teasing the bottom one?

                                                              yeah i actually circled pitt on my games...uconn's luck streak is bound to end even though i most likely wont play it...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • imgv94
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-16-05
                                                                • 17192

                                                                #66
                                                                I'm shying away from UCLA. Of course they will probably win but Arizona is capable of beating them IMO.

                                                                Duke should definitely win but something just doesn't feel right. I'll probably end up adding them in parlay. Michigan St should definitely win too.

                                                                Lots of possibiltes for tomorrow. I'm pumped as hell.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Quebb Diesel
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-26-08
                                                                  • 3045

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by stingyrivers
                                                                  thanks imgv, i like it a lot.... not sure i can get ML on Kansas and Oregon, but it looks like a lock, as locks go

                                                                  what do you think of

                                                                  UCLA
                                                                  Duke and Mich St?

                                                                  any risk in those winning str8 up
                                                                  msu easily ML...penn state okay...but no way can the compete w/ msu...ucla and duke are playing teams that are easily capable of an upset though
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Quebb Diesel
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-26-08
                                                                    • 3045

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by imgv94
                                                                    I'm shying away from UCLA. Of course they will probably win but Arizona is capable of beating them IMO.

                                                                    Duke should definitely win but something just doesn't feel right. I'll probably end up adding them in parlay. Michigan St should definitely win too.

                                                                    Lots of possibiltes for tomorrow. I'm pumped as hell.
                                                                    you and i think alike!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • stingyrivers
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-15-08
                                                                      • 1240

                                                                      #69
                                                                      not a huge fan of teasers but the one i was talking about would be a 10 pt tease

                                                                      Duke -5.5
                                                                      Gtown -4.5
                                                                      Kansas -9.5
                                                                      Memphis -11.5

                                                                      at -150
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • imgv94
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-16-05
                                                                        • 17192

                                                                        #70
                                                                        definitely on the same page thats a good thing..

                                                                        How many plays are you going to have tomorrow? I might have 15-18 when it's said and done.
                                                                        Comment
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