SBR's Source for FADEs.... Top Betting Trends

JayTrotter · 03-29-10, 09:52 PM

How bout those nets boys? outright? fade away!!! how long have you followed this?? I used to do this with my most successful system ever. The system was called the DAVE system, cuz DAVE had an incredible record at betting. He lost every one.

thebestthereis · 03-30-10, 07:40 AM

not sure what to make of the dayton line move. i have a feeling the smart guys took the +2 and now are looking to get +points on ole miss too as a middle. just my opinion.

khaden · 03-30-10, 10:35 AM

went 1-1 yesterday with VCU and Jazz-should have went 2-1 but I didn't have the balls to play the Nets.

Wolf40 · 03-30-10, 10:43 AM

It looks like Dayton and NC are tops on the list for Fade material today! The thing is the line is moving with Dayton so that might not be as strong but what Debo said was always FADE the top and they are on the top as of now.

Let me know if I am on the right track here.

Fadernation!

Wolf40 · 03-30-10, 10:58 AM

NC line actually just moved to a PK as well.

hanco21 · 03-30-10, 11:36 AM

Nice call with VCU today

paul8888 · 03-30-10, 12:25 PM

i was leaning the same way wolf, but lets wait till houl can respond!

thebestthereis · 03-30-10, 01:46 PM

ole miss for me. dayton on top of the fadernation bible list and i truly believe the wise guys and sam rothstein steam dayton just to come back and take ole miss once the suckers jumped on board. obviously this play is no lock and i don't ever use that word but i believe it is the right side tonight. dayton is a very good team too. good luck!

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 01:54 PM

Mondays Plays

VCU -9.5 W

Utah -11 L

Optional FADE: Nets W Not counted towards record

Record (9-2)

teecee · 03-30-10, 01:58 PM

How is Rhode Island sprd (29%) up in the top 10, but Pacific sprd (78%) dropped out of the top 10? Does that make any sense?

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 02:05 PM

3/30

Dayton is the top pick, and has been there for two days. But we cant FADE it, because the line has moved with the money. This was pointed out , by Bestthereis/Debo. We will not fade it.

OKC is a FADE. ML, and point spread is all over the list. Play on Sixers. Remember since we are betting against the world, you guys can wait to get the best of the number.

Also I'm working on a system for underbet favs, and overbet favs. I looking to FADE Dogs getting 75% of the action, and FADEing favs getting 75% of the action. I wont feel comfortable FADEing this way unless pulling the trigger an hour B4 gametime. Thus allowing everyone to bet the game, getting an accurate percentage.

Play Sixers

Leans on Over/Under Bets
Thunder Overbet Fav
Clipps Overbet Dog
Rockets Overbet Fav

Record (9-2)

thechaoz · 03-30-10, 02:21 PM

When you say the 'line has moved with the money" can you briefly explain? So for example if dayton was the public choice at 75% and -2 if the "line moved with the money" and more money came into Dayton at lets say 77% consensus would Dayton be going to -2.5 or -3? (for books to balance action) Sorry for the noob questions but I am always trying to learn and just delving into some more deeper thinking about sports betting.

Fading is something I am def new too but it seems like so much fun

mangina11 · 03-30-10, 02:21 PM

Houli this is a great thread man. Appreciate all the work, and lets make some more money!

teecee · 03-30-10, 02:21 PM

Pacific ML and spread have been in the top 10 most of the day. You're not going with Missouri St. spread here?

hanco21 · 03-30-10, 02:22 PM

Would North Carolina be considered a fade since its #2 on the list

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by thechaoz

When you say the 'line has moved with the money" can you briefly explain?

Dayton opened up at +1.5. With the flood of Dayton money, now Dayton is -1.5

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 02:30 PM

Originally posted by teecee

Pacific ML and spread have been in the top 10 most of the day. You're not going with Missouri St. spread here?

The names have to stay on the list, not pop up. If it is their within the next couple of hours, and stays FADE AWAY

Originally posted by hanco21

Would North Carolina be considered a fade since its #2 on the list

I'm waiting to see if the line holds. right now there is RLM as North Carolina is getting the action, but URI is holding as the FAV. FADE AWAY

teecee · 03-30-10, 02:35 PM

Note to self: It has to STAY on the list. Gotcha!

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 02:37 PM

ADD: North Carolina as a FADE

There is RLM on this line, as UNC is getting the action, but URI is holding as the fav. Thanks Hanco for pointed that pot.

Play Sixers
Play Rhode Island

Leans on Over/Under Bets
Thunder Overbet Fav
Clipps Overbet Dog
Rockets Overbet Fav

angelodebo · 03-30-10, 02:43 PM

What up FADERs!

3/30

I don't mess with the NBA strictly NFL,NCAA football & basketball. So sorry if I don't comment about the NBA FADE. I guess if I keep seeing success FADING the NBA, I'll have to jump on board.

Otherwise #1-Dayton & #2-UNC

I'm love URI b/c of the reverse line movement. Whenever I see a top pick on the board and the line moves the other way, I always FADE that pick. So URI is def getting my money tonight.

#1 Dayton- this is a tough one b/c as Houli pointed out the line moved with Dayton 2pts. That being said, I will still FADE the flyers. Tenn moved 2pts vs Mich St, so why not keep on FADING...We have hit everything lately! But this will be a very small play and I wouldn't place this game in your FADE stats.

*also note- the FADE system works best with alot of games on the board. For me..I only got 2 college games. So, like I've written before, the more games going..the more chance for a real FADE to rise above.

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 02:50 PM

FADERNATION

RJ89 · 03-30-10, 02:55 PM

Meh.. right now I'm just fading OKC who is getting massive action at the site..

UNC is # 2, but URI is still high on the list.. Mississippi is also high on the list. I'm keeping my eye on the Washington/ Houston game and the Phoenix/ Chicago games.. Both are getting really high percentages on the favorites at that site..

tealish · 03-30-10, 02:55 PM

Nice plays, Houli. Keep the fades going strong

doylfish · 03-30-10, 03:06 PM

i think the bulls will definitely be a fade play by tip, they're looking good enough right now as it is

teecee · 03-30-10, 03:13 PM

How in the hell can the Bulls even make the top 10, when they only have 26% of the play? Something is not right with the top 10, unless I'm missing something

RJ89 · 03-30-10, 03:22 PM

Yeah, does anyone here like looking into the games on the list at least a little to see why the sharps are on one side, while the squares are on the other? Today the OKC game is a lookahead game as they have Boston coming up next. Chicago is desperate for a playoff spot, and have a matchup advantage inside now that Noah is back. With yesterday's game, the Spurs were playing really well, but it's crazy to bet on them against anyone when Manu was out and they were on the road. And Butler had matchup advantages against Syracuse and were just as good as Syracuse with Oanaku out.

HoulihansTX · 03-30-10, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by RJ89

Yeah, does anyone here like looking into the games on the list at least a little to see why the sharps are on one side, while the squares are on the other? Today the OKC game is a lookahead game as they have Boston coming up next. Chicago is desperate for a playoff spot, and have a matchup advantage inside now that Noah is back. With yesterday's game, the Spurs were playing really well, but it's crazy to bet on them against anyone when Manu was out and they were on the road. And Butler had matchup advantages against Syracuse and were just as good as Syracuse with Oanaku out.

You are handicapping, and we are simply FADEing. I handicap games also, but the FADE is strong

Sunde91 · 03-30-10, 03:35 PM

May the FADE almighty be with us all

RJ89 · 03-30-10, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

You are handicapping, and we are simply FADEing. I handicap games also, but the FADE is strong

Lol, true..

thebestthereis · 03-30-10, 03:55 PM

never understood handicapping. if you can just handicap the game and hit a high enough % all the time that easy sportsbooks would not exist. if you can't do that then they do exist everywhere, look around that is what we have. i'll take my chances that most can't handicap and bet against them. just like when everyone jumps on a stock at the wrong time and it tanks, thats when you short. this is not brain surgery.

khaden · 03-30-10, 04:03 PM

I am a believer! You guys (Houlihans,Angelodebo,thebestheris) are the shit--this is great stuff. As you pointed you can wait to game time to make a bet and get even better lines after everyone else bet them up in our favor.

khaden · 03-30-10, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

never understood handicapping. if you can just handicap the game and hit a high enough % all the time that easy sportsbooks would not exist. if you can't do that then they do exist everywhere, look around that is what we have. i'll take my chances that most can't handicap and bet against them. just like when everyone jumps on a stock at the wrong time and it tanks, thats when you short. this is not brain surgery.

EXACTLY

ebbearsfb1 · 03-30-10, 04:44 PM

are you playing both money line and spread on sixers?

thebestthereis · 03-30-10, 06:09 PM

i honestly have not bet yet. i may pull the trigger on a 2nd half bet.

angelodebo · 03-30-10, 06:16 PM

I got Miss (FADING #1 Dayton) for a very small wager. I actually took them on a parlay with URI. I usually don't play parlays. But after going 4-0 this weekend and hitting VA Com last night...I'm collect high four figures this week from the book so I can take small chances.

I'm still all over URI tonight (FADING #2 w/ rev line movement). Lets hope this streak can continue!