Widest disparities between line and "my line"

KingKolzig · 03-17-10, 12:25 AM

gonzaga is going to be shocked by the length and atleticism on the fsu defense. if fsu can make 40-45% from the field they will pound gonzaga

THE PROFIT · 03-17-10, 12:25 AM

Good luck! Ill definately take a look at these

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 12:25 AM

I actually have quite a few of these written down which gives me even more confidence, SNOW. Only games we seem to disagree on are Wisconsin/Wofford and UNI/UNLV.

Xavier and Gonzaga have been two of my top plays, and North Texas, USCB and Montana have been three of my top underdogs.

Let's hope we're both right on these.

Interested to see what you have on UTEP/Butler and Murray State/Vandy. I also like Oklahoma State covering the -1.5 vs. GA Tech.

KingKolzig · 03-17-10, 12:25 AM

i agree with you on clemson though, im usually iffy on them but missouri even more so. i like clemson by 9+ in that one

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 12:26 AM

Originally posted by KingKolzig

i agree with you on clemson though, im usually iffy on them but missouri even more so. i like clemson by 9+ in that one

Clemson *should* win, but never underestimate Purnell's ability to shat the bed in the ncaa tournament.

Snowball · 03-17-10, 12:40 AM

I'm a little bit surprised how little respect North Texas is getting, perhaps it's too many come from behind victories lately, letting themselves get down too much.. but really I think it's just the hype on Kansas State. I think people want to like Kansas State a lot more than they deserve because of the rivalry with Kansas. Obama has them getting to the Final Four, i can't see that at all.
NT will be a teaser-up for me, as many will be.. I see myself going on many teasers.
Concerning Florida State and their athleticism, I'm not very concerned, Bouldin and the Zags are a better shooting team and I'll take finesse over thuggery. This is basketball not football.
Clemson another VERY solid play they have too much going for them to choke first round, Missouri defense is not up to the task (imo).. about Wofford and Wisconsin, Wisconsin can stifle that team.
Wofford is a sexy cinderella who played mostly weaker southern conf opponents, none of which even remotely compare to Wisconsin defensively.
UNLV is a much more well-rounded team than Northern Iowa, who relies on Eglseder too much, they reign him in, or with UNLV simply outscore that one player and they can roll.

Chi_archie · 03-17-10, 12:42 AM

good practice to do what you do there snowball... when I have enough time I do it.... so about 25% of the time. then I go back and search for why my line might be off...starting with injuries ect

2daBank · 03-17-10, 12:44 AM

k-st very good probably are a final 4 team but i agree with taking the points in the opening round.....i watch some n.tex this year but i need to check into this unless you already have snow, can n.tex hold there own down low against a very rugged k-st team?

Snowball · 03-17-10, 12:47 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Interested to see what you have on UTEP/Butler and Murray State/Vandy. I also like Oklahoma State covering the -1.5 vs. GA Tech.

i won't play these games. I don't trust UTEP, although I believe they can beat Butler. Ok St and Geo Tech are closely matched also, my lean is GT but it's a no play. Murray/Vandy another no-play could go either way if I had to choose I'd take Vandy. Murray hasn't been up to snuff lately.

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 12:58 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

Obama has them getting to the Final Four, i can't see that at all.

Nothing more needs to be said. Do you get any more square than Obama's plays? He also has friggin' Nova in the FF.

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

UNLV is a much more well-rounded team than Northern Iowa, who relies on Eglseder too much, they reign him in, or with UNLV simply outscore that one player and they can roll.

I don't agree with this at all. "Relies on Eglseder too much"? How do you figure?

As for UNLV, look at how they handled a slow-down, tempo-controlling team like USC (i.e., they didn't).

Snowball · 03-17-10, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

k-st very good probably are a final 4 team but i agree with taking the points in the opening round.....i watch some n.tex this year but i need to check into this unless you already have snow, can n.tex hold there own down low against a very rugged k-st team?

NT and Kansas St are two of the most-fouled teams. Kansas St top guards are going to get their points. a lot of points. But what I think is being overlooked is North Texas well-balanced offense.. 5 players avg in double-digits, they are never at a loss on who to pass the ball to, their top 4 absorbed 120 fouls this year. They aren't going to be shy about penetration. Turnover differential favors KS, admittable, but we're talking about teasing at least 5 more points to +21 here. When you need those pts to cover, you need hoop chargers who get fouled. I don't think they will be humiliated.

Close Menu

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/report/NTX/13065604/mean-green-report-getting-inside?tag=pageContainer;TeamNews

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

NT and Kansas St are two of the most-fouled teams. Kansas St top guards are going to get their points. a lot of points. But what I think is being overlooked is North Texas well-balanced offense.. 5 players avg in double-digits, they are never at a loss on who to pass the ball to, their top 4 absorbed 120 fouls this year. They aren't going to be shy about penetration. Turnover differential favors KS, admittable, but we're talking about teasing at least 5 more points to +21 here. When you need those pts to cover, you need hoop chargers who get fouled. I don't think they will be humiliated.

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebask...ainer;TeamNews

I actually think we'll see NT lead for a decent portion of this game before K-State pulls away to win by 11-12.

Snowball · 03-17-10, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I don't agree with this at all. "Relies on Eglseder too much"? How do you figure?

As for UNLV, look at how they handled a slow-down, tempo-controlling team like USC (i.e., they didn't).

I was thinking specifically of the loss at Evansville which was less than a month ago Feb 23.. He did not play that game.
Evansville was downright terrible this year, why couldn't they win that one without him ?

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

I was thinking specifically of the loss at Evansville which was less than a month ago Feb 23.. He did not play that game.
Evansville was downright terrible this year, why couldn't they win that one without him ?

Who knows. Hell, Evansville almost swept Wichita State somehow.

UNI is very balanced and disciplined. They also have size. I just think it's a horrible matchup for UNLV with all of that being said. We'll see.

Snowball · 03-17-10, 01:28 AM

well, i probably won't play UNLV. It was only a lean. If you can convince me that the top 4 I posted are off the mark, please do.. seriously.. there are so many possible bets it's mind boggling and I play NBA every night also we have NIT matchups. We have to whittle down the field.

DrStale · 03-17-10, 01:35 AM

You're probably looking at a very good or very bad outcome here...BOL.

No coincidences · 03-17-10, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

well, i probably won't play UNLV. It was only a lean. If you can convince me that the top 4 I posted are off the mark, please do.. seriously.. there are so many possible bets it's mind boggling and I play NBA every night also we have NIT matchups. We have to whittle down the field.

Like I said, the only one I'd consider dropping would be Clemson due to the Purnell factor.