SAN DIEGO STATE ml + 160 ( DONT NEED THE POINTS )

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  • nobs
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-09
    • 4216

    #1
    SAN DIEGO STATE ml + 160 ( DONT NEED THE POINTS )
    I love the Aztecs to win it straight up against Tennessee. I just dont see how San Diego State is not the favorite here by 5 or 6 points. It has to be because Tennessee is a more well known public team playing in a more well known conference.

    I think this is like the superbowl. There will be a lot of people gambling who dont usually gamble and they will see Tennessee and think, that's an easy cover. Trust me, it wont be. In fact, San Diego State will win this game.

    I think the Aztecs have everything going for them in this game. They match up very well with Tennessee. I think the big key to the game here is that the Aztecs will dominate the boards and that will translate into a 5-6 point victory.

    San Diego State is 25-8 and that is not a padded record playing in the Mountain West. The Mountain West was a very good conference this year. It included 310 New Mexico, #15 BYU, a 25-8 UNLV team, San Diego State, and Utah and TCU who are both pretty decent. So The Aztecs didnt just pad their record against a weak conference.

    San Diego State beat New Mexico twice. New Mexico only lost 4 games all year long. They also beat a 25-8 UNLV team twice, they beat Arizona by 17, and beat a 20-8 UCSB team by 8 at UCSB. As impressive as their 25-8 record is, it should have been better. The Aztecs lost 2 games by 2 points and a third game by 3 points. They could have easily been a 28-5 team. This is a good SDST team.

    Tennessee has the same 25-8 record, but this is a good Volunteer team when they play at Tennessee. They have been horrid on the road or on neutral courts this year. This team struggled with Depaul on a neutral court. They lost by 29 to Kentucky, lost by 15 to a 14-17 Georgia team, lost by 13 to Florida, lost by 22 to a 15-16 South Carolina team.

    Both of the Volunteers impressive wins came on their home court. They beat Kansas and Kentucky but both at home. They are a different team when not playing at Tennessee.

    I know every team is better at home, but San Diego State does have some impressive wins even on the road, and did finish the season with a winning record away from home.

    I think The Aztecs will win on the boards in this game as well. They bring a balanced attack with 4 players averaging double digit points per game. Kahwi Leonard is also pulling down 9 Rebounds a game in addition to scoring 12.8. Billy White averages 11.2 PPG and almost 5 RPG, and I think he will be very hard for the Tennessee defense to handle. The Volunteer defense gives up 65 PPG, and has given up almost 70 PPG in the last 7.

    I think The Aztecs will score early and often here and win this game easily. I dont want the 3 points, I will take the +160 ML.

    San Diego State 74 Tennessee 67
  • suckerforparlays
    Restricted User
    • 02-15-10
    • 4536

    #2
    just hope it doesnt come down to freethrows.......
    Comment
    • princesspolamalu
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-10-10
      • 373

      #3
      You might have convinced me here....Tenn screwed me royally in the tourney a few years back when they were a 2 seed and lost to Winthrop...cost me a 10 team ML parlay. I hate those guys so if you say Aztecs....I may follow. GL! And thanks for the good write up.
      Comment
      • nobs
        Restricted User
        • 08-31-09
        • 4216

        #4
        Thanks princess. Tennessee has been in 17 NCAA Tourneys, San Diego State has never won a NCAA tourney game. This year they will. The Aztecs are the better team. I agree the free throw shooting sucks on both sides. The Aztecs team is 62%, Tennessee is 66%.
        Comment
        • suckerforparlays
          Restricted User
          • 02-15-10
          • 4536

          #5
          lol it gonna be a nailbiter if it comes down to a few points lol
          Comment
          • AKATDOG
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-31-09
            • 314

            #6
            im also on SD LETS GO!!
            Comment
            • THE PROFIT
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-27-09
              • 17701

              #7
              Ya'll have done went & lost your fukin minds!
              Comment
              • Ralphie1412
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-08
                • 13963

                #8
                Even if I liked TN in this game, you couldnt PAY me to bet them. They are the most frustrating team that ever was. Live and die by the jumpshot.

                If TN beats SD st they will be on fire from 3 point line, then get waxed by georgetown.
                "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                Goat Milk
                Comment
                • awholelottalumps
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-14-07
                  • 1049

                  #9
                  Originally posted by nobs
                  I love the Aztecs to win it straight up against Tennessee. I just dont see how San Diego State is not the favorite here by 5 or 6 points. It has to be because Tennessee is a more well known public team playing in a more well known conference.

                  I think this is like the superbowl. There will be a lot of people gambling who dont usually gamble and they will see Tennessee and think, that's an easy cover. Trust me, it wont be. In fact, San Diego State will win this game.

                  I think the Aztecs have everything going for them in this game. They match up very well with Tennessee. I think the big key to the game here is that the Aztecs will dominate the boards and that will translate into a 5-6 point victory.

                  San Diego State is 25-8 and that is not a padded record playing in the Mountain West. The Mountain West was a very good conference this year. It included 310 New Mexico, #15 BYU, a 25-8 UNLV team, San Diego State, and Utah and TCU who are both pretty decent. So The Aztecs didnt just pad their record against a weak conference.

                  San Diego State beat New Mexico twice. New Mexico only lost 4 games all year long. They also beat a 25-8 UNLV team twice, they beat Arizona by 17, and beat a 20-8 UCSB team by 8 at UCSB. As impressive as their 25-8 record is, it should have been better. The Aztecs lost 2 games by 2 points and a third game by 3 points. They could have easily been a 28-5 team. This is a good SDST team.

                  Tennessee has the same 25-8 record, but this is a good Volunteer team when they play at Tennessee. They have been horrid on the road or on neutral courts this year. This team struggled with Depaul on a neutral court. They lost by 29 to Kentucky, lost by 15 to a 14-17 Georgia team, lost by 13 to Florida, lost by 22 to a 15-16 South Carolina team.

                  Both of the Volunteers impressive wins came on their home court. They beat Kansas and Kentucky but both at home. They are a different team when not playing at Tennessee.

                  I know every team is better at home, but San Diego State does have some impressive wins even on the road, and did finish the season with a winning record away from home.

                  I think The Aztecs will win on the boards in this game as well. They bring a balanced attack with 4 players averaging double digit points per game. Kahwi Leonard is also pulling down 9 Rebounds a game in addition to scoring 12.8. Billy White averages 11.2 PPG and almost 5 RPG, and I think he will be very hard for the Tennessee defense to handle. The Volunteer defense gives up 65 PPG, and has given up almost 70 PPG in the last 7.

                  I think The Aztecs will score early and often here and win this game easily. I dont want the 3 points, I will take the +160 ML.

                  San Diego State 74 Tennessee 67
                  Agree totally,I have them winning as well.
                  Comment
                  • KingKolzig
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-02-10
                    • 5550

                    #10
                    Tennessee 76 Kansas 68
                    Comment
                    • sportsguy04
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-21-08
                      • 11885

                      #11
                      Did you just say you cant believe SDSU isnt favored by 5-6 points? Whatcha smoking?
                      Comment
                      • docbarnes
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-05-09
                        • 127

                        #12
                        Tennessee is the only team since 2002 to beat the #1 and #2 team in a single season. I live in Knoxville and can say that they are frustrating at times, but when they are on they can beat anyone in the country and they have proven it. I agree with the SDST comments, but all the talk in town from the players is how they have been slighted in their seeding and how Seth mentioned them getting upset three different times in the Bracket Show. I personally am not going to touch this with a 10 foot pole. I will say that I can see a motivated TN team trying to prove the naysayers wrong.
                        Comment
                        • THE PROFIT
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-27-09
                          • 17701

                          #13
                          you're exactly right doc. Our kids will be pissed & out to whip ass. SDSU doesn't stand a chance
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by THE PROFIT
                            you're exactly right doc. Our kids will be pissed & out to whip ass. SDSU doesn't stand a chance

                            id say this is a slightly overboard statement as if they didnt stand a chance the spread wouldnt be 2.5....im not betting this game did pick sd st in a few brackets though
                            Comment
                            • talnted
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-11-09
                              • 1664

                              #15
                              Wouldnt surprise me at all if they win SU. Great write up
                              Comment
                              • MJFtheGenius
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-31-07
                                • 7257

                                #16
                                There is value with them
                                Comment
                                • suckerforparlays
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-15-10
                                  • 4536

                                  #17
                                  Tenn is a strong home team but I even leaned SDSU here not really sure though not money on this game for me
                                  Comment
                                  • THE PROFIT
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-27-09
                                    • 17701

                                    #18
                                    I dont wanna hear any whining when its over
                                    Comment
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