Fresno St +14.5 @ Utah St:
I am not one to jump teams laying this many points, but this seems too easy… which means it probably is. Utah St has dominated the WAC this season, winning 13 straight. Fresno St on the other hand has been bad, real bad. The Bulldogs were blown away in their last game against a mediocre (at best) San Jose St team by 27. I am usually cautious when betting games like this (small conference games late in the season) because the top teams usually have the conf title wrapped up. Fortunately, the Aggies only have a one game advantage over NM St and need a victory. On the other hand, the Aggies could be looking past Fresno with NM St coming into town this weekend. Having said this, it is either Utah St or no play for me. Fresno is way too bad to put money on having lost to the Aggies by 26 earlier in the season at home. The Aggs made 12 three pointers in that game and held Fresno to 29% shooting. While I do not expect the Aggies to make 12 bombs again, I do expect their defense to hold Fresno to under 60. In their last game, the Bulldogs were held to 25% shooting by a SJST defense that is no where near the level of Utah Sts. I like UTST big in this one.
Thoughts, plays?
I am not one to jump teams laying this many points, but this seems too easy… which means it probably is. Utah St has dominated the WAC this season, winning 13 straight. Fresno St on the other hand has been bad, real bad. The Bulldogs were blown away in their last game against a mediocre (at best) San Jose St team by 27. I am usually cautious when betting games like this (small conference games late in the season) because the top teams usually have the conf title wrapped up. Fortunately, the Aggies only have a one game advantage over NM St and need a victory. On the other hand, the Aggies could be looking past Fresno with NM St coming into town this weekend. Having said this, it is either Utah St or no play for me. Fresno is way too bad to put money on having lost to the Aggies by 26 earlier in the season at home. The Aggs made 12 three pointers in that game and held Fresno to 29% shooting. While I do not expect the Aggies to make 12 bombs again, I do expect their defense to hold Fresno to under 60. In their last game, the Bulldogs were held to 25% shooting by a SJST defense that is no where near the level of Utah Sts. I like UTST big in this one.
Thoughts, plays?