NCAA Hoops: Texas (-2) at Oklahoma State is the play today

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  • stevek173
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-29-08
    • 27598

    #1
    NCAA Hoops: Texas (-2) at Oklahoma State is the play today
    Tough one yesterday as the Caps took some dumb penalties and missed a couple empty net tries as they defeated the Lightning 3-2 but failed to cover for us. We've had a great couple of weeks though so let's keep rolling.



    Let's head out for some NCAA hoops tonight as Oklahoma State plays host to a reeling Texas team.


    A lot of people are jumping off of the Texas Longhorn bandwagon right about now. After a widely publicized 17-0 start and a #1 ranking, they have gone on to lose 3 of their last 4 games, including a recent 80-77 home overtime loss at the hands of a potent Baylor team. Yes they were never a good as their #1 ranking, but clearly the Horns outclass Oklahoma State.


    A couple of Oklahoma State's losses really stick out to me. Sure Tulsa is pretty strong this year and it was on their home court but 86-65 to them? Are you serious? The more recent stinker for the Cowboys is a putrid 95-80 loss at the hands of Missouri. Clearly this is a team that some nights is just not competitive.


    One thing you know with the Longhorns is they will show up to play. Even in their 3 recent loses to Kansas, UConn and Baylor, they were in every one of those games until the end. Each one of those teams easily outclasses the Cowboys any day of the week as well.


    Sure Oklahoma State is unbeaten at home and that might scare you. That 81-52 score over Texas Tech might scare you because you see that Tech was ranked #22 at the time. Well let me enlighten you by telling you that Tech is still winless in conference play on the road.


    On defense the stats are similar as Texas has allowed 67.5 pts per game with State allowing just 65.9, but on offense the Horns are clearly more powerful as they average 85.3 pts per game with State at just 74.9. Add the fact that Texas has clearly played a much tougher out of conference schedule, again averaging a potent 85.3 pts per game.


    Conclusion? No truly legit wins for Oklahoma State. Some recent losses for Texas yes, but all to very good competition. By far a much more explosive offense and much better competition overall. Point Guard Roy Penn is also injured for the Cowboys. With all this being said -2 is a joke, the Longhorns win this likely by double digits. I'd get on it quickly as I see it is now -2.5 at one book.


    Let's go with our standard 10 units on the Horns, -2 (-110).
  • Busterflywheel
    SBR MVP
    • 12-13-09
    • 3991

    #2
    Great write up...I with you on the horns today..
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      pass...nice write up though....gl
      Comment
      • PAPSMEAR
        SBR MVP
        • 02-13-09
        • 2581

        #4
        it's one of those situations that you know that they are a better team than they've been showing and when they get it all together they'll start blowing teams like OS out of the water. the question is do they have their shit together. last 3 or so games they have been very ordinary by their standards. the line is tempting but almost smells a bit trappy. let's face it if they were serious this would be a no contest job. too many question marks for my liking. will pass on this game.
        Comment
        • EmptyPocket
          SBR Hustler
          • 12-12-09
          • 50

          #5
          i'll play texas only because oklahoma st have a few injuries..and will parlay that with buffalo..and if my greed overcomes me i'll slide in iona...so good luck..
          Comment
          • dukeblue888
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-15-10
            • 360

            #6
            Texas needs a big win take them and the under
            Comment
            • runnershane14
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-23-07
              • 803

              #7
              I like texas as well.
              Comment
              • dmtrader
                SBR MVP
                • 09-26-09
                • 1320

                #8
                You can get Texas now at 1.5 at Matchbook.
                Comment
                • whatsgood5
                  Restricted User
                  • 10-13-09
                  • 15359

                  #9
                  Texas is my biggest play of the day as well. GL
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    every1 loves tex sound familiar ......not that im touching okie st so i hope you all cash
                    Comment
                    • snapstick
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-18-09
                      • 3861

                      #11
                      Originally posted by stevek173
                      Tough one yesterday as the Caps took some dumb penalties and missed a couple empty net tries as they defeated the Lightning 3-2 but failed to cover for us. We've had a great couple of weeks though so let's keep rolling.



                      Let's head out for some NCAA hoops tonight as Oklahoma State plays host to a reeling Texas team.


                      A lot of people are jumping off of the Texas Longhorn bandwagon right about now. After a widely publicized 17-0 start and a #1 ranking, they have gone on to lose 3 of their last 4 games, including a recent 80-77 home overtime loss at the hands of a potent Baylor team. Yes they were never a good as their #1 ranking, but clearly the Horns outclass Oklahoma State.


                      A couple of Oklahoma State's losses really stick out to me. Sure Tulsa is pretty strong this year and it was on their home court but 86-65 to them? Are you serious? The more recent stinker for the Cowboys is a putrid 95-80 loss at the hands of Missouri. Clearly this is a team that some nights is just not competitive.


                      One thing you know with the Longhorns is they will show up to play. Even in their 3 recent loses to Kansas, UConn and Baylor, they were in every one of those games until the end. Each one of those teams easily outclasses the Cowboys any day of the week as well.


                      Sure Oklahoma State is unbeaten at home and that might scare you. That 81-52 score over Texas Tech might scare you because you see that Tech was ranked #22 at the time. Well let me enlighten you by telling you that Tech is still winless in conference play on the road.


                      On defense the stats are similar as Texas has allowed 67.5 pts per game with State allowing just 65.9, but on offense the Horns are clearly more powerful as they average 85.3 pts per game with State at just 74.9. Add the fact that Texas has clearly played a much tougher out of conference schedule, again averaging a potent 85.3 pts per game.


                      Conclusion? No truly legit wins for Oklahoma State. Some recent losses for Texas yes, but all to very good competition. By far a much more explosive offense and much better competition overall. Point Guard Roy Penn is also injured for the Cowboys. With all this being said -2 is a joke, the Longhorns win this likely by double digits. I'd get on it quickly as I see it is now -2.5 at one book.


                      Let's go with our standard 10 units on the Horns, -2 (-110).



                      Okla State is 20-8 L28 versus ranked opponents at home including 1-0 this season.

                      Okla State is 6-1 L7 at home versus Texas as a ranked team.

                      Okla State has beaten Texas 3 times since 2003 with Texas being ranked in the top 10 in rankings.

                      Texas is 0-8 against the number in their last 8 games and they are also 0-6 against the number in their last 6 Big 12 Conference games. I can't back a team with those numbers.

                      This is always a tough game for Texas and the way they are currently playing they shouldnt even be favored in this game.
                      Comment
                      • gonnakillit
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-21-10
                        • 450

                        #12
                        70% of bettors on Texas as a two point favorite and the line hasnt moved......
                        almost everyone in here likes texas -2


                        Could it be any more obvious that the winning play is OSU +2?
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by gonnakillit
                          70% of bettors on Texas as a two point favorite and the line hasnt moved......
                          almost everyone in here likes texas -2


                          Could it be any more obvious that the winning play is OSU +2?

                          id say scary either way as public got there asses handed to them yesterday and who knows they could pick up a win here....as i said no way im beting tex though just think laying off may be the best option okie st or no play for sure
                          Comment
                          • The Expert
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-31-10
                            • 745

                            #14
                            definitely agree with the Texas pick, they're generally a lot better than Oklahoma State and these losses of late just made the spread looking that tasty. It would be something like -6/-7 normally, so this -2 is great
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Originally posted by The Expert
                              definitely agree with the Texas pick, they're generally a lot better than Oklahoma State and these losses of late just made the spread looking that tasty. It would be something like -6/-7 normally, so this -2 is great

                              did you like pit and/or wichita st as well yesterday? just curious
                              Comment
                              • Wilforth
                                Restricted User
                                • 05-10-08
                                • 16309

                                #16
                                Good write-up but won't touch this one.
                                Comment
                                • The Expert
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-31-10
                                  • 745

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  did you like pit and/or wichita st as well yesterday? just curious
                                  no wichita state, tough had Pit-3 and over 125.5 in this game
                                  Comment
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