Why not Villanova +2.5 or 3?

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

Whatever your book may have it at. Nova may not be the 6th best team in the country in my opinion but they are good. Louisville doesn't protect there house very well losing to Western Carolina by 9 and Charlotte by 22 at home. I just don't see Nova losing by 4 or more. I just don't. I think Nova wins outright by a few points. I think the books seen this play as an even matchup and the home advantage points makes LOU the favorite. I'm leaning hard like Michael Jackson(R.I.P.) in Smooth Criminal on this play but I haven't decided to play it or not. Thoughts

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Its a tossup dude. Homecourt advantage is HUGE in big games like these. Just pass and find a better play cuz it's about as good as flipping a coin on this one

[Glitch]

i liked nova at first glance too but college ball on the road is always a little risky- duke lost at georgia tech on saturday, who lost at georgia who lost at wofford.
apparently lou is gonna be real hype for this event and they are an ok team
basically its my lean but def not anywhere close to smooth criminal lean

[GiveMeaBJ]

10 poosible reasons not to bet Nova:

#1) With Louisville losing some of the games they did there is probably a good chance Villanova will over look them in this game and not take them as seriously as years past.
#2) Villanova is very guard heavy and that leaves the door open for Samardo Samuels open to the possibility of having a game changing day. Samuels weighs 30 pounds more then the heaviest player on the Nova roster.
#3) Louisville has Preston Knowles, one of the best defenders in the East and will limit Reynolds, Redding, or Fishers production depending on who he is guarding.
#4) Nova is a different team this year. They won last year on defense, they are not playing good defense and it has forced them into several tight games with the likes of Marquette (twice), George Mason, and Dayton.
#5) This game means much more to Louisvilles season then it does to Nova. Nova needs this game to stay in the top 10, Louisville needs this game to possibly get them off the bubble and making a serious tournament push.
#6) Louisville being favored is something. In conference play not a very good idea to take ranked teams as dogs vs unranked teams. Especially with Nova being on the road.
#7) Louisville 42-13 ATS in conference play in there last 55 games. I know they don't have a powerhouse as they usually do but that kind of success is still with some of these players and should have them very confident.
#8) On the road Villanova is giving up nearly 80 points per game (78.7) and at home Louisville is scoring 81 ppg. Louisville could play just average defense and still win by 12 if Nova doesn't play some defense.
#9) Louisville will rebound the ball better. Nova doesn't have one pure rebounder on there team.
#10) I am betting Louisville.

[Shortstop]

10 poosible reasons not to bet Nova:

#1) With Louisville losing some of the games they did there is probably a good chance Villanova will over look them in this game and not take them as seriously as years past.
#2) Villanova is very guard heavy and that leaves the door open for Samardo Samuels open to the possibility of having a game changing day. Samuels weighs 30 pounds more then the heaviest player on the Nova roster.
#3) Louisville has Preston Knowles, one of the best defenders in the East and will limit Reynolds, Redding, or Fishers production depending on who he is guarding.
#4) Nova is a different team this year. They won last year on defense, they are not playing good defense and it has forced them into several tight games with the likes of Marquette (twice), George Mason, and Dayton.
#5) This game means much more to Louisvilles season then it does to Nova. Nova needs this game to stay in the top 10, Louisville needs this game to possibly get them off the bubble and making a serious tournament push.
#6) Louisville being favored is something. In conference play not a very good idea to take ranked teams as dogs vs unranked teams. Especially with Nova being on the road.
#7) Louisville 42-13 ATS in conference play in there last 55 games. I know they don't have a powerhouse as they usually do but that kind of success is still with some of these players and should have them very confident.
#8) On the road Villanova is giving up nearly 80 points per game (78.7) and at home Louisville is scoring 81 ppg. Louisville could play just average defense and still win by 12 if Nova doesn't play some defense.
#9) Louisville will rebound the ball better. Nova doesn't have one pure rebounder on there team.
#10) I am betting Louisville.

Great stuff BJ! I'm staying away from this game. Good Luck!

[WhatAboutMeBitch]

tough big east games to call

[HoulihansTX]

A rule of thumb, that should become a parameter for all:

When a Ranked team goes on the road as the underdog, but is facing an unranked team. Take the unranked home team.

Vegas is telling you that the ranked team isnt that dominate.

I do it all the time. It has worked more often than not this season.

[ExposingLines247]

louisville has won the last few matchups and tonight is the classic "white out" game at freedom hall. Lou has more to play for and their size and athleticism causes problems for a guard heavy team. If they can get their outside shot working and continue to work the boards lou should escape with the win and cover. One thing sticks out to me is total seems a little high and i will loook into it further. These are my impressions at first glance

[THE PROFIT]

10 poosible reasons not to bet Nova:

#1) With Louisville losing some of the games they did there is probably a good chance Villanova will over look them in this game and not take them as seriously as years past.
#2) Villanova is very guard heavy and that leaves the door open for Samardo Samuels open to the possibility of having a game changing day. Samuels weighs 30 pounds more then the heaviest player on the Nova roster.
#3) Louisville has Preston Knowles, one of the best defenders in the East and will limit Reynolds, Redding, or Fishers production depending on who he is guarding.
#4) Nova is a different team this year. They won last year on defense, they are not playing good defense and it has forced them into several tight games with the likes of Marquette (twice), George Mason, and Dayton.
#5) This game means much more to Louisvilles season then it does to Nova. Nova needs this game to stay in the top 10, Louisville needs this game to possibly get them off the bubble and making a serious tournament push.
#6) Louisville being favored is something. In conference play not a very good idea to take ranked teams as dogs vs unranked teams. Especially with Nova being on the road.
#7) Louisville 42-13 ATS in conference play in there last 55 games. I know they don't have a powerhouse as they usually do but that kind of success is still with some of these players and should have them very confident.
#8) On the road Villanova is giving up nearly 80 points per game (78.7) and at home Louisville is scoring 81 ppg. Louisville could play just average defense and still win by 12 if Nova doesn't play some defense.
#9) Louisville will rebound the ball better. Nova doesn't have one pure rebounder on there team.
#10) I am betting Louisville.

#11 on the list but #1 in our hearts
LANG IS ON 'NOVA!!!

[southpaw74]

Nice profit!! if you need more proof look at the Kansas game yesterday

[THE PROFIT]

Yeah, my vols pulled off ahuge upset at home with all the turmoil going on in that program. That just makes everyone else step up!