Road to final four madness

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Will post plays here starting RD1. Feel free to chime in with input discussion etc..
Lets get on that money train.

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I'll be following your thread throughout The Dance, thanks for posting plays man. Def. very valued member of the SBR community here.

You got it bud.

[BetThenSweat]

I will be checking in to your thread rooting with you!

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I will be checking in to your thread rooting with you!

Lets get it.

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Bayern Lecerkusen +.5 +108

Like them to advance I think draw likely here they're very good defensively and A. Madrid is not in good form.

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SICK call on BUFFALO -1.5 1h and ML, bro! I'm FROM buffalo and I couldn't talk myself into putting a unit on UB that game. lol

ive noticed Buffalos a good 1st half team all year thought it had good value.

[2daBank]

SICK call on BUFFALO -1.5 1h and ML, bro! I'm FROM buffalo and I couldn't talk myself into putting a unit on UB that game. lol

why not? i love that team this yr.. im taking vs wvu as well.

[LeaninBack916]

Will post plays here starting RD1. Feel free to chime in with input discussion etc..
Lets get on that money train.

You gonna post NIT plays?

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You gonna post NIT plays?

if I see a good play yes. Prob in between rd of 32 and sweet 16 break.

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First NCAA Play BYU -3

Now I don't like supporting a 69/31 public % play there just aren't enough advantages I see that ole miss has over BYU. They do have individually better athletes but that alone doesn't win you games. I think BYUs trio of fifth-yr seniors will give them the leadership and toughness to advance past the 1rd here.

The thing is Ole Miss does have length but they don't utilize this well to defend the 3 allowing almost 35% clip from distance and BYU hits at a 38% clip to counter. They also don't have much of a rebounding edge and BYU excels in cleaning up the glass vs opposition. Confidence for Ole Miss right now is nonExistent and J wonder how that will translate with anxiety being even higher for a team that is excited but maybe a bit too over anxious to be here. Aside from that I think BYU has better ball movement and could wear this Rebels team out with their high-tempo ball-screen offense and cut up the Ole Miss defense.

Look for BYU to come out and try to establish a high tempo to the game and force Ole Miss into a high-paced affair. I look for them to jump all over an Kle Miss team that's clearly lost confidence down the stretch and wear them out with their explosive offense led by Haws and Cllinswirth.

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Let's get this.

[LeaninBack916]

Im on the over this game but Im cheering for BYU to win 90-80

[coc]

That one hurts..darn BYU

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That one hurts..darn BYU

Odd they just stopped playing their offense 2H. Knew it wasn't the play though according to my betting percentages favoring 70/30 public support. Public got screwed I was just hoping not to get screwed with them this time luck not on their side exactly why I normally don't approve public-heavy plays.

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Got another one for us?.

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Adding Boise ST +4

Dayton a slight public favorite at 55/45 as expected but the lines jumped all the way from opening 2 to 4.5 in some spots. Both teams come in at 25-8 overall and finished near the top of their respective conferences.

i will be honest I do think in terms of the strength of conferences this yr the MW is not as strong as it has been the last few years while the A10 is littered with tough competition. Not saying Dayton hasn't played vs good competition they've proven themselves no doubt but I like Boise's run down the stretch having won 15 of 17 to close the year including 10 by double digits.

both teams score at about the same out output Dayton at 68 and Boise at 70. Both teams also like to turn the other team over and cause 13 TOs a piece. Dayton relies on a small guard lineup to create mismatches and is perimeter-oriented although they can get to the rim as well. Boise plays small ball as well relying on solid 3 point shooting at 39% as a team. Their offense runs through the playmaking of Derrick Marks one of 5 seniors on the roster.

One advantage I like is size and rebounding for Boise which is a weakness for Dayton as Noise is +2.5 rebound margin vs -1.1 for DU. I think Boise will attempt to attack the rim and use their size to get sum production in the paint and have the guards capable of that. Their ability to hit the 3 will open up those chances to attack. On defense I like Boises tough D and ability to close out on the 3 allowing only 30% and 42% fg.

Dayton is a good home team but I do think they are only a shell of the team that made a run last year to the Elite 8 as they lost explosive scoring on the wings in Sanford, Oliver and 2 post players to suspension early this yr. They've overcome that with playing small ball and using mismatches to their advantage. But I like Boises ability to defend on the perimeter and contest shots and look for them to hurt Dayton on the glass as well. If Marks is on his game this could be an upset in the making.

riding the Broncos here taking the points.

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Let's get it.

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Tight finish what a game s shame Boise needs to play a true road game they got robbed on that last second shot was a foul. Congrats to those tailing. Let's keep it going.

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I'm leaning VCU +4 ML+160

VCU coming off A10 tourney win don't have to mention how good A10 is Daytons trip to Elite 8 last yr is proof this conference produces tough outs in the NCAA. OSU is talented but also schizophrenic and inconsistent in its play Its one thing to prepare for the pressing havoc that's about to come their way vs playing against it for the first time. Like VCU and the aggressive nature they're playing with right now even showed against Dayton they can hang in the half court game as well. More to come here tomorrow.

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Adding ND -6.5 1st H ND does everything better than NE I just don't see this as s good thing and ND also forces TOs at a higher rate. As a dog you need to be good in certain aspects over your opponent to pull an upset but I see this game bring high scoring and eventually Itish will pull away and like them to come out on fire from winning the ACC tourney and in good form fresh off the championship.

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Again VCU is my biggest play of the day as I wrote above Shaka Smart has this club playing Great basketball I won't go far as to say lock because I never use that word anything can happen but I do like how they've regained their swagger and are playing aggressive right now. Space the floor use their quickness against OSU and they're shooting the ball well tight now and that is only going to help them open up driving lanes on the offensive end.

[LeaninBack916]

like it.

Also like SMU ML.

SMU covering for me. They are really solid and keep learning from their mistakes. UCLA continues to be a fraud including getting into this tournament. SMU have power rankings all sided with them. UCLA will need to be on fire shooting-wise to have a chance and I don't see it. UCLA's defense is terrible this year and their high rebound numbers don't paint a true picture when those stats have been inflated in garbage time wins and losses.

[RRed8925]

BOL

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Here we go not playing any more plays til the VCU-OSU game at 4:40 ET good luck to all on their plays. Again VCU to advance is one of my strongest calls of the 2d round games. Get that cash.

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SMU covering for me. They are really solid and keep learning from their mistakes. UCLA continues to be a fraud including getting into this tournament. SMU have power rankings all sided with them. UCLA will need to be on fire shooting-wise to have a chance and I don't see it. UCLA's defense is terrible this year and their high rebound numbers don't paint a true picture when those stats have been inflated in garbage time wins and losses.

yes I think SMU is a dark horse sweet 16 team play the kind of defense worthy of a successful NCAA team they are a tough, talented, well-balanced driven group that can do some damage early and become dangerous in the later rounds. Best of luck.

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Been the March of Unable to hold leads wow incredible string of crunch time comebacks.

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Adding Harvard + 10 caught up with the VCU game in OT. Fukkin day of blown leads. Unreal.

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Adding East. WASH. +8

Senior-laden team that has nothing to lose all pressure is on G-town EW has the weapons at all 5 positions and can really score the ball including a skilled post presence inside. GW likely going to go inside where they are big but I think as long as EW keeps this at a high tempo they are in business.

[LeaninBack916]

Georgetown is pathetic. Down the stretch I rooted against them even more as they wasted clock and played crappy basketball. It was ugly to watch. The last second dunk was what they DIDNT do on other breakaways. Just left a poor taste in my mouth after a great day of bball.

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Georgetown is pathetic. Down the stretch I rooted against them even more as they wasted clock and played crappy basketball. It was ugly to watch. The last second dunk was what they DIDNT do on other breakaways. Just left a poor taste in my mouth after a great day of bball.

what a bunch of thugs who dunks the ball when you're up by 8 with one sec left most teams run the clock out instead of showing up the other team sum ghetto shiit right there.

Too bad can't win them all. Overall decent day made most of my change off VCU n Harvard. Terrible beat with SMU didn't play them but that is a strange way to lose that guy who touched the ball must be kicking himself a goaltend of a 3 pt basket to Lose the game wow it's March you can't make this stuff up incredible day of upsets and barn burners.

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Adding Kansas -5.5 -107 1H

Too much athleticism and firepower for Jayhawks here look down NMST and that conf. Schedule and it is littered with no-name teams. Now while I know they have seniors that have played bigger programs before it's hard to adjust to a ultra-talented and skilled bunch like Kansas after playing down to grossly inferior competition for most of the year.

But I like how Jayhawks played in the conf. Tourney and really were impressive at times in win over Baylor and their confidence is back. Add in disappointment of losing a big lead vs ISU in BIG12 title game like Jayhawks to come out flying here.