wed ncaa hoops discussion thread

[2daBank]

ive only played one so far but there lot of good gms on the card so wanted to get the thread started..

provo-2.. so square it not even funny but i cant help myself. provo has too much size and too much talent for the train wreck that SH has become down the stretch. they should win inside and on the boards against a hall team that has allowed teams to shoot 53% inside the arc in conf play..

[2daBank]

utah st/wyo is a interesting gm, tough not to wanna play utah st, better team catching points who already spanked wyo once this yr in a wire to wire victory at utah st. biggest issue would be wyo has a lot of seniors including nance and this is senior night so have to expect wyo's best effort here.. i dunno, still tempted to take the points..

[2daBank]

richmond/umass another gm along those same lines. spiders the better team playing better ball but esho and lalanne's senior night. of coarse umass biggest problem is far to often they dont get these guys involved as they should be. richmond gonna win the turnover battle but umass should have the edge on the offensive boards. tough gm, richmond the better team but where they weakest is inside against the 2 seniors.

[2daBank]

oregon st def has my interest. only 1 home loss on the season playing a ducks team that is hot but is playing their 3rd straight on the road. much better defensive team catching points at home where they been tough all season, and playing a team on their 3rd straight road tilt makes for a pretty decent bet i think..wish they had a couple seniors on their roster, lol..

[Snowball]

I wouldn't take PC until the tournament starts..it's Senior Night at SH
and PC is not going to miss the dance, ranked in the mid-20s.
there are lots of traps this week and the lines don't lie.
Johnnies at Marquette is another. Heck, even Wake +18.5 at Duke could be.
I'm in tournament mode and going by the rules i follow. Looking only at 4
games tonight, all home teams, all first round, St Francis NY, Robert Morris,
New Hampshire and NC-Asheville.

[2daBank]

I wouldn't take PC until the tournament starts..it's Senior Night at SH
and PC is not going to miss the dance, ranked in the mid-20s.
there are lots of traps this week and the lines don't lie.
Johnnies at Marquette is another. Heck, even Wake +18.5 at Duke could be.
I'm in tournament mode and going by the rules i follow. Looking only at 4
games tonight, all home teams, all first round, St Francis NY, Robert Morris,
New Hampshire and NC-Asheville.

senior night isnt the end all be all, not to mention hall has like 1 senior.. to each is own but i have no problem playing late season gms and dont really care to be laying all those points on bunch of shit conf tourney gms..

[Snowball]

Hall has 2 departing seniors. http://www.northjersey.com/sports/ba...pect-1.1281868
good luck. all depends on what you got going. if it's just a regular unit-type bet, nothing wrong with that,
the abundance of caution isn't necessary. i have 2 large open parlays up to 50/60/1 that need fills so won't be
sticking my neck out.

[2daBank]

campbell+6..in the 2 gms this season campbell roasted gw at home and took them to ot on the road in a gm campbell had a 10 point lead with around 3 minutes left before blowing it. clearly they can play with this team and it very obvious why. damn near half campbell shots come from behind the arc where they shoot a very respectable 37% and gardner-webb is 329th in the country defending the trey, allowing teams to shoot 38.5% from behind the arc.. that the ingredients for a live doggy right there.

[2daBank]

Hall has 2 departing seniors. http://www.northjersey.com/sports/ba...pect-1.1281868
good luck. all depends on what you got going. if it's just a regular unit-type bet, nothing wrong with that,
the abundance of caution isn't necessary. i have 2 large open parlays up to 50/60/1 that need fills so won't be
sticking my neck out.

only 1 that worth a damn,, lots of times i think teams get screwed up playing a senior on senior night that shouldnt be in there. although this other guy besides mobley been playing last 2 gms and playing pretty well with gibbs out.. but gibbs back so for all i know it hurts the rotations or chemistry.. just a normal play like most my plays, i always mention if it anything more. i certainly wouldnt be using them to fill out a large parlay either.

[crbravens23]

love oregon st

[2daBank]

love oregon st

i like'em. love is a strong word, lol. almost positive im playing them, just hvnt decided on the size of the play yet..

[R.P. McMurphy]

Agree on senior night Banker it's overrated. These days who is you senior? The 8th man off the bench in many cases lol. Think Vegas tilts line slightly in favor of home squad in these games adding a bit more value. And nobody ever mentions the other headaches that may come with it. Some teams may not respond well to the extra distractions like more family/friends attending , and the added emotions. With that said Hall fukkin sucks no way I back them here it's fade or nothing.

[2daBank]

Agree on senior night Banker it's overrated. These days who is you senior? The 8th man off the bench in many cases lol. Think Vegas tilts line slightly in favor of home squad in these games adding a bit more value. And nobody ever mentions the other headaches that may come with it. Some teams may not respond well to the extra distractions like more family/friends attending , and the added emotions. With that said Hall fukkin sucks no way I back them here it's fade or nothing.

yeah i think it really just all depends.. wyo with a guy like nance and several others that been together for a long time certainly deserve added respect i think. umass kinda the same with esho and lalanne, but those are more exceptions than rules these days.. sux cause normal spots id be on utah st and richmond but i do fear senior nights when you have senior leaders on their way out after productive careers.. a train wreck like Hall, not so much, give me provo and i can live with it if sh magically gets their shit together and beats a much better provo team.

still wanna play utah st, catching the points is really enticing. richmond is a easier pass i think.

[squib]

Anyone have an updated status on Mia Hurricane Angel Rodriguez? I have only saw that he is questionable with a wrist injury and he sat out the last game vs UNC

[survive]

Kind of like purdue with the points again. Have this line around 4-5

[2daBank]

Anyone have an updated status on Mia Hurricane Angel Rodriguez? I have only saw that he is questionable with a wrist injury and he sat out the last game vs UNC

nope, only see the same thing as you.. id def lean canes with him playing, didnt mention cause i have no clue whether he goes or what the chances are?

[Louisvillekid1]

Agree on senior night Banker it's overrated. These days who is you senior? The 8th man off the bench in many cases lol. Think Vegas tilts line slightly in favor of home squad in these games adding a bit more value. And nobody ever mentions the other headaches that may come with it. Some teams may not respond well to the extra distractions like more family/friends attending , and the added emotions. With that said Hall fukkin sucks no way I back them here it's fade or nothing.

I wouldn't say its overrated, its all relative to the situation.

[2daBank]

Kind of like purdue with the points again. Have this line around 4-5

i thought it was bout right, i understand taking them but sparty off 2 losses scares me.

[2daBank]

I wouldn't say its overrated, its all relative to the situation.

that was a lot simpler way of putting what i was trying to say

[Louisvillekid1]

richmond/umass another gm along those same lines. spiders the better team playing better ball but esho and lalanne's senior night. of coarse umass biggest problem is far to often they dont get these guys involved as they should be. richmond gonna win the turnover battle but umass should have the edge on the offensive boards. tough gm, richmond the better team but where they weakest is inside against the 2 seniors.

ideally I really want to to like Umass here, but I don't.

[squib]

nope, only see the same thing as you.. id def lean canes with him playing, didnt mention cause i have no clue whether he goes or what the chances are?

With it being such an important game for both sides, I would be surprised if he doesn't play but not sure how effective he will be. If he plays I like the Canes SU and if he doesn't I'm not as confident.

[2daBank]

ideally I really want to to like Umass here, but I don't.

yea that is about where ive landed on that one. i came in from opposite direction thinking i wanted to back richmond, but i dont. can certainly see the case for umass but i dont trust them.. gms a pass for me..

[2daBank]

With it being such an important game for both sides, I would be surprised if he does play but not sure how effective he will be. If he plays I like the Canes SU and if he doesn't I'm not as confident.

canes pretty much go as he goes. so i really cant touch, luv the idea of fading pit like i did @ wake cause i think they a joke but cant do it not knowing what we will get from angel..

[Louisvillekid1]

UL/ND goes to OT just about every time they play, but ND +5 seems like a no brainer...

Im not the betting the game however.

[Louisvillekid1]

I've been backing Fordham for like a month now and they haven't let me down once. But now they are favorites for the firs time. the dukes have been absolutely brutal on the road. 1-10 on the season getting blown out pretty much every time. Although books finally seem to caught up to Fordham and not sure I want to back them when they are supposed to win.

[squib]

canes pretty much go as he goes. so i really cant touch, luv the idea of fading pit like i did @ wake cause i think they a joke but cant do it not knowing what we will get from angel..

I agree with everything your saying. I may play a very small amount or watch the first half to see how effective Angel is and bet 2nd half accordingly.

good luck on whatever you decide to play.

[2daBank]

UL/ND goes to OT just about every time they play, but ND +5 seems like a no brainer...

Im not the betting the game however.

was bout to ask you your thoughts on this one. really hard for me to cap considering irish havnt played a team that presses all year, i know they dont turn it over much but at same time they havnt faced a team that forces turnovers like ville. uva rematch on deck for ville certainly not ideal...i really have no interest in backing ND, shit defense and worst defensive rebounding team in the conf isnt a great recipe for success @ the yum yum place imo. prob a pass but if anything id prob wait for it to get bet down then play ville..

[2daBank]

I agree with everything your saying. I may play a very small amount or watch the first half to see how effective Angel is and bet 2nd half accordingly.

good luck on whatever you decide to play.

watching 1st half seems like a smart way to go about it.. i guess it could backfire into no play if pit comes out as bad as they did against wake. i can always live with no play tho, better than taking canes then seeing angel playing like crap. best case he looks good yet gm is still close at half and there might be a play to be made against pit who loves choking late..

[DOM_Toretto]

UL/ND goes to OT just about every time they play, but ND +5 seems like a no brainer...

Im not the betting the game however.

If you read that stat about 7 OTs in last 8 matchups or whatever, remember there was a 5OT game in South Bend last season I believe.

But I agree with you, I think ND is the better team and wins SU, love getting a couple buckets on top of it.

Are the high scoring Irish the perfect storm for this can't-make-a-basket-for-their-life louisville team? Irish just got smacked in the face by a somewhat similar defensive team in Syracuse, so they should be fully prepared going into Yum center tonight.

[2daBank]

I've been backing Fordham for like a month now and they haven't let me down once. But now they are favorites for the firs time. the dukes have been absolutely brutal on the road. 1-10 on the season getting blown out pretty much every time. Although books finally seem to caught up to Fordham and not sure I want to back them when they are supposed to win.

i hate when that happens with team ive been backing. so hard to get off but it def changes things when they expected to win all a sudden.. dukes defense is fukkin horrendous, line seems bout right. fordham does shoot fts well tho so if they have the lead late they should be able to cover the 4..

[2daBank]

wow, utah st just hit +7 on BOL. shit they straight up begging me to play them. scared of senior night in wyo tho, team is full of seniors that been playing together forever..

[Louisvillekid1]

LSU should win easy tonight, considering using them on the ML

[Louisvillekid1]

wow, utah st just hit +7 on BOL. shit they straight up begging me to play them. scared of senior night in wyo tho, team is full of seniors that been playing together forever..

yeah for sure man

[Louisvillekid1]

If you read that stat about 7 OTs in last 8 matchups or whatever, remember there was a 5OT game in South Bend last season I believe.

But I agree with you, I think ND is the better team and wins SU, love getting a couple buckets on top of it.

Are the high scoring Irish the perfect storm for this can't-make-a-basket-for-their-life louisville team? Irish just got smacked in the face by a somewhat similar defensive team in Syracuse, so they should be fully prepared going into Yum center tonight.

I just know from watching every min of UL hoops.

Dude 6 out of their last 10 games went to Overtime and many of those multiples.

They didn't play last year however, that was 2 seasons ago.

The only season in which these 2 didn't play an Overtime game since 2009 was last year (because they didn't play)

Pretty nuts

[2daBank]

LSU should win easy tonight, considering using them on the ML

won 3 in a row, bout time they always scare me, lol.. i think they win but i dont trust them to cover tonight.. i was considering some kind of teaser or ml parlay if line dropped a little more. if i can find good partner that is.