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  • marco14
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-21-14
    • 533

    #176
    Thanks HeanDog!
    2-0
    Comment
    • jdub77713
      SBR Rookie
      • 10-06-13
      • 41

      #177
      2-0 today thank you sir!
      Comment
      • Heandog
        SBR MVP
        • 12-30-09
        • 1634

        #178
        Ok Pre System plays go 2-0 making YTD 15-5-1 tonight 1/29/15 we have 5 plays I'm not in love with them as the line has moved the wrong way on a few games but you can't pick and choose so here they are==== Ill Chicago+8 1/2, Jacksonville St. +13, Denver +7 1/2, Idaho St.+9 and Montana St +12 Good Luck.
        Comment
        • CTOWNsCAPPIN
          SBR MVP
          • 02-11-11
          • 3079

          #179
          Thanks Hean for your time with this and posting. Quick question. If a play falls into the system based on line movement throughout the day do you play those?
          Comment
          • Heandog
            SBR MVP
            • 12-30-09
            • 1634

            #180
            Originally posted by CTOWNsCAPPIN
            Thanks Hean for your time with this and posting. Quick question. If a play falls into the system based on line movement throughout the day do you play those?
            No you go by the opening line and opening line must be 6.5
            Comment
            • mp5070
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-13-08
              • 5446

              #181
              Comment
              • CTOWNsCAPPIN
                SBR MVP
                • 02-11-11
                • 3079

                #182
                Originally posted by Heandog
                No you go by the opening line and opening line must be 6.5
                Thank you very much. BOL
                Comment
                • Heandog
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-30-09
                  • 1634

                  #183
                  Idaho St.is up to 10 and 10.5 some places and Montana St is down at 10 and 10.5 we will use the numbers I posted above for the YTD record I always get on them early because of the line movements . sometimes you win and sometimes you lose.
                  Comment
                  • PapaRidge
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 01-22-15
                    • 78

                    #184
                    Appreciate the plays. GL tonight!
                    Comment
                    • nickcruz60
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-11-14
                      • 353

                      #185
                      On Idaho state GL 🍻
                      Comment
                      • keeppaceace
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-27-15
                        • 1

                        #186
                        I would like to add that 2 of these Favs were going to play against (Belmont, & Wisc GB) are part of the worst 15 defensive teams in NCBB which is another system that I like to follow ..... these are those sort of games where the house cash's in because the line is superficial ... and the pub thinks "hey the good teams in better conference's cover that all the time why not these guys" lol
                        have a great day y'all, & I think we all owe our boi a bottle of Hennessy for his sharing ! thanks alot bud . maybe I can return the gesture bye breaking down my "defensive dud" system to you guys ..... this is my first thread ever y'all, really enjoy it ! thank you
                        Comment
                        • nickcruz60
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-11-14
                          • 353

                          #187
                          Thanks for the plAys
                          Comment
                          • Heandog
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-30-09
                            • 1634

                            #188
                            3-2 night hope you guys were able to get the 7.5 on the Denver game otherwise you get a push or loss that is why I get on them early Well YTD 18-7-1 so far ..We have one play tonight Sienna +8 and I am buying the hook to 8 1/2 Good Luck should be around 7-8 plays for Saturday.
                            Comment
                            • Heandog
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-30-09
                              • 1634

                              #189
                              1/30/15 Siena +8 see ya tomorrow
                              Comment
                              • marco14
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-21-14
                                • 533

                                #190
                                Nice job buying the hook...thanks for the play!
                                Comment
                                • Heandog
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-30-09
                                  • 1634

                                  #191
                                  Got the push for the system last night personally I got a win bought the hook as stated above,so YTD 18-7-2 today 1/31/15 we have 5 plays today we have Bradley+11 1/2, S.Alab +7 1/2, Troy +10 1/2, Tenn Tech +8 1/2 and Montana St+7 1/2 Get on them early to avoid the line changes GOOD LUCK.
                                  Comment
                                  • HeeluvaGuy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-15-14
                                    • 3449

                                    #192
                                    Just curious if this system adjusts for injury/suspensions. Thx
                                    Comment
                                    • Heandog
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-30-09
                                      • 1634

                                      #193
                                      I would think that the line makers would take that into account when making the opening lines . All I can tell you is that this System is a proven winner. This is my 5th year following and have yet to lose, yes you may have some losing days but long term for the 6 weeks I play the Pre System and System play I have yet to lose.
                                      Comment
                                      • HeeluvaGuy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-15-14
                                        • 3449

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by Heandog
                                        I would think that the line makers would take that into account when making the opening lines . All I can tell you is that this System is a proven winner. This is my 5th year following and have yet to lose, yes you may have some losing days but long term for the 6 weeks I play the Pre System and System play I have yet to lose.
                                        Thanks for the response. I ask only because I use a set of AOPR formulas to pick games. Because all of my data is backward looking, it doesn't account for injuries even though, as you point out, the oddsmakers do. So I look at injury reports for anything that might suggest a reason not to trust the backwards looking data, and I often have to remove plays for significant recent injuries.

                                        The Bradley game is a bit different than most. According to my numbers, Indiana St is a play for me today. When looking that the injury report for that game, I noticed that three Bradley players are suspended today. I realize we're utilizing two different approaches, so I was just curious if you even have to bother looking at injuries. Your way is easier...

                                        Given the success of this system, I don't like being on the opposite side. Nevertheless, I wish you good luck on the REST of your plays. Lol
                                        Comment
                                        • Scarface63
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-09-14
                                          • 260

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by Heandog
                                          Got the push for the system last night personally I got a win bought the hook as stated above,so YTD 18-7-2 today 1/31/15 we have 5 plays today we have Bradley+11 1/2, S.Alab +7 1/2, Troy +10 1/2, Tenn Tech +8 1/2 and Montana St+7 1/2 Get on them early to avoid the line changes GOOD LUCK.
                                          Heandog, why doesn't Fla Intl, The Citadel, and Towson fit the system today? I checked early this morning and looked like these would fit it as well...?
                                          Comment
                                          • Heandog
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-30-09
                                            • 1634

                                            #196
                                            because the teams they are playing are ranked below 160
                                            Comment
                                            • marco14
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-21-14
                                              • 533

                                              #197
                                              I like citadel scarface
                                              Comment
                                              • marco14
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-21-14
                                                • 533

                                                #198
                                                Scareface looks like those 3 plays are winners... Well 2 of them already cashed
                                                Comment
                                                • Heandog
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-30-09
                                                  • 1634

                                                  #199
                                                  3-2 day YTD 21-9-2 Going over the card now to see if any plays for today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Heandog
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-30-09
                                                    • 1634

                                                    #200
                                                    2/1/15/ No plays today Good Luck with your plays.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Heandog
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-30-09
                                                      • 1634

                                                      #201
                                                      2/2/15---- No Plays today see you tomorrow.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jdub77713
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 10-06-13
                                                        • 41

                                                        #202
                                                        Hean I think Im confused...why is Alabama A&M not a play against Texas Southern (KenPom #173)...thank you sir. ��
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Heandog
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-30-09
                                                          • 1634

                                                          #203
                                                          they do fit ,but they do not normally have lines on those teams and also one of the conference ( SWAC ) you don't play . I Have played on some of the teams that don't fit the systems guide lines I have won some and lost some. His system is on another Site feel free to read it, it is about 3 pages long, He also said at one point it was a guide line for you to follow ,His system calls for 180 and lower I have used 160 for the last 3 years and done very well doing so ,Hitting better than 55 % so that is why I use my cut off f 160. If you look on the other site Search Kine Professor , I do not believe I can name the other site I could get the boot, sorry bro. Just trust me with the plays I post.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Heandog
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-30-09
                                                            • 1634

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by Heandog
                                                            they do fit ,but they do not normally have lines on those teams and also one of the conference ( SWAC ) you don't play . I Have played on some of the teams that don't fit the systems guide lines I have won some and lost some. His system is on another Site feel free to read it, it is about 3 pages long, He also said at one point it was a guide line for you to follow ,His system calls for 180 and lower I have used 160 for the last 3 years and done very well doing so ,Hitting better than 55 % so that is why I use my cut off f 160. If you look on the other site Search Kine Professor , I do not believe I can name the other site I could get the boot, sorry bro. Just trust me with the plays I post.
                                                            or you could back track my post from previous yrs I do believe I have explained it all before I will try to find some and copy it will be a lot easier.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • marco14
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-21-14
                                                              • 533

                                                              #205
                                                              Heandog is the system you use the kine system from the other post from a couple years ago?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mako-SBR
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-15-13
                                                                • 492

                                                                #206
                                                                Guys, stop asking if a play is a play every single day...fade follow or pass, it's not complicated. And stop asking which "version" Heandog is using.

                                                                Fade, follow, or pass, all you need to know.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Heandog
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-30-09
                                                                  • 1634

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by marco14
                                                                  Heandog is the system you use the kine system from the other post from a couple years ago?
                                                                  yes Marco
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Heandog
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-30-09
                                                                    • 1634

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by Mako-SBR
                                                                    Guys, stop asking if a play is a play every single day...fade follow or pass, it's not complicated. And stop asking which "version" Heandog is using.

                                                                    Fade, follow, or pass, all you need to know.
                                                                    Hey Mako hope you have been on them so far Good again this year
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                                      • 5973

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Good job heandog. This thread is a huge benefit to the forum. Thx for posting
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Heandog
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-30-09
                                                                        • 1634

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by Lucky1g
                                                                        Good job heandog. This thread is a huge benefit to the forum. Thx for posting
                                                                        Thanks G .... Glad to see things turned around for you ,keep plugin away dude .keep it up
                                                                        Comment
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