Ok Pre System plays go 2-0 making YTD 15-5-1 tonight 1/29/15 we have 5 plays I'm not in love with them as the line has moved the wrong way on a few games but you can't pick and choose so here they are==== Ill Chicago+8 1/2, Jacksonville St. +13, Denver +7 1/2, Idaho St.+9 and Montana St +12 Good Luck.
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CTOWNsCAPPIN
SBR MVP
02-11-11
3079
#179
Thanks Hean for your time with this and posting. Quick question. If a play falls into the system based on line movement throughout the day do you play those?
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#180
Originally posted by CTOWNsCAPPIN
Thanks Hean for your time with this and posting. Quick question. If a play falls into the system based on line movement throughout the day do you play those?
No you go by the opening line and opening line must be 6.5
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mp5070
SBR Hall of Famer
09-13-08
5446
#181
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CTOWNsCAPPIN
SBR MVP
02-11-11
3079
#182
Originally posted by Heandog
No you go by the opening line and opening line must be 6.5
Thank you very much. BOL
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#183
Idaho St.is up to 10 and 10.5 some places and Montana St is down at 10 and 10.5 we will use the numbers I posted above for the YTD record I always get on them early because of the line movements . sometimes you win and sometimes you lose.
Comment
PapaRidge
SBR Hustler
01-22-15
78
#184
Appreciate the plays. GL tonight!
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nickcruz60
SBR Sharp
02-11-14
353
#185
On Idaho state GL 🍻
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keeppaceace
SBR Rookie
01-27-15
1
#186
I would like to add that 2 of these Favs were going to play against (Belmont, & Wisc GB) are part of the worst 15 defensive teams in NCBB which is another system that I like to follow ..... these are those sort of games where the house cash's in because the line is superficial ... and the pub thinks "hey the good teams in better conference's cover that all the time why not these guys" lol
have a great day y'all, & I think we all owe our boi a bottle of Hennessy for his sharing ! thanks alot bud . maybe I can return the gesture bye breaking down my "defensive dud" system to you guys ..... this is my first thread ever y'all, really enjoy it ! thank you
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nickcruz60
SBR Sharp
02-11-14
353
#187
Thanks for the plAys
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#188
3-2 night hope you guys were able to get the 7.5 on the Denver game otherwise you get a push or loss that is why I get on them early Well YTD 18-7-1 so far ..We have one play tonight Sienna +8 and I am buying the hook to 8 1/2 Good Luck should be around 7-8 plays for Saturday.
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#189
1/30/15 Siena +8 see ya tomorrow
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marco14
SBR Wise Guy
11-21-14
533
#190
Nice job buying the hook...thanks for the play!
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#191
Got the push for the system last night personally I got a win bought the hook as stated above,so YTD 18-7-2 today 1/31/15 we have 5 plays today we have Bradley+11 1/2, S.Alab +7 1/2, Troy +10 1/2, Tenn Tech +8 1/2 and Montana St+7 1/2 Get on them early to avoid the line changes GOOD LUCK.
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HeeluvaGuy
SBR MVP
02-15-14
3449
#192
Just curious if this system adjusts for injury/suspensions. Thx
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#193
I would think that the line makers would take that into account when making the opening lines . All I can tell you is that this System is a proven winner. This is my 5th year following and have yet to lose, yes you may have some losing days but long term for the 6 weeks I play the Pre System and System play I have yet to lose.
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HeeluvaGuy
SBR MVP
02-15-14
3449
#194
Originally posted by Heandog
I would think that the line makers would take that into account when making the opening lines . All I can tell you is that this System is a proven winner. This is my 5th year following and have yet to lose, yes you may have some losing days but long term for the 6 weeks I play the Pre System and System play I have yet to lose.
Thanks for the response. I ask only because I use a set of AOPR formulas to pick games. Because all of my data is backward looking, it doesn't account for injuries even though, as you point out, the oddsmakers do. So I look at injury reports for anything that might suggest a reason not to trust the backwards looking data, and I often have to remove plays for significant recent injuries.
The Bradley game is a bit different than most. According to my numbers, Indiana St is a play for me today. When looking that the injury report for that game, I noticed that three Bradley players are suspended today. I realize we're utilizing two different approaches, so I was just curious if you even have to bother looking at injuries. Your way is easier...
Given the success of this system, I don't like being on the opposite side. Nevertheless, I wish you good luck on the REST of your plays. Lol
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Scarface63
SBR Sharp
02-09-14
260
#195
Originally posted by Heandog
Got the push for the system last night personally I got a win bought the hook as stated above,so YTD 18-7-2 today 1/31/15 we have 5 plays today we have Bradley+11 1/2, S.Alab +7 1/2, Troy +10 1/2, Tenn Tech +8 1/2 and Montana St+7 1/2 Get on them early to avoid the line changes GOOD LUCK.
Heandog, why doesn't Fla Intl, The Citadel, and Towson fit the system today? I checked early this morning and looked like these would fit it as well...?
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#196
because the teams they are playing are ranked below 160
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marco14
SBR Wise Guy
11-21-14
533
#197
I like citadel scarface
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marco14
SBR Wise Guy
11-21-14
533
#198
Scareface looks like those 3 plays are winners... Well 2 of them already cashed
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#199
3-2 day YTD 21-9-2 Going over the card now to see if any plays for today.
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#200
2/1/15/ No plays today Good Luck with your plays.
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#201
2/2/15---- No Plays today see you tomorrow.
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jdub77713
SBR Rookie
10-06-13
41
#202
Hean I think Im confused...why is Alabama A&M not a play against Texas Southern (KenPom #173)...thank you sir.
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#203
they do fit ,but they do not normally have lines on those teams and also one of the conference ( SWAC ) you don't play . I Have played on some of the teams that don't fit the systems guide lines I have won some and lost some. His system is on another Site feel free to read it, it is about 3 pages long, He also said at one point it was a guide line for you to follow ,His system calls for 180 and lower I have used 160 for the last 3 years and done very well doing so ,Hitting better than 55 % so that is why I use my cut off f 160. If you look on the other site Search Kine Professor , I do not believe I can name the other site I could get the boot, sorry bro. Just trust me with the plays I post.
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#204
Originally posted by Heandog
they do fit ,but they do not normally have lines on those teams and also one of the conference ( SWAC ) you don't play . I Have played on some of the teams that don't fit the systems guide lines I have won some and lost some. His system is on another Site feel free to read it, it is about 3 pages long, He also said at one point it was a guide line for you to follow ,His system calls for 180 and lower I have used 160 for the last 3 years and done very well doing so ,Hitting better than 55 % so that is why I use my cut off f 160. If you look on the other site Search Kine Professor , I do not believe I can name the other site I could get the boot, sorry bro. Just trust me with the plays I post.
or you could back track my post from previous yrs I do believe I have explained it all before I will try to find some and copy it will be a lot easier.
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marco14
SBR Wise Guy
11-21-14
533
#205
Heandog is the system you use the kine system from the other post from a couple years ago?
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Mako-SBR
SBR Sharp
10-15-13
492
#206
Guys, stop asking if a play is a play every single day...fade follow or pass, it's not complicated. And stop asking which "version" Heandog is using.
Fade, follow, or pass, all you need to know.
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#207
Originally posted by marco14
Heandog is the system you use the kine system from the other post from a couple years ago?
yes Marco
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#208
Originally posted by Mako-SBR
Guys, stop asking if a play is a play every single day...fade follow or pass, it's not complicated. And stop asking which "version" Heandog is using.
Fade, follow, or pass, all you need to know.
Hey Mako hope you have been on them so far Good again this year
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Lucky1g
SBR Hall of Famer
12-10-10
5973
#209
Good job heandog. This thread is a huge benefit to the forum. Thx for posting
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Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#210
Originally posted by Lucky1g
Good job heandog. This thread is a huge benefit to the forum. Thx for posting
Thanks G .... Glad to see things turned around for you ,keep plugin away dude .keep it up