Kansas opens college hoops week at Missouri

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  • Chance Harper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-20-07
    • 788

    #1
    Kansas opens college hoops week at Missouri
    Kansas opens college hoops week at Missouri

    Still unbeaten in Big 12 play, Kansas begins this week's college betting action on the road against a Missouri Tigers team that is drawing 4-point chalk against the defending National Champions. Jayhawks head coach Bill Self knows a win tonight at the Mizzou Arena would go a long way to landing his squad no worse than a No. 2 seed in the Big 12 postseason tournament coming up about a month from now.

    Boys will be boys. Three college hoops players are in the headlines for all the wrong reasons.

    New Mexico State guard Terrance Joyner was arrested and charged with marijuana possession, Oklahoma guard Ray Willis was suspended after a DUI-related arrest, and Indiana guard Devan Dumes was also suspended after throwing an elbow at Michigan State center Tom Herzog. Dumes is the Hoosiers’ leading scorer and one of only eight players on the team with a scholarship. Sign up for a night course and maybe you can play for Indiana.

    Kansas at Missouri (-4, 152½)
    Tuesday, Jan 9, 9:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN
    Life is pretty good right now in Lawrence, where the Jayhawks (19-4 SU, 12-5 ATS, No. 13 Pomeroy) are making money hand over fist in defense of their national championship. They’ve plowed through a competitive Big 12 field with eight wins at 7-1 ATS, including a 75-65 upset at Baylor (-1½). Now comes the hard part: beating Missouri on the road as a 4-point road dog. Some books had Kansas getting 4½ points on the early betting odds.

    The Tigers (20-4 SU, 10-7 ATS, No. 9 Pomeroy) have dropped a pair of Big 12 matchups at Nebraska (+3) and Kansas State (+3). Despite this, Missouri is the highest-ranked team in the conference in terms of efficiency, running opponents ragged with a pace that has the over at 11-6 on the season and 5-1 in the last six games. Compare that to the much slower Jayhawks and an under record of 6-2 in Big 12 action. Monday’s total opened at 153 points before dipping as low as 151.5.

    Marquette at Villanova
    Tuesday, Feb 10, 7:30 p.m. (ET) ESPN2
    The betting public might finally be warming up to Marquette (20-3 SU, 10-7-1 ATS, No. 23 Pomeroy). According to market surveys, the Golden Eagles are No. 25 in Division I betting action over the past month, compared to No. 42 for the entire season. It’s not easy for a 20-win team to remain anonymous, even in a Big East with so many marquee programs. However, the Eagles had their 12-game winning streak cut off on the road by the short-handed USF Bulls (+8½) in Friday’s 57-56 final.

    The Wildcats (19-4 SU, 12-7 ATS, No. 14 Pomeroy) are one of five teams in the Big East with a higher efficiency rating than Marquette – that’s by Ken Pomeroy’s advanced stats. The folks at Basketball Prospectus see it a little differently, measuring points per possession for and against and ranking the Eagles second in the conference to UConn, three spots ahead of Villanova. The ‘Cats are on a 7-0 ATS streak with just one loss (at UConn) and are looking for revenge after losing 79-72 at Marquette (-3) on New Year’s Day.

    North Carolina at Duke
    Wednesday, Jan 11, 9:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN
    This is the Big One. North Carolina (21-2 SU, 9-12 ATS, No. 3 Pomeroy) and Duke (20-3 SU, 11-10-1 ATS, No. 1 Pomeroy) are tied atop the ACC, which leads Division I in conference efficiency. The key difference right now between these Tobacco Road rivals: The Tar Heels have won seven straight (3-4 ATS), while Duke has fallen on hard times, splitting the last four games SU and going 3-6-1 ATS this past month.

    The real money for either team has been made betting the under on Duke. This is the No. 3-ranked defensive team in the nation with a fairly slow tempo and a 10-2 record for the under since Dec. 31. But the Tar Heels will mess that up with their incredibly fast offense (second in efficiency) and the over cashing in four times in the last five games. UNC has a much better shooting team – Duke makes up for it somewhat with excellent offensive rebounding, and the Devils are one of the few teams that can hang with the Heels in the paint. Duke is also looking for revenge after losing last year’s regular season finale 76-68 to North Carolina (+1.5) in front of the Cameron Crazies.
  • JoshW
    SBR MVP
    • 08-10-05
    • 3431

    #2
    Missouri would be my play. Am surprised KU is favored.
    Comment
    • ryanXL977
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-24-08
      • 20615

      #3
      ku is +180, not favored
      Comment
      • darrell74
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-16-07
        • 14648

        #4
        Kansas +4
        Comment
        • ringemup
          SBR MVP
          • 11-24-08
          • 2112

          #5
          Both teams come in here red-hot as kansas is undefeated in conference play while mizzou is on a good run itself at 7-2 and has a chance to make up ground on the teams ahead of them in the stnadings. mizzou has dominated on its home court all yr, at 14-0 by avg of 28 in their wins. kansas has had mizzous number over the las few yrs but those kansas teams were significantly more talented. kansas does deserve sum respect as they r one of the better-coached teams n play smart with a lot o intensity. however the big losses from las yrs team is sure to show at sum point in the season n this is the rite spot. mizzou is talented n experienced enough to give this kansas squad fits tonite with their rugged, uptempo style n will try to run the jayhwaks out of the gym 2nite. look for mizzou to feed off a frenzy-like atmosphere n put the pressure on kansas all nite. mizzou pulls away eventually to cover this number. Edge to the tigers. GL
          Comment
          • El Degeneroso
            SBR Hustler
            • 12-22-08
            • 80

            #6
            Something's gotta give tonight:

            Kansas has won 5 in a row in the series, including the last 2 in Columbia.
            Missouri has won 15 straight at home, where they're averaging 90.5 points per game.
            Missori has won its only 2 games against teams that were ranked (at the time of the game) this season.
            Kansas undefeated in B12 play so far.

            Both teams have been playing well recently, Kansas with nice wins over Baylor and OK State, Missouri with nice wins at Texas, Iowa State, and Baylor as well. To me the line is about where it should be, although I'm gonna favor Mizzou slightly. I think KU's recent dominance spoke to the large talent disparity that existed in the series over the past 3 years, which has been significantly diminished (eliminated?) this season with KU's departures and Mizzou's improvement. I like how Mizzouri scores at home, and think that their fast-pace style of play combined with the rowdy home crowd will enable them to go on signigificant scoring runs which will make the difference in the game.

            Bottom line is slight lean Mizzou -4
            Comment
            • El Degeneroso
              SBR Hustler
              • 12-22-08
              • 80

              #7
              Haha posted just after ringemup, see that we have fairly similar breakdowns of the game (Apologies to those who read both). GL to you ring and everyone else, no matter which we you go
              Comment
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