Tue, Jan 20 Plays

MJ · 01-20-09, 12:25 PM

You get asked this a lot, but which are your favorites.

sportsguy04 · 01-20-09, 12:36 PM

Love the BC play.

khaliagent · 01-20-09, 01:10 PM

duke is a bigtime play ...I know its hard to go with a big favorite but lay it down

curious · 01-20-09, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by MJ

You get asked this a lot, but which are your favorites.

I dont have favorites, if I didn't like a play I wouldn't post it.

curious · 01-20-09, 01:24 PM

Originally posted by khaliagent

duke is a bigtime play ...I know its hard to go with a big favorite but lay it down

The line for Duke is overvalued. And the line for NC State is undervalued. So, right now this game is no play. That may change if the lines change. I show the value line as -2285, which would give NC State +2245. Since the line right now is -3100/+2000 the game is no play.

zackattack · 01-20-09, 01:37 PM

how can he have a favorite when all he does is play huge favorites on the moneyline.......anybody can do that. come on lets all lay 2000 to win 100...........oh and when it loses you need 20 straight wins to get even.

curious · 01-20-09, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by zackattack

how can he have a favorite when all he does is play huge favorites on the moneyline.......anybody can do that. come on lets all lay 2000 to win 100...........oh and when it loses you need 20 straight wins to get even.

So, all of these are "huge favorites on the moneyline"?

Illinois -335 ML 10.05 to win 3
Ohio -165 ML 4.95 to win 3
Boston College +120 ML 3 to win 3.6
Miami OH -175 ML 5.25 to win 3
Creighton -130 ML 3.9 to win 3
Ball State +120 ML 3 to win 3.6
Drexel -300 ML 9 to win 3
Colorado +10 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3
Maryland -410 ML 12.3 to win 3
Northern Illinois -200 6 to win 3
Michigan +2 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3
South Florida -260 ML 7.8 to win 3
Tennessee +2 1/2 (buy 1 1/2 points) -140 4.2 to win 3
Colorado State -230 ML 6.9 to win 6

zackattack · 01-20-09, 01:47 PM

maybe not today but every other dude.......you know i am right.......but go ahead and cry to the moderators.......whaa whaaa.............lets go gonzaga -3000

curious · 01-20-09, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by zackattack

maybe not today but every other dude.......you know i am right.......but go ahead and cry to the moderators.......whaa whaaa.............lets go gonzaga -3000

And what about all the dogs that I play? Those are all "huge favs on the moneyline"?

MexicanStallion · 01-20-09, 01:55 PM

I think bringing up a loss is pretty pointless. Curious played nothing but dogs early in the year and did very well. Lately he has played more favorites and a few big favorites, so be it. Who cares? He is just posting up his plays. Keep up the good work Curious

curious · 01-20-09, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

I think bringing up a loss is pretty pointless. Curious played nothing but dogs early in the year and did very well. Lately he has played more favorites and a few big favorites, so be it. Who cares? He is just posting up his plays. Keep up the good work Curious

This Zach idiot has brought up the Gonzaga loss at least 50 times. It was one game, it lost. I have since taken advice from posters on here and limited the big favs to no more than -3000. And even then I have to really like the play.

One thing I noticed about NCAAB, the types of plays that are hitting change, so you have to change your approach to match reality. Doing anything "blind" will get you killed. Yes, big dogs cleaned up at the beginning of the year. Lately they suck.

I had a play going for a while "dogs that should be favs" that hit >50% on the money line (big dogs). I haven't seen one of those in a long time.

What I see now, pretty much every day, is big favs that are overpriced at home and they win. I had to stop taking the visiting dogs even if the big fav was overpriced. Not sure why this is.

Ralphie1412 · 01-20-09, 02:44 PM

why so few plays today?q

cmnjr24 · 01-20-09, 02:59 PM

Overpriced Favorites

So with that said about these dogs not covering what would be your best guess on Ohio St +8 and Deleware + 7

keitht · 01-20-09, 03:16 PM

curious. my luck has went to hell so far this year........ what is your favorite bet today????

curious · 01-20-09, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by cmnjr24

So with that said about these dogs not covering what would be your best guess on Ohio St +8 and Deleware + 7

Since I am on the opposite side on both of those games, I don't think they will cover. Otherwise I would have taken them plus the points instead of the money line on their opponent.

curious · 01-20-09, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by keitht

curious. my luck has went to hell so far this year........ what is your favorite bet today????

I thought you were following me earlier in the year. What happened?

I like Boston College, but it is a bit of a longshot. I like FSU. Tennessee, Illinois. I only play favs on the moneyline, I don't have an opinion on the spread.

keitht · 01-20-09, 03:49 PM

i was doing great in football bowl games, after that was over been doing horrible in college and nba basketball... need one good night to get going again.... thanks for the advice curious, i will try some of your picks.. good luck

keitht · 01-20-09, 03:51 PM

i think i need to give up the over and unders, and concentrate on the games.... the overs always get me, i hate to play unders...... what you think??

curious · 01-20-09, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by keitht

i think i need to give up the over and unders, and concentrate on the games.... the overs always get me, i hate to play unders...... what you think??

I suck at totals.

MicGan · 01-20-09, 06:15 PM

Curious,

Can you tell me why you like Michigan over Pen St? This bet troubles me. Thx

curious · 01-20-09, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by MicGan

Curious,

Can you tell me why you like Michigan over Pen St? This bet troubles me. Thx

Value line on MIchigan is -129. Actual line I got is +135. Anytime i see a value line that is - and the actual line is + I am all over that like a sex addict on a nympho.

MicGan · 01-20-09, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by curious

Value line on MIchigan is -129. Actual line I got is +135. Anytime i see a value line that is - and the actual line is + I am all over that like a sex addict on a nympho.

In that prospective ... IC ... thanks. Why you even bother with that guy Zack... You dont need to explain yourself just let the board do the talking... Keep up the good work.

curious · 01-20-09, 08:12 PM

Is anyone on W. Michigan / Ball St UNDER?

Geesh 41 points after 20 minutes and change of playing time.

sportsguy04 · 01-20-09, 08:17 PM

Curious, so far so good for both of us. We are looking like we are going to have a monterous night. 1H, 2H and overall games are going our way so far tonight.

curious · 01-20-09, 08:20 PM

Originally posted by sportsguy04

Curious, so far so good for both of us. We are looking like we are going to have a monterous night. 1H, 2H and overall games are going our way so far tonight.

Yep, and a friend on here, just met her tonight, turned me on to Toledo. I was going to post it but I got the play in right before tip off and by the time I got over here to add the play the game had started and you know how the haters are if you post a game after tip off.

This posters name is tblueeyes (I think) she seems to know what she is talking about.

MicGan · 01-20-09, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by curious

Geesh 41 points after 20 minutes and change of playing time.

Lol..... I guess no one see that coming. My grandma probably can put 20+ baskets in 20 mins. lol

sportsguy04 · 01-20-09, 08:22 PM

Yup Ive seen her with that in a few posts. Good work on toledo. Ya dont let he haters ruin your money making night. If BC wins, wow Im set.

sportsguy04 · 01-20-09, 08:27 PM

I just want you to watch something:

This is going to keep you from sweeping the board.

http://www.channelsurfing.net/watch-texas-tech.html

Go tech!

losturmarbles · 01-20-09, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by curious

Value line on MIchigan is -129. Actual line I got is +135. Anytime i see a value line that is - and the actual line is + I am all over that like a sex addict on a nympho.

i like most of your plays, however this one sticks out as one that i dont like.

ive got penn state capped at -123, (mich at 123). so it will be a no play for me, but i think penn state wins this game (other than i have them as slight favs) bc usually the refs tend to help the home team (more often in close games).

curious · 01-20-09, 09:07 PM

Winners starting to come in!!

Illinois Winner!!
Creighton Winner!!
Miami OH Winner!!

curious · 01-20-09, 09:08 PM

Ball State Winner!!

ML Dog Winner!!!!

infamousdx · 01-20-09, 09:12 PM

i really wish bc would have just won or lost at the buzzer......

curious · 01-20-09, 09:14 PM

Why does it take an hour and a half to play 10 seconds of bball in the NCAA?

Freaking Ohio and Akron been sitting at 56-54 with 10 seconds left for an hour and a half.

curious · 01-20-09, 09:16 PM

Is tonight screw with Curious night in the NCAA?

First BC goes into OT and now Ohio goes into OT. I HATE OT...I HATES it, I HATES it, I HATES it...it burns us, it burns us.