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  • strictlywinners
    Restricted User
    • 07-17-07
    • 3377

    #1
    Todays Plays
    Old Dominion -9
    James Madison has been a good team for me all year, they cover they win straight up as dogs, they are great. But tonight will not treat them so kindly, they travel to Old Dominion which may not seem to be to scary. But when you are a team like James Madison who's bread and butter has been outscoring teams it can be. James Madison has not faced a defense like Old Dominion yet this year, Old Dominion plays scrappy defense and will take JMU out of their offensive sets. Old Dominion rolls tonight.

    Davidson +14
    No special reason here, except that I hate and I mean hate Duke, I bet against them alot. I don't recommend this play to anyone that doesn't hate duke as much as I do. For them I recommend the Under as soon as it comes out take it, it is great play.

    Duke vs. Davidson Under
    I do not know what this total is yet, but you better believe it will stay under, Duke will double Curry all game, making others score, it should stay under by about 10 points.

    Providence +4
    Might want to wait on this one cause the line might continue to go up.
    Providence is a veteran team and have been playing very good this year. Cincinatti has lost to very good teams, but that isn't my problem with them, my problem is they haven't shown me anything in those games. They basically fold, I would have liked to see some fight out of them and I just haven't seen it. Losing is a learned behavior and they certainly are creating a losing culture at Cinci right now.

    Harvard +19
    This is not official yet, because I would like to be getting around 21 points, so I will wait on it. This is simple though BC just beat #1 team in the country then traveled home. You better believe the entire city greeted them with open arms, the ladies with loose pussies, and the bartendars with free drinks. They will be hung over for this game.

    Rutgers +9.5 Rutgers +400
    Here it is the grand daddy of them all, the one play where if you only take one thing a month this should be it. Marquette is very good this year but still over rated. Rutgers on the other hand has one of the best players in the country that no one knows about. A guy by the name of Rosario, this kid is amazing. I have a family house down the Jersey shore, and Fred Hill the Rutgers coach is my neighbor in the complex, I spend alot of time taking basketball with him and the guy is a genius. Rutgers will win outright tonight, I already have 5k on spread and 2500 on the moneyline.

    Gonzage +3.5
    Gonzaga is a good team that has been playing bad. Tennesee is a decent team that sometimes plays good and sometimes plays bad, tonight they will fall victim to the hungrier team which will be Gonzaga.

    Side note, any of my spread plays less then +5 you might also want to put half your bet on the moneyline thats what I do. Anything above +5 only take moneyline if I post it, such as Rutgers.
  • strictlywinners
    Restricted User
    • 07-17-07
    • 3377

    #2
    Duke vs. Davidson Under 153
    This total is way to high, it should have been about 141.
    Comment
    • MrMonkey
      SBR MVP
      • 11-09-08
      • 2278

      #3
      Rutgers looks like a great play. That frosh has put up some #s. Uconn stopped him so hopefully other guys will contribute. Marquette can't keep shooting the 3s? Rutgers is good against the 3s and rebound well. Is that cozy place they play in called the Barn?

      Playing as much Bball and watching all your life as you have I think is the best way to really win at this. The computer analysis doesn't help with a game awareness situations? The books must have the best damn computers anyway. Thanks my friend!!!

      MrMonkey
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #4
        Like the Gonzaga play, I'm thinking Gonzaga will bounce back in a big way, but they've lost to some very questionable teams lately and I'm not really sure why. Tennessee is pretty tough at home but they have a lot of new players this year and Gonzaga has a lot of experience.
        Comment
        • Crayzee
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-06
          • 4942

          #5
          think your slightly over estimating rutgers there bro

          they did have a good close loss to pitt at home by 4 pts
          but they also lost to
          st bonnie
          lehigh
          binghamton -
          all at home-

          not too impressive

          not saying its not worth a regular size play with a small play on the ml
          but not the size play your talking about
          Comment
          • strictlywinners
            Restricted User
            • 07-17-07
            • 3377

            #6
            Very good analysis Powell, I'm not really one for the whole bounce back theory or a team is due, but like you said Gonzaga has lost to down right bad teams, I feel they are better then that. Tennessee sometimes struggles to get buckets when they aren't in transition, Gonzaga will get back on D tonight they will limit their turnovers and the Veterans on the team will lead them to victory.
            Comment
            • strictlywinners
              Restricted User
              • 07-17-07
              • 3377

              #7
              Originally posted by Crayzee
              think your slightly over estimating rutgers there bro

              they did have a good close loss to pitt at home by 4 pts
              but they also lost to
              st bonnie
              lehigh
              binghamton -
              all at home-

              not too impressive

              not saying its not worth a regular size play with a small play on the ml
              but not the size play your talking about

              Anything I suggest is just that a suggestion. I'm up pretty big this week so I have some money to work with, I am well aware of all Rutgers losses and their short comings, it doesn't change anything for me, this is still my favorite play all year, does that mean they win no problem, absolutely not, they could lose by 30, any pick can lose. The fact still remains that I love the play and "I" am going very big on it. Do I recommend that others do the same? For those that are up this week, and want to make a move and don't mind taking the risk sure I recommend it. For the conservative player that does not like risk then just a regular play is fine.
              Comment
              • Tigers1230
                SBR MVP
                • 12-04-07
                • 1568

                #8
                I'm staying away from the TN game. I hate them with a passion but I think Bruce Pearl is a good coach. they did loose chism a week ago, but I'm not sure if he will be in (back spasms). This is also a revenge game for TN and a must win for each team. I also wouldn't mess with TN homecourt win streak. I think it will be a close game, but Gonzaga has to shoot lights out to pull it off tonight.
                Comment
                • strictlywinners
                  Restricted User
                  • 07-17-07
                  • 3377

                  #9
                  You are absolutely right Tiger, I agree with you 100%, I still gotta roll with the Zags though.
                  Comment
                  • bamasman47
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-08-08
                    • 287

                    #10
                    Strict, I like Davidson +14 under 153, parlay for 3 units. I think its a solid parlay to hit. I think a lot of people should get on this parlay. I just have this feeling being a TV game and a lot of hype, the under is awesome, but that's to many points for a Duke team to give Davidson.
                    Comment
                    • sportsguy04
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-21-08
                      • 11885

                      #11
                      I like that Rutgers and Providence. As a huge Cincinnati fan, we still have some work to do. Providence always talkes us down to the wire.
                      Comment
                      • strictlywinners
                        Restricted User
                        • 07-17-07
                        • 3377

                        #12
                        That is way to many points for Duke to give to Davidson and thats what scares me. I had this game at -7.5 and I tried to inflate the line just as I knew odds makers would. For me to be that off, I'm scared that I am a square on this game. The under is real solid though, as I said DUke will try to take Curry out of the game, Davidson should have problems scoring. Oh and did I mention I HATE DUKE so I'm taking Davidson anyway.
                        Comment
                        • strictlywinners
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-17-07
                          • 3377

                          #13
                          Oh I made Havard official I got it at +18, I can't believe this line is actually dropping I thought for sure everyone would have been a BC.
                          Comment
                          • bamasman47
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-08-08
                            • 287

                            #14
                            Originally posted by strictlywinners
                            That is way to many points for Duke to give to Davidson and thats what scares me. I had this game at -7.5 and I tried to inflate the line just as I knew odds makers would. For me to be that off, I'm scared that I am a square on this game. The under is real solid though, as I said DUke will try to take Curry out of the game, Davidson should have problems scoring. Oh and did I mention I HATE DUKE so I'm taking Davidson anyway.
                            Lol, wish me luck! I hit Uconn and the under last night and I felt good about it like this game.
                            Comment
                            • Crayzee
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 4942

                              #15
                              Originally posted by strictlywinners
                              Oh I made Havard official I got it at +18, I can't believe this line is actually dropping I thought for sure everyone would have been a BC.
                              when the line drops like that it scares me right off of the dog-

                              unless i really have the teams figured to be equals or the dog actually the better team

                              they might just want everyone thinking bc will be out of it
                              if your already on harvard +18 and the line goes down more by tonite you might want to consider betting on bc and try middliing or just cancelling out your harvard bet-
                              remember we are talking harvard here
                              Comment
                              • strictlywinners
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-17-07
                                • 3377

                                #16
                                You are absolutely right, I couldn't agree more, it dropped 2 full points its at 17 now, am I missing something. I thought I was ahead of the curve on this one, looks like I was sorely mistaken.
                                Comment
                                • sportsguy04
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-21-08
                                  • 11885

                                  #17
                                  65% of public on harvard.
                                  Comment
                                  • bamasman47
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-08-08
                                    • 287

                                    #18
                                    Back to work fellows, I enjoyed this forum have a great day! Thanks to all for the info!
                                    Comment
                                    • Crayzee
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 4942

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                      You are absolutely right, I couldn't agree more, it dropped 2 full points its at 17 now, am I missing something. I thought I was ahead of the curve on this one, looks like I was sorely mistaken.
                                      i suggest waiting till tonight to see what the linne does
                                      if it goes back up to 18 or higher you are probably on the right side
                                      if it keeps going down or stays at 16 then decide to go the other way or let it ride
                                      Comment
                                      • r2d2
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-07-06
                                        • 434

                                        #20
                                        FAR AND AWAY the best capping i have read in awhile! i think i am going to put a little cheese on it just because of this writeup. good luck tonight strickly!



                                        Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                        Old Dominion -9


                                        Harvard +19
                                        This is not official yet, because I would like to be getting around 21 points, so I will wait on it. This is simple though BC just beat #1 team in the country then traveled home. You better believe the entire city greeted them with open arms, the ladies with loose pussies, and the bartendars with free drinks. They will be hung over for this game.

                                        s.
                                        Comment
                                        • MrMonkey
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-09-08
                                          • 2278

                                          #21
                                          Just wondering Strictly, what's you belief in buying points? Ex: Rutgers now +8.5 go to +9? Thanks! Leaving soon for work so have till 3Pm to put in?

                                          MrMonkey
                                          Comment
                                          • strictlywinners
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 07-17-07
                                            • 3377

                                            #22
                                            I strongly adivce against buying points, I don't see value in it, but many others disagree, it really all depends on the player. If the majority of your games come down to a point then it makes sense. In my analysis of my wins and losses mine do not.
                                            Comment
                                            • strictlywinners
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 07-17-07
                                              • 3377

                                              #23
                                              Another one starting to look real good.

                                              Michigan vs. Indiana Over 131.5
                                              WE all know Indiana is terrible, their major problem is not defensivly it is Offense. Well I think for there first home game, the coach will have simplified some things and they should be able to get some open shots, whether they go in or not is a different story. Michigan has way to much talent not to score. I'm adding this, take over 131.5.
                                              Comment
                                              • JamesBrown
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-07-08
                                                • 3860

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bamasman47
                                                Strict, I like Davidson +14 under 153, parlay for 3 units. I think its a solid parlay to hit. I think a lot of people should get on this parlay. I just have this feeling being a TV game and a lot of hype, the under is awesome, but that's to many points for a Duke team to give Davidson.
                                                Good luck on this...I like it too....

                                                I parlayed Davidson +13.5 and Rutgers +9.5
                                                I also played heavy Davidson v Duke Under 155

                                                Comment
                                                • strictlywinners
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-17-07
                                                  • 3377

                                                  #25
                                                  Last one, if I take anymore just don't pay attention because everything is starting to look good to me and that means alot of losers are on the way.

                                                  Louiville South Florida Over 125.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • strictlywinners
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 07-17-07
                                                    • 3377

                                                    #26
                                                    Wow I'm 6-2 Right now, but am down a little because I sold out on Rutgers, unless they can make an unbelievable comeback.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • strictlywinners
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 07-17-07
                                                      • 3377

                                                      #27
                                                      Here comes Rutgers, don't know why they couldn't play this way earlier.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Msquad
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 12-17-07
                                                        • 87

                                                        #28
                                                        WOW, I was pissed Stickly but here we go. may win outright?!?! but please just cover.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sportsguy04
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-21-08
                                                          • 11885

                                                          #29
                                                          Strictly you said your bro knows a bunch of guys on RI the bball team correct?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • strictlywinners
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 07-17-07
                                                            • 3377

                                                            #30
                                                            Yes sir, he know baron colrhan and delroy james.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sportsguy04
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-21-08
                                                              • 11885

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                                              Yes sir, he know baron colrhan and delroy james.
                                                              Man that killed me last night had 8 units on RI. They gave up easy layups in the last minute and then didnt want to make their Ft's.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • strictlywinners
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 07-17-07
                                                                • 3377

                                                                #32
                                                                7-1 going into Gonzaga game, old dominion was a terrible terrible play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bmw530i
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-19-08
                                                                  • 4058

                                                                  #33
                                                                  hahahaha HARVARD!!!!!!! U sick fukkkkk
                                                                  Bro I hit 3 in a row tonight myself.......Lets take this shit to the top!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JamesBrown
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-07-08
                                                                    • 3860

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by bamasman47
                                                                    Strict, I like Davidson +14 under 153, parlay for 3 units. I think its a solid parlay to hit. I think a lot of people should get on this parlay. I just have this feeling being a TV game and a lot of hype, the under is awesome, but that's to many points for a Duke team to give Davidson.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • frostno98
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-11-07
                                                                      • 9769

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm starting to like this Strictlywinners character! Nice comeback with the Rutger's play, that's the only play I needed for the day
                                                                      Comment
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