Stanford Under 148

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  • strictlywinners
    Restricted User
    • 07-17-07
    • 3377

    #1
    Stanford Under 148
    Arizona state dropped something like 90 on them at home. You better believe defense was the emphasis of practice all week. They will play good help Defense and should win the rebounding battle. Take Under this one is easy.
  • cheesehead004
    Restricted User
    • 12-24-08
    • 715

    #2
    Ugh, here we go again, I was liking the under and then I saw this thread and I'm like what the hell lets bet. Oh well, buckle up for the ride I guess. Good luck
    Comment
    • SportsLockPicks
      SBR MVP
      • 12-03-07
      • 3386

      #3
      got this one in earlier at 148.5, won't even come close i don't think
      Comment
      • strictlywinners
        Restricted User
        • 07-17-07
        • 3377

        #4
        Shouldn't be much of a ride, it will easy be an easy winner without much sweating out, or will be real bad loser, with maybe an outside shot at the end of the game.
        Comment
        • SportsLockPicks
          SBR MVP
          • 12-03-07
          • 3386

          #5
          Originally posted by cheesehead004
          Ugh, here we go again, I was liking the under and then I saw this thread and I'm like what the hell lets bet. Oh well, buckle up for the ride I guess. Good luck
          go under
          Comment
          • strictlywinners
            Restricted User
            • 07-17-07
            • 3377

            #6
            It's ok hes just not gambler, I get negative too, like the dumb shit I did getting off the Eagles, so angry still. Sportslock when we going to start to put our heads together and make some real money. I hit for 18k 3 weeks ago, but last 2 weeks I've made a couple dumb plays and gave 6 back.
            Comment
            • cheesehead004
              Restricted User
              • 12-24-08
              • 715

              #7
              I'm loving what I see so far.


              And damn I always get amazed when I hear you guys talk about throwing around thousands like it's nothing
              Comment
              • strictlywinners
                Restricted User
                • 07-17-07
                • 3377

                #8
                Gambling is only a problem when your not good at it. Remember there is not an edge in every game, but to the trained eye you can really put the odds in your favor, trust me. And it has very little to do with trends and stats. Like I said about this game, think about human nature and what stanford is trying to do, they just got smacked in the mouth at home. That is unexeptable as a team, so what are you going to work on, team defense and limiting 2nd chance points. Take a look at 2nd chance points and Arizona's shooting percentage. I would say they did a pretty good job at practice and executing what they worked on.
                Comment
                • SportsLockPicks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-03-07
                  • 3386

                  #9
                  27 points in the first 10 min...exquisite
                  Comment
                  • cheesehead004
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 715

                    #10
                    Yeah your original statement about the defensive emphasis convinced me to go through with the bet. And yeah the stuff about human nature also makes sense. I've only been betting small on and off for maybe 2 years now but it's starting to get easier now.
                    Comment
                    • SportsLockPicks
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-03-07
                      • 3386

                      #11
                      Originally posted by strictlywinners
                      Gambling is only a problem when your not good at it. Remember there is not an edge in every game, but to the trained eye you can really put the odds in your favor, trust me. And it has very little to do with trends and stats. Like I said about this game, think about human nature and what stanford is trying to do, they just got smacked in the mouth at home. That is unexeptable as a team, so what are you going to work on, team defense and limiting 2nd chance points. Take a look at 2nd chance points and Arizona's shooting percentage. I would say they did a pretty good job at practice and executing what they worked on.
                      dude, i really like where you're head is at...seriously...lets keep in touch, we can do some damage
                      Comment
                      • SportsLockPicks
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-03-07
                        • 3386

                        #12
                        Originally posted by strictlywinners
                        It's ok hes just not gambler, I get negative too, like the dumb shit I did getting off the Eagles, so angry still. Sportslock when we going to start to put our heads together and make some real money. I hit for 18k 3 weeks ago, but last 2 weeks I've made a couple dumb plays and gave 6 back.

                        i actually misread his post and thought he was trying to be a dick, but he wasn't at all so i edited it...

                        as far as putting our heads together, by all means, lets run our plays by each other on a daily basis via PM or a thread of our making
                        Comment
                        • strictlywinners
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-17-07
                          • 3377

                          #13
                          Where were you to talk me out of my late decision to take the Vikings, I loved the under and liked the Eagles, then I saw huge bet come in on Vikings for 30k so I went against what I liked and followed the money. I figured they knew something because doe like that usually does.
                          Comment
                          • cheesehead004
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 715

                            #14
                            lol at putting your money in the hands of tarvaris jackson. even i know not to do that. eagles were an easy pick.
                            Comment
                            • Husker36
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-02-08
                              • 3846

                              #15
                              I took your advice and took the under. (Also took Stanford -3.5)

                              Looking good at half time!
                              Comment
                              • strictlywinners
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-17-07
                                • 3377

                                #16
                                Looking great my man, I liked stanford a little bit, but I had funny feeling that they would be up at half and then would somehow blow it. The under was my better play so thats what I went with. I'm considering Under again in the 2nd half considering Arizona's scorers are in foul trouble.
                                Comment
                                • jerseydave77
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-09-08
                                  • 206

                                  #17
                                  I'm on this under with you as well. Be interesting to see where they set the half time o/u
                                  Comment
                                  • strictlywinners
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 07-17-07
                                    • 3377

                                    #18
                                    should be 77
                                    Comment
                                    • cheesehead004
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-24-08
                                      • 715

                                      #19
                                      o/u is 78 for 2nd half
                                      Comment
                                      • hi-rez
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-19-07
                                        • 1298

                                        #20
                                        Total 78, Arizona giving a hook
                                        Comment
                                        • strictlywinners
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 07-17-07
                                          • 3377

                                          #21
                                          For those that don't have the bankroll don't get greedy and take your win, for those of you that do, I love the under again.
                                          Comment
                                          • jerseydave77
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-09-08
                                            • 206

                                            #22
                                            I'm with you strictly - I'm playing it for a unit. Won 3 on the Az St/Cal over and having a fun time with this one. Gotta love some late night action.
                                            Comment
                                            • unde0087
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-27-08
                                              • 28955

                                              #23
                                              i am there as well, it is hard to see these two both getting into the 40s
                                              Comment
                                              • hi-rez
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-19-07
                                                • 1298

                                                #24
                                                Ugh, back to back 3's in the first 50 seconds to start 2H. Hopefully it gets slowed down.
                                                Comment
                                                • strictlywinners
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-17-07
                                                  • 3377

                                                  #25
                                                  It will slow down, but probably gonna be a nail biter
                                                  Comment
                                                  • billmunny
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 459

                                                    #26
                                                    I made a play on the over. The first ten minutes and awful free throw shooting killed the first half score. The way things picked up there in the last 6 minutes, I can see this going over and think that a line this high is deceptive and is going to draw lots of money on the under.

                                                    I'll probably end up regretting it, but hey... I end up regretting 45-50% of 'em.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tigers1230
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-04-07
                                                      • 1568

                                                      #27
                                                      I think you have the right idea bill. The 3's are falling and both teams are pushing more. Wish I didn't hit the under now.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • strictlywinners
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 07-17-07
                                                        • 3377

                                                        #28
                                                        Well the line actually was a half a point lower then it should have been. 69.5+78+147.5 so odds makers adjusted by half a point for under in 2nd half. You look good now should come down to last possesion.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cheesehead004
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 715

                                                          #29
                                                          lmao just my luck eh, the over is looking more and more likely now
                                                          Comment
                                                          • strictlywinners
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 07-17-07
                                                            • 3377

                                                            #30
                                                            Everyone needs to stop overreacting because of one minute, teams go on spurts thats how the game goes.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cheesehead004
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 12-24-08
                                                              • 715

                                                              #31
                                                              I wouldnt call this overreacting... both teams only need to score around what 33 points or so the rest of the way? thats basically a normal college bball pace the rest of the game for it to go over...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tigers1230
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-07
                                                                • 1568

                                                                #32
                                                                Yep, this isn't going under. Both teams are trading baskets while Stanford has hit 4 3's already.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Husker36
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-02-08
                                                                  • 3846

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Stanford will start to slow the game down after the 10 min mark.... atleast they SHOULD
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • billmunny
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                                    • 459

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by cheesehead004
                                                                    I wouldnt call this overreacting... both teams only need to score around what 33 points or so the rest of the way? thats basically a normal college bball pace the rest of the game for it to go over...
                                                                    Yeah... but given the streakiness of the first half and the terrible first ten minutes, strictlywinners is just trying to calm the crowd. This could still easily go under.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cheesehead004
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 715

                                                                      #35
                                                                      i need to learn to stay away from the picks of the guys who make threads and are ridiculously overconfident with the outcome
                                                                      Comment
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