Been working on this game for the last hour. Here's some information from my current model for capping NCAA basketball
1. Location of Game
2. Injuries
3. Team Defense (fg %, PPG, TOs)
4. Ball Handling (turnover stats)
5A. Rebounding
5B. Size
6. Style of Play
7. Scoring Ability
8. Recent ATS trends
9. Recent performances
Syracuse vs Florida (-3)
1. Kansas City should be a neutral site for these 2 teams
2. Florida misses F-Eloy Vargas and G-Jai Lucas, but both have missed all year so far
3.SYRACUSE: Syracuse struggled against Richmond when they shot the ball nearly 50% but just 33% from deep. Haven't forced a lot of turnovers in last 2 games. Havent faced a good perimeter shooting team yet at ALL
FLORIDA: Florida has forced 20+ turnovers in all 3 games this year and held opponents to around 40% from the field and 30% from deep. Played great defense so far this season.
4.SYRACUSE: 14 and 20 turnovers so far. Against Oakland, Syracuse shouldn't turn the ball over 20 times though. (Most was Jonny Flynn with 4)
FLORIDA: 16,14, and 14 turnovers so far. Hard to judge either team but Florida might be a little better with handling the basketball.
5A. SYRACUSE: Double digit off. rebounds in both games and outrebounding teams 77-48. Syracuse is usually good for a lot of put back baskets because they are tough on the boards.
FLORIDA: Outrebounded all 3 opponents but not the way a top team should. Solid job on the defensive boards but only 1 good performance on the offensive boards (15 against Bradley)
5B. I'm astounded at the lack of big men on Syracuse's size. The Cuse has 3 legit big men and one is 275 pounds and the other is more of a reserve player. Florida is bigger up front with 3 guys at 6'8 or taller starting. They also bring 2 6'8 or taller players off the bench. I'd give the definite size advantage to Florida.
6. Syracuse is well known for its 2-3 zone, but how will it work against a great 3 point shooting team like Florida? Florida will definately shoot the 3 ball and the 2-3 zone isn't the best way to defend against that. This definately plays right into Florida's hands. Florida looks a little bigger up front, but they dont look as tough which could lead to trouble.
7. Both teams have legit scorers. Nick Calathes is a stud for Florida and Dan Werner is coming into his own. Syracuse will live and die by the trio of Paul Harris, Jonny Flynn, and Eric Devendorf. They rely on these guys to set up the big guys down low because neither are great scorers (Onaku and Ongernaet). Syracuse won 2 games straight up last year when they were 3 point dogs. Went 5-2 last year in games from -3 to +3. Florida went 2-2 last year in games from -3 to +3.
8. Same line in 2005 (FLA -3), Florida beat Syracuse 75-70. Syracuse is 0-1 ATS so far this year and Florida is 1-1 ATS.
9. Not too much to see in their games so far. Both teams have played great and blew out somebody, but both have struggled to put away a bad team as well.
1. Location of Game
2. Injuries
3. Team Defense (fg %, PPG, TOs)
4. Ball Handling (turnover stats)
5A. Rebounding
5B. Size
6. Style of Play
7. Scoring Ability
8. Recent ATS trends
9. Recent performances
Syracuse vs Florida (-3)
1. Kansas City should be a neutral site for these 2 teams
2. Florida misses F-Eloy Vargas and G-Jai Lucas, but both have missed all year so far
3.SYRACUSE: Syracuse struggled against Richmond when they shot the ball nearly 50% but just 33% from deep. Haven't forced a lot of turnovers in last 2 games. Havent faced a good perimeter shooting team yet at ALL
FLORIDA: Florida has forced 20+ turnovers in all 3 games this year and held opponents to around 40% from the field and 30% from deep. Played great defense so far this season.
4.SYRACUSE: 14 and 20 turnovers so far. Against Oakland, Syracuse shouldn't turn the ball over 20 times though. (Most was Jonny Flynn with 4)
FLORIDA: 16,14, and 14 turnovers so far. Hard to judge either team but Florida might be a little better with handling the basketball.
5A. SYRACUSE: Double digit off. rebounds in both games and outrebounding teams 77-48. Syracuse is usually good for a lot of put back baskets because they are tough on the boards.
FLORIDA: Outrebounded all 3 opponents but not the way a top team should. Solid job on the defensive boards but only 1 good performance on the offensive boards (15 against Bradley)
5B. I'm astounded at the lack of big men on Syracuse's size. The Cuse has 3 legit big men and one is 275 pounds and the other is more of a reserve player. Florida is bigger up front with 3 guys at 6'8 or taller starting. They also bring 2 6'8 or taller players off the bench. I'd give the definite size advantage to Florida.
6. Syracuse is well known for its 2-3 zone, but how will it work against a great 3 point shooting team like Florida? Florida will definately shoot the 3 ball and the 2-3 zone isn't the best way to defend against that. This definately plays right into Florida's hands. Florida looks a little bigger up front, but they dont look as tough which could lead to trouble.
7. Both teams have legit scorers. Nick Calathes is a stud for Florida and Dan Werner is coming into his own. Syracuse will live and die by the trio of Paul Harris, Jonny Flynn, and Eric Devendorf. They rely on these guys to set up the big guys down low because neither are great scorers (Onaku and Ongernaet). Syracuse won 2 games straight up last year when they were 3 point dogs. Went 5-2 last year in games from -3 to +3. Florida went 2-2 last year in games from -3 to +3.
8. Same line in 2005 (FLA -3), Florida beat Syracuse 75-70. Syracuse is 0-1 ATS so far this year and Florida is 1-1 ATS.
9. Not too much to see in their games so far. Both teams have played great and blew out somebody, but both have struggled to put away a bad team as well.
