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I'm going to have to re-evaluate that alternative theory I had going WRT 1H plays. Bout to be 1-3 tonight in that department. Weak.Comment -
Oh yeah, I still believe I'll have a profitable night but I didn't see that coming. Anyways, it's 8pm so just about all my plays are in action right now. This is going to be an interesting couple of hours. Can't wait to see how I end up for the night.
I'll update the status of my plays after the 8pm games.Comment -
how did the system do tonight? is there a update on the plays?Comment -
UPDATE:
1H Boston College +7.5 -WIN
1H So Mississippi +2 -$58/50 -WIN
So Mississippi +3.5 - $39/35 -WIN
1H Auburn +2 -$33/30 -LOSS
Auburn +4(B+.5) -$30/25 -LOSS
1H Tenn Chatt +14.5 -$32/30 -WIN
Tenn Chatt +26.5 -$28/25 -WIN
1H Western Carolina +9 -$33/30 -LOSS
Western Carolina +16.5 -$28/25 -WIN
1H Tennessee St +8.5 -$39/35 -LOSS
Tennessee St +15.5 -$33/30 -LOSS
1H SMU +1.5 -$39/35 -WIN
SMU +3 (B+.5) -$36/30 -WIN
1H Illinois St +2.5 -$27/25 -LOSS
1H Oregon St +1 -$27/25 -LOSS
1H N Kentucky +3.5 -$27/25 -WIN
1H N Kentucky +3.5 -$32/30 -WIN
N Kentucky +7 -$28/25 -LOSS
1H Samford +16.5 -$33/30 -WIN
Samford +30 -$28/25 -WIN
5Team Parlay: $25/475 -LOSS
So Mississippi +3
UTEP +9.5
Auburn +3
N Kentucky +7
W Carolina +16
Overall record today for myself: 10-10
System Record Today: 9-6 +$51
Overall system record YTD: 17-8 ~68 Win% +$320
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Alright boys, here are my numbers for today and ytd. As we can see I took a hell of a lot of bets which going forward I would like not to do but given the fact that there are so many CBB games this may prove to be difficult.
An observation I made today, and will incorporate into my thought process before picking games, is that when there is a relatively unknown team playing a ranked team, the ranked team will more than likely cover.
If anyone is wondering why the system record for today doesn't equal my overall record for today it is because some of the 1H bets I took did not have anything to do with the system I'm using. As I've mentioned in this thread before, I have another theory that when there is RLM but not enough public sentiment to meet my requirements (70%+ public action on one side) take only the 1H. As you guys can see from the above that theory didn't serve me too well today.
Another thing I want to mention is that while I took 1H N Kentucky twice and I hit I only counted the bet once because picking N Kentucky 1H twice was an accident.
Anyways, that is all I have for tonight. We'll see what tomorrow brings. Hope everyone had a good night.
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Good work MurrayComment -
i checked out the final numbers you could have a won a bit more if you took the game instead of just the first half.... still a winning night keep it up fellas! love the threadComment -
Great job today guys. +$$$$$ is better then nothing. I can't wait for tomorrow's picks!!!!!Comment -
Not a great night looking for a bounce back night gotta ride the system thinking I'm gonna take the best 3 games every night instead of betting a 10 game slate like tonight..Comment -
2-5-1 tonight -3.3 units
Ytd..9-6-1 + 6.3 units
Profit still while we are working on system details it should only get better
Looking to limit plays tonight I'm gonna narrow them down to best 3 or 4 plays they will be the best games that fit our theory an mine an Murray public% data will be compared also to come on with the best 3 or 4 on the board!! So while Murray keeps hammering all games an making profit!!!.. Hopefully taking 3 or 4 games that fit our theory best for the night will produce profit with out so much risk..also some of y'all following could go with the best 3 or 4 rather then hammering all the games cause I know it's makes everyone a little nervous with that much cash spread out I know me an Murray were on edge a little!! Hope this helps an I think me an Murray is hoping as season goes on Vegas will adjust an there will be a lot less RLM games nightly that fit our system,. But until then again I will be taking our top 3 or 4 of the better games that fits to out system every night!! Like what we are doing here guys let's keep up the good work!!! Thoughts,opinions,or leans for games that should fit the system lets hear them I'll be back on round 9 30amComment -
Hey guys, sorry I haven't posted any potential plays yet. I woke up late and have tons to do this morning. I got work around 1230 and a meeting around 1 I believe so sometime after 2pm est I will post some prospects that hopefully give us some more cash.
Im hoping that taking games close to game time will increase our profits. Last night we got burned on a few plays we took early on where the line started moving in the right direction as opposed to the reverse. Anyways, stay tuned. Tons of games tonight so I'm not too upset about missing the early ones. I'll check back in later!Comment -
Just took a look at the 1230-230 games and while there are some games with 70%+ public sentiment there is no RLM so they're not worth taking. I'll check back later.Comment -
I'll take your 50% day any day Murray. Keep plugging along.Comment -
Thanks bro, I appreciate the support.
Btw, fella's, my meeting got moved to 2pm est. Will check back in with some potential plays for tonight when I get a chance. I took a look a little bit ago and there seems to be some prospects for 10 pm games but not sure about any others. I'll report back soon. GL with any plays you guys take, hope you win big!Comment -
Alright folks, as promised, here are the games I'm watching tonight.
Murray St (-3.5) v St Johns @2.5/2 66% 530pm
Buffalo (-5.5) v w Illinois @5.5/5 76% 6pm
Clemson (-10) v Furman @10/9.5 78% 7pm
Manhattan v Harvard (-8) @6.5/6 66% 730pm
MD Eastern Shore v South Florida (-24) @21 69% 730pm
CS Fullerton v Nevada (-8.5) @8.5/8 72% 9pm
Quinnipiac v Iona (-6) @6/5.5 85% 9pm
Pacific v Fresno St (-7) @4 74% 10pm
Washington (-9) v Pepperdine @ 7 65% 10pm
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So these are the games I will be looking at for today. Obviously the teams with the spreads next to them are the favorites. Those spreads in parenthesis are the opening lines. The numbers after the "@" are the current lines.
As I said last night, today I am going to wait closer to game time before locking these games in in order to avoid regular LM. This will mean that I wont get the best line possible but it will ensure that I am taking games that match my system best.
Lets get that D.O.E boys!
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Wow, the Pacific/Fresno game is jumping off the screen at me lol Question for you guys, aside from RLM or playing against public, whatever you want to call it, is there any other kind of capping you do to weed through the plays? I used RLM as a small part of my capping last year to look into those games and then go from there and it worked pretty good. Maybe its just tough for me to auto bet against the public without some further insight. Good luck tonight Gentlemen
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Hey good question I look into other things Like injuries, Ytd on the ats spread on both teams at home an away etc!!Wow, the Pacific/Fresno game is jumping off the screen at me lol Question for you guys, aside from RLM or playing against public, whatever you want to call it, is there any other kind of capping you do to weed through the plays? I used RLM as a small part of my capping last year to look into those games and then go from there and it worked pretty good. Maybe its just tough for me to auto bet against the public without some further insight. Good luck tonight GentlemenComment -
Yeah 3pt RLM is a lot.Wow, the Pacific/Fresno game is jumping off the screen at me lol Question for you guys, aside from RLM or playing against public, whatever you want to call it, is there any other kind of capping you do to weed through the plays? I used RLM as a small part of my capping last year to look into those games and then go from there and it worked pretty good. Maybe its just tough for me to auto bet against the public without some further insight. Good luck tonight Gentlemen
I can't speak for RG3 but personally I don't do any other capping for college hoops. Not because I don't want to but because there are simply too many teams and not enough time in my day to get the skinny on most of them let alone all of them. Clearly knowing these teams would be of benefit to me but so far I been having success without it so I'm going to go with the "if it ain't broke don't fix it mentality" lol.
And thanks, GL to you as well tonight. May we all win big!Comment -
Thinking about st.johns my site has it at 76% with 2 points of RLM.. I'm getting ready to Lock it up before it drops more I think what about u murrayComment -
Yeah I'm locked in here we go
1h st johns +1.5 2x
St. Johns ML 2xComment -
1h mass. +4.5 not really in our system but it close over 80% on nc state an an line has only moved .5 an I watched nc state in last night there a slow starting team they were only up on penn state by 10 at half an penn state has zippy offenseComment -
Took St Johns +2.5 for the game. Not touching the 1H on this one.Comment -
Just locked in Pacific 1H +2 and Pacific +4 for the game. I see the line moving down even more to 3.5 at bookmaker and seeing as the line is already down 3pts from the opener I don't think I will have to worry about the line moving back in the right direction.Comment -
hey fellas im back for another day... saw a great rlm game today in the baylor game and took it for a win! lets try and get this paper!!! i gotta say im not with you guys on murray st... i think theyre gonna cover todayComment -
Nice hit earlier. I believe I looked at that game but there wasn't enough public support for me to take it. Either way, sometimes when you see a line move like 2-3pts regardless of pub sentiment you have a chance at hitting so nice job.
And yes, this game I'm not so confident in. At my site the public is only 66% on Murray and everyone on this board seems to believe Murray has this easily. That is why I backed off for 1H, if I lose i'll just lose once on this game. Hope I'm wrong and we win though.Comment