RG3ING/MURRAY System n Picks

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 03:46 PM

Originally posted by SonofSwampThang

Sorry Murray, but I'm curious as to which of these 8pm games seem to fit your system "the most."

Anything that has 70%+ public action fits my theory the most.

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 03:51 PM

Boom pay me.

BC +7.5 1H $29/25. - WIN

1-0 to start the day.

vincereyes · 11-15-12, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by Murray Rothbard

Boom pay me.

BC +7.5 1H $29/25. - WIN

1-0 to start the day.

Any bet for 2H?

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 04:00 PM

Originally posted by vincereyes

Any bet for 2H?

No, I don't typically jump on 2H. The reason why I took BC 1H and not for the game is because I have an alternative theory which is that whenever there is RLM on a game but the public sentiment is less than 70% (usually around 65-69%) I will just take the 1H on the presumption that they will keep it close 1H (and possibly the whole game) but more than likely will not cover for the game.

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 04:05 PM

Alright fella's, I'm going to pass on the 5pm games but I am leaning on Illinois State, Samford, and Tulsa for the 7pm games. Stay tuned.

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 04:10 PM

Okay my system plays locked in
Western Carolina 1H +9
Western Carolina +16
Auburn +3
Tenn St. 1H +9
Tenn st +16.5
Penn St. 1H +7
Tenn chat. 1h +15
Southern miss +4
Our theory needs to come up big tonight got a lot of cash on the theory me an Murray are working on
Let's go boys!!!!

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 04:18 PM

YEZZIR Lets do dis!

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by Murray Rothbard

YEZZIR Lets do dis!

Hell yeah!!!

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 04:36 PM

Worried bout penn st tho

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by RG3ING

Worried bout penn st tho

Yeah, the good thing is you only took them 1H which may hit. Right now the line is at 13/12.5 most places.

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by RG3ING

Worried bout penn st tho

It another 1h system play I feel so hoping they keep it close

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 04:58 PM

Pumped about tonight!!! Come on penn st start it off right

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by Murray Rothbard

Yeah, the good thing is you only took them 1H which may hit. Right now the line is at 13/12.5 most places.

12/13 for 1h??

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by RG3ING

12/13 for 1h??

No sorry, I meant for the game.

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 05:42 PM

Oh yeah this is a sloppy game if penn state had any offense they could be up 10 easy 8 pt game 4 mins to go in half

maxim79 · 11-15-12, 05:48 PM

hey guys im back for todays sessions! i was looking at the buffalo v. evansville game, i think this fits the system. any thoughts on this one?

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 05:51 PM

0-1 penn state has zero offense an we deff have to rethink think formula when we r betting against top 10 teams we are 0-2 early trend

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by maxim79

hey guys im back for todays sessions! i was looking at the buffalo v. evansville game, i think this fits the system. any thoughts on this one?

I'm seeing that it opened at 7.5 an went to 8 with 77 percent on fav. So I'm not seeing any RLM but Murray might have something different are stat sources are different sometimes no play tho from what I'm seeing

maxim79 · 11-15-12, 05:57 PM

hey murray why so miss? this game doesnt fit the system?

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by maxim79

hey murray why so miss? this game doesnt fit the system?

This line basically did a turn around I booked this at +4 earlier when the public wasn't on so.miss now I look I'm seeing 54% on so. Miss at +2.5 weird acting line so basically it was a real solid play earlier then we weren't the only ones noticing the RLM cause now it's at 2.5 an 54% on so miss if this helps at all. What did u see in the buffalo game that thought it would fit system??

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 06:27 PM

UPDATED PLAYS:

1H Boston College +7.5 -WIN

1H So Mississippi +2 -$58/50 -PENDING
So Mississippi +3.5 - $39/35 -PEDING

1H Auburn +2 -$33/30 -PENDING
Auburn +4(B+.5) -$30/25 -PENDING

1H Tenn Chatt +14.5 -$32/30 -PENDING
Tenn Chatt +26.5 -$28/25 -PENDING

1H Western Carolina +9 -$33/30 -PENDING
Western Carolina +16.5 -$28/25 -PENDING

1H Tennessee St +8.5 -$39/35 -PENDING
Tennessee St +15.5 -$33/30 -PENDING

1H SMU +1.5 -$39/35 -PENDING
SMU +3 (B+.5) -$36/30 -PENDING

1H Illinois St +2.5 -$27/25 -PENDING

1H Oregon St +1 -$27/25 -PENDING

1H N Kentucky +3.5 -$27/25 -PENDING
1H N Kentucky +3.5 -$32/30 -PENDING
N Kentucky +7 -$28/25 -PENDING

1H Samford +16.5 -$33/30 -PENDING
Samford +30 -$28/25 -PENDING

5Team Parlay: $25/475 -PENDING

So Mississippi +3
UTEP +9.5
Auburn +3
N Kentucky +7
W Carolina +16

======================================== ==

So I have way too many bets pending and it's making me a tad bit nervous so these will be the last plays of the night in college hoops. Even though I did great last night this is only the second day trying out this system and I just feel nervous having so much money pending given those circumstances.

Oh, and yes, those two N Kentucky 1H bets are not a typo. I accidently took N Kentucky 1H twice. Lets hope that doesn't come to bite me in the arse.

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by maxim79

hey guys im back for todays sessions! i was looking at the buffalo v. evansville game, i think this fits the system. any thoughts on this one?

Buffalo v Evansville is a no go for me maxim. I see the line moving in the right direction this game according to my sites.

Originally posted by RG3ING

0-1 penn state has zero offense an we deff have to rethink think formula when we r betting against top 10 teams we are 0-2 early trend

Yeah that Penn St game was fishy which is why I didn't end up touching it. At my site the line actually reversed and started moving in the right direction so I backed off.

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by maxim79

hey murray why so miss? this game doesnt fit the system?

It does according to my site.

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 06:39 PM

Tennessee St might not pull thru for me. Line is starting to move in right direction. Going forward I am going to wait to make my picks closer to game time.

Meing22 · 11-15-12, 06:45 PM

Question to both Murray and RG3ing. Any parley you guys would suggest for tonight?

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Meing22

Question to both Murray and RG3ing. Any parley you guys would suggest for tonight?

I don't like telling people to tail me but if you're interested in a parlay check out the one I took.

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by Meing22

Question to both Murray and RG3ing. Any parley you guys would suggest for tonight?

I would lay off parlays or if u can't help urself them maybe .5 unit on them but with us taking no ml the value isn't there for me I'm trying to squeeze out a little profit every night an if I went lets say 3-2 on straight bets then lost 1 parlay I would be giving profit back way to easy at least for me an in a weeks time of u chasing a parlay with min payout you give back 4 or 5 units of profit in the process parlays kill people an crush profit man it's a leak in some people's capping for sure but BOL whatever u do

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by Murray Rothbard

Tennessee St might not pull thru for me. Line is starting to move in right direction. Going forward I am going to wait to make my picks closer to game time.

I hear ya on the game but from me taking auburn an so miss early I got good lines so it can also help u to.. Fine line that's for sure

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 07:07 PM

Murray outta all the bets we have tonight how many are over 74% public ???

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 07:20 PM

My source showing currently
Auburn 77% against RLM 2pts
Auburn best play on board
N.ky shows 83% against but no RLM it has moved normal 3pts!
So miss 50% RLM 1 pt
Solid play from early line movement !!!
Tenn ch. 72% against RLM 2 pts
This is 2nd best game on board!
West car. 56% against RLM 1 pt
At least there is RLM in this game..
Now I was looking into thespread.com an there suppose to be the most accurate an unbiased public trends site out there cause they are not owned by any sports books supposedly a lot of them are an for that they shake up numbers to confuse cappers.. Thoughts so far auburn an tenn ch are the 2 top plays of the night I'm seeing what about yall

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 07:23 PM

Originally posted by RG3ING

I hear ya on the game but from me taking auburn an so miss early I got good lines so it can also help u to.. Fine line that's for sure

Yeah that was my reasoning for taking them so early. I guess you have to take the good with the bad.

Originally posted by RG3ING

Murray outta all the bets we have tonight how many are over 74% public ???

I think Tulsa was the only one I saw. At my site Tulsa was favored by like 84%.

Dom177 · 11-15-12, 07:41 PM

I knew something didn't seem right with Penn State lol. I'm on Chattanooga too and just got it at +28 hopefully that can make up for it. Lots of plays for you guys, it seemed kinda sketchy with all them so I layed off for the most part but i'll be watching!

maxim79 · 11-15-12, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by RG3ING

This line basically did a turn around I booked this at +4 earlier when the public wasn't on so.miss now I look I'm seeing 54% on so. Miss at +2.5 weird acting line so basically it was a real solid play earlier then we weren't the only ones noticing the RLM cause now it's at 2.5 an 54% on so miss if this helps at all. What did u see in the buffalo game that thought it would fit system??

between 2 sites the pubic was 75-80% on this game with little line movement.... thought it was a perfect fit for the system

RG3ING · 11-15-12, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by Murray Rothbard

Yeah that was my reasoning for taking them so early. I guess you have to take the good with the bad.

I think Tulsa was the only one I saw. At my site Tulsa was favored by like 84%.

Tulsa is not RLM the lined opened at +3 an now it's plus 7/7.5 I checked 3 different sites an none of them are showing RLM.. What's going on??? I'm laying off Tulsa I can't find any RLM on it

Murray Rothbard · 11-15-12, 07:49 PM

RG3, you're right about ranked teams. I'm going to have to avoid those for the most part. Looks like Samford isn't going to cover 1H or game.