EP36's 2nd Half Formula Plays

[tigerw1]

SO you just take every first half NBA over or you are selective?

[EaglesPhan36]

Obviously never made it back yesterday. The Duke game was a disappointment. Once it got to blowout level, we were in trouble. Ready to start getting back in a winning groove!

Updated Record: 139-111-7 [+14.77]

[EaglesPhan36]

1.27.13
[2nd Half] Loyola-Iona Under 79 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Indiana-Michigan State Over 73.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Another under busted in the last :30. Jesus.

[steveq]

guesss im glad my book is a piece of shit and didnt offer it

[EaglesPhan36]

UConn-Rutgers Under 70 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

This is starting to get ridiculous. All the unders get the late push to go over. All the overs, stalling out late. IU-Michigan State scoring well the whole half and then go scoreless for almost two minutes.

[EaglesPhan36]

And of course Michigan State is trying to play defense down by four with under 1:00. FML.

[BB_Mariners]

45 points in the first 10 min and 18 points in the last 10

[EaglesPhan36]

And now we have Rutgers fouling down by 10 inside of 1:00 that is probably going to find a way to score 15 points in the last minute and fukk up another under.

[EaglesPhan36]

Un-fing real. Worst luck in a long time with these. Wow.

[EaglesPhan36]

I'd advise you to fade anything I put up. These are fukking cursed.

[LowRollin]

losing streaks come eventually

[EaglesPhan36]

Colorado-California Over 70 [-110]

[Hangoverblack]

Colorado-California Over 70 [-110]

On this one HUGE. So, it will lose

[FilL IVY League]

SO you just take every first half NBA over or you are selective?

I play the board, ALL OVERS because they have been cashing in at 70% ATS, and its easy to just tell my local 1st half overs across the board. I know eventually like all things wether it's overs/unders HOME/AWAY or favorites/underdogs, at the end of the season the ATS numbers will be at or near 50%, but right now Im tailing the 1st half OVERS and 1st half AWAY across the board. BOL to all

[tto827]

On this one HUGE. So, it will lose

Me too. Over 30.5 first 10 minutes, over 70 for the half. Time for a group winner here

[EaglesPhan36]

Curious to just track these, not play them - but ones that are so far off as far as # of possessions vs. total. Seems like the further off they are, the more they go totally against the formula. Niagara-Canisius being one. 60 1st half possessions. 79 O/U for 2nd half. Not playing, but if my theory holds here, this should go over rather than under.

[tto827]

If either team could make a shot, this game would go over easy. It's super sloppy but fast paced. Like a NBA all star game with a bunch of middle schoolers playing. Fun to watch at least.

[EaglesPhan36]

Finally an easy one.

[LowRollin]

from getting fukked over repeatedly to a non sweat!

[steveq]

i needed that colorado game,now think purdue can cove 1.5 in ot

[EaglesPhan36]

FIU-S.Alabama Under 75.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Miami-Florida State Over 69 [-110]

[OhMyEli]

Miami-Florida State Over 69 [-110]

These two teams are not making shots here in the 2h, looks like another loss here.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well looks like 2-4. At least 2 of the last 3 have gone in the right direction, so that's something.

[tigerw1]

Not to be a monday quarterback but I am starting to think your formula is just about as good as guessing the side. If you go back the last month, there is no way you have a winning record.

[EaglesPhan36]

The last 7-8 days have been pretty poor, but it's still 55% for the season. This has really been the roughest patch all year. Nothing is perfect, but I'll take 55% over the course of the whole season without even thinking about it if it holds up. Ebbs and flows with everything we do.

63-54 in January, considering that probably 40% of those losses have come in the last 7-10 days, I'd say it's a little better than guessing - but that's just me.

[BoutDemCowboys]

Any looks 2nd half for Creighton vs. So. Illi

[EaglesPhan36]

Nothing there. I usually try to avoid ones with an extremely hot shooting club because it's real tricky factoring in whether or not they are going to cool off. The number of possessions in that game is real low in the 1st half. 59, so the number @ 72 is high - but considering the rate Creighton was knocking them down, could easily be done if they don't cool off and SIU improves some too.

Was hoping for a George Mason 2nd half total, but looks like nothing.

[EaglesPhan36]

Northeastern-George Mason Over 71 [-110]

[tigerw1]

reallly????????? the only shot of this game going over 71 is triple overtime. I would put 1 million dollars on the under of this game. zero shot of 72 points. that just sums it up. your formula is broken

[tto827]

reallly????????? the only shot of this game going over 71 is triple overtime. I would put 1 million dollars on the under of this game. zero shot of 72 points. that just sums it up. your formula is broken

So how much did you actually put on the under? And how does 1 game prove anything? And I'll bet you anything you want that you can't 55% over 250 plays ATS.

[LowRollin]

reallly????????? the only shot of this game going over 71 is triple overtime. I would put 1 million dollars on the under of this game. zero shot of 72 points. that just sums it up. your formula is broken

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