Monday's leans

lunchbawks · 03-19-12, 12:06 PM

6rs are 2-8 ats last 10 road games and still getting 10 points on the road.

do u play charlotte or leave it

IllyPhilly[DOC] · 03-19-12, 12:17 PM

"

IllyPhilly[DOC] · 03-19-12, 12:22 PM

*** In which they trailed by 10+pts

beg154860 · 03-19-12, 12:22 PM

Magic seem to good to be true in this spot I want to hammer the shit out of them but Bulls still put out the best D in the league without Rose and I never trust Orlando

Speedy88 · 03-19-12, 02:37 PM

Yeah Magic seem a bit too good to be true. I'm going to assume that line was made with the assumption that Rose won't play.

Denver -4 looks good too, I don't think those old Mavs legs can keep up in the elevation.

Dexter · 03-19-12, 05:16 PM

magic for you? that seems as "square" a bet as there is.

i actually might do the "fade the public" move here and throw a small play on chi at hopefully +3. they are used to playing without rose.

No coincidences · 03-19-12, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

magic for you? that seems as "square" a bet as there is.

i actually might do the "fade the public" move here and throw a small play on chi at hopefully +3. they are used to playing without rose.

I'm just going to stay away from that. I do think Orlando wins a close one.

I would take the Bobcats, but man, they're awful. Sixers have no business being favored by this much, though.

Speedy88 · 03-19-12, 05:30 PM

Magic almost seem too obvious which worries me. People keep doubting the Bulls w/o Rose, and they continue to cover.

BigDofBA · 03-19-12, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Magic ML
T'Wolves +2
Celtics +1.5

Sixers/Bobcats under 183
Celtics/Hawks under 183
Bulls/Magic under 184

I like all of those plays except for the Magic and Bobcats under.

I really want to play Orlando but every time I bet against Chicago they beat me regardless if Rose is playing or not. I've learned my lesson.
Shouldn't Orlando be favored by more here? I felt like they would be like -4. Seems fishy.

Dexter · 03-19-12, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'm just going to stay away from that. I do think Orlando wins a close one.

I would take the Bobcats, but man, they're awful. Sixers have no business being favored by this much, though.

i took the cats....they have been playing well lately, especially at home. a double digit road favorite should be an auto fade, now you have the sixers of all teams laying those points? i'll take them.

CheeseHead · 03-19-12, 05:49 PM

If Hawes gets more minutes tonight, he's a pretty big key to that lineup...before he went out the Sixers were covering spreads like crazy. I think it's definitely tough to take them at -10...but I sure as hell wouldn't put money on the Bobcats in that game either. Tough to say how many minutes Hawes will get too, I think he only got around 20 in their last game.

IllyPhilly[DOC] · 03-19-12, 05:49 PM

In a way they are favored by -4. Had the line not opened at Chi-1 but instead Orl-2 than it would be -4. Chi town also never lost b2b this year so that may be why books didnt give Chi more value as underdog by opening them as -1.

Speedy88 · 03-19-12, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

i took the cats....they have been playing well lately, especially at home. a double digit road favorite should be an auto fade, now you have the sixers of all teams laying those points? i'll take them.

I have to agree with Dexter here. There are very few matchups in the NBA that warrant a double digit road fav. Heat @ Bobcats, maybe OKC @ Bobcats. But that's about it.

Phili has no business being 10 pt favorites on the road. Maggette being out does hurt a bit though.

BigDofBA · 03-19-12, 05:56 PM

Just from looking around a few forums I'm seeing a ton of love for Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, and Golden State. I would probably profit if I just faded all for those.

Instead I'll start out with Boston +2 and take it from there. I love fading Atlanta and I really love fading them when it seems like everyone is on them. I'll also take the under in this game. There will be a 30 point quarter. Mark it down.

BigDofBA · 03-19-12, 06:15 PM

I don't think I like the Magic/Bulls under anymore.

I just capped the game and I had it going over. That being said, all logic told me to take the under before I actually capped it.....

. Do I trust my gut or do I trust the numbers I used to cap the game?

It seems like a lot of people like the under so over is probably the play. I'll probably just lay off and see if the game lands in between 185 and 190 like I think it will.

No coincidences · 03-19-12, 06:25 PM

Kind of like the Nuggets.

BigDofBA · 03-19-12, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Kind of like the Nuggets.

I like that play too. It just seems like a good spot for Denver and a bad spot for Dallas. I

Speedy88 · 03-19-12, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Kind of like the Nuggets.

sportfan · 03-19-12, 06:34 PM

best play is Denver

Speedy88 · 03-19-12, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by sportfan

best play is Denver

I hope McGee and Chandler fit in right away.

DoctorD · 03-19-12, 06:55 PM

thx

CheeseHead · 03-19-12, 08:56 PM

Hope you guys stayed away from the Bobcats tonight....When Hawes is out there the Sixers seem to play much better