LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

[Love The Action]

MLB 5/15/11

Tor/Minn Under (7.5) .5x (Locked)

[ColdBeerHere]

Wow your spittin' out picks faster than a.....

I guess your screen name Love The Action fits you well

[Love The Action]

Wow your spittin' out picks faster than a.....

I guess your screen name Love The Action fits you well

LOL, I usually have about 5 MLB plays per day where there's a 15 game card. I will probably have more like 7 or 8 today. I like a lot of unders today...

[vinh diesel]

LTA I got the wsox and sd ml today, gl!

[Love The Action]

LTA I got the wsox and sd ml today, gl!

Same to you...

[Love The Action]

MLB 5/15/11 MLB

SD/Col Under (8.5) 1x (Locked)

Latos' back is against the wall and needs to pitch well. Hammel has been hot lately. Judging by the early results of my other plays for today, I really need this one to hit LOL.

[Love The Action]

Heading out to dinner with the wife. I have a few more leans, but other than a Bulls ML play, I don't forsee any more picks today. Hopefully we can pull out some of these close unders. BOL...

[NBA_Brosuf]

Heading out to dinner with the wife. I have a few more leans, but other than a Bulls ML play, I don't forsee any more picks today. Hopefully we can pull out some of these close unders. BOL...

Do you talk sports with your wife? I do with my gf even though she doesn't understand what I'm talking about but I like use her as a busy body for me to lay my sport talks on her.

At least I'm talking to her which is a form of communication which entices a relationship. LOL

I'm with ya on the chicago series....

[nmodi]

r u adding any in miami/chi over?

[Love The Action]

Do you talk sports with your wife? I do with my gf even though she doesn't understand what I'm talking about but I like use her as a busy body for me to lay my sport talks on her.

At least I'm talking to her which is a form of communication which entices a relationship. LOL

I'm with ya on the chicago series....

Ofcourse! She loves sports...and loves money even more!

[Love The Action]

NBA 5/15/11

Heat/Bulls Over (180) 1x (Locked)

Adding 1x for total of 2x on Over (180) (Locked)

Bulls ML (-125) 1x (Locked)

At the end of the day, I like the Bulls in the series. Part of this series win is a win tonight. Tonight's game is pivotal to my series play and so I would be silly not to play the Bulls tonight for all the reason mentioned in my series writeup.

I also like the over tonight. Both teams have hit the over on the opening games of their playoff series so far. Therefore, in addition to the league trend for opening game overs, we have two teams that have followed that trend playing tonight. I believe 180 is a great number for a game involving the Heat. This total should be around 183. Plus, I really want to see a high scoring game tonight so I can pound the under in game 2. That could be a very big play. GL tonight...

[NBA_Brosuf]

Game hasn't even started yet and we already got good value for buying Bulls series early. They now dropped to +135.

[gushman]

Where did it drop?

[Love The Action]

Bulls bench really hurting heat reserves right now.

[Love The Action]

Interesting hedge opps at halftime to middle the total.

[FishFace5]

Interesting hedge opps at halftime to middle the total.

I'm on it. Actually reversing course here and putting 2 units on 2nd half under. Small window for us to hit both as well.
I think things tighten up in the 2nd half

[Love The Action]

Yeah, you basically would need under 185. I'm not a big fan of hedging though and I could see this hitting 188 with some late free throws.

[Love The Action]

Miami shot 47% and the Bulls 43%. But the pace is really quick. Even if it slows down, this under could still have a solid chance of hitting.

[FishFace5]

Yeah, you basically would need under 185. I'm not a big fan of hedging though and I could see this hitting 188 with some late free throws.

So you're holding your position? I kind of like the idea of being able to hit anything from 180-185 to win both sides.

[hoyas2007]

Could definitely happen. I would guess the teams continue to score in the third and then things tighten up in the 4th and it will be right around that number barring OT

[hoyas2007]

Also, OKC-Dallas over intrigues me in game 1. Dallas played much more up-tempo against L.A. and scored a ton. They'll be rested - shouldn't have much trouble scoring against OKC. And OKC will get their points. Over 93.5 for OKC also interests me. I think they'll play well in game 1, which means lots of points for them

[Love The Action]

Yes...I think this goes over 185 & don't want to risk it . But I'm rooting for you as long as it hits 181.

[Love The Action]

Also, OKC-Dallas over intrigues me in game 1. Dallas played much more up-tempo against L.A. and scored a ton. They'll be rested - shouldn't have much trouble scoring against OKC. And OKC will get their points. Over 93.5 for OKC also interests me. I think they'll play well in game 1, which means lots of points for them

I need to cap that series still and will definitely be looking at dallas scoring history on long rest. I lean over in the opening game.

[Love The Action]

Should have hedged LOL...39 point third quarter because Lebron take a ridiculous three instead of driving and drawing the foul to the end the 3q.

[Love The Action]

The over is cooked...you will see why I like the under in this series in general. The Bulls play a very slow game in the fourth. I thought the Heat would have scored a little more this game than the rest, so I stuck with the over. I should have hedged as the Bulls defense and slow pace will take over.

[jacer333]

Lot of game left....regardless of how slow the pace goes, FTs at the end can easily send it over

[Love The Action]

I really want this over to hit, but not for tonight's play, but because it will create so much more value for a big play on the under in game 2.

[Love The Action]

We need 15 points with 5:35 left...hopefully the reverse jinx worked from earlier...

All of my points from my writeup have come to fruition so far. Hopefully, the Bulls pull this out with a total that goes over.

[jacer333]

aaaaaand now the under is cooked...

[Love The Action]

aaaaaand now the under is cooked...

Reverse jinxed it!

[hawley]

That under will be profitable this series

Especially with 80% plus of bets on the over the rest of the way

[suicidekings]

Bulls -1.5 and Over 180. Take it to the bank

Here's to a profitable series.

[kobstopa]

The over is cooked...you will see why I like the under in this series in general. The Bulls play a very slow game in the fourth. I thought the Heat would have scored a little more this game than the rest, so I stuck with the over. I should have hedged as the Bulls defense and slow pace will take over.

needs 2 pts in 1.5 mins

[kobstopa]

got it. & dont you ever doubt on series opener to go over, ever !!!!.

[Love The Action]

NBA 5/15/11

OKC/Mem Over (191.5) 1.5x (Locked) WINNER

A risky play here for sure. This line opened up at 193 and immediately started falling. Listen, we all know why this could go under. These teams have played to two straight unders, but you could really call it four because two of the last four games have gone into overtime. Neither team has looked good offensively lately. Plus, this is a game 7 elimination game. Everything screams under.

However, I'm going to buck all those trends and ride the over here for a small 1.5x. Perhaps we add .5x more after the ref assignments are released but before the line moves back up. I'm locking it in now because I don't think we'll get the chance to get 191.5 or less moving forward. I expect some money to come in on the over and the closing line to be 192 or more.

At the end of the day, a 191.5 number for a total in this matchup provides huge value if, and that's a pretty big IF, these two teams can both play decent offensively in the same game. We won't need 50% shooting performances from these two teams to cash the over, however, we will need a collective 43% shooting percentage at the average pace for this matchup. I think we have a big performance from Durant, at home, to bounceback from a horrible day. Our game 6 over call was on pace to cash at halftime, however, OKC only scored 29 points in the second half. If Durant plays to his average, we cash that game.

I think both teams put together a solid offensive game tomorrow and this game should squeak over. I would expect a close game, but OKC coming out on top in the end. Good luck.

NBA 5/15/11

Heat/Bulls Over (180) 1x (Locked)

Adding 1x for total of 2x on Over (180) (Locked) WINNER

Bulls ML (-125) 1x (Locked) WINNER

At the end of the day, I like the Bulls in the series. Part of this series win is a win tonight. Tonight's game is pivotal to my series play and so I would be silly not to play the Bulls tonight for all the reason mentioned in my series writeup.

I also like the over tonight. Both teams have hit the over on the opening games of their playoff series so far. Therefore, in addition to the league trend for opening game overs, we have two teams that have followed that trend playing tonight. I believe 180 is a great number for a game involving the Heat. This total should be around 183. Plus, I really want to see a high scoring game tonight so I can pound the under in game 2. That could be a very big play. GL tonight...

NBA 5/15/11

3 - 0 = +4.5x

In this thread:

12 - 11 = +11.8x

A huge 3 - 0 day for us to close out the OKC/Mem series and open up the Bulls/Heat series. I couldn't ask for anything better, as we will now be set up perfectly for our first big play of the Bulls/Heat series on the under for game 2.

We don't want to get too overconfident, but the Bulls definitely came out strong to support our series play. The dominated the Heat with their depth, defense, Rose and coaching. Just the formula that we predicted would cause the Heat problems.

Now it's time to start thinking OKC/Dallas. I lean over for game 1.