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  • Brp27345
    SBR MVP
    • 01-01-10
    • 3692

    #876
    Jesus... I HATE betting Unders... so upsetting rooting against points... gonna be right hear with the spread AGAIN... but the total is going to go over...
    Comment
    • dreamlanding
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-22-11
      • 316

      #877
      Has anyone considered running individual Labbys for both Brp's spreads and his totals? The main parlay system seems to be working well as is, but as I was gathering the info yesterday I noticed that he very rarely (if ever) would lose like three or four SPREAD *or* TOTAL plays in a row.

      Labby system minimizes losses and could bring in a steady flow when utilized w/ Brp's capping, which is well over 50% on both spreads and totals individually. I will be experimenting with this.
      Comment
      • Dbear13
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-08-10
        • 274

        #878
        Originally posted by dreamlanding
        Has anyone considered running individual Labbys for both Brp's spreads and his totals? The main parlay system seems to be working well as is, but as I was gathering the info yesterday I noticed that he very rarely (if ever) would lose like three or four SPREAD *or* TOTAL plays in a row. Labby system minimizes losses and could bring in a steady flow when utilized w/ Brp's capping, which is well over 50% on both spreads and totals individually. I will be experimenting with this.
        Good thought...wish I had all of the individual records to run some lines.
        Comment
        • Brp27345
          SBR MVP
          • 01-01-10
          • 3692

          #879
          Originally posted by dreamlanding
          Has anyone considered running individual Labbys for both Brp's spreads and his totals? The main parlay system seems to be working well as is, but as I was gathering the info yesterday I noticed that he very rarely (if ever) would lose like three or four SPREAD *or* TOTAL plays in a row. Labby system minimizes losses and could bring in a steady flow when utilized w/ Brp's capping, which is well over 50% on both spreads and totals individually. I will be experimenting with this.
          like the concept... cuz yea the way I cap I will hardly ever lose 4 in a row of either... it's too randomized and too high of a percentage... let me know how this works... and if you want to go back into past bets "how it has worked" thus far...

          I don't know how labby's even work... but the info would def interest me...
          Comment
          • BigDeem5
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-26-11
            • 17191

            #880
            We need under 16 pts in 7 min
            Comment
            • Dbear13
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-08-10
              • 274

              #881
              Originally posted by Brp27345
              Jesus... I HATE betting Unders... so upsetting rooting against points... gonna be right hear with the spread AGAIN... but the total is going to go over...
              I feel ya on the unders!!! I need to get another book to bet with so I can follow you more. I use sportsbook and they don't offer many 1st half bets in NCAA. I bet with you when they have them right now.
              Comment
              • Brp27345
                SBR MVP
                • 01-01-10
                • 3692

                #882
                Play #3 - Series #28

                Parlay - Heat -5.5 / Un. 110 (1st Half Bet) ($20 to win $52)
                Comment
                • dreamlanding
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-22-11
                  • 316

                  #883
                  Originally posted by Brp27345
                  like the concept... cuz yea the way I cap I will hardly ever lose 4 in a row of either... it's too randomized and too high of a percentage... let me know how this works... and if you want to go back into past bets "how it has worked" thus far...

                  I don't know how labby's even work... but the info would def interest me...
                  Labby is basically like this...

                  You start with an amount you want to win. Let's say $20. You can split that amount four ways into a line that looks like this:

                  5-5-5-5

                  You always bet the FIRST and LAST numbers in the line (as your "to win" amount since we're always dealing w/ juice). So your first bet is $11 to win $10. If that wins you cross out those numbers, so your line would be: 5-5 and you just do the same again. If it loses, you add what you wagered ($11) to the end of the line: 5-5-5-5-11 and your next bet would be to win $16 (11+5).

                  Basically your goal is to clear a line. If you win your first two bets, you win $20, your line is cleared, and you start a new one. You decide how many plays you wanna chase to as well. I've seen the labby get canceled if three in a row lose and then you start a new one, you can go to four or more if you have the confidence + bankroll.

                  There are more advanced ways to approach it, but that's the simple version.

                  I'm going to run them for a little bit starting w/ your next game and report back to you in a few days on how it's doing.
                  Comment
                  • Just_Wynn_Baby
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 12-25-09
                    • 188

                    #884
                    I really like this system of yours and thank you for your hard work and sharing with all of us.h
                    I'm thinking about running a separate labby on your 1st Half Side bets cause your smoking on the sides...It's those dog gone unders going over that are spoiling the party a bit....Do you have the #3 play ready to roll yet ?
                    Comment
                    • Dbear13
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-08-10
                      • 274

                      #885
                      Originally posted by Brp27345
                      Play #3 - Series #28 Parlay - Heat -5.5 / Un. 110 (1st Half Bet) ($20 to win $52)
                      Nice pick...I play a system that bets on the home team of certain road teams and I'm already on Miami for this one...I'll have to go put a bet in on the parlay now. GL

                      Comment
                      • BigDeem5
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-26-11
                        • 17191

                        #886
                        Originally posted by Brp27345
                        Play #3 - Series #28

                        Parlay - Heat -5.5 / Un. 110 (1st Half Bet) ($20 to win $52)

                        Lets GO!
                        Comment
                        • Brp27345
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-01-10
                          • 3692

                          #887
                          Originally posted by dreamlanding
                          Labby is basically like this... You start with an amount you want to win. Let's say $20. You can split that amount four ways into a line that looks like this: 5-5-5-5 You always bet the FIRST and LAST numbers in the line (as your "to win" amount since we're always dealing w/ juice). So your first bet is $11 to win $10. If that wins you cross out those numbers, so your line would be: 5-5 and you just do the same again. If it loses, you add what you wagered ($11) to the end of the line: 5-5-5-5-11 and your next bet would be to win $16 (11+5). Basically your goal is to clear a line. If you win your first two bets, you win $20, your line is cleared, and you start a new one. You decide how many plays you wanna chase to as well. I've seen the labby get canceled if three in a row lose and then you start a new one, you can go to four or more if you have the confidence + bankroll. There are more advanced ways to approach it, but that's the simple version. I'm going to run them for a little bit starting w/ your next game and report back to you in a few days on how it's doing.
                          Originally posted by Just_Wynn_Baby
                          I really like this system of yours and thank you for your hard work and sharing with all of us.h I'm thinking about running a separate labby on your 1st Half Side bets cause your smoking on the sides...It's those dog gone unders going over that are spoiling the party a bit....Do you have the #3 play ready to roll yet ?
                          Sounds great guys... keep me updated...
                          Comment
                          • Brp27345
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-01-10
                            • 3692

                            #888
                            [COLOR=#000000 ! important] Parlay Record - 26-48-2 (35.1%)
                            Overall Record -85-64-3 (57.0%)
                            Spreads - 44-33-1 (57.1%)
                            Totals - 41-31-2 (56.9%)
                            [/COLOR]
                            Comment
                            • madmiek
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-04-10
                              • 433

                              #889
                              Looking good!
                              Comment
                              • dreamlanding
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-22-11
                                • 316

                                #890
                                A little more quick info on the Labby... I'm going to try it just like the example I gave. Line will start @ 5-5-5-5, first bet is $11 to win $10. After *four* losses in a row I will stop the line and start a new one. So basically for every line I clear it's +$20 and for every line I stop it's -$86.31 (this is calculated for -110 lines, a fraction more or less depending on what kind of lines you'll get).

                                So basically for this to be profitable I need to, on average, be able to clear at least 5 lines (+$100) before having to stop a line @ 4 losses.

                                Brp is hitting @ about a 57% clip on both spreads and totals, this means that 43% of each are losses. (0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43) x (100) = 3.42%... I can expect to lose four in a row only 3.42% of the time. As I said before I can have 1 out of 6 lines die (16.67%) and still turn a profit.

                                I'm no pro @ this, but the numbers look pretty good to me. We'll see how it looks in practice.
                                Comment
                                • Brp27345
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-01-10
                                  • 3692

                                  #891
                                  Originally posted by dreamlanding
                                  A little more quick info on the Labby... I'm going to try it just like the example I gave. Line will start @ 5-5-5-5, first bet is $11 to win $10. After *four* losses in a row I will stop the line and start a new one. So basically for every line I clear it's +$20 and for every line I stop it's -$86.31 (this is calculated for -110 lines, a fraction more or less depending on what kind of lines you'll get). So basically for this to be profitable I need to, on average, be able to clear at least 5 lines (+$100) before having to stop a line @ 4 losses. Brp is hitting @ about a 57% clip on both spreads and totals, this means that 43% of each are losses. (0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43) x (100) = 3.42%... I can expect to lose four in a row only 3.42% of the time. As I said before I can have 1 out of 6 lines die (16.67%) and still turn a profit. I'm no pro @ this, but the numbers look pretty good to me. We'll see how it looks in practice.
                                  Starting to understand it more...

                                  U gonna run a spread line and a total line... or picking one... both would be cool just so I could see how it works... watever u do if u would keep track of 'em for me it would be much appreciated...
                                  Comment
                                  • dreamlanding
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-22-11
                                    • 316

                                    #892
                                    I'm running one of each since they are both right @ about 57%. I think it will be confusing to others to post every play along w/ your plays, so I'll only update every few days to show progress, but I've outlined *exactly* how I will run it anyway and I won't change anything w/out mentioning it.

                                    Thanks as always for your picks... Labbys are nothing w/out solid, consistent capping backing them
                                    Comment
                                    • Fleeben
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-08-09
                                      • 601

                                      #893
                                      2Q total sitting at 54.5 perfect to hedge.
                                      Comment
                                      • dreamlanding
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-22-11
                                        • 316

                                        #894
                                        The really cool thing about running two is that as low as the odds are of even ONE going on a really bad streak, the odds of both going on a really bad streak are even lower, so even if one starts to lag a little for some reason, the bankroll shouldn't ever get into really bad shape as long as the other stays on course.
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDeem5
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-26-11
                                          • 17191

                                          #895
                                          We need scoring to slow down
                                          Comment
                                          • Brp27345
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-01-10
                                            • 3692

                                            #896
                                            Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                            We need scoring to slow down
                                            Yea... I tend to like Overs far more than Unders... because well... more than anything it is painful to watch a game rooting for a team to score and not to score at the same time... with that being said if I do take an Under it is because I think it is the ONLY option... so this is really gonna piss me off if a 3rd straight play goes down when I hit the side... but take the under...

                                            and it looks like it is going to happen again...
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDeem5
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-26-11
                                              • 17191

                                              #897
                                              I mean under 17 pts in 2:30
                                              Comment
                                              • Brp27345
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-01-10
                                                • 3692

                                                #898
                                                Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                                I mean under 17 pts in 2:30
                                                yup looking better... dont jinx it... only up 3.5 with the spread now as well though...
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDeem5
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-26-11
                                                  • 17191

                                                  #899
                                                  Thats literally ******* sick. 16-0 run
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Brp27345
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-01-10
                                                    • 3692

                                                    #900
                                                    WOW... 16-0 run... really??? that's such BS!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • imzdeals
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-02-11
                                                      • 735

                                                      #901
                                                      crazy...you ended up hitting the total and missing the side
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brp27345
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-01-10
                                                        • 3692

                                                        #902
                                                        Parlay Record - 26-49-2 (34.7%)
                                                        Overall Record -86-65-3 (57.0%)
                                                        Spreads - 44-34-1 (56.4%)
                                                        Totals - 42-31-2 (57.5%)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Brp27345
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-01-10
                                                          • 3692

                                                          #903
                                                          Current Bankroll - $1,444.00
                                                          Series Record - (26-1) +$444.00


                                                          Series Info
                                                          Series #1 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #2 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #3 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #4 - L,L,L,P,W (+$22.00)
                                                          Series #5 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #6 - L,L,L,L,W (+$29.00)
                                                          Series #7 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #8 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #9 - L,P,W (+$30.00)
                                                          Series #10 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #11 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #12 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #13 - L,L,L,L,W (+$29.00)
                                                          Series #14 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #15 - L,L,L,L,W (+$29.00)
                                                          Series #16 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #17 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #18 - L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L (-$260.00)
                                                          Series #19 - L,W (+$29.00)
                                                          Series #20 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #21 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #22 - L,L,L,W (+$33.00)
                                                          Series #23 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #24 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #25 - W (+$26.00)
                                                          Series #26 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #27 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
                                                          Series #28 - L,L,L,
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Just_Wynn_Baby
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-25-09
                                                            • 188

                                                            #904
                                                            Ufb !!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Brp27345
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-01-10
                                                              • 3692

                                                              #905
                                                              [COLOR=#000000 ! important] Play #4 - Series #28

                                                              Parlay - Washington -7 / Ov. 74 (1st Half Bet) ($30 to win $78)
                                                              [/COLOR]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Brp27345
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-01-10
                                                                • 3692

                                                                #906
                                                                Originally posted by Just_Wynn_Baby
                                                                Ufb !!!
                                                                I hear that!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fleeben
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-08-09
                                                                  • 601

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Honestly it's not that bad of a beat...the heat couldn't have covered the spread and hit the under at the same time.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dbear13
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-08-10
                                                                    • 274

                                                                    #908
                                                                    WTF!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dbear13
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-08-10
                                                                      • 274

                                                                      #909
                                                                      Let's get it with Wash!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • samdapatriotsfan
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-10-08
                                                                        • 1585

                                                                        #910
                                                                        Nice steady ascent DRP, keep up the good work.
                                                                        Comment
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