Jesus... I HATE betting Unders... so upsetting rooting against points... gonna be right hear with the spread AGAIN... but the total is going to go over...
Comment
dreamlanding
SBR Sharp
02-22-11
316
#877
Has anyone considered running individual Labbys for both Brp's spreads and his totals? The main parlay system seems to be working well as is, but as I was gathering the info yesterday I noticed that he very rarely (if ever) would lose like three or four SPREAD *or* TOTAL plays in a row.
Labby system minimizes losses and could bring in a steady flow when utilized w/ Brp's capping, which is well over 50% on both spreads and totals individually. I will be experimenting with this.
Comment
Dbear13
SBR Sharp
12-08-10
274
#878
Originally posted by dreamlanding
Has anyone considered running individual Labbys for both Brp's spreads and his totals? The main parlay system seems to be working well as is, but as I was gathering the info yesterday I noticed that he very rarely (if ever) would lose like three or four SPREAD *or* TOTAL plays in a row. Labby system minimizes losses and could bring in a steady flow when utilized w/ Brp's capping, which is well over 50% on both spreads and totals individually. I will be experimenting with this.
Good thought...wish I had all of the individual records to run some lines.
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#879
Originally posted by dreamlanding
Has anyone considered running individual Labbys for both Brp's spreads and his totals? The main parlay system seems to be working well as is, but as I was gathering the info yesterday I noticed that he very rarely (if ever) would lose like three or four SPREAD *or* TOTAL plays in a row. Labby system minimizes losses and could bring in a steady flow when utilized w/ Brp's capping, which is well over 50% on both spreads and totals individually. I will be experimenting with this.
like the concept... cuz yea the way I cap I will hardly ever lose 4 in a row of either... it's too randomized and too high of a percentage... let me know how this works... and if you want to go back into past bets "how it has worked" thus far...
I don't know how labby's even work... but the info would def interest me...
Comment
BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#880
We need under 16 pts in 7 min
Comment
Dbear13
SBR Sharp
12-08-10
274
#881
Originally posted by Brp27345
Jesus... I HATE betting Unders... so upsetting rooting against points... gonna be right hear with the spread AGAIN... but the total is going to go over...
I feel ya on the unders!!! I need to get another book to bet with so I can follow you more. I use sportsbook and they don't offer many 1st half bets in NCAA. I bet with you when they have them right now.
like the concept... cuz yea the way I cap I will hardly ever lose 4 in a row of either... it's too randomized and too high of a percentage... let me know how this works... and if you want to go back into past bets "how it has worked" thus far...
I don't know how labby's even work... but the info would def interest me...
Labby is basically like this...
You start with an amount you want to win. Let's say $20. You can split that amount four ways into a line that looks like this:
5-5-5-5
You always bet the FIRST and LAST numbers in the line (as your "to win" amount since we're always dealing w/ juice). So your first bet is $11 to win $10. If that wins you cross out those numbers, so your line would be: 5-5 and you just do the same again. If it loses, you add what you wagered ($11) to the end of the line: 5-5-5-5-11 and your next bet would be to win $16 (11+5).
Basically your goal is to clear a line. If you win your first two bets, you win $20, your line is cleared, and you start a new one. You decide how many plays you wanna chase to as well. I've seen the labby get canceled if three in a row lose and then you start a new one, you can go to four or more if you have the confidence + bankroll.
There are more advanced ways to approach it, but that's the simple version.
I'm going to run them for a little bit starting w/ your next game and report back to you in a few days on how it's doing.
Comment
Just_Wynn_Baby
SBR High Roller
12-25-09
188
#884
I really like this system of yours and thank you for your hard work and sharing with all of us.h
I'm thinking about running a separate labby on your 1st Half Side bets cause your smoking on the sides...It's those dog gone unders going over that are spoiling the party a bit....Do you have the #3 play ready to roll yet ?
Comment
Dbear13
SBR Sharp
12-08-10
274
#885
Originally posted by Brp27345
Play #3 - Series #28Parlay - Heat -5.5 / Un. 110 (1st Half Bet) ($20 to win $52)
Nice pick...I play a system that bets on the home team of certain road teams and I'm already on Miami for this one...I'll have to go put a bet in on the parlay now. GL
Labby is basically like this... You start with an amount you want to win. Let's say $20. You can split that amount four ways into a line that looks like this: 5-5-5-5 You always bet the FIRST and LAST numbers in the line (as your "to win" amount since we're always dealing w/ juice). So your first bet is $11 to win $10. If that wins you cross out those numbers, so your line would be: 5-5 and you just do the same again. If it loses, you add what you wagered ($11) to the end of the line: 5-5-5-5-11 and your next bet would be to win $16 (11+5). Basically your goal is to clear a line. If you win your first two bets, you win $20, your line is cleared, and you start a new one. You decide how many plays you wanna chase to as well. I've seen the labby get canceled if three in a row lose and then you start a new one, you can go to four or more if you have the confidence + bankroll. There are more advanced ways to approach it, but that's the simple version. I'm going to run them for a little bit starting w/ your next game and report back to you in a few days on how it's doing.
Originally posted by Just_Wynn_Baby
I really like this system of yours and thank you for your hard work and sharing with all of us.h I'm thinking about running a separate labby on your 1st Half Side bets cause your smoking on the sides...It's those dog gone unders going over that are spoiling the party a bit....Do you have the #3 play ready to roll yet ?
Sounds great guys... keep me updated...
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#888
[COLOR=#000000 ! important]Parlay Record -26-48-2 (35.1%) Overall Record -85-64-3 (57.0%) Spreads -44-33-1 (57.1%) Totals -41-31-2 (56.9%)[/COLOR]
Comment
madmiek
SBR Sharp
11-04-10
433
#889
Looking good!
Comment
dreamlanding
SBR Sharp
02-22-11
316
#890
A little more quick info on the Labby... I'm going to try it just like the example I gave. Line will start @ 5-5-5-5, first bet is $11 to win $10. After *four* losses in a row I will stop the line and start a new one. So basically for every line I clear it's +$20 and for every line I stop it's -$86.31 (this is calculated for -110 lines, a fraction more or less depending on what kind of lines you'll get).
So basically for this to be profitable I need to, on average, be able to clear at least 5 lines (+$100) before having to stop a line @ 4 losses.
Brp is hitting @ about a 57% clip on both spreads and totals, this means that 43% of each are losses. (0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43) x (100) = 3.42%... I can expect to lose four in a row only 3.42% of the time. As I said before I can have 1 out of 6 lines die (16.67%) and still turn a profit.
I'm no pro @ this, but the numbers look pretty good to me. We'll see how it looks in practice.
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#891
Originally posted by dreamlanding
A little more quick info on the Labby... I'm going to try it just like the example I gave. Line will start @ 5-5-5-5, first bet is $11 to win $10. After *four* losses in a row I will stop the line and start a new one. So basically for every line I clear it's +$20 and for every line I stop it's -$86.31 (this is calculated for -110 lines, a fraction more or less depending on what kind of lines you'll get). So basically for this to be profitable I need to, on average, be able to clear at least 5 lines (+$100) before having to stop a line @ 4 losses. Brp is hitting @ about a 57% clip on both spreads and totals, this means that 43% of each are losses. (0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43 * 0.43) x (100) = 3.42%... I can expect to lose four in a row only 3.42% of the time. As I said before I can have 1 out of 6 lines die (16.67%) and still turn a profit. I'm no pro @ this, but the numbers look pretty good to me. We'll see how it looks in practice.
Starting to understand it more...
U gonna run a spread line and a total line... or picking one... both would be cool just so I could see how it works... watever u do if u would keep track of 'em for me it would be much appreciated...
Comment
dreamlanding
SBR Sharp
02-22-11
316
#892
I'm running one of each since they are both right @ about 57%. I think it will be confusing to others to post every play along w/ your plays, so I'll only update every few days to show progress, but I've outlined *exactly* how I will run it anyway and I won't change anything w/out mentioning it.
Thanks as always for your picks... Labbys are nothing w/out solid, consistent capping backing them
Comment
Fleeben
SBR Wise Guy
12-08-09
601
#893
2Q total sitting at 54.5 perfect to hedge.
Comment
dreamlanding
SBR Sharp
02-22-11
316
#894
The really cool thing about running two is that as low as the odds are of even ONE going on a really bad streak, the odds of both going on a really bad streak are even lower, so even if one starts to lag a little for some reason, the bankroll shouldn't ever get into really bad shape as long as the other stays on course.
Comment
BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#895
We need scoring to slow down
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#896
Originally posted by BigDeem5
We need scoring to slow down
Yea... I tend to like Overs far more than Unders... because well... more than anything it is painful to watch a game rooting for a team to score and not to score at the same time... with that being said if I do take an Under it is because I think it is the ONLY option... so this is really gonna piss me off if a 3rd straight play goes down when I hit the side... but take the under...
and it looks like it is going to happen again...
Comment
BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#897
I mean under 17 pts in 2:30
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#898
Originally posted by BigDeem5
I mean under 17 pts in 2:30
yup looking better... dont jinx it... only up 3.5 with the spread now as well though...
Comment
BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#899
Thats literally ******* sick. 16-0 run
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#900
WOW... 16-0 run... really??? that's such BS!!!
Comment
imzdeals
SBR Wise Guy
02-02-11
735
#901
crazy...you ended up hitting the total and missing the side
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#902
Parlay Record -26-49-2 (34.7%) Overall Record -86-65-3 (57.0%) Spreads -44-34-1 (56.4%) Totals -42-31-2 (57.5%)
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#903
Current Bankroll - $1,444.00 Series Record - (26-1) +$444.00
Series Info Series #1 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #2 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #3 - W (+$26.00)
Series #4 - L,L,L,P,W (+$22.00)
Series #5 - W (+$26.00)
Series #6 - L,L,L,L,W (+$29.00)
Series #7 - W (+$26.00)
Series #8 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #9 - L,P,W (+$30.00)
Series #10 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #11 - W (+$26.00) Series #12 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #13 - L,L,L,L,W (+$29.00)
Series #14 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #15 - L,L,L,L,W (+$29.00)
Series #16 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #17 - W (+$26.00) Series #18 - L,L,L,L,L,L,L,L (-$260.00)
Series #19 - L,W (+$29.00)
Series #20 - W (+$26.00)
Series #21 - W (+$26.00)
Series #22 - L,L,L,W (+$33.00)
Series #23 - W (+$26.00)
Series #24 - W (+$26.00)
Series #25 - W (+$26.00)
Series #26 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #27 - L,L,W (+$27.00)
Series #28 - L,L,L,
Comment
Just_Wynn_Baby
SBR High Roller
12-25-09
188
#904
Ufb !!!
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#905
[COLOR=#000000 ! important]Play #4 - Series #28
Parlay - Washington -7 / Ov. 74 (1st Half Bet) ($30 to win $78)[/COLOR]
Comment
Brp27345
SBR MVP
01-01-10
3692
#906
Originally posted by Just_Wynn_Baby
Ufb !!!
I hear that!
Comment
Fleeben
SBR Wise Guy
12-08-09
601
#907
Honestly it's not that bad of a beat...the heat couldn't have covered the spread and hit the under at the same time.