Basically with this Texas bet we need Texas to score a minimum of 34 points... Let's go Longhorns!!!
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Hi, first of all, I would like to say that you are doing a great job... I start to follow your thread today.Originally posted by Brp27345
Correct if I'm wrong, in Serie #18, you made 8 plays (risking):
L1 = $10.00 to win $26.00 (L)
L2 = $15.00 to win $39.00 (L)
L3 = $20.00 to win $56.00 (L)
L4 = $30.00 to win $78.00 (L)
L5 = $40.00 to win $104.00 (L)
L6 = $55.00 to win $143.00 (L)
L7 = $75.00 to win $195.00 (L)
L8 = $105.00 to win $273.00 (L)
If you lose all 8 plays, you risked $350.00. Why you pu that down only $260.00??
Anyway, keep the good work, I will be following you!!Comment -
33-28 48.1 seconds left. How close can you get?Comment -
it comes down to Texas needing 1 basket... plain and simple...Comment -
wow... terrible!!!
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man parlaying spread and total is tough sometimesComment -
Yea... it can be fore sure...Originally posted by imzdealsComment -
Is there another play for this series?Comment -
Gonna wait til tomorrow... not gonna chase... and be all over Purdue on Level 7... we need to hit this one... at least the Labby should be doing well as I am alternating spread and total wins...Comment -
Meh, you don't win 27-1 by chance, odds just don't work that way, the system is solid and the results speak for themselves.Comment -
For future reference I'm going to be tracking it in this format. This is where it stands starting @ the Miami/CHI 1st half last night. The "net" of lines currently in play is -$19.60, but that will shift frequently just by the nature of this. If you hit both the next spread and total it goes from -$19.60 to +$19.00.Originally posted by Brp27345
CURRENT SIDES LABBY (-$23.60):
5-5-5-11-17.60 (Bet 2)
CURRENT TOTALS LABBY (+$4):
5-11 (Bet 1)
SIDES LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+$0)
TOTALS LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+0$)
SIDES LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0)
TOTAL LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0)
Total Net: $0
One thing I didn't really account for is... hmm, how can I put this... the stretches surrounding a potential 4-game losing streak. I factored in a 4-game loss as -$87, *but* that's only if the four losses come right off the bat when a new labby is started. If, for example, we have a labby where you lose two spreads in a row, win one, *then* lose four in a row, the loss is definitely more than $87. I haven't calculated it exactly yet, but I can tell it's more. Still delving more into the math of it all and which methods are best, so I do not recommend that anyone try to tail me here. Still in experimental phase. Follow Brp's parlay method for sure as it's paying off nicely
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Thanks so much for this man... keep us up to date!!!Originally posted by dreamlandingFor future reference I'm going to be tracking it in this format. This is where it stands starting @ the Miami/CHI 1st half last night. The "net" of lines currently in play is -$19.60, but that will shift frequently just by the nature of this. If you hit both the next spread and total it goes from -$19.60 to +$19.00. CURRENT SIDES LABBY (-$23.60): 5-5-5-11-17.60 (Bet 2) CURRENT TOTALS LABBY (+$4): 5-11 (Bet 1) SIDES LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+$0) TOTALS LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+0$) SIDES LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0) TOTAL LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0) Total Net: $0 One thing I didn't really account for is... hmm, how can I put this... the stretches surrounding a potential 4-game losing streak. I factored in a 4-game loss as -$87, *but* that's only if the four losses come right off the bat when a new labby is started. If, for example, we have a labby where you lose two spreads in a row, win one, *then* lose four in a row, the loss is definitely more than $87. I haven't calculated it exactly yet, but I can tell it's more. Still delving more into the math of it all and which methods are best, so I do not recommend that anyone try to tail me here. Still in experimental phase. Follow Brp's parlay method for sure as it's paying off nicely
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This is right and true... if you lose a series its $350 not $260, but still keep it going man your doing a good job.Originally posted by F.LucenaComment -
Brp, would you happen to have a history handy of all individual plays (sides + totals) and whether they won or lost? I should have done a better job of getting that down when I first looked into it, but I didn't.
I wanna backtest a few different systems using the results we already have.Comment -
Good luck on your play. Tough beat with Texas.
2 More Points and we are settled with our bet. 10/12Comment -
Kings +5 Loss-11
Ohio St -7Loss-11
Marquette -3Loss-22
Ohio St -6.5Win20
A.F +15.5Win40
Under 127Win10 +26
GeorgeT +1.5Win10
Under 64.5Loss-11
Louis -2.5Loss-11
Over70Loss-22
Texas -8Win20
Over 60.5Win40
Neb/Okl Un 68Win10
Texas -4.5Win10
St Mary -9Loss-11
Over 61.5Loss-11
Clemson -1Win20
Under 61.5Loss-22
Bulls -.5Win10
Under 96Loss-44
Alabama -5push0
Over 55Win80
Mavs -.5Win10
Over 104.5Win10
Mavs PKWin10
Over 99.5Win10 +108
Wichita -4Loss-11
Over 65Win10
VCU +9Win20
Over 78Loss-11
Louis -2Win10
Over 63Loss-22
Louis +.5Win10
Under 73Loss-44 -38
St Johns +2Win10
Under 62.5Win80
Texas -3.5Win10
Over 56Win10
Oregon -4Win10
Under 63Loss-11
UNC -7Loss-11
Under 76Win20
Arizona -1Win20
Over 74Win10
Siena -3Loss-11
Under 67Win10
San Fr +8.5Win20
Over 66Push0
St Mary -2.5Win10
Over 62.5Win10
Illinois +4Win10
Over 70.5Loss-11
Stanford -3Loss-11
Over 67.5Win20 +195
Florida -6Win20
Over 57Win10
Denver -5.5Win10
Under 58Win10
St Joes +9Loss-11
Under 60Win10
Wisc -6.5Win20
Over 54.5Loss-11
G Tech +12Win10
Under 69Win20
UCLA -.5Loss-11
Over 65.5Loss-11 +66
UTEP -4.5Loss-22
Under 59.5Loss-22
Villan -2Loss-44
Over 62.5Loss-44
Villa -3Loss-88
Over 72Win80
Kansas -10Win160
Over 68.5Win10 +30
La Salle +8Loss-11
Over 72.5Loss-11
Texas -10Loss-22
Over 66Loss-22
Vander -3Win40
Under 67.5Win40
Utah -3.5Loss-11
Under 62Win10 +13
Boston C -1.5Loss-22
Under 65Win10
SMU -2Win40
Over 57.5Loss-11
NC -3Loss-11
Under 68Win20
Wyoming -1Win20
Under 59Win10
New Mex St +.5Loss-11
Over 69.5Loss-11 +34
OD -1Win20
Over 58Loss-22
Oakland -5Win10
Over 76Win40
Oregon -1.5Win10
Over 65Win10
San Fr -4Loss-11
Over 65Push0
Fresno St -.5Loss-22
Under 63Loss-11 +24
Prince -5.5Loss-44
Under 61.5Loss-22
SD St -1Loss-88
Under 74Win40
St Pet +1.5Loss-176
Over 62.5Win10
Blazers -3.5Win320
Over 102.5Loss-11 +29
Kansas St -2Win10
Under 70Loss-22
Wichita St +.5Loss-11
Under 62.5Win40
BYU +2Win20
Over 65Win10
UTEP -2.5Win10
Under 62.5Win10
Florida +4.5Win10
Over 63.5Win10
Oregon -2.5Loss-11
Over 61.5Win10
ND -5.5Loss-22
Over64Loss-11
Ill Chic +8Loss-44
Under 62.5Loss-22
Baylor -1.5Win80
Over 59Win40
Pepper +5.5Win10
Under 67Win10
Portland +6.5Win10
Over 66.5Loss-11
Hawaii -1.5Win10
Over 65Win20 +156
Cinci -2Loss-11
Over 58Loss-11
Xavier -1.5Win20
Over 63Loss-22
Louis -.5Win10
Under 62.5Win40
Pitts -2Win10
Over 70Loss-11
Prov +6Loss-11
Under 75.5Win20
Marq -2.5Win20
Under 83.5Win10
Wisc -6.5Win10
Under 59Loss-11
Marist +8Win10
Under 63Loss-22
Heat -5.5Loss-11
Under 110Win40
Wash -7Loss-22
Over 74Loss-11 +47 +690
ND -2.5Win40
Under 65Loss-22
Texas -5Loss-11
Over 63Win40 +47 +737 As of March 1 2011
These are all the plays BRP has made since the start of the thread.
These numbers are based on a chase starting at $10 per play. (Not the parlay system)Comment -
Wow man... that's a detailed f'n run down... appreciate it...Originally posted by jnsbanman
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Your welcome! Cheers
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So what are you thinking for tonite? Purdue -5 and Over 63?Comment -
Play #7 - Series #28
Parlay - Purdue -5 / Ov. 63 (1st Half Bet) ($75 to win $195)Comment -
lol yup... and with all that info you gave me I am going to do a run down of the labby system and see what would have happened from the start...Originally posted by jnsbanman
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I would expect similar results... Just need the BR to sustain the long 5 or 6 play draughts. But so far that hasnt happened much.Comment -
Thanks JNS!
I wanna test out one or two different kinds of straight labbys, a reverse labby, and maybe even a fibonacci. Might not have the time to do all that, but we'll see. I'm pretty sure the only genuinely viable one over time will be a straight labby variation, but we'll see.Comment -
alright guess I will let you handle the labby info... and report back to all of us...Originally posted by dreamlanding
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Originally posted by jnsbanman
Can you explain that chase system is greater detail? For example, if you lose the initial $11 bet on both the under/over... what do you bet on the next 2 lines? And if you lose 4 in a row, how about the next two? Is it $22 - $20 on the next 2, and $33- $30 on the 5th and 6th lines?
Also, if you win the first two at $11 - $10 do you only bet $11 on the next set?Comment -
Ok so... First bet of any series is $11 to win $10 approx (-110), and we are starting with 2 bets (ATS and O/U). So that means we are betting $22 to win $20. Now lets say the result is ATS loss and O/U win. That would result in a net of -$1 for that set. The next bets in that series would be $22 to win $20 on ATS and back to $11 to win $10 on the O/U... etc
You start your bets to win $10 (or any number you like for that matter) 1-3% would be the normal range. Then double after every loss till you win. But keep your ATS and O/U chases separate.
Hope this helpsComment -
Some thing I forgot to add... MONEY MANAGEMENT IS KEY!!!Comment -
If you played every SIDE from the beginning under the basic labby system I outlined a few pages ago (first bet $11 to win $10)...
+$127.38, biggest bet was $46.71 to win $42.46
If you played every TOTAL from the beginning the same way...
+$240, biggest bet was $25.53 to win $23.81
Total net: +$367.38
There were TWO significant losing streaks (4+) on the SIDES: one 4-game, one 5-game. Both of these times, I stopped the labby after the fourth loss which resulted loss of $86.31 on each of those two labbys.
There were NO significant losing streaks (4+) on TOTALS.
If you have a decent bankroll, you could have kept going on those two SIDES labbys that lost money. On the 4-loss streak, the fifth bet would have been about $41.50, and on the 5-loss streak, the sixth bet was about $51.50, and the lines stabilized after that, so you wouldn't have taken the two $86 hits.Comment -
Alright. I got it. One clarification. So if you lose 3 O/U's the $11, $22, and $44. It's up to $88 correct?Originally posted by jnsbanmanComment -
You would be correct sir!Originally posted by BigDeem5Comment -
Nice... Promising as well. Requires a lower bankroll then the straight chase.Comment -
What was the biggest bet then since you continue the chase through as many loses as the streak continues? Did it get above $176?Originally posted by jnsbanmanComment -
Largest bet was to win $320Comment -
Hit $176 twice, so 3 large bets. The bulk are 44 and 22 with the occassional 88Comment -
So you would probably need 1k Bankroll or higher to run this.Originally posted by jnsbanmanComment