Basically with this Texas bet we need Texas to score a minimum of 34 points... Let's go Longhorns!!!
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Hi, first of all, I would like to say that you are doing a great job... I start to follow your thread today.
Correct if I'm wrong, in Serie #18, you made 8 plays (risking):
L1 = $10.00 to win $26.00 (L)
L2 = $15.00 to win $39.00 (L)
L3 = $20.00 to win $56.00 (L)
L4 = $30.00 to win $78.00 (L)
L5 = $40.00 to win $104.00 (L)
L6 = $55.00 to win $143.00 (L)
L7 = $75.00 to win $195.00 (L)
L8 = $105.00 to win $273.00 (L)
If you lose all 8 plays, you risked $350.00. Why you pu that down only $260.00??
Anyway, keep the good work, I will be following you!!Comment -
33-28 48.1 seconds left. How close can you get?Comment -
it comes down to Texas needing 1 basket... plain and simple...Comment -
wow... terrible!!!
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man parlaying spread and total is tough sometimesComment -
Is there another play for this series?Comment -
Gonna wait til tomorrow... not gonna chase... and be all over Purdue on Level 7... we need to hit this one... at least the Labby should be doing well as I am alternating spread and total wins...Comment -
Meh, you don't win 27-1 by chance, odds just don't work that way, the system is solid and the results speak for themselves.Comment -
For future reference I'm going to be tracking it in this format. This is where it stands starting @ the Miami/CHI 1st half last night. The "net" of lines currently in play is -$19.60, but that will shift frequently just by the nature of this. If you hit both the next spread and total it goes from -$19.60 to +$19.00.
CURRENT SIDES LABBY (-$23.60):
5-5-5-11-17.60 (Bet 2)
CURRENT TOTALS LABBY (+$4):
5-11 (Bet 1)
SIDES LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+$0)
TOTALS LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+0$)
SIDES LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0)
TOTAL LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0)
Total Net: $0
One thing I didn't really account for is... hmm, how can I put this... the stretches surrounding a potential 4-game losing streak. I factored in a 4-game loss as -$87, *but* that's only if the four losses come right off the bat when a new labby is started. If, for example, we have a labby where you lose two spreads in a row, win one, *then* lose four in a row, the loss is definitely more than $87. I haven't calculated it exactly yet, but I can tell it's more. Still delving more into the math of it all and which methods are best, so I do not recommend that anyone try to tail me here. Still in experimental phase. Follow Brp's parlay method for sure as it's paying off nicely
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Thanks so much for this man... keep us up to date!!!For future reference I'm going to be tracking it in this format. This is where it stands starting @ the Miami/CHI 1st half last night. The "net" of lines currently in play is -$19.60, but that will shift frequently just by the nature of this. If you hit both the next spread and total it goes from -$19.60 to +$19.00. CURRENT SIDES LABBY (-$23.60): 5-5-5-11-17.60 (Bet 2) CURRENT TOTALS LABBY (+$4): 5-11 (Bet 1) SIDES LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+$0) TOTALS LINES CLEARED ($20): 0 (+0$) SIDES LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0) TOTAL LINES STOPPED (4 consecutive losses): 0 (-$0) Total Net: $0 One thing I didn't really account for is... hmm, how can I put this... the stretches surrounding a potential 4-game losing streak. I factored in a 4-game loss as -$87, *but* that's only if the four losses come right off the bat when a new labby is started. If, for example, we have a labby where you lose two spreads in a row, win one, *then* lose four in a row, the loss is definitely more than $87. I haven't calculated it exactly yet, but I can tell it's more. Still delving more into the math of it all and which methods are best, so I do not recommend that anyone try to tail me here. Still in experimental phase. Follow Brp's parlay method for sure as it's paying off nicely
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Brp, would you happen to have a history handy of all individual plays (sides + totals) and whether they won or lost? I should have done a better job of getting that down when I first looked into it, but I didn't.
I wanna backtest a few different systems using the results we already have.Comment -
Good luck on your play. Tough beat with Texas.
2 More Points and we are settled with our bet. 10/12Comment -
Kings +5 Loss-11
Ohio St -7Loss-11
Marquette -3Loss-22
Ohio St -6.5Win20
A.F +15.5Win40
Under 127Win10 +26
GeorgeT +1.5Win10
Under 64.5Loss-11
Louis -2.5Loss-11
Over70Loss-22
Texas -8Win20
Over 60.5Win40
Neb/Okl Un 68Win10
Texas -4.5Win10
St Mary -9Loss-11
Over 61.5Loss-11
Clemson -1Win20
Under 61.5Loss-22
Bulls -.5Win10
Under 96Loss-44
Alabama -5push0
Over 55Win80
Mavs -.5Win10
Over 104.5Win10
Mavs PKWin10
Over 99.5Win10 +108
Wichita -4Loss-11
Over 65Win10
VCU +9Win20
Over 78Loss-11
Louis -2Win10
Over 63Loss-22
Louis +.5Win10
Under 73Loss-44 -38
St Johns +2Win10
Under 62.5Win80
Texas -3.5Win10
Over 56Win10
Oregon -4Win10
Under 63Loss-11
UNC -7Loss-11
Under 76Win20
Arizona -1Win20
Over 74Win10
Siena -3Loss-11
Under 67Win10
San Fr +8.5Win20
Over 66Push0
St Mary -2.5Win10
Over 62.5Win10
Illinois +4Win10
Over 70.5Loss-11
Stanford -3Loss-11
Over 67.5Win20 +195
Florida -6Win20
Over 57Win10
Denver -5.5Win10
Under 58Win10
St Joes +9Loss-11
Under 60Win10
Wisc -6.5Win20
Over 54.5Loss-11
G Tech +12Win10
Under 69Win20
UCLA -.5Loss-11
Over 65.5Loss-11 +66
UTEP -4.5Loss-22
Under 59.5Loss-22
Villan -2Loss-44
Over 62.5Loss-44
Villa -3Loss-88
Over 72Win80
Kansas -10Win160
Over 68.5Win10 +30
La Salle +8Loss-11
Over 72.5Loss-11
Texas -10Loss-22
Over 66Loss-22
Vander -3Win40
Under 67.5Win40
Utah -3.5Loss-11
Under 62Win10 +13
Boston C -1.5Loss-22
Under 65Win10
SMU -2Win40
Over 57.5Loss-11
NC -3Loss-11
Under 68Win20
Wyoming -1Win20
Under 59Win10
New Mex St +.5Loss-11
Over 69.5Loss-11 +34
OD -1Win20
Over 58Loss-22
Oakland -5Win10
Over 76Win40
Oregon -1.5Win10
Over 65Win10
San Fr -4Loss-11
Over 65Push0
Fresno St -.5Loss-22
Under 63Loss-11 +24
Prince -5.5Loss-44
Under 61.5Loss-22
SD St -1Loss-88
Under 74Win40
St Pet +1.5Loss-176
Over 62.5Win10
Blazers -3.5Win320
Over 102.5Loss-11 +29
Kansas St -2Win10
Under 70Loss-22
Wichita St +.5Loss-11
Under 62.5Win40
BYU +2Win20
Over 65Win10
UTEP -2.5Win10
Under 62.5Win10
Florida +4.5Win10
Over 63.5Win10
Oregon -2.5Loss-11
Over 61.5Win10
ND -5.5Loss-22
Over64Loss-11
Ill Chic +8Loss-44
Under 62.5Loss-22
Baylor -1.5Win80
Over 59Win40
Pepper +5.5Win10
Under 67Win10
Portland +6.5Win10
Over 66.5Loss-11
Hawaii -1.5Win10
Over 65Win20 +156
Cinci -2Loss-11
Over 58Loss-11
Xavier -1.5Win20
Over 63Loss-22
Louis -.5Win10
Under 62.5Win40
Pitts -2Win10
Over 70Loss-11
Prov +6Loss-11
Under 75.5Win20
Marq -2.5Win20
Under 83.5Win10
Wisc -6.5Win10
Under 59Loss-11
Marist +8Win10
Under 63Loss-22
Heat -5.5Loss-11
Under 110Win40
Wash -7Loss-22
Over 74Loss-11 +47 +690
ND -2.5Win40
Under 65Loss-22
Texas -5Loss-11
Over 63Win40 +47 +737 As of March 1 2011
These are all the plays BRP has made since the start of the thread.
These numbers are based on a chase starting at $10 per play. (Not the parlay system)Comment -
Your welcome! Cheers
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So what are you thinking for tonite? Purdue -5 and Over 63?Comment -
Play #7 - Series #28
Parlay - Purdue -5 / Ov. 63 (1st Half Bet) ($75 to win $195)Comment -
I would expect similar results... Just need the BR to sustain the long 5 or 6 play draughts. But so far that hasnt happened much.Comment -
Thanks JNS!
I wanna test out one or two different kinds of straight labbys, a reverse labby, and maybe even a fibonacci. Might not have the time to do all that, but we'll see. I'm pretty sure the only genuinely viable one over time will be a straight labby variation, but we'll see.Comment -
Can you explain that chase system is greater detail? For example, if you lose the initial $11 bet on both the under/over... what do you bet on the next 2 lines? And if you lose 4 in a row, how about the next two? Is it $22 - $20 on the next 2, and $33- $30 on the 5th and 6th lines?
Also, if you win the first two at $11 - $10 do you only bet $11 on the next set?Comment -
Ok so... First bet of any series is $11 to win $10 approx (-110), and we are starting with 2 bets (ATS and O/U). So that means we are betting $22 to win $20. Now lets say the result is ATS loss and O/U win. That would result in a net of -$1 for that set. The next bets in that series would be $22 to win $20 on ATS and back to $11 to win $10 on the O/U... etc
You start your bets to win $10 (or any number you like for that matter) 1-3% would be the normal range. Then double after every loss till you win. But keep your ATS and O/U chases separate.
Hope this helpsComment -
Some thing I forgot to add... MONEY MANAGEMENT IS KEY!!!Comment -
If you played every SIDE from the beginning under the basic labby system I outlined a few pages ago (first bet $11 to win $10)...
+$127.38, biggest bet was $46.71 to win $42.46
If you played every TOTAL from the beginning the same way...
+$240, biggest bet was $25.53 to win $23.81
Total net: +$367.38
There were TWO significant losing streaks (4+) on the SIDES: one 4-game, one 5-game. Both of these times, I stopped the labby after the fourth loss which resulted loss of $86.31 on each of those two labbys.
There were NO significant losing streaks (4+) on TOTALS.
If you have a decent bankroll, you could have kept going on those two SIDES labbys that lost money. On the 4-loss streak, the fifth bet would have been about $41.50, and on the 5-loss streak, the sixth bet was about $51.50, and the lines stabilized after that, so you wouldn't have taken the two $86 hits.Comment -
Nice... Promising as well. Requires a lower bankroll then the straight chase.Comment -
Largest bet was to win $320Comment -
Hit $176 twice, so 3 large bets. The bulk are 44 and 22 with the occassional 88Comment