Curious Season Thread

[curious]

Tues Jan 11 totals (additional)

Totals
San Antonio Vs Minnesota Over 207 -110 2.2 units to win 2 units
Denver Vs Phoenix Phoenix Team Totals Over 106.5 -120 1.2 to win 1
New York Vs Portland Over 203 -110 2.2 units to win 2 units
LA Lakers vs Cleveland Under 198.5 -110 2.2 units to win 2 units
San Antonio vs Minnesota Minnesota Team Totals Over 100 -120 1.2 to win 1

Side
LA Lakers Vs Cleveland Cavaliers + 15 -110 1.1 to win 1

[cblackgold]

GL tonight

I'm tailing the 76ers/wizards parlay

Lets get it

[curious]

There might be more of these posts. I got this from Paco. NOTE** I do NOT know how to cap totals. If you trust Paco then play this, otherwise don't play it.

Kings/Wizards Over 197 -110 1.1 unit to win 1 unit

Win +1 unit

[curious]

Parlay +103 $100 to win $103
Washington -265 ML
Philly -210 ML

Lost -$100

Okay, this is that win 15 parlays in a row and win $100,000 experiment. Let's try the remaining two teams for tonight.
Parlay +264 $100 to win $264
Lakers -15 -110
Portland -4 -110

[curious]

Tuesday Jan 11 Lakers play

Lakers -15 -110 11 units to win 10 units

[therealdealau]

wow 11x on Lakers -15 good luck!

[curious]

Lakers -15 -110 11 units to win 10 units

Win +10 Units.

After I capped this game thoroughly I figured that Lakers would run away with it. Should have bet 100 units LOL

[curious]

Totals
San Antonio Vs Minnesota Over 207 -110 2.2 units to win 2 units Loss -2.2
Denver Vs Phoenix Phoenix Team Totals Over 106.5 -120 1.2 to win 1 Loss -1.2
New York Vs Portland Over 203 -110 2.2 units to win 2 units Loss -2.2
LA Lakers vs Cleveland Under 198.5 -110 2.2 units to win 2 units Win +2
San Antonio vs Minnesota Minnesota Team Totals Over 100 -120 1.2 to win 1 Loss -1.2

Side
LA Lakers Vs Cleveland Cavaliers + 15 -110 1.1 to win 1

Loss -1.1

JEEEEZZZUUZZZZ 1-5 -5.6

[curious]

Okay, I have lines now.

Philly -200 6 units to win 3 units Loss -6
Atlanta Postponed
Washington -275 What the freak? NO way, take Washington - the points.
Washington -6 1/2 -110 3.85 to win 3.5 units Loss -3.85
Minnesota (depends on how many points they get) +6 1/2 -110 3.3 to win 3 Loss -3.3
Phoenix (depends on how many points they get) +5 -110 4.4 to win 4 Loss -4.4
Portland -175 2.63 to win 1.5 Loss -2.63

Lakers - Okay, I don't know what to do here. The lakers are notorious for not covering spreads and no one will give us a line on this game. Oh yeah, they will give us -5000, right. Maybe a teaser?

3 teams 7 points? Let's try it Loss -5
Teaser +130 5 to win 6.5 units (Who wants to bet me that the Lakers win by 7)
Philly +2
Denver +2 1/2
Lakers -8

0-6 -23 units gawddammit punk ass mo fos

[curious]

all of these are -110.

1st q
philadelphia -1 1/2 loss -2.2
minnesota +2 loss -2.2
portland -1 1/2 loss -2.2
lakers -4 win +2

1st h
indiana +3 1/2 win +2
washington -3 1/2 loss -2.2
denver -2 1/2 win +2
portland -2 1/2 loss -2.2
lakers -8 win +2

note** if you can find a book that will let you play qs and hs on the money line take it!!! Play dogs + the points and favs on the money line. I am playing these on the spread because a lot of sbr members say that they cannot find any place to play them on the money line.

4-5 -3.1

[curious]

I'm out for a while. Two bad days in a row. I'll be back when this turns around I don't want to keep costing people money.

[curious]

Wed Jan 12

Only straight up games today. I looked over the plays for the last two days and I am thinking too much.

Atlanta -180 ML 2.7 to win 1.5 units
Charlotte +115 ML 1 to win 1.15
Detroit +115 ML 2.5 to win 2.87
San Antonio -145 ML 3.62 to win 2.5
New Orleans +125 ML 1.5 to win 1.87
Utah -200 ML 2 to win 1
Phoenix 3.5 -300 ML 10.5 to win 3.5
Miami 3.5 -270 ML 9.4 to win 3.5

No lines on these, for a dog risk the amount shown, for a fav risk enough to win the amount shown. I may not have time to update these today, I will use the opening line when calculating win/loss record if I don't update them.
Lakers 1
Dallas 3.5
Boston 7
Oklahoma City 1

[JR007]

good idea..take a bath............... and see a dentist....!!!!!!!!!!!

[IceColdCoors]

good luck

[larrymiller]

Maybe your bad couple days can be accredited to your lack of proper hygiene?

[curious]

Figuring out quarters patterns

I am wondering if there is some psychology to how certain teams play Quarters.

One idea that I have is that some teams win a Quarter if they have lost the previous Quarter.

Another idea, certain teams win the 3rd Quarter is they are behind at the half.

Another idea, certain teams win the 4th Quarter if they are behind at the end of the 3rd Quarter.

Now, figuring this out is a lot of work. www.sportsdatabase.com helps but there is a lot of queries to run and then using a spreadsheet to calculate all these angles. I'll give you an example, the Knicks are 15-4 in the 2nd Quarter IF they lost the 1st Quarter. If the Knicks won the first Quarter then they are 5-9 in the 2nd Quarter. Their 1st Quarter play is 14-20.

There is no other Quarter angle for the Knicks that gives us an edge.

Does anyone want to help me work on this? Say you take the teams West of the Mississippi river and I take the teams East?

[larrymiller]

I am wondering if there is some psychology to how certain teams play Quarters. One idea that I have is that some teams win a Quarter if they have lost the previous Quarter. Another idea, certain teams win the 3rd Quarter is they are behind at the half. Another idea, certain teams win the 4th Quarter if they are behind at the end of the 3rd Quarter. Now, figuring this out is a lot of work. www.sportsdatabase.com helps but there is a lot of queries to run and then using a spreadsheet to calculate all these angles. I'll give you an example, the Knicks are 15-4 in the 2nd Quarter IF they lost the 1st Quarter. If the Knicks won the first Quarter then they are 5-9 in the 2nd Quarter. Their 1st Quarter play is 14-20. There is no other Quarter angle for the Knicks that gives us an edge. Does anyone want to help me work on this? Say you take the teams West of the Mississippi river and I take the teams East?

I feel that the problem with this is, the lines are adjusted accordingly, thus rendering the numbers somewhat meaningless. Get a haircut

[curious]

larry miller,
i am talking about money lines, not spreads. Well, + the points for dogs but money lines for favs.

[curious]

I feel that the problem with this is, the lines are adjusted accordingly, thus rendering the numbers somewhat meaningless. Get a haircut

larrymiller, Using this logic you couldn't make any spread plays in any sport. Go back to playing Doom.

[VegasPlayer]

I am wondering if there is some psychology to how certain teams play Quarters.

One idea that I have is that some teams win a Quarter if they have lost the previous Quarter.

Another idea, certain teams win the 3rd Quarter is they are behind at the half.

Another idea, certain teams win the 4th Quarter if they are behind at the end of the 3rd Quarter.

Now, figuring this out is a lot of work. www.sportsdatabase.com helps but there is a lot of queries to run and then using a spreadsheet to calculate all these angles. I'll give you an example, the Knicks are 15-4 in the 2nd Quarter IF they lost the 1st Quarter. If the Knicks won the first Quarter then they are 5-9 in the 2nd Quarter. Their 1st Quarter play is 14-20.

There is no other Quarter angle for the Knicks that gives us an edge.

Does anyone want to help me work on this? Say you take the teams West of the Mississippi river and I take the teams East?

I'm willing to help with the West. It's going to take some time as I have a job.

[curious]

I'm willing to help with the West. It's going to take some time as I have a job.

Thanks, post which teams you are working on a few at a time and maybe someone else will offer to help on some of the others.

[VegasPlayer]

Thanks, post which teams you are working on a few at a time and maybe someone else will offer to help on some of the others.

OK. I'll start with the Pacific Division. If you get a chance post the queries you are running, so our data is cut the same way. I'll get started tonight about 2:00 AM EST.

[curious]

OK. I'll start with the Pacific Division. If you get a chance post the queries you are running, so our data is cut the same way. I'll get started tonight about 2:00 AM EST.

This is the query I use:
team, o:team, quarter scores, o:quarter scores, date@team=Knicks and date>20101001

I then paste the results into excel, you have to do some formatting to get the scores into separate columns and get rid of some unwanted characters but I just use the Edit-->Replace function for that.

it takes about 30 minutes per team. Ouch.

[VegasPlayer]

This is the query I use:
team, o:team, quarter scores, o:quarter scores, date@team=Knicks and date>20101001

I then paste the results into excel, you have to do some formatting to get the scores into separate columns and get rid of some unwanted characters but I just use the Edit-->Replace function for that.

it takes about 30 minutes per team. Ouch.

Got it. Time is ok. Takes awhile to wind down after work and nobody is awake anyhoo. Thanks.

[curious]

Lakers -240 ML 2.4 to win 1
Dallas +115 3.5 to win 4.0
Boston -1400 98 to win 7
Oklahoma City -150 1.5 to win 1

[VegasPlayer]

This is the query I use:
team, o:team, quarter scores, o:quarter scores, date@team=Knicks and date>20101001

I then paste the results into excel, you have to do some formatting to get the scores into separate columns and get rid of some unwanted characters but I just use the Edit-->Replace function for that.

it takes about 30 minutes per team. Ouch.

Bump

[curious]

Only straight up games today. I looked over the plays for the last two days and I am thinking too much.

Atlanta -180 ML 2.7 to win 1.5 units Win +1.5 units
Charlotte +115 ML 1 to win 1.15 Win +1.15 Units
Detroit +115 ML 2.5 to win 2.87 Lost -2.5 Units
San Antonio -145 ML 3.62 to win 2.5 Win +2.5 Units
New Orleans +125 ML 1.5 to win 1.87 Win +1.87 Units
Utah -200 ML 2 to win 1 Win +1 Unit
Phoenix 3.5 -300 ML 10.5 to win 3.5 Win +3.5 Units
Miami 3.5 -270 ML 9.4 to win 3.5 Loss -9.4 Units

Lakers -240 ML 2.4 to win 1 Win +1 UNit
Dallas +115 3.5 to win 4.0 Loss -3.5 Units
Boston -1400 98 to win 7 Win +7 Units
Oklahoma City -150 1.5 to win 1 Win +1 UNit

8-3 +5.88 Units

[curious]

Thursday, Jan 13

OKC +105 1 to win 1.05
Minnesota -220 8.8 to win 4
Denver +120 1 to win 1.2

NOTE** If the opening lines by the major books are very far off from these lines I will update them but I think these will be right.

[curious]

Thursday Jan 13 Adding more units

I REALLY like these plays, let's go on the spread to add a little insurance

OKC +1 +1.1 5 to win 5.5 units
Nuggets +4 -110 5.5 to win 5 units

[curious]

If the line moves much on the Nuggets and THunder in the right direction we are going to add to these plays.

[play]

with you 100%: good luck

[chaseman]

I'll be willing to come back and run some quarters once I get my schedule straightened out.

[PistolPete13]

Just wanted to add to my "idea" the other day of playing a team to win the 3rd qtr who lost both the 1st and 2nd qtr. I believe the record was 42-18 for the last month. The last two nights it went 4-1.

[curious]

Just wanted to add to my "idea" the other day of playing a team to win the 3rd qtr who lost both the 1st and 2nd qtr. I believe the record was 42-18 for the last month. The last two nights it went 4-1.

Are you taking dogs + the points and favs money line?

Is there a place that "average" posters can make the 3rd Q plays? I get a lot of complaints for some of my strategies from "average" posters that they cannot find a book that will let them do that.

If we can find some places that most people can find I will start placing and tracking these plays. I think the Q and H plays are much stronger than games.

[Dialysis1]

Where

I REALLY like these plays, let's go on the spread to add a little insurance

OKC +1 +1.1 5 to win 5.5 units
Nuggets +4 -110 5.5 to win 5 units

Can I find Nuggets at +4??