nba season picks

[BL]

Charlotte Bobcats -9 3x

Ok, guys. The Timberwolves are a covering machine, winning the last 4 games ATS. Yesterday I already gave out a freeplay against them with the hawks allowing them to get a backoor cover, leading by 17 against the TPups but only winning by 6 at the end.
The public is already over Minnesota again. For sure, they covered against the ATL, NY, ORL and SAC and are getting 9 points against the Bobcats who didn't even win a single game at home this year. Easy one, isn't it? I won't change my cappingstyle at all. Today I will bet against the Timberwolves again!
The defensive numbers give Charlotte a 15,6 point edge in this match. That's huge! Only 2 teams had a similar edge in those numbers playing against the TPups this season. Miami and Orlando. Guess what: Miami won by 32, Orlando by 42. I don't tell you that Charlotte is as good as those teams offensively. But a spread of 9 shouldn't be a problem for the Bobcats tonight especially with Tpups on the back2back. Kevin Love played >80 minutes in the last 3 days so he should get some limited time if the Bobcats are up big after the first half which is what I do expect.

[Tennispro]

MUHAHA i just released my big kahuna play bl you might look at it, you know where lol

[BL]

Finally we are on the same side jaja !

[BL]

Denver PK (1x)
Suns aren't as good as last years. That's a fact. Denver has a 3,2 point edge in defensive numbers. Combined with the
fact that Suns are 2-5 ATS in back2back games you get the reason why Phoenix not opened up as a 3+ point favorite.
Both teams win against the World Champions in their last game. But for different reasons. Suns simply put in 22 shots
from downtown to get the win. Won't be that easy against a Nugget team that only allows 6 3pointers per game.
Denver won by letting LA only make 40% of their fg-attempts for their win. And that's the key to win tonight again.
Simply going with the better team in defense here to finally win a game against the Suns on the road.

[aireent777]

And Denver only allowed the Lakers 19 points in the 4th quarter. Defense is what handed Denver their win. And you know why Phoenix shot 55% of their 22 threes last night against the Lakers? As Frye was saying..."They just let us shoot". I don't see Denver letting Phoenix shoot the way they did at Staples. And the hell I don't see Phoenix shooting 55% from three point land again tonight against Denver. See Denver break the streak tonight that they've been longing for.

[sweetjones55]

Why do you think GS is favored by 7 points tonight? They have only won one game all year by 7+, are without David Lee, and coming off a long road trip. Detroit has been rolling.

[BL]

Why do you think GS is favored by 7 points tonight? They have only won one game all year by 7+, are without David Lee, and coming off a long road trip. Detroit has been rolling.

GSW this years homegames:

vs UTA won by 7
vs MEM won by 6
vs LAC won by 18
vs HOU won by 4

4-0 SU / ATS

Warriors are looking for a revenge tonight after losing to DET by 5 points just 8 days ago.
If I had to pick a side it would be the Warriors. I don't see why you like Detroit besides the fact
they won their recent games.
Hamilton made only 34,5 percent of his FG-attempts on the road this year. Call that struggling. Detroit isn't playing as physically and defensive minded as they were last year. Only 29th in the league in rebounding (38.2 per game), 27th in scoring margin (-5.5 points per game) and 25th in field goal percentage defense (opponents are shooting 47.5 percent). The Pistons come into the week averaging an NBA-low 42.8 points in the second half. That's nothing I look for in a team I want to put my money on.
covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nba/results/2010-2011/boxscore795614.html

[sweetjones55]

Well one of the reasons I like Detroit is the stats you mentioned above, only one blowout win for the Warriors and that was with Lee against LAC who at the time was playing terribly. The whole "production will be replaced" doesn't fly here as Gadzuric is terrible. GS is also coming off of a long road trip and played horribly in their last two games as they just didn't have any kind of interior presence, nothing about that changing tonight. Starters match up evenly and Detroit's bench is much better IMO. Det is 6-1 ATS last 7 vs GS. Detroit is 7-3 ATS this year and the three losses were to good teams, CHI (by 1) BOS and PORT. Line opened at +7 and quickly went down to +6.

[BL]

well, SJ. I won't play the Warriors for sure but I don't like DET on the back2back here for the reasons I posted.

[BRoZ]

Charlotte Bobcats -9 3x

Ok, guys. The Timberwolves are a covering machine, winning the last 4 games ATS. Yesterday I already gave out a freeplay against them with the hawks allowing them to get a backoor cover, leading by 17 against the TPups but only winning by 6 at the end.
The public is already over Minnesota again. For sure, they covered against the ATL, NY, ORL and SAC and are getting 9 points against the Bobcats who didn't even win a single game at home this year. Easy one, isn't it? I won't change my cappingstyle at all. Today I will bet against the Timberwolves again!
The defensive numbers give Charlotte a 15,6 point edge in this match. That's huge! Only 2 teams had a similar edge in those numbers playing against the TPups this season. Miami and Orlando. Guess what: Miami won by 32, Orlando by 42. I don't tell you that Charlotte is as good as those teams offensively. But a spread of 9 shouldn't be a problem for the Bobcats tonight especially with Tpups on the back2back. Kevin Love played >80 minutes in the last 3 days so he should get some limited time if the Bobcats are up big after the first half which is what I do expect.

for me under 197.5 is a much better choice .. what do u think about UNDeR ?

[BL]

for me under 197.5 is a much better choice .. what do u think about UNDeR ?

don't think it's the best choice here. simply roll with the bobcats. Defensive numbers combine 208 points.

[BRoZ]

don't think it's the best choice here. simply roll with the bobcats. Defensive numbers combine 208 points.

if so we should play OVER lol

[jbofcb]

Den Pho

BL,
For many of the reasons you addressed re: Den/Pho I took under 219.5 @ South Point.
JB

[Tedd]

Charlotte Bobcats -9 3x

Ok, guys. The Timberwolves are a covering machine, winning the last 4 games ATS. Yesterday I already gave out a freeplay against them with the hawks allowing them to get a backoor cover, leading by 17 against the TPups but only winning by 6 at the end.
The public is already over Minnesota again. For sure, they covered against the ATL, NY, ORL and SAC and are getting 9 points against the Bobcats who didn't even win a single game at home this year. Easy one, isn't it? I won't change my cappingstyle at all. Today I will bet against the Timberwolves again!
The defensive numbers give Charlotte a 15,6 point edge in this match. That's huge! Only 2 teams had a similar edge in those numbers playing against the TPups this season. Miami and Orlando. Guess what: Miami won by 32, Orlando by 42. I don't tell you that Charlotte is as good as those teams offensively. But a spread of 9 shouldn't be a problem for the Bobcats tonight especially with Tpups on the back2back. Kevin Love played >80 minutes in the last 3 days so he should get some limited time if the Bobcats are up big after the first half which is what I do expect.

Hi BL,i am new to basketball betting,what does back2back mean?If it is to much to explain point i the right direction.Thanks

[BL]

Hi BL,i am new to basketball betting,what does back2back mean?If it is to much to explain point i the right direction.Thanks

Hey Tedd,
good choice to join the basketball betting community! back2back means two games played on consecutive nights. for any reason (most say lazy legs, travelling) teams usually don't play with big effort in those games. There are some teams having a great record in the second game of back2backs and teams that usually lose ATS in the second match.

[Tedd]

Thanks Bl

[MrSink]

like bobcats -5 HT and mavs to cover!

[BL]

I don't buy the linemovement today. liking my picks no matter what.

[BL]

ugh! what do u like today guys?

NBA SEASON 31-18 (63,27%) +6,95 units

[BL]

most lines not out yet in vegas/offshore. My local is quick today. Here's what he's offering:

ATL -2,5 against IND

CLE PK against PHI

WAS -2,5 against TOR

LAL -4,5 at Bucks

MEM -2,5 against POR

HOU -2,5 against CHI

DEN -8,5 against NYK

[sweetjones55]

most lines not out yet in vegas/offshore. My local is quick today. Here's what he's offering:

ATL -2,5 against IND

CLE PK against PHI

WAS -2,5 against TOR

LAL -4,5 at Bucks

MEM -2,5 against POR

HOU -2,5 against CHI

DEN -8,5 against NYK

You should lay every dollar you own on Cle at PK and then go online and lay every dollar you own on Phi +5.

[BL]

You should lay every dollar you own on Cle at PK and then go online and lay every dollar you own on Phi +5.

If I put every dollar I own on CLE PK how could I put every dollar on PHI +5 after that? I won't have a single dollar then lol
just kidding. Don't know if the -5 line LEgens opened is for real. they opened up a total of 160. That's a joke. We'll see whre LVSC and the offshore books will open the line

[jim844]

What are thoughts on Indiana game and Chicago game?
Bol today!

[sweetjones55]

If I put every dollar I own on CLE PK how could I put every dollar on PHI +5 after that? I won't have a single dollar then lol
just kidding. Don't know if the -5 line LEgens opened is for real. they opened up a total of 160. That's a joke. We'll see whre LVSC and the offshore books will open the line

Lol I was about to call you and send you money to do this for me. Line opened up at -2 now everywhere

[BL]

yeah, what a pity. would have been a nice chance to middle.

@jim: looking at chicago and Indiana in those games. strongest lean so far blazers

[Tennispro]

WE GOT OWNED yesterday lol, btw Blazers are playing without Roy.

[BL]

WE GOT OWNED yesterday lol, btw Blazers are playing without Roy.

right, that's why they are dogs

[Tennispro]

Why do you like them?

[BL]

Why do you like them?

They simply don't seem to lose against them on the road. 5-0 SU in Memphis. But there are some things I don't like. will have another look at the matchup. the fact the public is on them that big scared me aswell.

[Tennispro]

I would like the pick if Roy would play, it seems he always has a great night against Grizz.

[djpremier36]

I'm liking the Pacers, Blazers and Knicks tonight.

[BL]

looking at POR ML and Denver OVER

[Wilforth]

Roy isn't playing for the Blazers!

[BL]

I do know Wil and that's why I like them. If Roy was playing and Portland would be a dog I wouldn't touch them. Getting some points because of Roy missing sounds good to me.
Portland is able to play well without him. the've proven it before.

[lyon804]

I do know Wil and that's why I like them. If Roy was playing and Portland would be a dog I wouldn't touch them. Getting some points because of Roy missing sounds good to me.
Portland is able to play well without him. the've proven it before.

The injured star rule is in effect here