nba season picks

BL · 11-13-10, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by GTS925

What are your thoughts on Memphis +3?

looks like the right play but not touching it.

sweetjones55 · 11-13-10, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by BL

looks like the right play but not touching it.

Line dropped to -2.5 Celtics despite 92% on them, still not touching it?

BL · 11-13-10, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Line dropped to -2.5 Celtics despite 92% on them, still not touching it?

nope, I don't bet against Celtics in a revengematch for last years homeloss.

djpremier36 · 11-13-10, 03:08 PM

Hey BL, just wanted your opinion on a couple of leans I got....

Raptors +15.5

Wizards +11

and Blazers +4

BL · 11-13-10, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by djpremier36

Hey BL, just wanted your opinion on a couple of leans I got....

Raptors +15.5

Wizards +11

and Blazers +4

Portland and Washington (!) may win SU. I think Miami could win by 30 today. but I didnt look closer at all those matches because I only have very limited time today. Thats why I am only playing bobcats.
will cap the whole board again from tomorrow on. best of luck on whatever you play tonight except you are fading my bobcats

BL · 11-13-10, 09:29 PM

Originally posted by BL

not much time yesterday and today so heres my pick. will be back for real tomorrow

Charlotte Bobcats +2,5 2x
I didnt need to buy the hook because my local is offering me 2,5. I think you
will get a 2,5 if you wait some more hours for sure.
Bobcats should end Utahs streak tonight. not much more to say.

Winner

NBA SEASON 31-14 (68,89%) +15,65 units

BL · 11-14-10, 05:16 AM

Atlanta today for sure guys

alias69 · 11-14-10, 05:19 AM

well done mate

BL · 11-14-10, 06:09 AM

Atlanta -11 3x
First of all it should be legit to say the Hawks simply own the TPups. 9-0 SU, last loss against the Wolves dating back to 2006. Atlanta won at Minnesota by 10 only 9 days ago and I don't see the Wolves to have a chance to get their revenge today. It should get worse. The Tpups performed well the last week but they are still in the position having a thin roster. There's big value in the spread simply because Minny went 3-0 ATS in their last 3 and Atlanta only covered 1 of their last 4 gamespreads. Watch out for Atlanta to win this one in blowout fashion and get their homerecord back to 0.500 against a team that is only 1-5 on the road, losing by an average of 19,3 points including their only roadwin against the Kings.

BL · 11-14-10, 07:10 AM

ugh I threw 3x on the hawks. Time for some motivation.

GTS925 · 11-14-10, 09:22 AM

Goodluck!

sweetjones55 · 11-14-10, 09:57 AM

Real tough to fade Timberwolves who beat NY, SAC, and covered easily @ LAL in their last 3 games. Atlanta on the other hand can't buy a win losing 4 straight up. 11 points is a lot of points for Atlanta to win by considering they have only won one game all year by more than 12 points and that was the first game of the season. Line dropped quickly from 12.5 to 11. Pinny offering ATL -11 +100

BL · 11-14-10, 10:06 AM

SJ I was looking more at the fact bookmaker opened the line at 12,5 instead of 11 like all the other books. The books actually want more action on Minny. If the books just juice the +11 and not drop it to 10,5 I may add another unit on it what would make it my biggest play of the season so far.
I don't see any matchup edge in favor for Minnesota here. And I am thankfully Minny covered their last spreads so we get a line today that hasn't gotten out of control.

sweetjones55 · 11-14-10, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by BL

SJ I was looking more at the fact bookmaker opened the line at 12,5 instead of 11 like all the other books. The books actually want more action on Minny. If the books just juice the +11 and not drop it to 10,5 I may add another unit on it what would make it my biggest play of the season so far.
I don't see any matchup edge in favor for Minnesota here. And I am thankfully Minny covered their last spreads so we get a line today that hasn't gotten out of control.

Usually when Pinnacle starts juicing like this Minne +11 -110 ATL -11 +100, the line is getting ready to drop to 10.5.

And the fact that Bookmaker opened at +12.5 just shows me that they obviously thought they made a mistake and adjusted very quickly but most likely not before some sharps exploited it and pounded it downwards.

BL · 11-14-10, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Usually when Pinnacle starts juicing like this Minne +11 -110 ATL -11 +100, the line is getting ready to drop to 10.5.

if the line won't drop they are only collecting juice bets on minny. that's what I am waiting for. But I don't think I will up this bet simply because the refs don't favor the hometeam. Don't think they will be a big factor today but I cannot ignore it

BL · 11-14-10, 10:29 AM

ok, may add a late play on OKC and/or Rockets. Will check that and let you know later.

Ca$hfloW · 11-14-10, 02:55 PM

I tailed you on the hawks, what do you think about the spurs okc game? I like the spurs in the spot but it seems like a trap what are your opinions?

BL · 11-14-10, 02:58 PM

I think I will leave that game alone Cashflow! Still looking at houston

spbtpro1 · 11-14-10, 03:22 PM

What was your W/L record last season?

BL · 11-14-10, 03:46 PM

Originally posted by spbtpro1

What was your W/L record last season?

I actually saved all my plays at another forum that many guys over here know but because it had a complete relaunch because it got destroyed its all lost. didnt save it in an excel sheet. had 55% hitting percentage.

djpremier36 · 11-14-10, 04:24 PM

I like the Rockets +3 and Suns +9 today BL. Hope you're on them too!

BL · 11-14-10, 04:31 PM

and another backdoorcover kills me

Tennispro · 11-14-10, 04:46 PM

Bl look at Detroit 1h and Ny 1h kinde of nice today, too bad for the loss you went again against me lol now it is 1-1

BL · 11-14-10, 05:11 PM

BL · 11-14-10, 05:17 PM

well I got a hit on this doubledigit spread by Atlanta not making their shots in the 4th. They were up by 17 but Minny didn't give up.
Todays loss brings my record to

NBA SEASON 31-15 (67,39%) +12,35 units

Tennispro · 11-14-10, 05:21 PM

Atlanta is jut not covering this season like they used too, adjust my man.

BL · 11-14-10, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by Tennispro

Atlanta is jut not covering this season like they used too, adjust my man.

that's why I saw some value. Spread was still too high though. Well, can't win every day. don't like the other games tonight. may pass

Tennispro · 11-14-10, 05:28 PM

You will bounce back tomorrow, no doubt about that.

BL · 11-14-10, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by Tennispro

You will bounce back tomorrow, no doubt about that.

thanks man. tomorrow should be good

BL · 11-14-10, 05:49 PM

ok, one small play for tonight

OKC/Spurs UNDER 206,5 +100 (1x)
Highest line for this matchup but I am rolling with the obviuos pick here.
As wang found out on his research for this match, thee spurs were 10-3-1 on the under
in road games on the second end of back to backs last year.
Both teams combindes 183 points in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma. Talk about some
wiggle room!

BL · 11-14-10, 08:12 PM

calling the under a loss already. wont have another play today. taking the loss and ready to bounce back tomorrow!

NBA SEASON 31-16 (65,96%) +11,35 units

darkenergy · 11-15-10, 11:02 AM

I didn't wager anything for last couple of day, but darn.....I scanned through the yesterday scoreboard, all dogs are barked hard.
Nothing really standout today..........can you keep an eye on Washington vs Boston on Wed. I lean Washington BIG on that game.
Will give you my reason later, gotta step out with the wife and kid.

BL · 11-15-10, 11:15 AM

looks like I will roll with Bobcats and Nuggets today

sweetjones55 · 11-15-10, 11:18 AM

Nuggets is the play today

BL · 11-15-10, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Nuggets is the play today

my local is offering me Nuggets +2,5 lol ! Don't know why but he should get smashed on that one.
I won't post it as a 2,5 line in this thread of course because that line is a joke. But I like those 2,5 points
for free.