Why You should Not Bet Hawks +9.5

**miley** · 05-06-10, 06:21 PM

Agree. Magic will win and cover again.

**No coincidences** · 05-06-10, 06:22 PM

Yes and no.

9.5 is a lot of points for a playoff game, regardless of what happened in Game 1 or what happened during the regular season between these two teams.

Think of it this way: ORL could be up double digits the whole game, up 17 with 2 minutes left, then give up a few garbage buckets late and win by 9.

**snowball22** · 05-06-10, 06:38 PM

I think Hawks make it much closer this time.

**lakerboy** · 05-06-10, 06:41 PM

Why havent the books moved to a flat 10. Why is there a hook? Lots of questions that will be answered soon.

**Iona** · 05-06-10, 06:42 PM

I am looking for Atlanta to keep it close in the first half. Hell, Atlanta must have some pride coupled with a potential Orlando let down after the last result. If this is the case I will make an Orlando 2H play if the number is reasonable; let's face it, when Orlando gets interested they will blow the Hawks off the court.

As always, GL to all tonight.

**No coincidences** · 05-06-10, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Why havent the books moved to a flat 10. Why is there a hook? Lots of questions that will be answered soon.

Because Orlando's going to win by 9.

Watch.

Public's been cashing too much lately. Starting tonight and for the next few days, it's going to be a bloodbath for squares.

**No coincidences** · 05-06-10, 06:46 PM

78% of S(quare)portsbook on Orlando. I would imagine most of the public numbers are the same.

If this line doesn't move to 10 before the tip, I'm taking the plunge with ATL.

**lakerboy** · 05-06-10, 06:46 PM

Squares will get buried on saturday- they always do.

**No coincidences** · 05-06-10, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Squares will get buried on saturday- they always do.

I think it starts tonight with a last-minute ATL backdoor.

**No coincidences** · 05-06-10, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Squares will get buried on saturday- they always do.

There are actually a decent # of Joe Blows on Jazz at the moment.

**hels** · 05-06-10, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Yes and no. 9.5 is a lot of points for a playoff game, regardless of what happened in Game 1 or what happened during the regular season between these two teams. Think of it this way: ORL could be up double digits the whole game, up 17 with 2 minutes left, then give up a few garbage buckets late and win by 9.

Perfectly correct. That's why the no play is always an option. I wouldn't be surprised if this game finishes closer than expected but there isn't enough evidence to say it SHOULD finish with Atlanta fighting for it.

**nulldah** · 05-06-10, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by hels

I do believe it was LB who said something to the effect of, "if you're going to bet a dog line you have to have confidence in them being able to win the game, not just lose by how much they're given."

Plain and Simple, Atlanta will depend on a few god given miracles to win tonight. So if you play +9.5 then you're betting the game will finish within a 9 point outcome.

That's not worth -103 to bet that specific.

Unless you have confidence in Atlanta winning somehow it's either Magic-9.5 or no play.

one of the miracle already happened

DIESEL has declared his order!!

**woody78** · 05-06-10, 07:07 PM

Like Magic at -10 or less.