Simulation beta 1.1 predictions thread

bustabook · 01-25-10, 12:05 PM

v2 results/plays, January 25th...

Indiana 98.3 - Philadelphia 103.9 (Expected Line: Philadelphia -5.6, 202.2)
Side play: Philadelphia (-5) (Margin: 0.6)
Total Play: Under 208 (Margin: 5.8)
Cleveland 96.9 - Miami 93.0 (Expected Line: Miami +3.9, 189.9)
Side play: Cleveland (+1) (Margin: 4.9)
Total Play: Under 190 (Margin: 0.1)
LA Clippers 88.8 - Boston 100.6 (Expected Line: Boston -11.8, 189.4)
Side play: Boston (-11) (Margin: 0.8)
Total Play: Under 190 (Margin: 0.6)
Orlando 104.2 - Memphis 101.2 (Expected Line: Memphis +3.0, 205.4)
Side play: Orlando (-1.5) (Margin: 1.5)
Total Play: Over 203 (Margin: 2.4)
Chicago 87.7 - San Antonio 101.1 (Expected Line: San Antonio -13.4, 188.8)
Side play: San Antonio (-8) (Margin: 5.4)
Total Play: Under 197 (Margin: 8.2)
Atlanta 101.6 - Houston 99.9 (Expected Line: Houston +1.7, 201.5)
Side play: Atlanta (+1) (Margin: 2.7)
Total Play: Over 197 (Margin: 4.5)
Phoenix 105.3 - Utah 108.9 (Expected Line: Utah -3.6, 214.2)
Side play: Phoenix (+7) (Margin: 3.4)
Total Play: Under 221.5 (Margin: 7.3)
Charlotte 93.2 - Denver 101.7 (Expected Line: Denver -8.5, 194.9)
Side play: Denver (-5.5) (Margin: 3.0)
Total Play: Over 194.5 (Margin: 0.4)
New Orleans 90.9 - Portland 99.2 (Expected Line: Portland -8.3, 190.1)
Side play: Portland (-2.5) (Margin: 5.8)
Total Play: Over 188.5 (Margin: 1.6)

----------------------

Indiana/Philadelphia Under 208***
Cleveland +1 (PLAY AT OWN RISK, HIGH INJURY FACTOR)*
Chicago/San Antonio Under 197*
San Antonio -8***
Atlanta/Houston Over 201.5**
Phoenix/Utah Under 221.5*
Portland -2.5***

(THE MORE THE STARS, THE STRONGER THE PLAY)
-------------------------------

Here you go, boys. I used a ratings system today, which is something a little different.. but I definately felt stronger about some plays than others and wanted to show it somehow.

Anyway, GL boys..

CHAZ · 01-25-10, 12:55 PM

Originally posted by bustabook

Atlanta/Houston Over 201.5**

Its at 197

Profit · 01-25-10, 02:06 PM

Im sure you already know this...but you still think Portland is good even without roy?

Nick6570 · 01-25-10, 02:43 PM

I like the new rating system, If you keep doing this ill try to keep a runing record based on number of stars

bustabook · 01-25-10, 02:53 PM

Originally posted by CHAZ

Its at 197

you are right.. and the play reflects the line @ 197.. just a typo in the "plays" area.

thanks

CHAZ · 01-25-10, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by Profit

Im sure you already know this...but you still think Portland is good even without roy?

The system doesn't account for injuries.

LerpF51 · 01-25-10, 09:40 PM

Indy/Philly U208 ...BANK IT!

LerpF51 · 01-25-10, 10:16 PM

Cleveland +1 ... BANK IT!

LerpF51 · 01-25-10, 10:58 PM

San Antonio -8 Loss
Bulls/Spurs U197 ... Bank IT!

El Mexa · 01-25-10, 11:02 PM

Congrtas on another good night, thx for share your picks!!

LerpF51 · 01-25-10, 11:02 PM

Atlanta/Houston U197.5 ... I'm Bankin' IT!

LerpF51 · 01-25-10, 11:15 PM

Suns/Jazz U221.5 Loss

LerpF51 · 01-26-10, 12:39 AM

Portland -2.5 Loss

Nick6570 · 01-26-10, 01:11 AM

not a terrible night busta

MrSleepy · 01-26-10, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by bustabook

Indiana/Philadelphia Under 208***
Cleveland +1 (PLAY AT OWN RISK, HIGH INJURY FACTOR)*
Chicago/San Antonio Under 197*
San Antonio -8***
Atlanta/Houston Over 201.5**
Phoenix/Utah Under 221.5*
Portland -2.5***

(THE MORE THE STARS, THE STRONGER THE PLAY)
-------------------------------

A rough monday nite busta. but most were close calls so not bad at all. keep it going!!!

LerpF51 · 01-26-10, 02:13 AM

Originally posted by LerpF51

Atlanta/Houston U197.5 ... I'm Bankin' IT!

OOPS! That's a LOSS. A little matter of .5 .I was wondering why I couldn't balance my account! LOL!

CHAZ · 01-26-10, 08:50 AM

Indiana/Philadelphia Under 208***
Cleveland +1 *
Chicago/San Antonio Under 197*

San Antonio -8***
Atlanta/Houston Over 197**
Phoenix/Utah Under 221.5*
Portland -2.5***

MrSleepy · 01-26-10, 11:02 AM

busta, have sims and plays for tonite? looking forward to them.

Welt446+ · 01-26-10, 01:10 PM

Don't worry about a negative night Busta. It happens regardless of how good a system works. You do an excellent job.

Joe Dogs · 01-26-10, 02:33 PM

Keep them coming Busta.....Another day to make money

SpiderMonkey · 01-26-10, 05:28 PM

Whattup Busta - I am back around - will catch up with you soon -

AzNDooM · 01-26-10, 06:36 PM

Bustabook you got the data for today

vic · 01-26-10, 07:28 PM

Busta, win or loose, we still want to see your play.

bustabook · 01-26-10, 09:03 PM

sorry its so late, but there werent any plays for the early games anyway....

here is everything (including the earlier games):

LA Lakers 104.5 - Washington 97.0 (Expected Line: Washington +7.5, 201.5)
Side play: Washington (+8) (Margin: 0.5)
Total Play: Over 199 (Margin: 2.5)
Minnesota 98.4 - New York 108.8 (Expected Line: New York -10.4, 207.2)
Side play: New York (-6.5) (Margin: 3.9)
Total Play: Under 208 (Margin: 0.8)
Milwaukee 94.5 - Dallas 101.6 (Expected Line: Dallas -7.1, 196.1)
Side play: Dallas (-6.5) (Margin: 0.6)
Total Play: Under 197 (Margin: 0.9)
Charlotte 100.1 - Phoenix 104.5 (Expected Line: Phoenix -4.4, 204.6)
Side play: Charlotte (+5.5) (Margin: 1.1)
Total Play: Under 209.5 (Margin: 4.9)
Golden State 111.7 - Sacramento 114.7 (Expected Line: Sacramento -3.0, 226.4)
Side play: Golden State (+6.5) (Margin: 3.5)
Total Play: Over 219 (Margin: 7.4)

-------------------

Plays:

Charlotte/Phoenix Under 209.5
Golden State (+6.5)
Golden State/Sacramento Over 219

GL

bustabook · 01-26-10, 09:05 PM

not at all worried about yesterday... i think we went 3-3-1 anyway (i saw someone earlier counted atlanta over as loss, i think it was a push).

was really busy all day so i didn't get a chance to post.. sorry boys! hopefully you got them in time for help with the late games.. GL

rfr3sh · 01-26-10, 09:52 PM

Hey busta..your simulation makes me like my goldenstate and over play even more

bustabook · 01-26-10, 10:00 PM

nice.. GL sir regresh

vic · 01-27-10, 01:53 AM

Busta TKS. for posting the play.

vic · 01-27-10, 02:23 AM

Busta Phoe. play is always wrong on ver. 2. They are horrible. Is there any value you can change to reflect a lousy team like Phoe., cuz back of my head I know that ver. 2 rate back 15 games. Right? Maybe just fade them for now, by next week number should reflect more accurately.

MrSleepy · 01-27-10, 10:54 AM

where r u? looking for your daily play....

CHAZ · 01-27-10, 11:14 AM

Hope to see your plays today.

Nick6570 · 01-27-10, 12:44 PM

Hey busta you still gonna use the *** ranking system??

bustabook · 01-27-10, 09:14 PM

sorry boys, had to work late. going to get these last couple games out for you guys..

Utah 94.1 - Portland 96.5 (Expected Line: Portland -2.4, 190.6)
Side play: Portland (+2.5) (Margin: 4.9)
Total Play: Under 195.5 (Margin: 4.9)
New Orleans 108.9 - Golden State 110.2 (Expected Line: Golden State -1.3, 219.1)
Side play: Golden State (+1.5) (Margin: 2.8)
Total Play: Over 214 (Margin: 5.1)

----------------------------

Plays:

Portland +2.5
Utah/Portland Under 195.5

GL

bustabook · 01-27-10, 09:35 PM

V2 Results/Plays, January 28th..

Toronto 105.2 - New York 107.0 (Expected Line: New York -1.8, 212.2)
Side play: Toronto (+3) (Margin: 1.2)
Total Play: Under 213 (Margin: 0.8)
Boston 94.7 - Orlando 97.0 (Expected Line: Orlando -2.3, 191.7)
Side play: Boston (+3.5) (Margin: 1.2)
Total Play: Over 187.5 (Margin: 4.2)
Dallas 106.3 - Phoenix 109.0 (Expected Line: Phoenix -2.7, 215.3)
Side play: Phoenix (-2) (Margin: 0.7)
Total Play: Under 215.5 (Margin: 0.2)

------------------------

dont have plays yet.. but here are the results for thursday, v2.. GL

vic · 01-28-10, 12:46 AM

Busta, If you have time. Can I have all the play for today? TKS.