Simulation beta 1.1 predictions thread

[bustabook]

nick...

every few days i do a new round of backtesting to see what the systems strong/weak spots are.. but in general, the higher the margin the higher chance a play will be made.

hope this helps.. GL

[CHAZ]

Positive night.

GoldenState (+2) WIN (97-114)
Chicago/Golden State (Under 218.5) WIN (211)
LA Clippers (-8) WIN (95-106)
San Antonio (+1) WIN (97-90)

Phoenix (+2) LOSS (118-125)
San Antonio/New Orleans Over 190 LOSS (187)
New Jersey/LA Clippers Under 194.5 LOSS (201)

[Nick6570]

Not bad of a night.

Busta, does your system account for injury and factors like these yet??

[CHAZ]

Any simulations tonight?

[MrSleepy]

Busta, lines are out for tomorrow's games. You going to run sims tonite? need some help on a few games.

[bustabook]

Sacramento 100.2 - Atlanta 111.1 (Expected Line: Atlanta -10.9, 211.3)
Side play: Atlanta (-10) (Margin: 0.9)
Total Play: Over 205 (Margin: 6.3)
Indiana 92.8 - Orlando 107.3 (Expected Line: Orlando -14.5, 200.1)
Side play: Orlando (-11.5) (Margin: 3.0)
Total Play: Under 210 (Margin: 9.9)
Dallas 102.6 - Washington 99.2 (Expected Line: Washington +3.4, 201.8)
Side play: Washington (+4.5) (Margin: 1.1)
Total Play: Over 199 (Margin: 2.8)
Toronto 99.9 - Milwaukee 104.3 (Expected Line: Milwaukee -4.4, 204.2)
Side play: Milwaukee (-2.5) (Margin: 1.9)
Total Play: Over 204 (Margin: 0.2)
Memphis 101.9 - New Orleans 104.4 (Expected Line: New Orleans -2.5, 206.3)
Side play: Memphis (+4) (Margin: 1.5)
Total Play: Over 203.5 (Margin: 2.8)
New Jersey 94.8 - Phoenix 112.9 (Expected Line: Phoenix -18.1, 207.7)
Side play: Phoenix (-12.5) (Margin: 5.6)
Total Play: Under 218 (Margin: 10.3)
Utah 94.6 - San Antonio 100.8 (Expected Line: San Antonio -6.2, 195.4)
Side play: Utah (+6.5) (Margin: 0.3)
Total Play: Over 194 (Margin: 1.4)
Denver 117.4 - Golden State 111.2 (Expected Line: Golden State +6.2, 228.6)
Side play: Denver (-6) (Margin: 0.2)
Total Play: Under 230 (Margin: 1.4)
Chicago 90.0 - LA Clippers 95.5 (Expected Line: LA Clippers -5.5, 185.5)
Side play: LA Clippers (-3.5) (Margin: 2.0)
Total Play: Under 197 (Margin: 11.5)


--------------------

there are 4 games that still don't have lines as of 9 a.m. est.. i will get those out at around 11.

i will also have plays by then. stay tuned.

[bustabook]

here are some early plays...

sac/atl over 205.5 (6.3) line moving up
ind/orl under 210 (9.9) line moving down
dal/was over 199 (2.8) line moving up
mem/no over 203.5 (2.8) line moving up
phoenix -12.5 (5.6) line not moving

all of these lines look like they will be moving, so get on these early..

[CHAZ]

The (**) is the margin?

[vic]

Busta, can I get the Ver 2 play for yesterday. Huge line move before tip off yesterday, loss both play. It's irrelevant, but still want to see your play. TKS.

[bustabook]

Version 2 results/plays, January 20th..

Sacramento 100.2 - Atlanta 111.1 (Expected Line: Atlanta -10.9, 211.3)
Side play: Atlanta (-10) (Margin: 0.9)
Total Play: Over 205 (Margin: 6.3)
Indiana 92.8 - Orlando 107.3 (Expected Line: Orlando -14.5, 200.1)
Side play: Orlando (-11.5) (Margin: 3.0)
Total Play: Under 210 (Margin: 9.9)
Dallas 102.6 - Washington 99.2 (Expected Line: Washington +3.4, 201.8)
Side play: Washington (+4.5) (Margin: 1.1)
Total Play: Over 199 (Margin: 2.8)
Toronto 99.9 - Milwaukee 104.3 (Expected Line: Milwaukee -4.4, 204.2)
Side play: Milwaukee (-2.5) (Margin: 1.9)
Total Play: Over 204 (Margin: 0.2)
Memphis 101.9 - New Orleans 104.4 (Expected Line: New Orleans -2.5, 206.3)
Side play: Memphis (+4) (Margin: 1.5)
Total Play: Over 203.5 (Margin: 2.8)
New Jersey 94.8 - Phoenix 112.9 (Expected Line: Phoenix -18.1, 207.7)
Side play: Phoenix (-12.5) (Margin: 5.6)
Total Play: Under 218 (Margin: 10.3)
Utah 94.6 - San Antonio 100.8 (Expected Line: San Antonio -6.2, 195.4)
Side play: Utah (+6.5) (Margin: 0.3)
Total Play: Over 194 (Margin: 1.4)
Denver 117.4 - Golden State 111.2 (Expected Line: Golden State +6.2, 228.6)
Side play: Denver (-6) (Margin: 0.2)
Total Play: Under 230 (Margin: 1.4)
Chicago 90.0 - LA Clippers 95.5 (Expected Line: LA Clippers -5.5, 185.5)
Side play: LA Clippers (-3.5) (Margin: 2.0)
Total Play: Under 197 (Margin: 11.5)
Miami 88.1 - Charlotte 92.1 (Expected Line: Charlotte -4.0, 180.2)
Side play: Charlotte (-3.5) (Margin: 0.5)
Total Play: Under 191 (Margin: 10.8)
Portland 97.2 - Philadelphia 94.1 (Expected Line: Philadelphia +3.1, 191.3)
Side play: Portland (-1) (Margin: 2.1)
Total Play: Under 193 (Margin: 1.7)
Boston 96.6 - Detroit 87.4 (Expected Line: Detroit +9.2, 184.0)
Side play: Boston (-4) (Margin: 5.2)
Total Play: Under 187 (Margin: 3.0)
Okla City 103.0 - Minnesota 94.2 (Expected Line: Minnesota +8.8, 197.2)
Side play: Okla City (-6.5) (Margin: 2.3)
Total Play: Under 199 (Margin: 1.8)

----------------------------

sac/atl over 205.5
ind/orl under 210
dal/was over 199
mem/no over 203.5
orlando -3
phoenix -12.5
boston -4

[Nick6570]

Lets get another winning night tonight busta

[Nick6570]

Hell of a night so far on all your picks!!!

[CHAZ]

Nice night!

sac/atl over 205.5 WIN (205) Margin of .5
ind/orl under 210 WIN (207) Margin of 3
mem/no over 203.5 WIN (224) Margin of 20.5
phoenix -12.5 WIN (118-94) Margin of 24.5


dal/was over 199 LOSS (187)
boston -4 LOSS (86-92)

orlando -3 I assume you meant -11 which makes it a push. (109-98)

[bustabook]

chaz... i did have that orlando line wrong.. not sure how that happened.

anyway, here are today's version 2 results.

LA Lakers 96.6 - Cleveland 99.6 (Expected Line: Cleveland -3.0, 196.2)
Side play: LA Lakers (+3.5) (Margin: 0.5)
Total Play: Over 195.5 (Margin: 0.7)
LA Clippers 96.7 - Denver 106.7 (Expected Line: Denver -10.0, 203.4)
Side play: LA Clippers (+10) (Margin: 0.0)
Total Play: Under 210 (Margin: 6.6)

--------------------

small card today, and the only play is LA Clippers/Denver Under 210.

GL everyone, talk to you soon.

[dede53]

thanks...

[bustabook]

welcome to the forum dede, nice first post!

[mlb]

Lets get back on a roll going forward now Busta .. like in December made me a lot of money then!

[Nick6570]

Busta would you happen to have an overall record for your V2 plays??

[bustabook]

nick... no i dont.. sorry man.

however, its all posted here..

[dede53]

I'm form TURKEY... and I am following you, your tips.
thank you again. because I earnt money...

[LerpF51]

Nice call on Denver/Clippers under.

[Nick6570]

Another winning night, can't wait to keep this going!!

[cinaj05]

nice play on the under.

[HayMan]

Good job Busta, looks like your new system is doing well! Thanks for sharing!

[SpreadSniper]

Checkin back in Busta.... glad to see you keeping at it bro

[bustabook]

Sacramento 98.4 - Orlando 109.1 (Expected Line: Orlando -10.7, 207.5)
Side play: Orlando (-9.5) (Margin: 1.2)
Total Play: Over 207 (Margin: 0.5)
Dallas 100.9 - Philadelphia 97.7 (Expected Line: Philadelphia +3.2, 198.6)
Side play: Dallas (-3) (Margin: 0.2)
Total Play: Over 195 (Margin: 3.6)
Milwaukee 100.9 - Toronto 103.3 (Expected Line: Toronto -2.4, 204.2)
Side play: Milwaukee (+7.5) (Margin: 5.1)
Total Play: Under 206.5 (Margin: 2.3)
Miami 98.4 - Washington 98.8 (Expected Line: Washington -0.4, 197.2)
Side play: Washington (+2.5) (Margin: 2.9)
Total Play: Over 194.5 (Margin: 2.7)
Charlotte 89.2 - Atlanta 98.3 (Expected Line: Atlanta -9.1, 187.5)
Side play: Atlanta (-7) (Margin: 2.1)
Total Play: Under 190.5 (Margin: 3.0)
Portland 89.6 - Boston 96.8 (Expected Line: Boston -7.2, 186.4)
Side play: Portland (+10.5) (Margin: 3.3)
Total Play: Under 186.5 (Margin: 0.1)
Indiana 94.1 - Detroit 97.4 (Expected Line: Detroit -3.3, 191.5)
Side play: Indiana (+3.5) (Margin: 0.2)
Total Play: Under 199 (Margin: 7.5)
Okla City 101.4 - Memphis 101.3 (Expected Line: Memphis +0.1, 202.7)
Side play: Okla City (+3.5) (Margin: 3.6)
Total Play: Under 203.5 (Margin: 0.8)
New Orleans 102.6 - Minnesota 98.2 (Expected Line: Minnesota +4.4, 200.8)
Side play: New Orleans (-3.5) (Margin: 0.9)
Total Play: Under 201 (Margin: 0.2)
LA Lakers 104.8 - New York 99.8 (Expected Line: New York +5.0, 204.6)
Side play: New York (+5.5) (Margin: 0.5)
Total Play: Over 203 (Margin: 1.6)
Houston 94.3 - San Antonio 103.5 (Expected Line: San Antonio -9.2, 197.8)
Side play: San Antonio (-6) (Margin: 3.2)
Total Play: Over 192 (Margin: 5.8)
New Jersey 100.3 - Golden State 110.5 (Expected Line: Golden State -10.2, 210.8)
Side play: Golden State (-7.5) (Margin: 2.7)
Total Play: Under 216.5 (Margin: 5.7)
Chicago 98.6 - Phoenix 109.0 (Expected Line: Phoenix -10.4, 207.6)
Side play: Phoenix (-6.5) (Margin: 3.9)
Total Play: Under 220 (Margin: 12.4)

-----------------------

here are the version 2 results for today's games.. i will have plays posted in a few minutes. GL

[bustabook]

Version 2 plays, January 22nd...

Indiana/Detroit Under 199
Houston/San Antonio Over 192
New Jersey/Golden State Under 216.5
Chicago/Phoenix Under 220
Milwaukee +7.5
Washington +2.5
Portland +10.5
Oklahoma City +3.5

-----------------------

Lots of underdogs today... which i usually like. GL

[CHAZ]

Chicago/Phoenix line has moved to 219

[dede53]

thanks....

[MrSleepy]

busta, im on this tonite....

[LerpF51]

I played the 4 o/u's. Covered all 4. The chi/phoenix squeeked in by 1/2 point.... but a win is a win! Plus you were 3 - 1 on the dogs? NICE WORK!

[LerpF51]

Can your "system" be modified to give results for baseball? Hate to think about BasketBall season ending!

[bustabook]

Version 2 Summary, January 22nd...

Indiana/Detroit Under 199
Houston/San Antonio Over 192
New Jersey/Golden State Under 216.5
Chicago/Phoenix Under 220
Milwaukee +7.5
Washington +2.5
Portland +10.5
Oklahoma City +3.5

----------------------------

LOL... just your run-of-the-mill 7-1 night. Hope those of you still following this thread cashed tonight.. talk to you guys soon.

[mlb]

I do love your plays man

[mlb]

I'll be back with my local weekend finally and I'm gonna go crazy so keep posting winners!!!!