My guess is

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Seth
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-02-10
    • 166

    #1
    My guess is
    1) That Milwaukee covers the short number at home. Was on them last game and got KD'd unfortunately...Lakers great on road but whatever, Bucks are great as well. 1u Bucks -2 $525-$500

    2) That the Knicks pull out a nice road win vs the Warriors. Really like the way they've been playing so far. Mitchell Robinson is nice with it inside. I like RJ a lot but I've gotta admit, he sucks at times. Just making this play on a team that plays hard throughout vs a team on a back to back. Half/half spread and moneyline. 1u Knicks +5.5 (-120) / ML (+175) $500-$625

    Thread to Date: (0-0) $0
  • Seth
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-02-10
    • 166

    #2
    1-1 on the night for net +$100.

    Milwaukee was disappointing tonight. Didn’t help that Lakers were extremely hot from distance. C-Webb said it best during the game when he said “bucks have no idea what they’re doing on defense.” That sums it up.

    NY continues to impress.
    Comment
    • Seth
      SBR High Roller
      • 07-02-10
      • 166

      #3
      3) My guess is that Nets probably give Cleveland that work tonight. Kyrie looked good last game in his first game back. Sexton played out of his mind. I don't think Cavs have enough honestly. I'm shying away from the full game spread and taking 1H -3 instead. 1u $550-$500 Nets -3

      Oh and I realize KD isn't playing. Thats a big hit but they're a powerful offensive team even without him. They're playing Cleveland where one of their go to plays is the Andre Drummond iso.

      Thread to Date (1-1) +0.2u +$100
      Comment
      • Seth
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-02-10
        • 166

        #4
        Well my guess on the Nets was way off. When you allow the Cavs to look like world beaters then there's an issue with your defense. Will probably stay away from Nets for a bit until they figure that out.

        4) My second guess of the night is that the Thunder keep it within striking distance vs the Clippers tonight. My conviction is not too high on this one as the Clippers can blow out anyone in the league when they feel like doing so. This being the NBA, there's always a chance at the long dog upset. I may be tilted as well after watching the Nets. Half and half on this one so a cover will just amount to a push. Going for the big payout as I certainly think they can win greater than 10.2% of the time. 0.6u Thunder +13.5 (-108) / ML (+880) $300-$1413
        Comment
        • Seth
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-02-10
          • 166

          #5
          33% OKC shooting vs 65% LAC shooting. Bad day.

          Thread to date: (1-3) -$750
          Comment
          • Seth
            SBR High Roller
            • 07-02-10
            • 166

            #6
            Taking OKC again for a small guess. Turned the game on at the end and actually could've pushed with a cover if Dort made a free throw. He didn't. 0.5u Thunder +13 (-102) / ML (+775) $250-$1080.
            Comment
            • Seth
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-02-10
              • 166

              #7
              Push on that last one...onto the next.

              My guess is that the Knicks cover this one on the road. Love this team against a Portland squad that allows a lot of points against them. 1u Knicks +4 $525-$500
              Comment
              • Seth
                SBR High Roller
                • 07-02-10
                • 166

                #8
                Well that was lucky. I'll take it.

                Thread to Date: (2-3-1) -$250
                Comment
                • Seth
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-02-10
                  • 166

                  #9
                  Today I've got a couple guesses on small dogs.

                  I guess that Toronto will complete the mini sweep against the Pacers. Toronto looked impressive yesterday in their fast break off turnovers game. Hoping that continues today. One thing I'm nervous about is Sabonis having a big game after being shut down yesterday. Also, Lowry and Siakam could be back which can only help in my opinion. 1u Raptors +2.5 (-103) / ML (+123) $500-$549

                  I guess that Dallas wins at home tonight. Denver is high powered; thats for sure. I'm just looking for a let up on the road after two OT pull out victories against the Suns. I like Luka and Taps to have big games tonight. 1u Mavs +1.5 (-103) / ML (+107) $500-$510
                  Comment
                  • Seth
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-02-10
                    • 166

                    #10
                    1u on 2H Mavs -2 $550-$500
                    Comment
                    • Seth
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-02-10
                      • 166

                      #11
                      Another small bet on a long dog guess tonight. 0.5u Knicks +11 (-102) / ML (+510) $250-$754


                      Thread to Date: (3-5-1) -$750
                      Comment
                      • spippen
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-17-09
                        • 3874

                        #12
                        That looked like a good play. I think almost any other team right now could've won in that spot in Utah. But the Knicks are the worst team. They play well for a good chunk of the game, get slapped in the face briefly and then completely quit. Most other teams would fight back a bit more and show some pride and toughness. The coach is a complete softy. The organization sucks bad. But this loss the blame goes right to that softy coach. He really needed to start screaming at them because the way is is leading this team just is not working. I don't see any of the players having any respect for him. He's in a tough spot because the organization sucks and does not care at all about winning. I think he's just going through the motions of keeping his paycheck. He watches his team fail far too many times without making a stand. Not one player on that team is a winner.
                        Comment
                        • Seth
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 07-02-10
                          • 166

                          #13
                          Completely agree spippen. I actually like the look of the team, just too many issues and inconsistencies with them. Needless to say I haven’t touched the Knicks since that game.

                          Coincidentally my next play is against the Jazz again. They’re playing incredible and can be argued to be best in the league, but everything’s good when the shots are falling. I’ll say Clarkson isn’t dropping 8 3s on the Celts tonight. Going with my gut guess that the Celtics keep it close with their defense and hopefully pull one out on the road; they looked very impressive vs Clips, not so much vs Suns.

                          Betting 1u on Celts +6 (-102) / ML (+210): $500 to win $767

                          Thread to date: (3-6-1) -$1000
                          Comment
                          SBR Contests
                          Collapse
                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                          Collapse
                          Working...